Going Big On Germany V Turkey Or Im Going Broke!!

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Jun 23, 2008
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OK, hello everybody. I have read your marvelous posts everyday for years but have not yet commented (actually I used to post quite regularly but that was 5+ years ago).

Anyway......

I have watched the Euro Cup vividly and done alright, with some sound money management, ie betting only 2-5% of my bankroll on any one bet.

However......

I have grown slightly impatient at my relatively small winnings and decided to bet all my bankroll (which isnt that much) IT ALL on one game and this game is the Germany v Turkey Semi Final game.

The reason for this huge one sided bet is that fact that Turkey's luck has come to an end as their team is COMPLETELY depleted of talent due to suspensions and injuries and Germany is healthy and ready to crush them and they will!

Therefore....

I am betting:

Germany -1.5 at 2.4 (BIG)
Germany -1.25 at 2.1 (BIGGER)
Germany HT/FT at 2.4 (BIGGER)

OVER 2.5 at 2.14 (BIGGEST)
OVER 3.5 at 3.95 (MEDIUM)
OVER 4.5 at 8.4 (RELATIVELY SMALL)

Germany to win both halves at 3.2 (BIG)
Germany clean sheet at 1.96 (BIGGER)
Germany to win 2-0, 3-0, unquoted

First goal 1-10 minutes at 5.8
First goal 11-20 minutes at 6
First goal 21-30 minutes at 6.8

Germany 4-0 is my prediction. Thank me later.

BrasilNut
 

Rx. Senior
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I like Germany to win, but disagree with your money management. Hope you will reconsider such a mistake and not lose focus of the long term.

Good luck though.:103631605
 

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May 28, 2008
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If you really feel strongly about them winning it would be smarter just to put your hole bankroll on Germany to advance. Although I still don't agree with doing that it makes more sense then what you are doing in my opinion.

Turkey can be pesky though. It wasn't luck that got them to the semis.

Good luck.
 

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Jun 23, 2008
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To be fair, although im putting my bankroll its really not that much for me in terms of $ and i'll just deposit against and build up come premiership time, no big deal

As for putting Germany to reach final, I got them earlier at a really nice price during live betting Croatia v Turkey at 1.70 and its now at 1.30 but i'm holding on to this as well since I feel so strongly about Germany.
 

I'm from the government and I'm here to help
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Sep 21, 2004
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germany has been anything but consistent so not sure that's the type of team i'd lump on. still, they are rightfully big favs vs a beat up team that has used all nine lives
 

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Handicapper
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Sep 21, 2004
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well then good luck...dont think that sor tof bibge betting is wise however. this could be 1-0 Germany in a totally dominant performance and you get crushed... its damn hard to score in soccer.
 
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Feb 20, 2002
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Easy win.

Told you so.

Did you win or lose $$$?

You lost most of your side bets, but won with the totals.

I see Germany was badly outshot and Turkey took most of the corners,
as well as had more possession time.


shots on target : 3 - 10
shots off target : 4 - 9
possession (%) : 46 - 54
corner kicks : 2 - 8
offsides : 0 - 1
fouls : 14 - 16
yellow cards : 0 - 1
red cards : 0 - 0


http://www.livescore.com/euro.dll
 

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Jun 23, 2008
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I was being sarcastic. Relax people, I had to sweat this one out, Germany played awful.
 

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