german weekend

[chriscol]

sorry for not posting 2.Liga, but was not at home in time and had st.pauli and over and düsseldorf under (all looking quite good)..anyway
reason for being late home is complete weather chaos here in Hamburg.

we have 15 cm snow in last 2 hours and it s still snowing.
i am preparing to go to tonight s Bundesliga match and will put my skiing equipment on

Hamburg- Wolfsburg: Hamburg -0.5 @ 1.85 and over 2.5,3 @1.89

Hamburg started OK this year with win at home, but then lost at in form Dortmund...not counting too much in it. they are still very strong at home and should be able to continue this trend today with strong offense and vulnurable defense.
Wolfsburg has not won in 8 league matches and started off with a loss at Stuttgart and a home loss to Köln resulting in Coach being sacked. today they have a new "interims-coach" in place, which makes it a bit unpredictable...going with recent form their main problem is conceiding a lot of goals..their offense is not as good as last year but still able to score.
Both teams should score here and although having a new coach for Wolfsburg the home team should win.
the over probably need a goal in first 30 min to open things up..only danger i see here is that a new coach normally tries as first thing to strengthen the defense, but not sure if this is possible at Wolfsburg right now.
the weather is really bad with heavy snow (as written above)..that will result in a very bad pitch considering that Hamburg just put complete new soil in 2 days ago, which will probably not even completely fixed in this weather...not sure how to cap this weather, as i can make reason for both sides of the total so i stick with my normal weather play on the over.

BOL to all (hope i will not be freezing too much)

 

[MattyMatt]

Ill ride with Hamburg with ya! GL to us!

 

[wvafan3]

Glad to see you back. How was the trip?

 

[chriscol]

Glad to see you back. How was the trip?

thx , was a great trip to south africa...great weather and a beautiful country (in the south)...

 

[chriscol]

how could the Hamburg match yesterday not going over..both bets lost, but for future i must say, that Wolfsburg will remain an over team. their defense is really not good and dzeko + Grafite up front are a really strong thread.

on to saturday:

München- Mainz: München -1.5,-2 @ 1.85

München on a very good streak right now..starting with two big wins over Hoffenheim and at Bremen. at home they are especially strong and today they welcome back RIbery for the first time after a few month..their firepower should be simply too much for Mainz, which is playing well at home , but struggling in away games as they conceide too much (as seen in 2-4 loss at Leverkusen last match).
if i can get the over at 3 i ll add a play, as München should win and Mainz usually doesnt hide in away games and should be able to score as well.

Frankfurt- Köln: Köln +0.5 @1.79

Frankfurt plays well recently, but has some injury problems right now. still that should be a pretty open game against Köln which is especially in away games very dangerous as seen in last week s away win at Wolfsburg. Köln will have Tosic from ManU for the first time available who came on loan and Novakovic up front will be available again after illness.
Frankfurt s home record is also not particular well and similar to Köln they play much better away..basically that means they struggle to make the game and that plays in Köln s hands today.
should be a very even match , which good chances to see even an away win.

Berlin- Bochum: Bochum +0.5 @ 1.96

Berlin still not good as shown in 0-0 home draw to Gladbach. they had a win at Hannnover before, but they are in an even bigger crisis.
Bochum suddenly gets results..they win 2 away games in a row and had a 2-2 draw to Schalke. especially against lower teams also in fight for relegation they seem to do well in away games.
similar to the Köln match i just dont see anything in this match with a draw likely, so i will take the away team at +0.5

will be adding later for the late games, but thats it so far

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

ribery will not start for bayern...still i like th eplay as he will probably come in 2nd half

 

[rolltide]

i've used Schalke in several parlays ... really like them today. Any thoughts?

 

[chriscol]

i've used Schalke in several parlays ... really like them today. Any thoughts?

i will be on them too...write up after watching the first games

 

[chriscol]

3-0 so far...nice

Schalke- Hoffenheim: Schalke -0.5,-1 @1.93

Schalke playing well this season an unbeaten in last 8 games...they won at home to Frankfurt and then had 2-2 draw at Bochum which they dominated and should have won. they are strong at home playing from a solid defense. they sometmes struggle against weaker teams where they have to make the play, but Hoffenheim is a more open minded team which should put Schalke in favour.
Hoffenheim going the complete opposite direction. not winning in last 6 and loosing both matches so far this year the team is down to mid table and having no real confidence at all...if everything click like first half of last season they are a very good and dangerous team, but recently it s not. they struggle scoring and start conceiding (3-1 loss at Stuttgart, and 0-3 home loss to Leverkusen this year).
if you have some big fav for a parlay i would favour Schalke on the ML @ 1.72 as i am not sure if they blow hoffenheim out, but for posting here i ll go with the -1,-0.5.

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

quickly the plays for today

1.Liga

Leverkusen- Freiburg: Leverkusen -1.5 @1.80 and over 3 @ 1.89

2.Liga

Paderborn- Frankfurt: Paderborn -1,-0.5 @ 1.89

BOL to all

 

[hm2.0]

chris...posting regularly & successfully...nice.