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Friday

2. Bundesliga

Bielefeld- Aachen: Bielefeld -0.5 @ 1.95

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1-0 winner yesterday

Saturday 2. Bundesliga

Rostock- Paderborn: Rostock -0.5 @ 2.0

Rostock is strong at home this season and on a up swing coming off their first away win. Paderborn is solid, but gets their ponts mainly at home.


I ll post 1. Liga in about 2 hours.

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1. Bundesliga

Nürnberg- Berlin : under 2.5 @1.87

two bottom clubs facing each other and both have a big problem..they struggle to score. on top of that Berlin is shaky on defense, while Nürnberg is relatively solid in the back. In 8 games so gar Nürnebrg scores 4 goals and Berlin 7.
3 of 4 Nürnberg home games went under the number.
Berlin has a new coach since last game and as most coaches who take over bottom clubs first thing he will do is to strengthen defense, especially in an away game like today.
not sure who will win it or if it end in draw, but both teams will be mainly afraid of loosing and i dont expect an open game at all.

Freiburg- München: München -0.5,-1 @ 1.87 !! 2 units!!

Freiburg has big injury problems. that s on top with a very bad history against München.they are also not particular strong at home with one win, one draw and two losses.
München need to get its act together. today van Bommel will be back in the line up and that should strengthen their defense, which was the main concern recently. up front probably Luca Toni will have his comeback.
this is a must win for München. i know this situation hasnt worked so far this season for them, but they like to play at Freiburg and Freiburg is right now not a team which believes in beating München.

Frankfurt- Hannover: under 2.5,3 @ 1.93 !! 2 units!!

Frankfurt AND Hannover played so far 6 of 8 games with a max of two goals. Both teams are stuck in midfield and have big injury problems. i dont expect much offense here as both teams might be happy with a draw.

Bremen- Hoffenheim: under 3.5,3 @1.85 and Bremen -0.5 @1.78

both teams have a reputation of being high scoring, but reality is different.
Both teams conceided less than one goal per game. Bremen even did not conceide in last 4 games. of cause with both offenses it can always go out of hand, but i have a feeling that defense will prevail in this top match today and 4 goals is a lot to ask for to make this a looser.
Also Hoffenheim struggles a bit in away games this season, while Bremen is on a solid run right now. Home win looks good although i like the under more.

i ll add a play and write up on Hamburg-Leverkusen later, but again i dont expect many goals here.

total goals saturday: under 20 @ 2.0

as you alread saw i like unders today. 20 goals in 7 games is basically an avarage of three..going thru the games i see:
Stuttgart- Schalke: low scoring, max 3 goals
Köln- Mainz: low scoring, max 3 goals
Nürnberg- Berlin: under 3
Freiburg- München around 3 with tendency to go under
Frankfurt- Hannover: under 3
Bremen-Hoffenheim...could be around 3
Hamburg- Leverkusen: around 3 , potential under

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pretty even day so far with the grand total under 20 still pending (15 so far..one more match)

Hamburg- Leverkusen: Leverkusen +0.5,pk @ 2.01

this is a completely open match between the two top teams in league and probably the best home vs. the best away team..a draw is likely here, but i like some extra motivation on Leverkusen which is playing against their former coach Labbadia, whom many players not really liked.

i am also leabing under, but with the grand total still pending i leave it at that.

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SUnday

2. Bundesliga

Augsburg- KArlsruhe: AUgsburg pk,-0.5 @ 1.85 and over 2.5 @1.89

Augsburg the better team here. they struggle at home, but Karlsruhe has problems overall right now.
In all Augsburg games there were at least 1 goal for and one against..hope for the third today as Karlsruhe will not hide in this game

Koblenz- Ahlen: AHlen +0.5 @2.04

two bad teams with no particular home advantage for Koblenz...Ahlen with new coach and that s why i like them to get at least a point here

Düsseldorf- Frankfurt: under 2.5 @1.99

Düsseldorf strong at home and basing success on strong defense.
Frankfurt in chaos within the club right now and helpless in away games (havent scored so far loosing all 4 games)
therefore i also like Düsseldorf to win, but as they tend to play low scoring an under 2.5 and Düsseldorf -1 just doesnt fit together (would basically leave a 2-0 win only), so i go with them in the above ML-parlay

2-team ML-parlay: Düsseldorf (1.55) and Wolfsburg 1.33 for a combined 2.07

1. Liga to come

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1. Bundesliga

Wolfsburg- Gladbach: Wolfsburg -1.5 @1.99

Much better team here and strong at home. Gladbach in risis at the moment and especially away helpless.

BOL to all (no play on the Dortmund game)
 

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