German Weekend

chriscol · Nov 22, 2008

unfortunately i dont have time for write ups today, but here are the plays.

Saturday

1. Bundesliga

2-team ML parlay : Bielefeld- Leverkusen: Leverkusen @ 1.75 and München over Cottbus @ 1.18 for a combined @ 2.06

Frankfurt- Hannover: Frankfurt pk,-0.5 @ 1.93

i was leaning over, but two strikers from Hannover including their best player Schlaudraff are out for today, so i dont expect them to take part in the scoring.

Wolfsburg- Stuttgart: Wolfsburg -0.5 @2.03 !! 2 units!!

Great home team in a much better form. Stuttgart struggling right now (on and off the field)

3. Bundesliga

Stuttgarter Kickers- Jena: over 2.5,3 @1.95

All but one game of Stuttgart this season have seen at least 2 goals...a third should be possible here also.

BOL to all

chriscol · Nov 23, 2008

3-1 yesterday with the big play hitting.

Sunday

Augsburg- Kaiserslautern: Augsburg pk,+0.5 @1.90

Augsburg although in bottom half of table has steadied a bit lately going 3 wins and 3 draws over last 6 games. Kaiserslautern although sitting in 2nd is not playing tht well anymore as early in season. they are carried by their home strength right now (dont overvalue last weeks 6-0 win over Rostock,which were undermanned in in complete tumult at this stage).
In away games Kaiserslautern lost last 3 againast teams like Koblenz (0-5), Oberhausen (1-2) and Wehen (2-4), which you can all find in the bottom. it might be a draw but i cant see Lautern favoured here in an away game.

Mainz- St.Pauli: Mainz -1.5 @ 1.98

Mainz is the league leader having won 3 of last 4. they are on a solid run and usually a tough home team, while St.Pauli lost 5 of 6 away wins. there is a good chance the trend continous.

Freiburg- Koblenz: Freiburg -1,-1.5 @ 1.90

Freiburg is one of the best home teams this year going with 5 wins of 6 and most of them by 2 goals or more. overall they are coming of a two win streak. Koblenz is plain bad away with only one point from 6 games. i expect a very slippery pitch with snow in Freiburg today, but that could work in the hands of both teams as Koblenz might be error prown although Freiburg likes to play the technical sound football.

Wehen- Oberhausen: over 2.5,3 @ 2.0

Wehen plays around the number regarding totals, but 4 of last 5 home games ahve seen at least 4 goals and there is usually scoring on both sides.
Oberhausen somehow played the last 3 games under, but that was all against low scoring teams (Rostock, München, Aachen). Before that they hit the over 10 times in a row, so the unders might have been due, but it still shows the overall attitude. They are on a good stretch right now (and i like them also at +0.5), so they should be able to score and with Wehen also coming around a bit lately and at home, it s the perfect setup with both teams scoring and someone getting the over.

BOL to all

chriscol · Nov 23, 2008

late addition

Nürnberg- Fürth: Fürth +0.5 @ 1.89

it s derby and very open match..no home advantage

BOL to all

eddieshore · Nov 23, 2008

I will tail two of your picks and I am already on the over.

GL

chriscol · Nov 23, 2008

outch...tough day so far

hno:

1. Bundesliga:
Hamburg- Bremen over 2.5,3 @1.83

This is a very big derby in germany and Bremen hasnt lost at Hamburg since ages...weather is perfect here today in Hamburg, very cold, but pitch should be in perfect conditions.
Hamburg will be without de Jong in defnsive midfield and very likely also without Jarolim...two key players to stabilize the defense. so all they can do is take a more offensive approach.
Bremen is still struggling in league, but a hard fought home win vs. Köln might help them to prepare for this match. with respect to overall situation in standings they will go for a win here,also considering that historically they like to play at Hamburg.
i dont see the usual big home advantage for hamburg in this derby as Bremen will have their own support and seems to like the atmosphere.
With Hamburg forced to go on offense and Bremen needing 3 points, both teams should get easily on the board and everything can happen in a high scoring game.

BOL to all