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just na quick one to start it off. Bundesliga wil be up in 30 min.

Regionalliga Nord

Emden- Wolfsburg: Emden -1,-1.5 @ 1.95 !! 2 units!!
 

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1. Bundesliga

München- WOlfsburg: Wolfsburg +1.5,+2 @ 1.89

München should win but Wolfsburg is not so bad that it will be a blow out. München got some injury trouble and Ribery is very likely out. With Wolfsburg actually playing some decewnt football lately i think one Wolfsburg goal woulod be enough to cover.

Leverkusen- Duisburg: Leverkusen -1.5 @ 2.01 !! 2 units!!

Leverkusen has simply too much fire power here especially at home. Duisburg is the worst team in the league. A lot of talking is coming from Duisburg that they have to get a point here to turn the season around and how important the game is for them, but in the end they are just not good enough.

Cottbus- Bremen: Bremen -0.5 @ 1.76

Normally Bremen should win it easily. But Cottbus playing against relegation will put up a big fight at home. i am not sure if it will be enough.
Bremen has some team internal trouble with 2 players suspended by coach for fighting during a training session. neverthell with all the disappointing showings in ECL Bremen seems to get the job done in Bundesliga. Not the strongest play, but at this line just playable.

Bochum- Bielefeld: Bochum -0.5 @ 1.87 and over 2.5,3 @ 1.95

Both teams playing against relegation, but Bielefeld is struggeling big time right now. After a terrible stretch they won last game vs. lowly Nürnberg but that should make too much difference today. Bochum is solid at home and they were waiting for this year ending stretch with games vs teams on the same level..sofar they are doing pretty well in these and today should be another nice spot for the home win...all Bochum home games have a tendency to go over right now, as they are attacking but often struggle to keep the other team off the board. With Bielefeld also desperate to do something here i expect a nice open game with both teams scoring.

BOL to all
 

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Ribery will play for München. Still i am sticking with my play as i dont see Münche going for a blow out.
 

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sweep in Bundesliga yesterday...

for today i have no plays for 2.Bundesliga. Still fighting with myself for some action, but too many conflicting reasons on both sides and totals in all games.

1.Bundesliga will be up later as well as hockey plays in about 30 min.
 

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1. Bundesliga

Hamburg- Rostock: Hamburg -1,1.5 @ 1.95 !!2 units!!

It s a mismatch on neutral ground and with Hamburg being at home and on a run i dont see anything else than a win..nothing more to say here.

Nürnberg- Dortmund: Dortmund pk,+0.5 @ 1.95

Both tems are in a disappointing season, but while Dortmund jsut cant find any consistency and still being in mid table Nürnberg is really struggeling and playing against relegation. i dont see much between the teams here and with Dortmund always able to score away i like their chances to get away with at least a draw.

BOL to all
 

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rec so far this season after today s games (pushes recorded as no play)

1. Bundesliga 40 - 37 +1.10 units
2. Bundesliga 17 - 14 +3.18 units
Regionalliga 28 - 16 +9.77 units

Total 85 - 67 +14.05 units
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Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Mr.C

FC Kaiserslautern vs FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga 2

Any lean on the side or total?

Thank you,

MA
 

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to be honest, not really.on paper Mainz is for sure the better team, but they have some mediocre away matches, not particular strong.they are very high scoring at home , but more to a low scoring side away.Kaiserslautern simply struggles to score. they won the last 2 home matches, but mainly due to bad opponents.they lack the skill of really producing goals which makes goals hard to come by..only chance for them is in a really heated atmosphere by "fighting spirit". so in any other matchup this looks like a 1-1 to me.But here its different, because Mainz and Kaiserslautern is the biggest local derby for both teams...this will result in a very heated atmosphere and the chance for some "out of control" goals. so to be honest the side is a coin flip as well as the total. if you need some action i would go with a draw on the 3 way line.Safe money for ECL
 

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to be honest, not really.on paper Mainz is for sure the better team, but they have some mediocre away matches, not particular strong.they are very high scoring at home , but more to a low scoring side away.Kaiserslautern simply struggles to score. they won the last 2 home matches, but mainly due to bad opponents.they lack the skill of really producing goals which makes goals hard to come by..only chance for them is in a really heated atmosphere by "fighting spirit". so in any other matchup this looks like a 1-1 to me.But here its different, because Mainz and Kaiserslautern is the biggest local derby for both teams...this will result in a very heated atmosphere and the chance for some "out of control" goals. so to be honest the side is a coin flip as well as the total. if you need some action i would go with a draw on the 3 way line.Safe money for ECL

Thanks, sounds much like a Roma/Lazio or Juventus/AC Milan derby...where anything can happen.

I'll play the draw for 1.5 units (hope it cashes), and save my money for Champions League.

Best of Luck

By the way, I am somewhat surprised by line in the VfB Stuttgard / Glasgow match (VfB Stuttgard at -.25). I thought there would be more respect for Glasgow, as they have everything to play for in this match.
 

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Pinnacle have MAINZE (pk) -120 at the moment.

I think I will take some of this just for fun.
 

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hahaha..it played ot like i capped it on paper: a low scoring draw (0-0). congrats to you mad actuaria if you took the draw.

Stuttgart- Glasgow

i agree that the Stuttgart line for tomorrow seems "strange", but you have to figure in how Stuttgart team "works".
i always like the fact in football if one team has something to play for and the other not, which is the case here. Stuttgart is already out of everything. they cannot even reach the 3rd spot and uefa-cup anymore, but they are a ver young team.
I am not a big Stuttgart fan and i think they were not the best team in germany last season, when they won it...they simply had an amazing run (basically the last 10 games), which happens in all sports, where a team plays "out of their minds" almost every game. they just dont wake up during that dream and the hot streak continues. this happens especially to teams like Stuttgart that are very young, where the players dont realize what they are doing until it s finally over.
anyway: they qualified for ECL this year, suddenly had some injury problems this season and had to cope with the added pressure of being the german champion (now finally awake). that resulted in a very disappointing start in Bundesliga and ECL as well.
Now they turned it around and won 4 games in a row in Bundesliga including a 3-1 trashing of Bayern at home and saturday s 4-1 away win at Frankfurt...they seem to play "loose" again, which helps them.
The Glasgow, although officially nothing to play for is a game for pride...it s probably their last game in ECL at home for quite some time, as i dont expect them to make the qualy again. they will simply enjoy the occasion together with their fans of playing on the big stage and this is a situation (although i dont like it in general) actually works for that team.
than you have on the other team a scotish team. Not to be disrespectful...but an inform german team should be (and is) still at least at the same level of either rangers or celtic. with the home advantage the line is actually ok at -0.25...i would even think if Stuttgart had something to play for the line would be -0.5, which according to my write up and the "stuttgart theory" makes Stuttgart a play for me.

BOL what ever you do.
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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HOLY CRAP!

Thanks for the super draw! I appreciate it.

I'll see you tomorrow for day 1 of Champions League play.

Good luck, it could be a very strange day 1...so I will play with that in mind...
 

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Yes, your Stuttgard analysis is convincing. So much so, that it reinforces my theory for a gunslinger type "OVER".
 

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