German weekend

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No write ups today as i am busy with NCAA and german hockey, but i like all the plays very much

Friday

2. Bundesliga

München- Augsburg : over 2,2.5 @ 1.90 !! 2 units!!

Koblenz- Jena: Koblenz pk,-0.5 @1.90

Regionalliga Süd:

Hoffenheim- Kaiserslautern: Hoffenheim -1.5 @ 1.98 !! 2 units!!

BOL to all
 

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solid start in the weekend as both big plays were winning (i hope you had also a look at the german hockey)

Saturday:

1. Bundesliga

Frankfurt- München: München -0.5,-1 @1.96

Frankfurt is in the relegation zone right now and in an down trend. They almost had a very important away win last week at Nürnberg but gave a 2-0 lead away in the last 5 minutes. They have injury trouble and from all comments that come from the team they are focussing on getting points AFTER the München match, when they play their direct opponents vs. releagtion.
That s not the focus i like to see from a team.
München meanwhile brought the momentum from the Real match over to last week s match vs. Bremen, but got only a draw. But they out-played Bremen for the whole match. it was a very,very lucky draw for Bremen. I dont think that it stopped their momentum at all, especially with the other top teams still struggeling and München back in the hunt.
They have a very solid history playing at Frankfurt and today should be another away win.

Hannover- Hamburg: Hannover pk,-0.5 @ 2.09

Hamburg is on a tremendous run under new coach steevens. But still are only producing results, based on a more solid defense (Sttevens also had in the past, when he won the Uefa-cup with Schalke the main focus on : " first comes the Zero on defense").
Hamburg is still not able to make the play if they have too as shown in last week s 0-0 at home vs. Leverkusen, which they could have easily lost.
Hannover is still on a good run although not much better the Hamburg in making the play. they base their recent success on standart situation, which is a weakness of Hamburg.
It s a Derby and should be a close game, but i am going with the home team as Hamburg s run of good results should be at least slowing down a bit.

Dortmund- Nürnberg: Over 2,2.5 @ 1.83

Dortmund fired their coach during the week and they have now Doll, who lead Hamburg in the relegation zone 6 week s ago. I have no clue how the team will respond. It cannot get worse, so maybe they are at least trying to win.
Nürnberg after overachieving a lot came a bit down to earth in last 3 week s but are still very capable of getting points here. But with the new- coach situation in Dortmund i have no clue with the side.
The over looks good, cause during Nürnberg s recent struggle they played 1-2,2-3,2-2..so a lot of scoring and Dortmund will also get on the board witha big of new-coach boost.

Schalke- Stuttgart: Schalke -0.5 @1.99 !! 2 units!!

Top- match of the day. 1st against 3rd, but both are struggeling. Only difference is that Schalke got 3 key players back from injury (which was part of their recent struggle), while Stuttgart learned during the week that their star striker Gomez will be out for several weeks. Stuttgart based their success mainly on the great run of Gomez, so they struggeling mightily without him and will also lack confidence. It s a great chance for Schalke to get back on track, especially at home.

Aachen- Bielefeld: Over 2.5 @1.86

Out of nothing Aachen produced 3 wins and a draw from last 4 games and have hope to survive t he league. Bielefeld on a down trend has now new coach Middendrop since Tuesday. He was already very succesful in the past with this club.
So the idea is a little bit like the Dortmund match...on paper Aachen should win (regarding recent form), but the new-coach factor makes Bielefeld hard to cap. Home games for aachen usually going over as they are always scoring and are not able to shut anybody down. Same today and they over should be a winner


Regionalliga Nord:

Düsseldorf- Wuppertal : Düsseldorf -0.5 @ 2.09

Regionalliga Süd

Stuttgarter Kickers- Pfullendorf: Stuttgart -0.5,-1 @ 1.91

Wehen- Darmstadt: Wehen -0.5,-1 @1.86

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Sunday

2. Bundesliga

Aue- Offenbach: Aue -0.5 @1.85

Aue is the better team and they are particullary strong at home. Only problem is that they might be out of the promotion race after last weeks loss. But that s also a good sign. They are one of these teams in 2.Liga, who every year do well until they have a chance for promotion and then choke. It s a big pattern (i used this as a fade-system in the past), which is mainly based on the fact the smaller teams simply cannot afford to promote to 1.Liga due to financials or general infrastructure. You have also to count in the basically all players on their rosters are playing "against" their job, when they are succesful, as they are not good enough for 1.liga and will probably replaced.
Bottom line is Aue is back in the comfort zone and should be back to usual home dominance (there were even comments of players pointing that direction during week).
Offenbach meanwhile is struggeling big time against relegation and got only one win in last 6. WHyshould it change today.

Fürth - Braunschweig: Fürth -1,-1.5 @ 1.97 !! 2 units!!

Fürth is on a great run and suddenly back in the promotion race. Not like AUe, they are used to be in this position. Fürth is always in top 6, but never made it, as they had also the "small club" problem. But that changed over last 2 years and now they really want it. I dont think they will make it, but today Braunschweig will not stop them.
Braunschweig is dead last and already playing out the season without any hope. They team has given up and the club already makes plans for Regionalliga. Should be an easy home win.


1. Bundesliga

Leverkusen- Gladbach: Leverkusen -0.5 @ 1.79

Leverkusen is one of the better home team in league and on a good streak in direction for the uefa-spot. Uefa cupwin during week should give thm extra confidence. Gladbach is lat in standings right now and by far the worst away team in league.
I only hope that the mid-week uefa-match did not take too much power out of Leverkusen s legs

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after a sunday sweep, trying to close out the weekend with another winner

Rostock- Köln: Köln +0.5 @1.80

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