German weekend

[chriscol]

Rec so far this season after this 2nd weekend (pushes rec as no play):

1. Bundesliga 5 - 6 -0.74 units
2. Bundesliga 3 - 0 +3.987 units
Regionalliga 7 - 5 +3.325 units

Total 15 - 11 +6.572 units


Start in the weekend and i have unusual many play, but there is tremendous value today.


Friday
1. Bundesliga

Schalke- Bremen: Bremen pk @ 2.09

Bremen had two big wins to start the season and seems to be unstoppable right now. Schalke struggled twice against lowly teams, but escaped with a home draw and a 1-0 away win at aachen. Their keeper is injured and they wil have a 19 year old youngster in goal. he was solid in last games at aachen, but will be struggeling to organise the defense against bremen's high powering offense.
Kristajic is suspended for Schalke which forces them to re-build the defense. that s a again not a good thing to do with a young keeper facing bremen. Schalke also got problems scoring this season. SO it might be a draw, but very good chance for bremen to get in this situation another away win.

2. Bundesliga

Jena- Köln: Köln -0.5 @2.06

Köln the dominant team in the league coming of two solid wins. they face a team coming up from 3rd league and struggeling a bit so far this season. Even with home advantage Köln the much better team should be able to win her.

Offenbach- Karlsruhe: Karslruhe pk @1.89 and over 2.5 @1.80

Karlsruhe will be one of the top contenders for promotion this year and started already with two big wins (last week over kaiserslautern 2-0 and 4-0 away win), They playing solid already early in the season and their confidents is very high, Offenbach is struggeling again a bit and will play against relegation this year. Home advantage makes it a pk, but Karslruhe should definetely not loose here.
Both teams played highscoring games so far. Offenbach 2-2 and 0-3, karslruhe 4-0 and 2-0, so i give the over a shot.

Freiburg- Unterhaching: Under 2.5 @ 1.862

Both teams very solid on defense and struggeling big time scoring. Unterhaching lost both matches so far 0-1 and freiburg played 0-0 and 0-2.

Regionalliga Nord

Union Berlin - Emden: Berlin pk,-0.5 @ 2.15 !! 2 units!!,

same story here last as last 3 weeks. pinny is messing the line for berlin up. Berlin coming from 4th league, but has one of the highest budgest in league and is IMO one of the top candidates for promotion. They started with 7 pts from 3 games and 5-0 goals. They are very strong at home and especially the atmosphere in night games (it starts at 7.30 pm local time) is feared in Germany. Stadium is already sold out.
Emden is a low-budget team, got 4 pts from 4 games so far and will play in the mids of the table.
The line is for this game is set at all german/austrian bookmakers at Union -0.5 1.80 to 1.85, which i believe is OK. I would play this even for 1.85, but pinny moved the line to 2.35 2 hours ago and now to pk,-0.5 @ 2.20.
I checked everything..there are NO news.
I have to make it my biggest play of the day.

Wuppertal- Ahlen: over 2.5,3 @ 1.962

Both team played over this number almost all the time so far this season.
Wuppertal: 3-1,4-1,1-1,1-2
Ahlen: 3-0,2-2,1-2,2-1
So i give it a shot to see again a minimum of 3 goals.

BOL to all

 

[Player]

thanks for posting

I am also on Karlsruhe, the number looks very good at (pick)

good luck

 

[jus000]

Hello Chriscol! I just wanted to wish you the best for your card this weekend! Your games look very solid!! Good luck my friend!

 

[Jacksorbetter+]

Thanks Chriscol for that Union winner. It took 80 minutes to get the goal but its a winner. Thanks again.

 

[SunDodger]

Nice pick on Union Berlin, chriscol.

Your 2 unit plays are razor sharp!!

 

[Hooligans]

very good source and info on the union berlin game! congrats! :drink:

 

[jus000]

Thank you Chriscol as always for your time and analysis. I really appreciate the Union Berlin game today, that was fantastic. Good luck as always and I hope you have a great weekend!

 

[chriscol]

very solid start in the weekend 4-3 +2.014 units

Saturday

1. Bundesliga:

München - Nürnberg: München -1,-1.5 @1.926

Both teams started with two wins. münchen as expected, nürnberg a big surprise. But München is still the much better team, even with nürnberg very confident right now. Nürnberg s start striker vittek is out with injury.
The biggest factor i see here is that it will be a statement game for München. They are playing at home and it s a bavarian-derby. One , which they dominated over the last years, especially at home. they want to stop the talk about another bavarian team being even close to them. Much better team should win here at home.

...more to come

 

[chriscol]

Leverkusen- Wolfsburg: Leverkusen -1 @ 1.813

Leverkusen had a dominant win at hoem and a 1-2 loss to bremen in which they played very well and probably deserved a draw. Wolfsburg coming off to 0-0 draws.
Even with a couple of players still doubtful with inhury for Leverkusen they should have too much fire power for Wolfsburg, especially playing at home, where they usually perform well. Wolfsburg is tough to analyse so far. that s why i dont make it a 2 unit play, but it s close to that. It seems like they have a solid defense, but they did not face good offenses as leverkusen so far, but they defonetely struggle on offense.

Gladbach- Bielefeld: Gladbach -1,-0.5 @ 2.01

I had going with gladbach as i personally dont like them, but i have to take them today.
They started well witha home win over cottbus and a 0-1 loss at nürnberg in which they were the better team. But still they are much stronger at home than away. They have doninated Bielefeld at home over the last 4 years.Bielefeld meanwhile got a draw at hamburg and a 2-3 loss at home to Stuttgart. They have injury problems for this game. Gladbach should be the better team, especially at home. not sure if they win by 2 or more, but very good chance t get the win here.

Bochum - Cottbus: Bochum -0.5 @ 1.87

Both teams coming from 2nd liga. Both teams played well so far. Bochum lost twice 2-1 against Munich and Mainz, but after the good performance at home vs. Munich they should be able to get the first points today at home. Cottbus lost at Gladbach and a home-draw vs. Hamburg. Both not a surprise to me as i expect cottbus getting it s points at home, but being fairly helpless away. The home advantage will be the key-factor for this game.

Regionalliga Nord:

Magdeburg - Osnabrück: Osnabrück pk,-0.5 @ 2.09

Magedburg coming from 4th league with 4 pts from 4 games so far playing Osnabrück, which started with 3 straight wins. The much better team should be able to get the next win, even playing away, as experience and confident will turn out to be the key factors in what should be a low scoringt game.

Dresden - Düsseldorf: Over 2.5,3 @ 1.97

Both teams pre-season favs, but off to different starts. While dresden is 2nd with 2 home wins Düsseldorf got their first win last weekend after starting with two losses. What both teams have in common so far are very high scoring games, with lots of offensive power, but also problems on defense. Dresden so far 4-1,2-1,2-1,1-2, Düsseldorf 0-3,0-1,3-2
As both teams will go for a win here, i expect them to score both again, which should be enough for an over.

Even if i dont have a 2 unit play today, Bochum, Leverkusen and Osnabrück are very close to it.

BOL to all