German weekend

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Let'S start with two games for friday

2. Bundesliga:

Essen - Aachen: Essen pk @1.877

Karlsruhe - Aue: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.909

BOL to all
 

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1-1 yesterday with aue being a solid under.

Today there is not much action in Bundesliga, it's one of the toughest cards for me all season. i'll give you a couple of reasons why i dont play certain games which look obvious and will look later on to find value in today's regionalliga.

1. Bundesliga

Mainz- Hannover: Under 2.5 @1.90

Mainz is struggeling big time right now on the offensive end. they are just two more pts ahead of relegation zone now, which will make that a very nervous game for them. defense is still relatively solid for a bottom team. Hannover is playing defense first in recent week's anyway, which is shown in a lot of low scoring results. in addition to that to strikers are off today, which should lead to an ever more conservative tactic. Mainz's home games have seen an avarage of 2 goals in last 5, but that included a curious 5-0 win over freiburg, so generally very low scoring. last 5 away games of hannover have seen 5 goals in total.

Dortmund- Kaiserslautern: Dortmund -1 @ 2.04

Not sure if they cover the hdc, but i am confident they win the game..last week they were embarrassed by Bielefeld at home to a 1-1 draw. they have dominated the whole game, but forget to score the 2nd just to receive a late equalizer. i hope they learnt from it. overall they are on a good streak and still heading of international buisiness. Kaiserslautern meanwhile, after chaning the coach got another shock defeat at home agianst relegation troubled Bochum. i dont expect a bounce back today as the team has nothing to play for rest of season.

That'S it for official plays:
Couple of short notes:

Hamburg - Rostock: almost a play for me. but it's a derby. hamburg although playing great and coming of a great away win in schalke is still missing key-player Barbarez. Without them they usually struggle.Rostock is relegations bounded, but they will come out fighting today.

München- Bochum: a clear missmatch, but i got the feeling it might be close as bochum is fighting desperately against relegation and produced good results lately. münchen sometime tends to do only the necessary, so ia m not confident about a cover.

Stuttgart- Wolfsburg: Wolfsburg is playing better recently away, while stuttgart is missing key- player Kouranyi.

Bielefeld- Freiburg: SHould be easy win for Bielefeld, but their only offensive weapon Backley is red card suspended.

CU later for Regionalliga play.. if question for above games go ahead.
 

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Regionalliga Nord and Süd:

2-team parlay: Augsburg to win vs. Koblenz (1.45) and Lübeck to win vs. Berlin (1.25) for a combined 1.81 !! 2 units!!

Augsburg is on a run and can catch up with promotion places with a home win today, while Koblenz is in the middle of nowhere and struggeling right now.
Lübeck is the hottest team in league especially at home, while Berlin is already relegated since last week.

2- team parlay: Braunschweig to win vs. Köln (1.43) and Lübeck to win vs. Berlin (1.25) for a combined 1.79 !! 2 units !!

Braunschweig currently sitting in 2nd place is coming of a defeat against Osnabrück. they can not afford to let away pts today with chasing Lübeck against a Köln team which has not won in last 6 games.


Münster- Osnabrück: Osnabrück to win @ 2.35

Osnabrück is in mid of the promotion race. they are the strongest away team in league and welcome back 3 key- players today. also as this is a local derby many osnabrück fans are expected, which will take away the home advantage from Münster. Münster is in the mid of nowhere right now, after gaining some breathing space against relegation today. i'll go with the better team which should be much more focused and motivated.

BOL to all
 

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Sunday:

1. Bundesliga:

Leverkusen- Bremen: Leverkusen pk,-0.5 @ 2.08 and OVER 2.5,3 goals @ 1.847

Leverkusen should be back on track after last week'S away win. they are strong at home and have a good history playing at home vs. Bremen. Bremen meanwhile is coming of a overtime loss at schalke during midweek'S cup semifinal. i expect them to come out a bit tired.
Both are high scoring teams. leverkusen especially at home and bremen everywhere. Bot will go for the win so i expect a very offensive match from both sides.

Nürnberg- Gladbach: Nürnberg pk,-0.5 @ 2.01

Nürnberg is almost safe after wins in last 2 games. another home win can give them the almost sure security to stay in league. they are playing much better football lately. Gladbach meanwhile is in complete trouble. after playing terrible football over the last weeks they are just 3 pts ahead of relegation zone. they fired their coach during the week and even the sport- director. so a lot of trouble around the club. that they are the worst away team in league also doesn't help.

2. Bundesliga:

Burghausen- Erfurt: Burghausen -1 @ 1.943

Erfurt got 4 key players out for today'S match, in what should be a home win even with them available.

Regionalliga South:

2- team parlay: Siegen to win vs Nottingen (1.17) combined with Wehen to win vs. Mainz (1.50) @ a combined 1.755 for !! 2 units!!

2 clear mismatches between top teams playing at home and almost relegated teams playing away.

BOL to all
 

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Rec so far this season after saturday's games(pushes recorded as no play)

1.Bundesliga 89-66 +18.642 units
2.Bundesliga 38-35 -1.344 units
Regionalliga 26-34 -7.892 units

Total 153-135 +9.406 units<!-- / message -->
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