German weekend

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Rec so far this season (pushes recorded as no plays)

1.Bundesliga 39-23 +11.190 units
2.Bundesliga 13-13 -2.031 units
Regionalliga 17-23 -5.550 units

Total 69-59 +3.609 units

Tough weekend in Germany ahead, but i ll try too keep up the good run:

1. Bundesliga

München- Kaiserslautern: München -1.5 @ 1.901

München on a good run lately. They seem to have regrouped over the last couple of weeks and are in good shape again. With a home win today the can grab the top spot in league, as leader Wolfsburg is playing tomorrow. That should be enough motivation against a lowly Kaiserslautern. Kaiserslautern got some points to climb a bit out of the basement in last 3 weeks, but at home and with very lucky wins against bottom clubs.
Away they are still a weak side and München is not the best place to play for them (last win 6 years ago). This should be a relaxed 2 or 3 goal win.

Bielefeld- Bremen: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.13

This is a standard play for me... Bielefeld at home Under brought me now 5 wins already this season. Bielfeld home games avarage a total of 1.5 goals so far. Bremen could make this a difficult one..but i still go for it as i see a tight match and even from Bremen's side not much efford to go for a big offensive outburst. With ECL ahead they will try to save some energy.

Berlin- Rostock: ROstock +1,+1.5 @ 1.91

This pick is simply based on the "new coach factor". Rostock got a new coach after last sunday's 0-6 home debacle. This should be enough motivation for the bottom team, which is playing actually better away than home anyway (all points so far this season came in away games) to keep it at least close. i would not be surprised to see a draw here. Berlin is on the up-trend after big win at Schalke..but struggles lately in home games. They are definetly not a team which blows out opponents.

Mainz- Bochum: Bochum +0.5 @ 1.80

Another not so obvious play. But i like Bochum here inthis spot..they are in big need for points. they dont produce the results..but they have shown a good game agianst München last week..and Mainz is a good place for them to turn it around.
I am already going succesfully against Mainz the last 3 weeks as i see them on a downtrend. CDOming up from 2.Liga they had a great start inspired by big home wins over the big teams, but now they are coming down to earth slipping already to the mid of the standings. Big teams give them a extra motivation but they struggle against the weaker ones. They almost lost against Gladbach at home and today will be another very tough game for them.

Regionalliga Nord:

As it worked last week very good for me i'll again just post my plays here without write up till i see constantly better results in the monor leagues.

Münster- Bielefeld: Münster to win @ 1.75

Regionalliga Süd:

Wehen- Stuttgart: Wehen to win @ 1.75

BOL to all
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3-3 day yesterday.

SUnday:

1.Bundesliga:
Hamburg - Wolfsburg: Over 2.5,3 @ 1.901

Hamburg on a good run since changing the coach. They are coming off a big away win at lowly Rostock. They start to click recently. But today it's derby time against Wolfsburg. Wolfsburg is the top team in the league right now, but they are dominant at home and very weak away..going 0-3 with 0-9 goals in L3. But they always bounce back at home, even against stronger opponents like Stuttgart (3-0 win) last week. This team has great offensive power and sooner or later will also produce results in away games. That is what scares me of the Hamburg side, which otherwise would be the logic play considering home and away records.
But i like the Over. Both teams will definetly go for the win..both are capable of scoring big time..and if we get both on the board i like the chance to go over.

2. Bundesliga:

Burghausen - Duisburg : Under 2.5 goals @1.826

Burghausen is a very low scoring team. Their last 6 games went under with a total of 7 goals !!
Duisburg is at least in away games low scoring, where they play a little bit more conservative.Last 5 away games avarage a total of 2.0 and last 3 overall a total of 1.0.
This will be a tight low scoring game..possible 1-0 win for either side.

BOL to all
 

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chris- Nice job today. You've got to love it when you play a total over and it's on three at the half. I always enjoy your analysis and write-ups.
 

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Thx, soccerbob. Always nice to help with good picks.it looks like i have turned it around into positive now after a tough start in the season.

Looking forward to CL now.:toast:
 

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