German weekend

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Record so far for the season :
Bundesliga: 49-35 +9.837
2. Bundesliga: 10-9 +0.087
Regionalliga: 22-22 -3.763

Total: 81-66 +6.161
pushes recorded as no plays

Last week was not very good for me. looking to come back strong. Not much value on the card today, but three plays i like for saturday.

Leverkusen - München: Leverkusen +o.5, pk @ 1.84

Leverkusen is struggeling in recent games, but they are still a good team and i expect them to have a much better and inspired efford today at home against a bayern team which should give extra motivation for them. This match is always one of the biggest matches for leverkusen in the year and they recently owned bayern at home. winning 3 of last 4 and most of them in dominant fashion.
Another angle on this game is that they might catch München on a flat spot. München will be already focusing a lot to the CL match against REAL, which is THE GAME for them. I simply do not see a 90 % efford from München will be enough to get a win at Leverkusen. Therefore +0.25 is a pretty good line.

Dortmund - Stuttgart: Dortmund -0.5 @ 2.12

Two team heading into different directions. as i'm saying since beginning of 2nd half of season, stuttgart will slump, as they played simply far over their potential for the last year. They had not one single good game so far after the winter break and i dont see that streak to end today against dortmund.
Dortmund played well recently, but was stopped by league leader bremen in last weeks away loss. This loss was mainly caused by the shocking loss of midfielder Rosidsky with a broken arm.
But now the team should be mentally over this shock and should be able to get the home win even without him and continue their good run to the top spots in the league.

Schalke - Freiburg: UNDER 2.5 @ 2.05

Who should score in this game??? i have no idea. Schalke is on a great run. Due to great strength on defensive side. They conceided only 1 goal in the last 7 games. and sometime they score
icon_wink.gif
That's always enough to get at least a 0-0 draw or a narrow win and that's what they are doing.
Last 8 Schalke games went under and last 8 home games went under. You have an avarage of 1.0 total goals in schalkes last 7 games.
Freiburg on the other hand is the worst away team in league.
They will simply not score today. I'm looking all over the place for the prop "Freiburg not to score". if you find it, take it.
All that said the UNDER is a play on Schalke not to score 3 goals on their own and that'S pretty good value.

ALSO Schalke - Freiburg: Schalke -1 @ 2.13

Write up see above. This may come out as a push, but Schalke will win straight up.

BOL to all
 

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honestly..not really...Hertha has a good streak at the moment , but still unpredictable in my eyes. they lost last home game to lowly frankfurt in a terrible outing, which nobody expected. IMO they are far away from being the old team even if some of the last results look like it.
Bochum i expect to struggle in next time after having a great run. They are unbeaten in last 8 games, but first sign of trouble are already there. They draw last week at home to Rostock. After the game their was a big dispute betwenn two Bochum players. This dispute already started during the game. After the game the coach ordered them both to solve it under 4 eyes. It handed in one players punching the other. Result is: Oliseh is suspended and immediately thrown out of the team and Haszamian got a broken nose and is out for the next games. So a lot of trouble for bochum off the pitch during week, but they are still on a good run. Leave it alone, it's simply an unpredictable game IMO
 

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Hello,

Here now my pick for the German Bundesliga today… good luck!

VfL Wolfsburg – 1. FC Koeln 1 1.60 Bets4all.com
10. Wolfsburg 22 9 1 12 40:42 28
18. 1.FC Köln 22 4 4 14 17:33 16

Wolfsburg lost last weekend against FC Bayern with 0-2. But at home they playing a very good and offensive football. At home they have a very good 8-0-3 record and they scored 29 goals – 2,6 goals per every game. Koeln on road very bad – 0-3-7- they scored only 5 goals on road. The first game in this season Wolfsburg won 3-2. Home win!

33 Wessels - 20 Cichon - 12 Schröder, 22 Dogan, 3 Voigt - 11 Grujic - 7 Kringe, 30 Lottner, 17 Heinrich - 8 Scherz, 10 Voronin

12 Ramovic - 19 Rytter, 5 Schnoor, 33 Franz, 7 Weiser - 6 Thiam, 27 Karhan - 10 D'Alessandro, 21 Petrov - 9 Klimowicz, 17 Fernando Baiano (not sure)
 

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