GAME THEORY/STRATEGY SHARPS! What would you if you were TSO?

[ML Dog]

Yes Carolina might be a top pick because the line has moved from +4 down to +3 now!

Value might exist within a stale line but does every Line if stale automatically have value?

You have, like....no faith in Atlanta whatsoever.....do you?

 

[ML Dog]

Ain't nobody sayin' SHIT up in this thread cuz ya'll afraid the dude two points behind you is gonna use the knowledge that would otherwise BE HERE to fock you.

What am I suppose to assume by your Silence?

Is it an Admission of Guilt?

Are you really square shaped enough to go down on that Stale Line?

Lines aren't THAT SHARP FOOL


...well maybe on NBA Totals but

this ain't that.

 

[buddygurt]

CH and TSO are both on Carolina

 

[BuffsBIGXII]

CH Ballers clinched.

 

[slapshot]

only 135 on Vikings :think2:

 

[ML Dog]

NOW ya'll come in.

Ya'll are seriously haunting.

 

[ML Dog]

...and you utter, like, TWO WORDS

I swear to god I might delete this whole thread. Unless Ya'll start givin' some input soon.

This is your wheelhouse

How To Own......

a manuscript towards risedness....

where oh where are my brethren?

 

[The Guesser]

As predicted, SD and Caro top 2. Ballers wraps it up, Tso played it relatively safe although he avoided SD.

CH BALLERS . GB IND CAR SD PHI 60 19 1
GENERAL TSO . JAX IND NE CAR NYG 57 23 0
DEGENCHAT . CAR SD PHI WAS SF 56 24 0
CWG 85 . MIA CAR MIN SD WAS 55 25 0
BRIEFCASE 2 . DET CAR SD PHI OAK 54 25 1
DSHOT702 . CIN CAR SD PHI WAS 54 25 1
T TIME . JAX BUF NYJ WAS OAK 54 25 1

GB -7.5 274 ***No. 4 MOST SELECTED TEAM***
DET +7.5 188

HOU -9.5 81
JAX +9.5 159

PIT -3.5 302 ***No. 3 MOST SELECTED TEAM**
CIN +3.5 186

IND -7 147
TEN +7 73

BAL -13.5 94
CLE +13.5 195

NE -4.5 200
BUF +4.5 109

MIA -6 108
NYJ +6 178

ATL -4 236
CAR +4 355 ***No. 2 MOST SELECTED TEAM***

MIN -6.5 135
CHI +6.5 123

KC -3 165
SD +3 456 **No. 1 MOST SELECTED TEAM***

NYG -3 259
PHI +3 160

DAL -6 112
WAS +6 267 ***No. 5 MOST SELECTED TEAM***

NO -4 126
TB +4 118

SEA -11.5 162
STL +11.5 157

SF -6 155
ARI +6 115

DEN -14 95
OAK +14 190

 

[Betallsports]

I can tell you this much, not that i was in line to win it. But 3 years ago when I was in the money.... Don't Over-think your picks. Meaning Don't change what you have been doing all along during the contest.

I made that mistake back then, and it cost me an extra $16K ( hit for $27K )

My problem came with the Det/GB game. GB had already clinched the NFC North and really had nothing to play for. ( I believe ) ** unless it was home field through out.. ??

anyway the game was being played at GB and while handicapping the game i saw that the Lions haven't won there in years. Weather was Snow and temp was like 13 degrees
Rodgers was to Sit out and Matt Flynn was to start. The Line was Det -4.5

I looked and looked and i couldn't see GB losing. I asked a few Sharp guys that I know and they both told me, you either take Lions or pass on the game.
This went on for days... as I went back and forth with them and reading Every story i could find on Matt Flynn and how some starters would sit.

So I decided to pass on the game and took the Steelers instead -4 ( shale line ) because it went to -7 by that Friday

Bottom line was, Det. did come to play, but so did matt Flynn , as he threw for 480 yards and 6 TD's and won the game outright !

Pitt won too, but it landed on 4 so it was a Push and worth 1/2 point. the difference of that half a point cost me $16,000 if i would have taken GB

So to me, I believe you shouldn't change how you look at or cap the Games.

Not sure what CH Ballers will take this week. My possible GUESS on one game is he will have SD as one of his picks.
My Opinion is he is a Market guy.... and has a good feel of which way the line will move.

As far as General TSO. ... I think He has been around for years, because I remember seeing the name before.

Either way, I'm sure whatever happens.... any of them are in great shape to Cash Big Money.
This being the Largest Pool ever ( and I'm sure it will only Grow in the coming years ) It's a Great Contest.... I love being in it... even if I'm shitting the bed the past couple of years.
I enjoy it a lot.

Yep, SD is there... Glad to see he did no Over thinking .. taking GB, Indy, Car & SD
I have 3 of those myself

 

[powerz]

What a great win by Ch. Ballers - Does not even have to sweat week 17.

 

[barnstorm]

Top pickers did not try to go KC or ATL to pick up ground. They stayed with SD and CAR to maintain their positions.

I bet the guys in 31st to 50th went with KC and/or ATL and/or AZ as those are the lines that have moved significantly.

I also see Dallas down to -4 now. They were -6 in the Contest.

 

[CHBallers]

What a great win by Ch. Ballers - Does not even have to sweat week 17.

You have no idea. cheersgif

 

[barnstorm]

Based on the selections of the Leaders of the SuperContest, if you were out of the money, then a truly contrarian card would be these in the following order:


ATL (26-1 took CAR!)
KC (23-1 took SD!)
DAL (21-0 took WAS!)
AZ (6-0 took SF)


and one of these:
HOU (6-2 took JAX)
DET (8-4 took GB)
NYG (10-6 took PHI)

 

[ML Dog]

What a great win by Ch. Ballers - Does not even have to sweat week 17.

Glorious-like Cruising.....congrats to CH Ballers, you have set the bar my Lord.

Next cummin a RUSH of a bunch of folks you didn't expect.

 

[ML Dog]

RX Baby.

Be Loyal.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

I'm thinking if joining the real LVH contest but these top cappers out there are way too good.......

 

[ML Dog]

You have no idea. cheersgif

magnitude

 

[ML Dog]

inestimable.

 

[ML Dog]

impossible to calculate

 

[ML Dog]

You are so beuatiful