***G-Man's College Week 13***

[G-Man!]

Season 146-120. (55.%). +7,016.00

Tuesday

7:30
Central Michigan +6 over Western Michigan. 4 units
I lost with CM last week on turnovers against Toleod.
IM sure WM isn't as good as Toledo and look for a SU win for Central Michigan.
C. Mich has the better defense and better run game.

8:00PM
NIU +1.5 over Miami, O. 4 units
16 starters return from last year for NIU - a winning Bowler that won over Arky State last year. The defense is better than last year and although NIU lost their Starting QB from last year they are still scoring just as well.

Miami is a plus 3 scoring team and won 5 straight in the conference withe a 5-1 record and is 6-4 overall.
NIU is 3-3 in conference games but also 6-4 overall.

Both teams lost to Toledo. But NIU out-gained Tololedo and held Toledo to 13 points.
Miami lost 20-30 but was lucky to get 2 turnovers from Toledo or the margin would have been worse.

Im going with the better outcome with a better common opponent.

 

[G-Man!]

WEDNESDAY

Toledo ML -115 over Ohio 4 units
Road game have been low scoring for Ohio vs better teams like KY and Miami-O. and poor Michigan,
Rockets are the better team as Ohio only returns 9 starters from a year ago when they we're a Plus 8 scoring team with an outstanding defense only allowing 16 pts per game.
Toledo has the better QB with a solid QB rating of 143 while allowing opponents to 117.0
Therockets run defense is amoinu=g k]leader was well allowing only 3.56 yds per carry. Thats something that Ohio depends on.

E, Mich ML -115 over Buffalo. 4 units.
EM lost on 4 turnovers to Ohio last week. Their offense is better than Buffalos.

 

[G-Man!]

Thursday
NC state +8.5. 3 units

 

[SilentKC]

Thursday
NC state +8.5. 3 units

Good call.

 

[G-Man!]

Friday.
Temple +17 over UTSA. 3 units
Lines are off when compared to common opponents. Temple was a 9 pt dog to E. Carolina while USTA was a 2 pt dog. =7 pt difference. This line is 10pts in favor of Temple tonight
Also, the Fla Atlantic game was Temple -2 while UTSA was -4.5. A -2.5 difference.
This -17 line is a being used against the masses because UTSA has a Bowl chance and ALSO last week UTSA ran the ball for 303 yds against North Texas.
Whats more important - is that UTSA has Army next which is a big game and the home final.
UTSA is only 3-3 in the division, which makes them over priced considering that Temple played two first place opponents of which UTSA never played either!. .

Temples defensive numbers in scoring are also inflated because they played 2 games with two 7-0 undefeated division leaders (Army and Tulane) allowing over 50 points to both.

Purdue +14 over Michigan State. 3 units
All of Purdues loses were to winning record teams, two of them in the top 5 rankings. MSU is NOT a winning record team/

MSU faced Illinois and Indiana and allowed the same points on defense thatPurdue also did with Penn State and Ohio State.
I put OSU and PSU ahead of Illinois and Indiana , which justifies taking the Boilermakers.

San Hose State +7.5 over UNLV. 3 units
Common Opponent - Boise - was a solid comparison for this game.
Boise beat SJSU 42-21 but the game yardage was almost a match as San Jose had 4 crucial turnovers in the loss - while both teams put up 483 for San Jose and 456 for Boise.
The Boise /UNLV game was also a macth in yardage, as UNLV lost 29-25.
Note here than Both UNLV and SJSU scored 21and 25 points in the losses but SJSU was the victim of the 4 turnovers.
SJSU also played its last 4 game against all positive scoring teams and UNLV has failed to cover the spread in its last 3 straight.

 

[METFAN]

Good luck and continued success

 

[G-Man!]

Not sure what’s going on but you’re ice cold over the past couple of months.

Thanks. I wasn't aware of that...TROLL..

Apparently you need attention so here it is.
Have you bothered to Troll anyone else in your 14 posts or just me as an Alias hater..??
But I'm still up large in college.

You joined here in August. Did you miss my World Series and Playoffs that won 11K?
You made sure to bash my NFL plays in week 8 as well.
You're likely one of the guys that have been banned or given infractions and came back to troll as an alias.
WHERE the Fuck are your posted plays???

You - are what's happened to this site...

 

[lakrfan2000]

GMoney, Don't sweat these "new member" trolls. I reported him.
Anybody that knows you, respects you, and has made money in the long run.
Let's have a day!

 

[G-Man!]

Saturday

NOON
#2 Ohio State -10 over #5 Indiana. 10 units. <<<
If it was going to be close, the line would be under 7.
Indiana will see how hard it is to win on the road vs top ranked teams.
OSU played both #1 Oregon and #4 Penn State on the road and went 1-1.

Last year Indiana was a 30 point dog to both PSU and OSU. Those two teams are still the best defensive teams this year with only allowing 10 and 13 points per game . Thats something Indiana hasn't faced this year.
Indiana only played 3 road games - all aganst losing record teams, MSU a minus 6 points per game scoring team. UCLA - A minus -9 points per game scoring team. and Northwestern a minus 3 scoring team - in which - those three teams combined, also only averaged 19 points per game on offense.

NOON
Florida +12.5 over Ole Miss.. 3 units
ML +355. 2 units
Florida has played the toughest schedule this year . In the last 6 games on their schedule, every team was a winner last year.
They also faced four top ranked teams with Miami Fla, Georgia, Tennessee and Texas.
In 4 of the last 5 games they are now facing another ranked team with #9th ranked Ole Miss.
In road games vs teams at .500> or more Ole Miss pounded Georgia 28-10 in Georgia's worst game of the year - while allowing 26 at LSU and 31 at Arkansas.
The Ole Miss offense averages 540 yards per game - while allowing only 310. The scoring difference isn't as big of a gap if you remove the 62 points they put up on Ark.

The true scoring difference when adjusted, is more like 28 points per game average on offense, against recent division foes.
If that holds true - and if Florida can put up 17 or more at home, then Florida could cover this.
We could have another ML shocker here, like when Ole Miss lost at LSU just 4 weeks ago...

Noon
Wake forest +24 (-118) over #11 Miami. 4 units
WF has a solid defense and should stay within the spread.

Noon
Virginia +10.5 over #13 SMU. 5 units
ML +275. 3 units
The Cavs +21 gave Notre Dame all they could handle last week and Pushed on the spread but had a whopping 5 turnovers at Notre Dame. This is a great ML dog play today as well ATS..

Noon.
Illinois +1 over Rutgers. 4 units
Considering that Illinois played #1 Oregon and #4 Penn State on the road - and held PSU to only 21 pts and Oregon to only 38 makes this an easy win over Rutgers.

2:30PM
James Madison -7 over Appy State. 3 units
JM only returned 8 starters from last year when the were a 34-19 scoring team. This year they are just as good, while Appy state was a Plus 6 scoring team last year and now is a minus -8 with a defense that is allowing 34 points per game.

3:30PM
Minnesota +11.5 over Penn State. 3 units
Home dogs allowing 20 points is a game I use.
PSU in road games is still better defensively, but against winning record home teams, they only scored 21, 26 and 13 points.

3:30
Kansas +3 (-120) over #16 Colorado 10 units. <<<
Kansas Played 5 top ranked teams going 2-3.
Lost by 6 to Illinois. Lost by 4 to UNLV, Lost by 4 to ASU, Beat Iowa State and BYU.
The Dirty Buffalos piled it on last week and showed poor sportsmanship against My Utah Play. I get it all back today! FU, Neon Deion!

3:30
Kentucky +20 over #3 Texas. 5 units
Wildcats have been solid all year on defense allowing only 19pts per game. They beat Ole Miss, stayed with Georgia losing 12-13 and and Tennessee 18-28. ALL ROAD GAMES!

3:30PM
ASU -3.5 over BYU ...3:30PM. 4 units
BYU was shocked by 4-6 Kansas last week and faces a better team today with with an 8-2 record.

4:00PM
Arkansas -23.5 over Louisiana Tech 4 units
In 3 of the last 4 road games LT scored 12 points or less.
Expect a shoutout by the Razorbacks today.

4:15PM
Missouri -8.5 over Miss St. 5 units.
This is the first losing-record team with a negative scoring average per game that Missouri has faced in 3 weeks, They should cover this.


7:00PM
#6 Notre Dame -14 over #18 Army. 4 units
Army faced all average unranked teams and struggled last game two weeks ago with soft North Texas in a 14-3 game. The NT defense allows 35 pts per game. Notre Dame allows only 10!
ND seemed to shut down against Virginia last week, looking ahead to this game.


7:30PM
Auburn +3 over #15 TexasA&M. 5 units
I play home dogs with defenses that allow under 20 points per game.
Auburn held the last 4 opponents each, to 21 pts or less.
They also hold opponents to 4.4 yds per play which is outstanding and only 283 yds per game along with allowing only 2.9 yds per carry! All three stats are better than A&M's.

7:5PM
Vanderbilt +7.5 over LSU. 4 units
Farewell game for LSU head coach Brain Kelly if he doesn't win this today.
He had a great scoring team last year putting up 46 points per game and allowing 28 - which has now deflated to 29-25.
But when you lose and NFL grade QB from the prior season - this is what happens.
He's facing a Vandy team that flipped their scoring deficit from 23-36 last year, to plus 28-21 this year.
When considering the defensive advantage for Vandy - thats where the money is.
This line opened around 9.

8PM
V. Tech -3 over Duke. . 3 units.
Both teams are solid on defense, but this game comes down to turnovers.
VT has the better run game.

7:30PM
Oklahoma +14 over Alabama. 5 units
Not the team they were a year ago and laying 2 TD's on the road is risky.
For the record, Oklahoma has not allowed over 35 points in any game all year including games with Texas, Tennessee, South Carolina and Ole Miss!
Alabama played both - South Carolina winning 27-25 and Tennessee losing 17-24, going 1-1.


I may have a late plays....

 

[ORANGENATION]

Thanks. I wasn't aware of that...TROLL..

Apparently you need attention so here it is.
Have you bothered to Troll anyone else in your 14 posts or just me as an Alias hater..??
But I'm still up large in college.

You joined here in August. Did you miss my World Series and Playoffs that won 11K?
You made sure to bash my NFL plays in week 8 as well.
You're likely one of the guys that have been banned or given infractions and came back to troll as an alias.
WHERE the Fuck are your posted plays???

You - are what's happened to this site...

Screw these idiots. You are way more on point than most and you back your plays up with solid reasoning. At the end of the day, no one knows how the game is going to turn out. I just don’t get why these folks who obviously don’t do any research themselves and just ride the coattails of handicappers on here, blame you for your selection. Like you purposely are posting hoping your picks are wrong.

If you don’t like his results, stop following him. Otherwise, shut the hell up and do your own research then.

Thanks G for your insight and picks. I along with most appreciate it.

 

[cashflow50]

gl today bro

 

[PatsFanatic]

Nice call on Florida G

 

[vinnyvegas]

Get em GMan. Loved buckeyes too

 

[G-Man!]

Wyoming +23 over Boise. 3 units

 

[G-Man!]

8PM
Kansas State -8 over Cincinnati. 4 units

 

[Easyskanker420]

Nice job on the IU/OSU game. Spot on. Respect

 

[gobigfknred]

Great day, good call on UF ml along with some others buddy. Any thoughts on the battle of LA?

 

[G-Man!]

10:30PM
USC -4.5 over UCLA 2 units
Air Force+3 over Nevada. 2 units
Fresno State -3 over CSU. 3 units

 

[phorever]

I tailed OSU, Kansas, ND, and Oklahoma and swept.

great Job

 

[michaeld19]

Great day G-Man!!