Wednesday
2PM
Tulane +11.5 over VT. 5 units.
Not fading a 11 win team as a dog vs a 6 win team, regardless of who is out.
5:30PM
North Carolina +3 over West Virginia. 7 units
N C played 7 bowlers in which nearly all of them are better than who VW played.
In fact the 2 teams that were better against WV, were Oklahoma and Okie State and WV was outscored massively 54-107. They have no reason to be favored.
8PM
USC +6.5 over Louisville. 5 units
USC has 20 players who opted out of this game - according to Field level Media.
C.Williams USC starter is out - but backup QB Moss could surprise today. He hit 72% of his passes in a backup role.
One common opponent that had redically different outcomes, vs was Notre Dame.
USC lost badly 48-20 at Notre Dame while Louisville won big 33-20.
Here's the catch. Notre Dame had five (5) turnovers at Louisville. BUT USC had 5 Turnovers at Notre Dame!
Knowing that USC has 20 players out could actually be a good thing. They allowed 40 pts per game on defense vs Bowlers and maybe the 20 fill-ins will actually be a better result.
Louisville was solid on defense all year but allowed a full TD more in road games vs overall season average.
Plummer is good but not sure he will do as well vs upper caliber team especially if USC doesnt turn the ball over.
More later.
2PM
Tulane +11.5 over VT. 5 units.
Not fading a 11 win team as a dog vs a 6 win team, regardless of who is out.
5:30PM
North Carolina +3 over West Virginia. 7 units
N C played 7 bowlers in which nearly all of them are better than who VW played.
In fact the 2 teams that were better against WV, were Oklahoma and Okie State and WV was outscored massively 54-107. They have no reason to be favored.
8PM
USC +6.5 over Louisville. 5 units
USC has 20 players who opted out of this game - according to Field level Media.
C.Williams USC starter is out - but backup QB Moss could surprise today. He hit 72% of his passes in a backup role.
One common opponent that had redically different outcomes, vs was Notre Dame.
USC lost badly 48-20 at Notre Dame while Louisville won big 33-20.
Here's the catch. Notre Dame had five (5) turnovers at Louisville. BUT USC had 5 Turnovers at Notre Dame!
Knowing that USC has 20 players out could actually be a good thing. They allowed 40 pts per game on defense vs Bowlers and maybe the 20 fill-ins will actually be a better result.
Louisville was solid on defense all year but allowed a full TD more in road games vs overall season average.
Plummer is good but not sure he will do as well vs upper caliber team especially if USC doesnt turn the ball over.
More later.
Wednesday late game. Other games posted are above^^^
9PM
TEX A&M +4 over Okie State. 5 units
Betting against the worst passing defense ranked #125 which is Okie State.
Okie may have the best run game - but A&M stops the run well at 3.8 yds per rush.
7 pt Line flip from original A&M -3.5 is too much, especially when this game is a home game for Texas A&M.
Okie state was fortunate to have a great edge in fumble recoveries, but if many of those won games, then they're not as good as the numbers say.
9PM
TEX A&M +4 over Okie State. 5 units
Betting against the worst passing defense ranked #125 which is Okie State.
Okie may have the best run game - but A&M stops the run well at 3.8 yds per rush.
7 pt Line flip from original A&M -3.5 is too much, especially when this game is a home game for Texas A&M.
Okie state was fortunate to have a great edge in fumble recoveries, but if many of those won games, then they're not as good as the numbers say.
We lost our starting QB on the first play of the game or Texas A&M was $$$$$.
Thursday.
11AM
BC +11 over SMU. 5 units
SMU only outscored bowlers by an average of 1 point per game. Their offensive scoring during the season was 41 pts per game, but fell drastically to 28 points per game vs bowlers.
Their 3 road wins were by 12, 5 and 4 points vs bowlers. Their one loss was to Oklahoma by 17 points.
2:15PM
Rutgers ML -130 over Miami. 10 Units
Miami lost starting their QB (VanDyke), which will be too much for them to win this.
More importantly, we have a dominating defense by Rutgers as they held Ohio State to their season low in total yards (319) in a 35-16. Rutgers loss.
They also held Northwestern to (312) and played well against Penn State holding them to total 322 yds. All teams with a won-loss record of 8-4 or better.
Miami fell to -6-6 and is now an average team.
Rutgers faced far tougher opponents which is an advantage today, knowing that Miami is without their QB.
Its almost a home game for Rutgers, playing in Yankee Stadium today.
Im going with Rutgers and my guess is that Miami wont score much vs a defense that allowed only 26pts average per game vs bowlers all season.
More later
Thursday.
11AM
BC +11 over SMU. 5 units
SMU only outscored bowlers by an average of 1 point per game. Their offensive scoring during the season was 41 pts per game, but fell drastically to 28 points per game vs bowlers.
Their 3 road wins were by 12, 5 and 4 points vs bowlers. Their one loss was to Oklahoma by 17 points.
2:15PM
Rutgers ML -130 over Miami. 10 Units
Miami lost starting their QB (VanDyke), which will be too much for them to win this.
More importantly, we have a dominating defense by Rutgers as they held Ohio State to their season low in total yards (319) in a 35-16. Rutgers loss.
They also held Northwestern to (312) and played well against Penn State holding them to total 322 yds. All teams with a won-loss record of 8-4 or better.
Miami fell to -6-6 and is now an average team.
Rutgers faced far tougher opponents which is an advantage today, knowing that Miami is without their QB.
Its almost a home game for Rutgers, playing in Yankee Stadium today.
Im going with Rutgers and my guess is that Miami wont score much vs a defense that allowed only 26pts average per game vs bowlers all season.
More later
Thursday Continued...
9:15PM
Sooners +1.5 over Arizona. 5 units
The Sooners have a plus +20 pts scoring advantage over bowlers this season. Thats a huge factor.
Public opinion made Arizona a favorite for good reason. They smashed their last 6 opponents. Three(3) were bowlers - but none of them have a 42 point offense.
I dont think they have enough defense to shut down Oklahoma who has posted an AMAZING 500 yards of offense per game against Bowlers.!
If The Sooners get the lead, they wont give it up.
9:15PM
Sooners +1.5 over Arizona. 5 units
The Sooners have a plus +20 pts scoring advantage over bowlers this season. Thats a huge factor.
Public opinion made Arizona a favorite for good reason. They smashed their last 6 opponents. Three(3) were bowlers - but none of them have a 42 point offense.
I dont think they have enough defense to shut down Oklahoma who has posted an AMAZING 500 yards of offense per game against Bowlers.!
If The Sooners get the lead, they wont give it up.
