Last week was a winning won, and over in the CFB forum plays went 32-17 Thur, Fri & Saturday with BYU & Utah pending as of this post:
I'd like to think I'm providing a good handicapping tool for others to use
GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PLAYS!!!
Last week FIVE saw underdogs beat the favorites 8-6, and the 'dogs have a 39-33 lead on the year to date. Home dogs were 1-2 and are now 9-14 on the season. Meanwhile the totals saw the unders and overs split 7-7 and the unders lead 42-31 for the year
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Miami @ Buffalo -6[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]The Dolphins have been ravaged psychologically by the Ricky Williams turmoil and have sadly become something of the laughingstock of the league among casual NFL fans. Wannstedt jokes are plentiful, and the usual "can't see them winning any game on the rest of the schedule" comments that follow winless teams are emerging. Still, a more objective look at the season will show that the Miami defense has nothing to apologize for, but it's offense on the other hand is among the worse in the league. In Buffalo they face an alter ego with a struggling offense and respectable defense. That being said Buffalo will have trouble once again scoring points on this Miami defense, and six is a bit too much. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Miami +6[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]San Francisco @ NY Jets -10[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]SF is banged up on the perimeter with DE Carter and Whiting, OLB Peterson, and CB Rump. That should give Pennington more room for error, and if Moss is playing eh should have the speed even not at 100% to exploit this 49ers secondary. Niners QB Rattay needs to be in a rhythm to get things going. As evident in the way they moved the ball late against the Rams, and LW vs. the Cardinals. If they do that the Jets defense is prone to giving up late TD's which should get SF inside the number late in this one. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]San Francisco +10[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Seattle @ New England -4[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Against a Seattle team with the potential to score a lot of points the injuries at WR the Patriots are dealing may be hard to overcome. It looks like Branch nor Brown will be available to play this week. The Seattle defensive back field has the talent to shut the Patriot passing game down. Making Cory Dillon the vocal point of the NE offense this week, and he is listed as questionable. The weapons are banged up, and Seattle is good enough to come in and steal one. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Seattle +4[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Carolina @ Philadelphia -9[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Davis will be back this week after practicing Wednesday, and he will be important as the Panthers will need a balanced attack to keep the Eagles from putting pressure on the Carolina QB. Philly has 18 sacks in just four games. The panther O-Line is big and physical enough to actually out muscle the under sized but quick Eagle defense. If they can get 30 rushes out of Davis they should wear down the Philadelphia defense. Owens is the big difference in this battle from last year. He demands a lot of attention, and that does free up the Eagle offense to do so many other things. Still 9 is a lot in this league. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Carolina +9[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Cincinnati @ Cleveland -3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Cincinnati's Johnson will need to have a strong game here, and that could happen as the Browns were ran all over last week in Pittsburgh. The Steelers rushed for 170 yards at 3.9 YPC. Palmer has had troubles in the 4th quarter with seven interceptions. The Bengals need this game big time, and I think the Browns will be what they need to get that most important win here. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Cincinnati +3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Green Bay @ Detroit -3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]GB misses the services of OC Flanagan as the rushing games has suffered, and it doesn’t get any easier with Detroit's Rogers and Wilkinson playing so well. Favre needs the running game to help the passing attack as he just looked like a worn out man after Monday's game. Detroit the up coming team, but has injury issues at WR and RB. Hopefully for them Williams and Jones come back this week. If so I must back the Lions. [/font][font=Times
New Roman,Times,serif]Detroit -3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Washington @ Chicago pk[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]I'm going with Washington again. The Bears lone win at GB doesn't look so impressive now, and the Skins have the defense to contain the Bears. The offense of the Skins should look better this week against Chicago who is allowing 5.8 YPP this season. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Washington PK[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Houston @ Tennessee -6.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Get ready for this. Houston has the top rated passing attack in the NFL with 260 yds/game!! Who would've thunk it? The Texans must get the defense to hold opposing teams to fewer big plays. The young CB's have been burnt a few times this year. Also they must focus on Tenn. RB Brown who can have another huge game as the Titans O-Line is doing a good job at getting some running lanes open. The fact about this game however is that Houston is starting to believe they can play with any team in this league. Building off of LW's come from behind OT loss followed by the franchises first two game winning streak they should hang close here. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Houston +6.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]San Diego @ Atlanta -5.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]As much as we love SD who came through for our 5* win LW they just don't bring the same type pf defense that Vick has struggled with. Atlanta who was on the losing end of our 4* Detroit play last week has had trouble with teams that bring in a fifth D-lineman. The 3-4 base defense the Chargers play won't allow that to happen and thus Vick should have a good game both passing and running. The Chargers are off two big wins, but won't be as effective here against this surprising Atlanta defense. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Atlanta -5.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Kansas City -2.5 @ Jacksonville[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Well back the Jags this week. The defense should play much better this week after two straight losses. the three times Priest Holmes has played Jacksonville he has failed to rush for 100 yards. The KC defense will allow Leftwich to have a better game, and also see some better things from RB Taylor. Del Rio blasted his team for LW"s loss, and called it embarrassing. Last season after the Titans sustained an 11-minute drive lead by Eddie George rushing several times costing his team the victory Del Rio blasted them. they bounced back with a game against Baltimore's Lewis who rushed for 2,000 yards and held him for just 68 yards and no TD's. I expect a good bounce back performance here. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Jacksonville +2.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Pittsburgh @ Dallas -3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]The Steelers right now are just doing to many things right to be underdogs here. The Cowboys have been missing blocking assignments, and taking a lot of useless penalties causing the team to go backwards. The aggressive Steeler defense should be able to disrupt the Dallas passing game which is what makes the Cowboy's tick. Pittsburgh is holding teams to 51,6% passing and only 275 yards/game. Meanwhile the Dallas defense is allowing 5.8 YPP, and 4.7 YPC. Too much for Dallas to overcome here. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Pittsburgh +3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Denver -2 @ Oakland[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Just two weeks after everyone hails Raider QB Collins now there is talk that if he doesn't play better he will be replaced by Tuiasosopo. Indy had some good success last week getting some big plays on CB Walker as the Oakland player is starting to show his age. Denver WR Lelie has the speed to take advantage of that so look for OC Kubiak to get that matchup. The Raiders defense all together looks poor, and Denver has all the weapons need to exploit it. The Broncos defense is first in the NFL in total defense, and combine that with what's said above and we have a Denver road win and cover. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Denver -2[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Minnesota -3.5 @ New Orleans
[/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Both defense are giving up a lot of points this year. NO isn't thought by many has having much of a chance here, and with a poor defense like the Vikings have the home field advantage could be the edge for the saints in this one. Minnesota is allowing 6.4 YPP, and even more on the road while giving up 27 PPG away from home. NO needs to take care of the ball, and I think they will. Expect to see a Saints team like we saw against the rams a few weeks ago. [/font][font=Times New
Roman,Times,serif]New Orleans +3.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Tampa Bay @ St Louis -6.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Simply enough for as bad as Tampa has been LW's road win has to be a good one and should build momentum for the Bucs. Meanwhile the Rams comeback was not so much on them as it was Seattle changing defensive schemes late in the game allowing St Louis back in. They kept pressure on Bulger for 3.5 quarters and all of a sudden go to the prevent. the Bucs defense is holding teams to just 49.6% passing which is what Martz wants to do. The rams defense is falling back to their old ways since Lovie Smith left. The are now allowing 6.0 YPP, and 5.2 YPC, and 62.6% passing. Simply put it's just too much to ask such a defense to cover a number larger than three. Plus Tampa's defense appears to matchup well with what the rams want to do, and that is pass the ball. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Tampa Bay +6.5[/font]
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I'd like to think I'm providing a good handicapping tool for others to use
GOOD LUCK ON YOUR PLAYS!!!
Last week FIVE saw underdogs beat the favorites 8-6, and the 'dogs have a 39-33 lead on the year to date. Home dogs were 1-2 and are now 9-14 on the season. Meanwhile the totals saw the unders and overs split 7-7 and the unders lead 42-31 for the year
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Miami @ Buffalo -6[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]The Dolphins have been ravaged psychologically by the Ricky Williams turmoil and have sadly become something of the laughingstock of the league among casual NFL fans. Wannstedt jokes are plentiful, and the usual "can't see them winning any game on the rest of the schedule" comments that follow winless teams are emerging. Still, a more objective look at the season will show that the Miami defense has nothing to apologize for, but it's offense on the other hand is among the worse in the league. In Buffalo they face an alter ego with a struggling offense and respectable defense. That being said Buffalo will have trouble once again scoring points on this Miami defense, and six is a bit too much. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Miami +6[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]San Francisco @ NY Jets -10[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]SF is banged up on the perimeter with DE Carter and Whiting, OLB Peterson, and CB Rump. That should give Pennington more room for error, and if Moss is playing eh should have the speed even not at 100% to exploit this 49ers secondary. Niners QB Rattay needs to be in a rhythm to get things going. As evident in the way they moved the ball late against the Rams, and LW vs. the Cardinals. If they do that the Jets defense is prone to giving up late TD's which should get SF inside the number late in this one. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]San Francisco +10[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Seattle @ New England -4[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Against a Seattle team with the potential to score a lot of points the injuries at WR the Patriots are dealing may be hard to overcome. It looks like Branch nor Brown will be available to play this week. The Seattle defensive back field has the talent to shut the Patriot passing game down. Making Cory Dillon the vocal point of the NE offense this week, and he is listed as questionable. The weapons are banged up, and Seattle is good enough to come in and steal one. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Seattle +4[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Carolina @ Philadelphia -9[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Davis will be back this week after practicing Wednesday, and he will be important as the Panthers will need a balanced attack to keep the Eagles from putting pressure on the Carolina QB. Philly has 18 sacks in just four games. The panther O-Line is big and physical enough to actually out muscle the under sized but quick Eagle defense. If they can get 30 rushes out of Davis they should wear down the Philadelphia defense. Owens is the big difference in this battle from last year. He demands a lot of attention, and that does free up the Eagle offense to do so many other things. Still 9 is a lot in this league. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Carolina +9[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Cincinnati @ Cleveland -3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Cincinnati's Johnson will need to have a strong game here, and that could happen as the Browns were ran all over last week in Pittsburgh. The Steelers rushed for 170 yards at 3.9 YPC. Palmer has had troubles in the 4th quarter with seven interceptions. The Bengals need this game big time, and I think the Browns will be what they need to get that most important win here. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Cincinnati +3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Green Bay @ Detroit -3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]GB misses the services of OC Flanagan as the rushing games has suffered, and it doesn’t get any easier with Detroit's Rogers and Wilkinson playing so well. Favre needs the running game to help the passing attack as he just looked like a worn out man after Monday's game. Detroit the up coming team, but has injury issues at WR and RB. Hopefully for them Williams and Jones come back this week. If so I must back the Lions. [/font][font=Times
New Roman,Times,serif]Detroit -3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Washington @ Chicago pk[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]I'm going with Washington again. The Bears lone win at GB doesn't look so impressive now, and the Skins have the defense to contain the Bears. The offense of the Skins should look better this week against Chicago who is allowing 5.8 YPP this season. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Washington PK[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Houston @ Tennessee -6.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Get ready for this. Houston has the top rated passing attack in the NFL with 260 yds/game!! Who would've thunk it? The Texans must get the defense to hold opposing teams to fewer big plays. The young CB's have been burnt a few times this year. Also they must focus on Tenn. RB Brown who can have another huge game as the Titans O-Line is doing a good job at getting some running lanes open. The fact about this game however is that Houston is starting to believe they can play with any team in this league. Building off of LW's come from behind OT loss followed by the franchises first two game winning streak they should hang close here. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Houston +6.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]San Diego @ Atlanta -5.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]As much as we love SD who came through for our 5* win LW they just don't bring the same type pf defense that Vick has struggled with. Atlanta who was on the losing end of our 4* Detroit play last week has had trouble with teams that bring in a fifth D-lineman. The 3-4 base defense the Chargers play won't allow that to happen and thus Vick should have a good game both passing and running. The Chargers are off two big wins, but won't be as effective here against this surprising Atlanta defense. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Atlanta -5.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Kansas City -2.5 @ Jacksonville[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Well back the Jags this week. The defense should play much better this week after two straight losses. the three times Priest Holmes has played Jacksonville he has failed to rush for 100 yards. The KC defense will allow Leftwich to have a better game, and also see some better things from RB Taylor. Del Rio blasted his team for LW"s loss, and called it embarrassing. Last season after the Titans sustained an 11-minute drive lead by Eddie George rushing several times costing his team the victory Del Rio blasted them. they bounced back with a game against Baltimore's Lewis who rushed for 2,000 yards and held him for just 68 yards and no TD's. I expect a good bounce back performance here. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Jacksonville +2.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Pittsburgh @ Dallas -3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]The Steelers right now are just doing to many things right to be underdogs here. The Cowboys have been missing blocking assignments, and taking a lot of useless penalties causing the team to go backwards. The aggressive Steeler defense should be able to disrupt the Dallas passing game which is what makes the Cowboy's tick. Pittsburgh is holding teams to 51,6% passing and only 275 yards/game. Meanwhile the Dallas defense is allowing 5.8 YPP, and 4.7 YPC. Too much for Dallas to overcome here. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Pittsburgh +3[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Denver -2 @ Oakland[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Just two weeks after everyone hails Raider QB Collins now there is talk that if he doesn't play better he will be replaced by Tuiasosopo. Indy had some good success last week getting some big plays on CB Walker as the Oakland player is starting to show his age. Denver WR Lelie has the speed to take advantage of that so look for OC Kubiak to get that matchup. The Raiders defense all together looks poor, and Denver has all the weapons need to exploit it. The Broncos defense is first in the NFL in total defense, and combine that with what's said above and we have a Denver road win and cover. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Denver -2[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Minnesota -3.5 @ New Orleans
[/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Both defense are giving up a lot of points this year. NO isn't thought by many has having much of a chance here, and with a poor defense like the Vikings have the home field advantage could be the edge for the saints in this one. Minnesota is allowing 6.4 YPP, and even more on the road while giving up 27 PPG away from home. NO needs to take care of the ball, and I think they will. Expect to see a Saints team like we saw against the rams a few weeks ago. [/font][font=Times New
Roman,Times,serif]New Orleans +3.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Tampa Bay @ St Louis -6.5[/font]
[font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Simply enough for as bad as Tampa has been LW's road win has to be a good one and should build momentum for the Bucs. Meanwhile the Rams comeback was not so much on them as it was Seattle changing defensive schemes late in the game allowing St Louis back in. They kept pressure on Bulger for 3.5 quarters and all of a sudden go to the prevent. the Bucs defense is holding teams to just 49.6% passing which is what Martz wants to do. The rams defense is falling back to their old ways since Lovie Smith left. The are now allowing 6.0 YPP, and 5.2 YPC, and 62.6% passing. Simply put it's just too much to ask such a defense to cover a number larger than three. Plus Tampa's defense appears to matchup well with what the rams want to do, and that is pass the ball. [/font][font=Times New Roman,Times,serif]Tampa Bay +6.5[/font]
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