Friday Service Plays 5/11
Brandon Lang
15 Dime
Mets
Texas
Cleveland
5 Dime
Phillies
Padres - 1 1/2
Golden State
Black Widow
Black Widow Sports
6* Widow Wiseguy NL Money Line of the Month on LA Dodgers -114
(List Wolf)
This is an absolute joke that we are getting a great price on the Dodgers at home today. We will capitalize on this mistake by linesmakers. The Dodgers are 31-11 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. This is going to be a pitchers duel and when we get to the closing innings the Dodgers have a big advantage. Cincinnati is 7-18 against the money line in night games this season. The Reds are just 1-7 in their last 8 games overall. The Reds are 0-4 in Arroyos last 4 starts as an underdog. The Dodgers are 81-38 in their last 119 home games versus a team with a losing record. They earn wins when they know they are favored and dont have letdowns, allowing the Dodgers to make runs at the postseason every year. Take the Dodgers Friday as they add another mark in the win column.
5* Wiseguy Jazz/Warriors Game of the Series on Golden State -6
The Golden State Warriors have proven that they are for real. They should have won Game 2 and with a few extra free throws in the closing minute they would have. Tough break but we guarantee you they will not throw in the towel. In fact, this game wont even be close. The Warriors are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. In the last 21 meetings, the favorite is 12-5-4 ATS. The home team has now won 7 straight games in this series. Utah is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. This 17-0 ATS System stays undefeated today. Lay the points.
4* MAJOR on Toronto -126
(List Burnett)
Tampa Bay is 14-44 against the money line against excellent fielding teams that average less than 0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons. The Devil Rays are just 2-7 in Kazmirs last 9 starts against Toronto. He is a solid pitcher but cant deal with the explosiveness that the Blue Jays offense displays. Tampa Bay is a horrible 9-43 in their last 52 road games. Home field advantage doesnt normally mean much in the MLB, but in todays match-up it will clearly be an advantage. This young Devil Rays team has not learned how to win on the road. A.J. Burnett is 1-0 at home this season with a nice 3.75 ERA. Take the Blue Jays at home.
1* on Atlanta Braves +101
(List Davies and Duke)
The Braves are an underdog against this atrocious Pittsburgh squad? You have to be kidding me. Zach Duke is just 1-3 on the season with a 5.40 ERA in 37 innings. Atlanta is 7-0 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Atlanta is 17-9 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. The Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games against a right-handed starter this season. Take the Braves to win on the road.
Paul Leiner
Seattle/New York
Pick: 5* Yankees
Big Al
3* Golden St Warriors
Marc Lawrence
Arizona w/Webb over Houston
D'Backs Brandon Webb takes the hill in Houston knowing he is 4-1 in his career team starts against the Astros. With Arizona 4-1 in road series openers, and Houston 1-4 in home series openers this season, look for Webb to continue his winning ways here tonight
Mighty ! Quinn
Golden St Warriors
Banker Sports
6.5 Unit: Golden State "First Half Hammer" (playing G.St. at the half)
6 Unit: Golden State "Almost Hammer" (playing G.St. at the game)
Hondo
Hondo endured another double-flusher yesterday, his second in three days, as he swirled down the drain with the Mariners and Angels to trim the earn ings to 490 frisches.
Tonight, suppose Suppan wins out at Flushing's Lame Duck Dump. If that happens Hondo's five-game schneid will be history. Ten units on the Brewers
cremaster
Survivor Pick Record: 12-2-2
Friday pick: Arizona -119 (lost 1 so hopefully a new streak begins)
__________________
Benjamin Lee Eckstein: White Sox and Padres
MEJIA
Projected Scores
NBA GAMES FOR 05/11/2007
Golden State 113 Utah 107
This is Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (917) BAL Orioles and (918) BOS Red Sox. Take "(918) BOS Red Sox". Baltimore is struggling badly because of a rash of injuries to the starting pitching. It has depleted their strong early season bullpen numbers and forced them to throw relievers into the starting role. It's tough enough to pitch in Fenway park, and they are forced to go with lefty Brian Burres. Burres walks too many batters (10 in 17 innings) and that will really hurt in this park against a Boston offense that preaches patience at the plate while looking to draw walks. Red Sox starter Julian Tavarez has been better than that 6.48 ERA. He's given them two straight strong starts against the Twins and Yankees, with a 15-6 K/BB ratio his last 4 starts. Play the Red Sox!
This is Dave Cokin.
My free pick of the day is the game between (927) CLE Indians and (928) OAK Athletics. Take "(927) CLE Indians". Dave's $10 Upset Special was a laugher from start to finish as the Red Sox buried the Blue Jays, 8-0! "The Indians got wiped out in the finale of their series at Anaheim, but I like the Tribe to get back to winning tonight. Sabathia has always excelled on the road, and this year the big lefty is on a huge early season roll. 5-0 with a dynamite 53/9 BB/K ratio is more than outstanding. Joe Blanton has been okay for Oakland as well, but the better pitcher and the better offense make Cleveland the side tonight as moderately priced road favorites."
Marc Lawrence
Bonus Play: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros
Arizona w/Webb over Houston D'Backs' Brandon Webb takes the hill in Houston knowing he is 4-1 in his career team starts against the Astros. With Arizona 4-1 in road series openers, and Houston 1-4 in home series openers this season, look for Webb to continue his winning ways here tonight. Marc Lawrence's NBA Fan Appreciation Play on Friday night's Game Three matchup between the Jazz & Warriors is backed by a dynamite winning angle inside the game that is 21-0 ATS! Get it now - you'll be glad you did
Fade King
Nba:
5* Gs / Utah Under 217
5* Gs - 6
Mlb:
6* Minny -195
6* Cinci +105
4* Pitt - 110
4* Seattle +105
2* Angels -125
2* Baltimore + 150
2* St. Louis + 190
2* Washington + 105
__________________
Karl Garrett
60 DIMER - GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS....10 DIMERS - OAKLAND WITH BLANTON, & ATLANTA WITH DAVIES
60 DIMER - GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
This game comes down to one thing: HOME COURT!
Golden State had multiple chances to win both games at Utah, but the Jazz were able to eek out the wins. After watching Utah struggle on the road in the Houston series, I don't think there is any doubt the Jazz will get blasted tonight.
The Warriors know they can beat this team, and a few bad breaks in Utah aside, things will go Golden State's way in front of their fired-up crowd.
Dallas did not win a game at Golden State in 3 tries, and were blasted by double-digits in 2 of the 3 games. Also keep in mind with Utah's fluke cover on Wednesday, the favorite in this series is now 12-5-4 against the spread the last 21 meetings.
This one is ALL Golden State!
10 DIMER - OAKLAND A'S WITH BLANTON
Great value tonight with a decent Oakland pitcher who is going up against a pitcher who is undefeated at 5-0, but has been getting hit hard his last few times to the bump.
CC Sabathia has allowed 11 runs over his last 19 innings of work, and his team has been held to just 2 runs over their last 18 innings of play, as the Tribe bring a 2-game losing streak into play tonight.
Sabathia is due for a loss, and the Indians look like they may be a little tired on this current west coast swing.
Take the Athletics plus the money tonight.
10 DIMER - ATLANTA BRAVES WITH DAVIES
The Braves just swept the Padres in Atlanta, and now they put their 9-5 road mark on the line in Pittsburgh against a Pirates team they beat twice in three games last year in the Steel City.
Kyle Davies has yet to win, and while I will admit Zach Duke is probably the better pitcher right now, I simply can't trust the Pirates bats to deliver in the clutch.
Pittsburgh did get 6 yesterday in their win at Chicago, but the Pirates are only 5-8 at home this year.
Atlanta is surely the better team, and while Davies hasn't looked great, the Atlanta pen has been a gem this year, so I am not worried if Davies gets knocked around a little.
Trust the Braves bats to deliver more than I trust the Pirates bats!
Go with Atlanta.
Chris Jordan
500? WHITE SOX RUN LINE
LIST Garland and Perez
200? CUBS
LIST Hill and Hamels
100? JAZZ
Ben Burns
Friday Night Feast
Golden State/Utah Under the Total
National League Game of the Week
Phillies
Personal Favorite
Toronto BlueJays
Best Bet
Tampa Bay/Toronto Under the Total
$1000 lets try again !!
Won yesterday MAKING US 24-15 and once again near the goal of $1000 . WE HAVE $907 IN THE BANK AND HOPEFULLY TODAY THE DAY !! We will go with another total as we will take the MARLINS GAME OVER 8.5 they have seen over 20 times last 26 times they faced each other . SO WE WILL RISK 110 TO WIN 100 .
================================================== ==============
WE WILL START TO GET THE NEXT $1000 SATURDAY --- ROCKDAMANSPORTS
HORSE GUY & Biglou
Friday Horse Racing Spot Picks
SPOT PLAYS
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Arlington Park (1st) First of June, 3-1
(2nd) Ashima, 6-1
Belmont Park (2nd) Small Lies, 4-1
(5th) Tee With the Tiger, 3-1
Calder Race Course (5th) Musical Prelude, 8-1
(7th) Flint Mountain, 3-1
Charles Town (6th) Formally Jay, 7-2
(8th) Swift Approval, 10-1
Churchill Downs (8th) Robyn's Dream, 9-2
(9th) Maxine's Hymn, 4-1
Emerald Downs (2nd) Kato's Dancer, 7-2
(7th) My Friend Dave, 10-1
Evangeline Downs (5th) Shockado, 7-2
(8th) Waiting on Hunter, 8-1
Finger Lakes (4th) Dashing Deputy, 4-1
(5th) Pete Shure, 8-1
Golden Gate Fields (1st) Mim's Man, 7-2
(6th) Sweet Wine, 7-2
Hollywood Park (2nd) Lucky Rylie, 5-1
(5th) Kalookan Dancer, 6-1
Indiana Downs (2nd) Lusk, 6-1
(4th) Nell's Enjoyment, 6-1
Lone Star Park (3rd) Elusive Outlaw, 5-1
(7th) Fire Wheel, 7-2
Louisiana Downs (7th) Ms Royal Belek, 3-1
(10th) Sir John Q, 7-2
Mountaineer (1st) Harking, 9-2
(4th) Batai Warrior, 10-1
Penn National (3rd) Whispering Storm, 3-1
(7th) Kristal Dragon, 4-1
Pimlico (6th) Purple S Shamrock, 9-2
(10th) Bubble Trouble, 8-1
Prairie Meadows (4th) Kingaroo, 10-1
(5th) Caylord, 4-1
River Downs (2nd) Julie's Rib, 4-1
(8th) Good Humor Man, 3-1
Thistledown (3rd) Windcauseruckus, 5-1
(7th) Time Counter, 6-1
Woodbine (1st) Bright Engagement, 7-2
(3rd) Sure Star, 4-1
TRACKMASTER RACE OF THE DAY
Today's Free Race: Hollywood Park for Friday May 11, 2007
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts at Hollywood Park
Hollywood Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:29pm
Choice Plays:
#2 AMERICAN INFLUENCE (ML=7/2)
#12 JOHNNY THE WATCH (ML=5/1)
AMERICAN INFLUENCE - Sneaky speed on this one. He'll probably be stalking thoroughbreds on the back side, then crush them down the stretch. This gelding has been working well, and the recent bullet work says he's primed for a big race today. He has the uppermost earnings per race. Take a good look at this animal. JOHNNY THE WATCH - I think the shorter distance will help this gelding stay the distance. This gelding is in nice form. Finished second on April 22nd.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HENRY D. (ML=6/1), #8 JORDAN AND JUSTIN (ML=6/1), #5 SILVER AND BLACK (ML=6/1)
HENRY D. - Difficult to play this entrant this time around. Make him show you something in a sprint event before you bet on him in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. Won't be easy for this animal to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list. JORDAN AND JUSTIN - Hard to bet on any mount to turn things around if there is no large gain to taking the shot. SILVER AND BLACK - I find it hard to bet on this questionable contender in today's event. Make him show you something in a sprint affair before you play him in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 AMERICAN INFLUENCE is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,12]
__________________
Mike Superstein's Hollywood Park Analysis for Friday, May 11
Race One
BLACK HILLS GOLDIE handled $62,500 claimers one race back, unsuccessfully tried allowance runners, now settles back in for $50,000. And this is an exceptionally weak $50,000 field, to boot. Michael Baze can pretty much place this gal where he wants early, then out finish whoever is in her way. JUNGLE GIRL had no business racing in the Bay Meadows Oaks. She fits better with these and poses the main threat to 'GOLDIE if she takes to the grass. SUMMER JADE broke her maiden sprinting and now tries longer, turf and winners. By the way, if anyone can tell me why 17-time maiden MIA COUNTESS is entered here please let me know.
Race Two
LUCKY RYLIE defeated maiden special weights at Bay Meadows in April and ships south into what seems like a reasonable spot. She ought to get a sweet trip racing just behind Wicket Wager. HERE COMES RAY RAY tries claimers for the first time in her career. She broke her maiden over Cushion Track in December and is reunited with Corey Nakatani tonight. WICKET WAGER is the likely pacesetter, which makes her an automatic threat.
Race Three
SLIDE HOME aired over a sloppy track at Santa Anita and suspiciously returns at the same price. Obviously, the for-sale sign is out and it will be interesting to see if anyone takes the bait. As for betting purposes, he looks like a short-priced winner. MYSTERIOUS CAT has won three of his last four, all at this level. However, he likes to come from out of it and may not find enough pace here. HEMET THOUGHT has gone more than two years without a victory but should be competitive.
Race Four
AMERICAN INFLUENCE drew the 14 hole last time out as the favorite, predictably got caught seven wide on the turn, and flattened out down the lane. Drawn toward the inside tonight, he should be able to save some ground and exit the maiden ranks. YOUR HOST ran well in productive race in his debut and improvement is likely, but it's difficult to ignore the fact that his trainer hasn't won a race in 66 starts this year. JOHNNY THE WATCH changed barns and took a drastic drop, but really didn't improve. He should get his usual small share.
Race Five
TIME TOSAY GOODBYE showed versatility in her two 2006 outings. First out, she was pinched at the start then came running in the stretch to just miss. In her second try, over the Cushion, she went wire-to-wire, registering some swift fractions along the way. Making her first start on the grass in a race loaded with zip, her ability to rate is key. MEETMEINTHEWOODS is the likely favorite, but may be a tad overrated. She started her career like gangbusters with a romping win in 1:08 and change, but has never really run back to that effort. KIN TO A KITTY faded as the chalk and catches even more speed here.
Race Six
COMPLEXITY flashed speed for a half-mile in the Sunshine Millions Dash before understandably giving way late. Back in with maidens, it would take an extraordinary effort from a first time starter to keep COMPLEXITY from going all the way. YODELAY YOU'RE WHO could be that first time starter. Sporting a swift work tab, a speed pedigree and a high-percentage barn, the Swiss Yodeler newcomer is strictly the one to fear most. EARNEDNEVERGIVEN has shown morning ability, but will probably need a race, or two.
Race Seven
STYLISH WILDCAT will be the singleton on most Pick Six tickets. The Forest Wildcat offspring is fresh from a pair of victories at Bay Meadows and is perfect in two tries over the Hollywood Park turf. All she has to do is stay within hailing range of UDRIGA early. UDRIGA is razor sharp right now and extremely fast. However, she has yet to defeat the caliber of a STYLISH WILDCAT. NO LULLABY raced evenly in the Las Cienegas Handicap and should hold off the others.
Race Eight
RECKONING DAY was runner-up at this distance in her only start and therefore is the most likely to improve. Richard Migliore substitutes for the suspended Joe Talamo. TALE OF THE SCALE is halved in price after a terrible effort around two turns. She'll draw her share of support, but the feeling here is that she's going the wrong way. INSPIRATION WITHIN arrives from the Bay Area off a fair second in a shorter contest. Her trainer, Ed Moger, is enjoying a fine year.
Best Bet-STYLISH WILDCAT (7)
__________________
NBA:Utah at Golden State 9:00 pm EDT Fri May 11, 2007
Utah at Golden State
Game Info: 9:00 pm EDT Fri May 11, 2007
OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) -- Baron Davis and the Golden State Warriors have learned there's a big downside to having pulled off perhaps the biggest upset in NBA playoff history in the first round.
There are still three rounds to go -- and they all require even more energy and mental toughness than the Warriors have mustered so far against the Utah Jazz.
"The emotions are crazy after you do something big like that," Davis acknowledged Thursday after the Warriors returned home from their first back-to-back losses since March in their opening games against the Jazz, who visit Oakland for Game 3 on Friday night.
"You don't try to have a letdown, but we're a young team that gets a lot out of the emotion we felt in the first round," Davis said. "Now we're trying to go back to work, and we're getting it. ... We need some energy and momentum, and hopefully coming home will bring that."
The Warriors are back to reality after their improbable triumph over the Dallas Mavericks, and reality wasn't pleasant for much of their up-and-down season.
Golden State's flaws -- questionable depth, poor team-wide shot selection, awful low-post defense and spotty late-game execution -- were exposed by the Jazz, who coolly overcame their own problems after blowing double-digit fourth-quarter leads in both games.
The biggest factor in the next two games could be the change in buildings. The Warriors are out of the Utah arena where fans shouted all manner of profane, foul invective at Golden State's Stephen Jackson -- and even pulled on Davis' jersey after he hit a 3-pointer near the sideline late in the Warriors' overtime loss in Game 2, according to the guard.
"We're confident now because we're back in our building, and we're a totally different team there," said Al Harrington, who scored 38 points in the Warriors' first two games in Utah after managing just 27 in six games against Dallas. "That's what we're hanging our hat on. We get confident when our fans are behind us, and it just flows from that."
The hoops-crazy Bay Area is ready for the Warriors' return, from the banners and signs decorating downtown Oakland to the basketball buzz that's in the air. Game 3 is sold out with another bunch of the same raucous fans that intimidated the Mavericks and sometimes seemed to will home the Warriors' big shots.
And shortly before Golden State began practice at its downtown training complex Thursday, most of the club's front-office staff -- dozens of people from executives to secretaries -- entered the gym wearing bright-yellow "We Believe" T-shirts, clapping and chanting "Let's go, Warriors!"
Davis exchanged high-fives with nearly everybody before the Warriors went to work.
The Warriors have thrived on emotion for two months -- ever since Davis returned from injury and led Golden State's fantastic finish to the regular season. But coach Don Nelson knows emotion sometimes doesn't help late in games, when precision and execution would be more useful.
"We played two great games there," Nelson said. "We could have won both of them. Yes, we are in trouble. Our hands are full right now. We're playing a very good team that's playing as well as they have all year."
The Warriors led by five points in the final minute of Game 2, but Mickael Pietrus missed two free throws with 16 seconds to play. Davis, who made a turnover earlier, bricked another free throw with 6.2 seconds left, allowing Deron Williams to tie it with a short jumper before Utah's overtime romp.
By keeping their cool when the Warriors lost it, the Jazz are in position Friday to all but clinch their first trip to the Western Conference finals since 1998.
"We know the series is not even close to being over," Williams said after the Jazz practiced in Utah on Thursday. "We've got some tough games in Oakland, and hopefully we can still win. It would do a lot for our confidence, winning one on the road."
The Jazz are a nightmare matchup for the Warriors, both inside and out. Utah has two proven low-post scorers (Carlos Boozer and Mehmet Okur) versatile enough to play on the perimeter, while Williams is gaining national attention for his strong play against Davis.
Nelson called Williams "a young Baron Davis" on Thursday, with "the same kind of ability and drive and competitiveness. I just think he's the best young point guard in the league. There's nothing we can really do about him."
Though the Jazz have a commanding series lead, they realize Game 2 hinged on the Warriors' mistakes. Derek Fisher's emotional return to the court also propelled Utah, but that boost won't help in Game 3 unless the Jazz keep doing what they do better than Golden State.
"We're going to continue to try to pound the boards," Boozer said. "We know we have a size advantage, and we're going to try to exploit that. ... We have to play much better to match their intensity."
AP Sports Writer Doug Alden in Salt Lake City contributed to this report.
Mike Cannon
20* Golden State
10* Minnesota Twins - 1 1/2
5* Toronto
5* Florida Marlins
5* Oakland A's
Paul Leiner
Friday, May 11, 2007
Sport: Pro Baseball Pick
Game: Seattle/New York
Prediction: 5 Star Yankees -115
======================================== ================
Hollywood Sportz
Utah / Golden State UNDER 217.5
John Martin
Bonus Play: Florida Marlins vs Washington Nationals
1 Unit on Florida Marlins -111 (Listing Olsen) The Florida Marlins will make a joke out of this terrible Nationals squad today. Scott Olsen is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Olsen is 8-2 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 3-16 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Washington is just 4-13 in their last 17 home games. The Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings with Washington. The Nationals are 1-5 in Shawn Hill's last 6 starts as a home underdog. Take the Marlins on the road Friday
Brandon Lang
15 Dime
Mets
Texas
Cleveland
5 Dime
Phillies
Padres - 1 1/2
Golden State
Black Widow
Black Widow Sports
6* Widow Wiseguy NL Money Line of the Month on LA Dodgers -114
(List Wolf)
This is an absolute joke that we are getting a great price on the Dodgers at home today. We will capitalize on this mistake by linesmakers. The Dodgers are 31-11 against the money line vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities over the last 2 seasons. This is going to be a pitchers duel and when we get to the closing innings the Dodgers have a big advantage. Cincinnati is 7-18 against the money line in night games this season. The Reds are just 1-7 in their last 8 games overall. The Reds are 0-4 in Arroyos last 4 starts as an underdog. The Dodgers are 81-38 in their last 119 home games versus a team with a losing record. They earn wins when they know they are favored and dont have letdowns, allowing the Dodgers to make runs at the postseason every year. Take the Dodgers Friday as they add another mark in the win column.
5* Wiseguy Jazz/Warriors Game of the Series on Golden State -6
The Golden State Warriors have proven that they are for real. They should have won Game 2 and with a few extra free throws in the closing minute they would have. Tough break but we guarantee you they will not throw in the towel. In fact, this game wont even be close. The Warriors are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. In the last 21 meetings, the favorite is 12-5-4 ATS. The home team has now won 7 straight games in this series. Utah is 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Warriors are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5 points. This 17-0 ATS System stays undefeated today. Lay the points.
4* MAJOR on Toronto -126
(List Burnett)
Tampa Bay is 14-44 against the money line against excellent fielding teams that average less than 0.5 errors/game over the last 2 seasons. The Devil Rays are just 2-7 in Kazmirs last 9 starts against Toronto. He is a solid pitcher but cant deal with the explosiveness that the Blue Jays offense displays. Tampa Bay is a horrible 9-43 in their last 52 road games. Home field advantage doesnt normally mean much in the MLB, but in todays match-up it will clearly be an advantage. This young Devil Rays team has not learned how to win on the road. A.J. Burnett is 1-0 at home this season with a nice 3.75 ERA. Take the Blue Jays at home.
1* on Atlanta Braves +101
(List Davies and Duke)
The Braves are an underdog against this atrocious Pittsburgh squad? You have to be kidding me. Zach Duke is just 1-3 on the season with a 5.40 ERA in 37 innings. Atlanta is 7-0 against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season. Atlanta is 17-9 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. The Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games against a right-handed starter this season. Take the Braves to win on the road.
Paul Leiner
Seattle/New York
Pick: 5* Yankees
Big Al
3* Golden St Warriors
Marc Lawrence
Arizona w/Webb over Houston
D'Backs Brandon Webb takes the hill in Houston knowing he is 4-1 in his career team starts against the Astros. With Arizona 4-1 in road series openers, and Houston 1-4 in home series openers this season, look for Webb to continue his winning ways here tonight
Mighty ! Quinn
Golden St Warriors
Banker Sports
6.5 Unit: Golden State "First Half Hammer" (playing G.St. at the half)
6 Unit: Golden State "Almost Hammer" (playing G.St. at the game)
Hondo
Hondo endured another double-flusher yesterday, his second in three days, as he swirled down the drain with the Mariners and Angels to trim the earn ings to 490 frisches.
Tonight, suppose Suppan wins out at Flushing's Lame Duck Dump. If that happens Hondo's five-game schneid will be history. Ten units on the Brewers
cremaster
Survivor Pick Record: 12-2-2
Friday pick: Arizona -119 (lost 1 so hopefully a new streak begins)
__________________
Benjamin Lee Eckstein: White Sox and Padres
MEJIA
Projected Scores
NBA GAMES FOR 05/11/2007
Golden State 113 Utah 107
This is Jim Feist.
My free pick of the day is the game between (917) BAL Orioles and (918) BOS Red Sox. Take "(918) BOS Red Sox". Baltimore is struggling badly because of a rash of injuries to the starting pitching. It has depleted their strong early season bullpen numbers and forced them to throw relievers into the starting role. It's tough enough to pitch in Fenway park, and they are forced to go with lefty Brian Burres. Burres walks too many batters (10 in 17 innings) and that will really hurt in this park against a Boston offense that preaches patience at the plate while looking to draw walks. Red Sox starter Julian Tavarez has been better than that 6.48 ERA. He's given them two straight strong starts against the Twins and Yankees, with a 15-6 K/BB ratio his last 4 starts. Play the Red Sox!
This is Dave Cokin.
My free pick of the day is the game between (927) CLE Indians and (928) OAK Athletics. Take "(927) CLE Indians". Dave's $10 Upset Special was a laugher from start to finish as the Red Sox buried the Blue Jays, 8-0! "The Indians got wiped out in the finale of their series at Anaheim, but I like the Tribe to get back to winning tonight. Sabathia has always excelled on the road, and this year the big lefty is on a huge early season roll. 5-0 with a dynamite 53/9 BB/K ratio is more than outstanding. Joe Blanton has been okay for Oakland as well, but the better pitcher and the better offense make Cleveland the side tonight as moderately priced road favorites."
Marc Lawrence
Bonus Play: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Houston Astros
Arizona w/Webb over Houston D'Backs' Brandon Webb takes the hill in Houston knowing he is 4-1 in his career team starts against the Astros. With Arizona 4-1 in road series openers, and Houston 1-4 in home series openers this season, look for Webb to continue his winning ways here tonight. Marc Lawrence's NBA Fan Appreciation Play on Friday night's Game Three matchup between the Jazz & Warriors is backed by a dynamite winning angle inside the game that is 21-0 ATS! Get it now - you'll be glad you did
Fade King
Nba:
5* Gs / Utah Under 217
5* Gs - 6
Mlb:
6* Minny -195
6* Cinci +105
4* Pitt - 110
4* Seattle +105
2* Angels -125
2* Baltimore + 150
2* St. Louis + 190
2* Washington + 105
__________________
Karl Garrett
60 DIMER - GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS....10 DIMERS - OAKLAND WITH BLANTON, & ATLANTA WITH DAVIES
60 DIMER - GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS
This game comes down to one thing: HOME COURT!
Golden State had multiple chances to win both games at Utah, but the Jazz were able to eek out the wins. After watching Utah struggle on the road in the Houston series, I don't think there is any doubt the Jazz will get blasted tonight.
The Warriors know they can beat this team, and a few bad breaks in Utah aside, things will go Golden State's way in front of their fired-up crowd.
Dallas did not win a game at Golden State in 3 tries, and were blasted by double-digits in 2 of the 3 games. Also keep in mind with Utah's fluke cover on Wednesday, the favorite in this series is now 12-5-4 against the spread the last 21 meetings.
This one is ALL Golden State!
10 DIMER - OAKLAND A'S WITH BLANTON
Great value tonight with a decent Oakland pitcher who is going up against a pitcher who is undefeated at 5-0, but has been getting hit hard his last few times to the bump.
CC Sabathia has allowed 11 runs over his last 19 innings of work, and his team has been held to just 2 runs over their last 18 innings of play, as the Tribe bring a 2-game losing streak into play tonight.
Sabathia is due for a loss, and the Indians look like they may be a little tired on this current west coast swing.
Take the Athletics plus the money tonight.
10 DIMER - ATLANTA BRAVES WITH DAVIES
The Braves just swept the Padres in Atlanta, and now they put their 9-5 road mark on the line in Pittsburgh against a Pirates team they beat twice in three games last year in the Steel City.
Kyle Davies has yet to win, and while I will admit Zach Duke is probably the better pitcher right now, I simply can't trust the Pirates bats to deliver in the clutch.
Pittsburgh did get 6 yesterday in their win at Chicago, but the Pirates are only 5-8 at home this year.
Atlanta is surely the better team, and while Davies hasn't looked great, the Atlanta pen has been a gem this year, so I am not worried if Davies gets knocked around a little.
Trust the Braves bats to deliver more than I trust the Pirates bats!
Go with Atlanta.
Chris Jordan
500? WHITE SOX RUN LINE
LIST Garland and Perez
200? CUBS
LIST Hill and Hamels
100? JAZZ
Ben Burns
Friday Night Feast
Golden State/Utah Under the Total
National League Game of the Week
Phillies
Personal Favorite
Toronto BlueJays
Best Bet
Tampa Bay/Toronto Under the Total
$1000 lets try again !!
Won yesterday MAKING US 24-15 and once again near the goal of $1000 . WE HAVE $907 IN THE BANK AND HOPEFULLY TODAY THE DAY !! We will go with another total as we will take the MARLINS GAME OVER 8.5 they have seen over 20 times last 26 times they faced each other . SO WE WILL RISK 110 TO WIN 100 .
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WE WILL START TO GET THE NEXT $1000 SATURDAY --- ROCKDAMANSPORTS
HORSE GUY & Biglou
Friday Horse Racing Spot Picks
SPOT PLAYS
For Friday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE
Arlington Park (1st) First of June, 3-1
(2nd) Ashima, 6-1
Belmont Park (2nd) Small Lies, 4-1
(5th) Tee With the Tiger, 3-1
Calder Race Course (5th) Musical Prelude, 8-1
(7th) Flint Mountain, 3-1
Charles Town (6th) Formally Jay, 7-2
(8th) Swift Approval, 10-1
Churchill Downs (8th) Robyn's Dream, 9-2
(9th) Maxine's Hymn, 4-1
Emerald Downs (2nd) Kato's Dancer, 7-2
(7th) My Friend Dave, 10-1
Evangeline Downs (5th) Shockado, 7-2
(8th) Waiting on Hunter, 8-1
Finger Lakes (4th) Dashing Deputy, 4-1
(5th) Pete Shure, 8-1
Golden Gate Fields (1st) Mim's Man, 7-2
(6th) Sweet Wine, 7-2
Hollywood Park (2nd) Lucky Rylie, 5-1
(5th) Kalookan Dancer, 6-1
Indiana Downs (2nd) Lusk, 6-1
(4th) Nell's Enjoyment, 6-1
Lone Star Park (3rd) Elusive Outlaw, 5-1
(7th) Fire Wheel, 7-2
Louisiana Downs (7th) Ms Royal Belek, 3-1
(10th) Sir John Q, 7-2
Mountaineer (1st) Harking, 9-2
(4th) Batai Warrior, 10-1
Penn National (3rd) Whispering Storm, 3-1
(7th) Kristal Dragon, 4-1
Pimlico (6th) Purple S Shamrock, 9-2
(10th) Bubble Trouble, 8-1
Prairie Meadows (4th) Kingaroo, 10-1
(5th) Caylord, 4-1
River Downs (2nd) Julie's Rib, 4-1
(8th) Good Humor Man, 3-1
Thistledown (3rd) Windcauseruckus, 5-1
(7th) Time Counter, 6-1
Woodbine (1st) Bright Engagement, 7-2
(3rd) Sure Star, 4-1
TRACKMASTER RACE OF THE DAY
Today's Free Race: Hollywood Park for Friday May 11, 2007
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts at Hollywood Park
Hollywood Park - Race #4 - Post: 8:29pm
Choice Plays:
#2 AMERICAN INFLUENCE (ML=7/2)
#12 JOHNNY THE WATCH (ML=5/1)
AMERICAN INFLUENCE - Sneaky speed on this one. He'll probably be stalking thoroughbreds on the back side, then crush them down the stretch. This gelding has been working well, and the recent bullet work says he's primed for a big race today. He has the uppermost earnings per race. Take a good look at this animal. JOHNNY THE WATCH - I think the shorter distance will help this gelding stay the distance. This gelding is in nice form. Finished second on April 22nd.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 HENRY D. (ML=6/1), #8 JORDAN AND JUSTIN (ML=6/1), #5 SILVER AND BLACK (ML=6/1)
HENRY D. - Difficult to play this entrant this time around. Make him show you something in a sprint event before you bet on him in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. Won't be easy for this animal to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close to today's class rating, so put him on the possibly overvalued equines list. JORDAN AND JUSTIN - Hard to bet on any mount to turn things around if there is no large gain to taking the shot. SILVER AND BLACK - I find it hard to bet on this questionable contender in today's event. Make him show you something in a sprint affair before you play him in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 AMERICAN INFLUENCE is going to be the play if we are getting 7/5 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,12]
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Mike Superstein's Hollywood Park Analysis for Friday, May 11
Race One
BLACK HILLS GOLDIE handled $62,500 claimers one race back, unsuccessfully tried allowance runners, now settles back in for $50,000. And this is an exceptionally weak $50,000 field, to boot. Michael Baze can pretty much place this gal where he wants early, then out finish whoever is in her way. JUNGLE GIRL had no business racing in the Bay Meadows Oaks. She fits better with these and poses the main threat to 'GOLDIE if she takes to the grass. SUMMER JADE broke her maiden sprinting and now tries longer, turf and winners. By the way, if anyone can tell me why 17-time maiden MIA COUNTESS is entered here please let me know.
Race Two
LUCKY RYLIE defeated maiden special weights at Bay Meadows in April and ships south into what seems like a reasonable spot. She ought to get a sweet trip racing just behind Wicket Wager. HERE COMES RAY RAY tries claimers for the first time in her career. She broke her maiden over Cushion Track in December and is reunited with Corey Nakatani tonight. WICKET WAGER is the likely pacesetter, which makes her an automatic threat.
Race Three
SLIDE HOME aired over a sloppy track at Santa Anita and suspiciously returns at the same price. Obviously, the for-sale sign is out and it will be interesting to see if anyone takes the bait. As for betting purposes, he looks like a short-priced winner. MYSTERIOUS CAT has won three of his last four, all at this level. However, he likes to come from out of it and may not find enough pace here. HEMET THOUGHT has gone more than two years without a victory but should be competitive.
Race Four
AMERICAN INFLUENCE drew the 14 hole last time out as the favorite, predictably got caught seven wide on the turn, and flattened out down the lane. Drawn toward the inside tonight, he should be able to save some ground and exit the maiden ranks. YOUR HOST ran well in productive race in his debut and improvement is likely, but it's difficult to ignore the fact that his trainer hasn't won a race in 66 starts this year. JOHNNY THE WATCH changed barns and took a drastic drop, but really didn't improve. He should get his usual small share.
Race Five
TIME TOSAY GOODBYE showed versatility in her two 2006 outings. First out, she was pinched at the start then came running in the stretch to just miss. In her second try, over the Cushion, she went wire-to-wire, registering some swift fractions along the way. Making her first start on the grass in a race loaded with zip, her ability to rate is key. MEETMEINTHEWOODS is the likely favorite, but may be a tad overrated. She started her career like gangbusters with a romping win in 1:08 and change, but has never really run back to that effort. KIN TO A KITTY faded as the chalk and catches even more speed here.
Race Six
COMPLEXITY flashed speed for a half-mile in the Sunshine Millions Dash before understandably giving way late. Back in with maidens, it would take an extraordinary effort from a first time starter to keep COMPLEXITY from going all the way. YODELAY YOU'RE WHO could be that first time starter. Sporting a swift work tab, a speed pedigree and a high-percentage barn, the Swiss Yodeler newcomer is strictly the one to fear most. EARNEDNEVERGIVEN has shown morning ability, but will probably need a race, or two.
Race Seven
STYLISH WILDCAT will be the singleton on most Pick Six tickets. The Forest Wildcat offspring is fresh from a pair of victories at Bay Meadows and is perfect in two tries over the Hollywood Park turf. All she has to do is stay within hailing range of UDRIGA early. UDRIGA is razor sharp right now and extremely fast. However, she has yet to defeat the caliber of a STYLISH WILDCAT. NO LULLABY raced evenly in the Las Cienegas Handicap and should hold off the others.
Race Eight
RECKONING DAY was runner-up at this distance in her only start and therefore is the most likely to improve. Richard Migliore substitutes for the suspended Joe Talamo. TALE OF THE SCALE is halved in price after a terrible effort around two turns. She'll draw her share of support, but the feeling here is that she's going the wrong way. INSPIRATION WITHIN arrives from the Bay Area off a fair second in a shorter contest. Her trainer, Ed Moger, is enjoying a fine year.
Best Bet-STYLISH WILDCAT (7)
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NBA:Utah at Golden State 9:00 pm EDT Fri May 11, 2007
Utah at Golden State
Game Info: 9:00 pm EDT Fri May 11, 2007
OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) -- Baron Davis and the Golden State Warriors have learned there's a big downside to having pulled off perhaps the biggest upset in NBA playoff history in the first round.
There are still three rounds to go -- and they all require even more energy and mental toughness than the Warriors have mustered so far against the Utah Jazz.
"The emotions are crazy after you do something big like that," Davis acknowledged Thursday after the Warriors returned home from their first back-to-back losses since March in their opening games against the Jazz, who visit Oakland for Game 3 on Friday night.
"You don't try to have a letdown, but we're a young team that gets a lot out of the emotion we felt in the first round," Davis said. "Now we're trying to go back to work, and we're getting it. ... We need some energy and momentum, and hopefully coming home will bring that."
The Warriors are back to reality after their improbable triumph over the Dallas Mavericks, and reality wasn't pleasant for much of their up-and-down season.
Golden State's flaws -- questionable depth, poor team-wide shot selection, awful low-post defense and spotty late-game execution -- were exposed by the Jazz, who coolly overcame their own problems after blowing double-digit fourth-quarter leads in both games.
The biggest factor in the next two games could be the change in buildings. The Warriors are out of the Utah arena where fans shouted all manner of profane, foul invective at Golden State's Stephen Jackson -- and even pulled on Davis' jersey after he hit a 3-pointer near the sideline late in the Warriors' overtime loss in Game 2, according to the guard.
"We're confident now because we're back in our building, and we're a totally different team there," said Al Harrington, who scored 38 points in the Warriors' first two games in Utah after managing just 27 in six games against Dallas. "That's what we're hanging our hat on. We get confident when our fans are behind us, and it just flows from that."
The hoops-crazy Bay Area is ready for the Warriors' return, from the banners and signs decorating downtown Oakland to the basketball buzz that's in the air. Game 3 is sold out with another bunch of the same raucous fans that intimidated the Mavericks and sometimes seemed to will home the Warriors' big shots.
And shortly before Golden State began practice at its downtown training complex Thursday, most of the club's front-office staff -- dozens of people from executives to secretaries -- entered the gym wearing bright-yellow "We Believe" T-shirts, clapping and chanting "Let's go, Warriors!"
Davis exchanged high-fives with nearly everybody before the Warriors went to work.
The Warriors have thrived on emotion for two months -- ever since Davis returned from injury and led Golden State's fantastic finish to the regular season. But coach Don Nelson knows emotion sometimes doesn't help late in games, when precision and execution would be more useful.
"We played two great games there," Nelson said. "We could have won both of them. Yes, we are in trouble. Our hands are full right now. We're playing a very good team that's playing as well as they have all year."
The Warriors led by five points in the final minute of Game 2, but Mickael Pietrus missed two free throws with 16 seconds to play. Davis, who made a turnover earlier, bricked another free throw with 6.2 seconds left, allowing Deron Williams to tie it with a short jumper before Utah's overtime romp.
By keeping their cool when the Warriors lost it, the Jazz are in position Friday to all but clinch their first trip to the Western Conference finals since 1998.
"We know the series is not even close to being over," Williams said after the Jazz practiced in Utah on Thursday. "We've got some tough games in Oakland, and hopefully we can still win. It would do a lot for our confidence, winning one on the road."
The Jazz are a nightmare matchup for the Warriors, both inside and out. Utah has two proven low-post scorers (Carlos Boozer and Mehmet Okur) versatile enough to play on the perimeter, while Williams is gaining national attention for his strong play against Davis.
Nelson called Williams "a young Baron Davis" on Thursday, with "the same kind of ability and drive and competitiveness. I just think he's the best young point guard in the league. There's nothing we can really do about him."
Though the Jazz have a commanding series lead, they realize Game 2 hinged on the Warriors' mistakes. Derek Fisher's emotional return to the court also propelled Utah, but that boost won't help in Game 3 unless the Jazz keep doing what they do better than Golden State.
"We're going to continue to try to pound the boards," Boozer said. "We know we have a size advantage, and we're going to try to exploit that. ... We have to play much better to match their intensity."
AP Sports Writer Doug Alden in Salt Lake City contributed to this report.
Mike Cannon
20* Golden State
10* Minnesota Twins - 1 1/2
5* Toronto
5* Florida Marlins
5* Oakland A's
Paul Leiner
Friday, May 11, 2007
Sport: Pro Baseball Pick
Game: Seattle/New York
Prediction: 5 Star Yankees -115
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Hollywood Sportz
Utah / Golden State UNDER 217.5
John Martin
Bonus Play: Florida Marlins vs Washington Nationals
1 Unit on Florida Marlins -111 (Listing Olsen) The Florida Marlins will make a joke out of this terrible Nationals squad today. Scott Olsen is 7-1 against the money line in road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. Olsen is 8-2 against the money line in road games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons. WASHINGTON is 3-16 against the money line after 7 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. Washington is just 4-13 in their last 17 home games. The Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings with Washington. The Nationals are 1-5 in Shawn Hill's last 6 starts as a home underdog. Take the Marlins on the road Friday
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