Friday 9/9/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, September 9, 2016

Your Bonus Play for Friday, September 9th, 2016 is in the baseball contest between the Colorado Rockies and the Padres in San Diego. Petco Park is huge, great for pitchers, tough on offenses. Colorado hits well at home in Coors Field but not as well away from home. They have a good arm going in Tyler Chatwood (3.94 ERA) with a 1.82 ERA on the road. The Under is 15-7-1 in Chatwood's last 23 starts. San Diego has a weak offense and the Under is 5-1 in the Padres last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings, including 5-2 under the total at San Diego.

Play Colorado/San Diego Under the total.
 
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Dave Cokin

Bonus Play Friday

My Thursday card consisted of only one play. I stayed out of the NFL opener between the Panthers and Broncos, opting instead to side with the Padres. The Friars blew up Jeff Hoffman in the third inning following a Rockies error and romped to a lopsided 14-1 victory.

That Padres play was also the daily comp, and I’ll try and coax home a similar result this evening with this selection. If you want info on how to receive all my plays directly from me along with what amounts to a concierge service.

ROYALS (Ventura) at WHITE SOX (Rodon) 8:10 PM

Take: WHITE SOX -107

I’m staying on Carlos Rodon, who is a little under the radar as the #3 starter on a non-contender. But Rodon is pitching more like a #1 right now, as his improved overall command is making that filthy slider an almost unhittable offering.

Yordano Ventura had been pitching well, and had seemingly found his form after struggling for much of the season. But Ventura has gone backwards in his last couple of appearances. The big red flag is the sudden resurfacing of poor control, as Ventura has walked eight in his last two outing, while registering only three K’s. That’s a strong sell signal in my estimation.

So one elevator up, one down and while they are not out of it, the Royals are now sixth in the wild card chase, so the reality is they’re on the verge of falling out of this chase. I mulled over playing this game just F5 on the starting pitching comparison. But the fact remains the White Sox bullpen at home has actually been rock solid, and I’d rather therefore go ahead and get what will be a better price with the full game play on the Chisox.
 
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Red Dog Sports

Louisville vs Syracuse

Bonus Play Under 69

Go with the under. Louisville did post 70 at home last week but all it takes is for Syracuse to struggle to score and end up with 63 to 67 points.
 
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Matt Josephs

Mets vs Braves

Bonus Play Atlanta Braves

Julio Teheran loves facing the Mets. The righty saw them twice in the span of six days back in June allowing just six hits in 17 innings of work. He is 6-3 with a 2.01 ERA and a WHIP of 1.000 in 12 starts against the Mets. New York is hitting just .239 against right-handed starters and .235 in NL East games. I think their lineup is highly mediocre. Robert Gsellman makes his first start on the road for the Mets. He's allowed five runs and 13 hits in two home outings beating Washington while losing to Philly. Atlanta is in good form offensively hitting .288 in their last seven games while averaging 5.7 runs per game. They are hitting a respectable .252 at home this season. The Braves have nearly split this series going 6-7. I think Atlanta is a good bet on Friday.
 
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Freddy Wills

Maryland vs Florida International

1* Bonus Play Florida International +11

I have this game 6, but given the fact that Maryland blew out Howard 52-13, and Indiana, a Big 10 team covered at Florida International easily (on the scoreboard) we have some line value.

First of all I bet on FIU, and it was one of my 2 losses on the 8-2-1 ATS week 1 in college football. We were somewhat unlucky when you consider their 3rd year QB threw thee interceptions and two of them went back for TD’s. This was a 13-12 game in the 4th quarter before Indiana scored 22 straight points. I have Maryland below Indiana as they only return 12 starters compared to Indiana who had 16 guys coming back. Maryland also lost at home to Indiana 28-47 last year.

Maryland has a lot of high hopes as they typically do year in and year out, but I see this as a tough spot going down to Miami to play on a Friday night. Yes, they beat Howard 52-13 to open the season, but Howard was a 1-10 team last year and got beat by Boston College 76-0. BC could not score points at all last year. Maryland brings in DJ Durkin to take over and of course he has a ton of good coaching pedigree having coached under Urban Meyer at Bowling Green, and Jim Harbough at Michigan and Stanford, but I’m not sold on some of his decisions which include bringing in 3 former head coaches to help him out. I much rather see a young head coach bring in other young hungry guys who are going to work hard to move up than 3 former head coaches. One of the guys is Mike London, who got fired from Virginia. A lot of egos and I’m not so sure this is going to be very good for Maryland.

I think Florida International gets the offense clicking more on Friday night against this defense, and their defense should look better too. I just see too much line value to pass on this game.
 
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Mike Lundin

Red Sox vs Blue Jays

5* MLB Free Pick Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox travel to Toronto to take on the Blue Jays in a huge three-game series between the AL East foes. Boston sits top of the division with Toronto just one game back, and I think the Red Sox remain on top after the conclusion of this contest.

Rick Porcello (19-3, 3.23 ERA) takes the ball for the Red Sox. He held the A's to two runs and four hits over seven innings his last time out, and he's undefeated behind a 2.47 ERA through his last six starts. The 27 year old is 6-7 with a 5.27 ERA against Toronto throughout his career but 2-0 in three meetings on the season.

The Blue Jays turn to Marco Estrada (8-7, 3.56 ERA) who surrendered five runs on seven hits in five innings of a 7-5 loss at Baltimore his last start. That was the third time in his last four outings he was charged with five runs or more, and he is 3-5 with a 3.30 ERA in 12 starts this season at Rogers Centre.

The Blue Jays have dropped four of their last five while the Red Sox are 5-2 in their last seven. Both teams had Thursday off which sets up a nice spot for Boston which is 6-0 in its last six games following an off day while Toronto is 3-7 in its last 10 such situations.
 

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