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Friday 8/25/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
- Thread starter Pesos
- Start date
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Ellis Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:42pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 86
Rating:3
#8 UTMOST INTENSITY (ML=8/1)
#1 KEY TO THE BANK (ML=5/1)
#9 SANDHILL SAMMY (ML=10/1)
UTMOST INTENSITY - This horse is in good condition, having run a strong race on August 13th, finishing second. Based on this horse's recent efforts, he should be aided by today's shorter trip. Widely used handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. A live one today. KEY TO THE BANK - This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +133. SANDHILL SAMMY - Greenwell brings him right back. I recommend you stay with this live gelding. That 85 fig this gelding garnered in his last race tells me he's a big time player in today's event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PROVIDENCE (ML=6/5), #1A NORTHERN RANGER (ML=5/1), #4 RIPPIN RIDE (ML=6/1),
PROVIDENCE - Last ran on Jul 29th at Ellis Park, finishing fifth. Not likely to perk up off of that try in today's race. NORTHERN RANGER - Not likely that the speed figure he recorded on July 9th will be enough in this event. RIPPIN RIDE - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance contests recently. Improbable to see him doing it this time either.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #8 UTMOST INTENSITY on top if we're getting at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
Bar
Ellis Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:42pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 86
Rating:3
#8 UTMOST INTENSITY (ML=8/1)
#1 KEY TO THE BANK (ML=5/1)
#9 SANDHILL SAMMY (ML=10/1)
UTMOST INTENSITY - This horse is in good condition, having run a strong race on August 13th, finishing second. Based on this horse's recent efforts, he should be aided by today's shorter trip. Widely used handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. A live one today. KEY TO THE BANK - This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +133. SANDHILL SAMMY - Greenwell brings him right back. I recommend you stay with this live gelding. That 85 fig this gelding garnered in his last race tells me he's a big time player in today's event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PROVIDENCE (ML=6/5), #1A NORTHERN RANGER (ML=5/1), #4 RIPPIN RIDE (ML=6/1),
PROVIDENCE - Last ran on Jul 29th at Ellis Park, finishing fifth. Not likely to perk up off of that try in today's race. NORTHERN RANGER - Not likely that the speed figure he recorded on July 9th will be enough in this event. RIPPIN RIDE - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance contests recently. Improbable to see him doing it this time either.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #8 UTMOST INTENSITY on top if we're getting at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Emerald Downs - Race #7 - Post: 9:27pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,400 Class Rating: 62
Rating: 3
#1 SEATTLE SEA GAL (ML=2/1)
#3 APRILS NOT FOOLIN (ML=3/1)
#2 ROSIE'S WAY (ML=4/1)
SEATTLE SEA GAL - Trainer Stenslie moves this thoroughbred to a lower class rank to face a lower level today. Look for a nice performance in here. My expertise says this is the lone stalker in the race. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a good outing on Aug 11th. Ranks number one in earnings per start (EPS). A solid performance right here can augment the lifetime total. APRILS NOT FOOLIN - Faced tougher in the last race at Emerald Downs. Based on class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. This filly is in fine condition. Finished third on Aug 11th. ROSIE'S WAY - This entrant could be tough this time, especially since Ordunarojas rode last out and now should be acquainted with this one. Apostolou brings her back again. I advise you stick with this strong filly. Look at this pattern of improvement. 24/33/58 are the last 3 Equibase speed figs.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 QUEETS (ML=9/2),
QUEETS - This filly finished outside the top 3 on July 29th and wasn't even close last time around the track either. Registered a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race in a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 12th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that figure.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 SEATTLE SEA GAL to win if you can get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Bar
Emerald Downs - Race #7 - Post: 9:27pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,400 Class Rating: 62
Rating: 3
#1 SEATTLE SEA GAL (ML=2/1)
#3 APRILS NOT FOOLIN (ML=3/1)
#2 ROSIE'S WAY (ML=4/1)
SEATTLE SEA GAL - Trainer Stenslie moves this thoroughbred to a lower class rank to face a lower level today. Look for a nice performance in here. My expertise says this is the lone stalker in the race. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a good outing on Aug 11th. Ranks number one in earnings per start (EPS). A solid performance right here can augment the lifetime total. APRILS NOT FOOLIN - Faced tougher in the last race at Emerald Downs. Based on class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. This filly is in fine condition. Finished third on Aug 11th. ROSIE'S WAY - This entrant could be tough this time, especially since Ordunarojas rode last out and now should be acquainted with this one. Apostolou brings her back again. I advise you stick with this strong filly. Look at this pattern of improvement. 24/33/58 are the last 3 Equibase speed figs.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 QUEETS (ML=9/2),
QUEETS - This filly finished outside the top 3 on July 29th and wasn't even close last time around the track either. Registered a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race in a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 12th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that figure.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 SEATTLE SEA GAL to win if you can get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
Valuline at Evangeline Downs
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Evangeline Downs, Race 6 (Friday August 25, 2017)
ROSE'S ASSET
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
EVD-6 6f DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 F/M 3YUP $8,500
P# dd ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL
3 ROSE'S ASSET 9/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon
4 PRAY LASSIE 5/1 22% 7/2
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Evangeline Downs, Race 6 (Friday August 25, 2017)
ROSE'S ASSET
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
EVD-6 6f DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 F/M 3YUP $8,500
P# dd ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL
3 ROSE'S ASSET 9/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon
4 PRAY LASSIE 5/1 22% 7/2
The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 64
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 FONDA CARLOS 8/5
# 6 MY GAL SARAH 5/1
# 3 CHERRY LAUREL 4/1
I like FONDA CARLOS here. Her 57 average has this filly with among the best Equibase Speed Figures for this event. Recorded a reliable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. Has a strong shot in this race if you like back class. MY GAL SARAH - With Contreras in the saddle guiding her, this filly will probably be able to break out early in this competition. Ought to be considered - I like the figs from the last race. CHERRY LAUREL - Must be given consideration given the class of races run recently. Has performed solidly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 51 avg speed figure.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 64
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 FONDA CARLOS 8/5
# 6 MY GAL SARAH 5/1
# 3 CHERRY LAUREL 4/1
I like FONDA CARLOS here. Her 57 average has this filly with among the best Equibase Speed Figures for this event. Recorded a reliable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. Has a strong shot in this race if you like back class. MY GAL SARAH - With Contreras in the saddle guiding her, this filly will probably be able to break out early in this competition. Ought to be considered - I like the figs from the last race. CHERRY LAUREL - Must be given consideration given the class of races run recently. Has performed solidly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 51 avg speed figure.
Rick Needham at Saratoga
RACE #3 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 2:02 PM EASTERN POST
The Fleet Indian Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE
#2 SUNSET RIDGE
#5 BONITA BIANCA
#1 FIVE EACH WAY
#3 DANIELLE'S PRIDE
The races honors the career of Fleet Indian, a daughter of Indian Charlie, and a winner of 13 of her 19 career starts while banking $1.7 million dollars in earnings. Some of her major wins came in the Beldame Stakes, and the Personal Ensign Stakes. She was named American Champion Older Female Horse Award in 2006. Here in the 3rd running of "The Indian," #3 SUNSET RIDGE qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS ""PowerPony," and is undefeated in a three race career, including a BLISTERING, 17 length "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start. Jockey Jose Ortiz was in her irons for those 3 wins, and is back this afternoon here at "The Spa" for his 4th ride, gunning for a Grand Slam Win!"
RACE #3 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 2:02 PM EASTERN POST
The Fleet Indian Stakes
9.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE
#2 SUNSET RIDGE
#5 BONITA BIANCA
#1 FIVE EACH WAY
#3 DANIELLE'S PRIDE
The races honors the career of Fleet Indian, a daughter of Indian Charlie, and a winner of 13 of her 19 career starts while banking $1.7 million dollars in earnings. Some of her major wins came in the Beldame Stakes, and the Personal Ensign Stakes. She was named American Champion Older Female Horse Award in 2006. Here in the 3rd running of "The Indian," #3 SUNSET RIDGE qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS ""PowerPony," and is undefeated in a three race career, including a BLISTERING, 17 length "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start. Jockey Jose Ortiz was in her irons for those 3 wins, and is back this afternoon here at "The Spa" for his 4th ride, gunning for a Grand Slam Win!"
The Walker Group at Timonium
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 76
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $14,000 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 SOCIALLY DRIVEN 5/1
# 10 BALHARBOUR MISS 6/1
# 9 NEXT STREET 10/1
SOCIALLY DRIVEN is the most respectable bet in this race. Has been running well lately and ought to be on the front end early on. Should keep the impressive string of finishing positions intact this time out. Posted a reliable Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. BALHARBOUR MISS - The extreme drop in competition can only help out this one this time around. Simoff has a formidable 24 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. NEXT STREET - With one of the most competitive jock in terms of dividends at the window, don't count this filly out.
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $23000 Class Rating: 76
FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD OR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE JUNE 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, FOR EACH $1,000 TO $14,000 2 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $12,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 SOCIALLY DRIVEN 5/1
# 10 BALHARBOUR MISS 6/1
# 9 NEXT STREET 10/1
SOCIALLY DRIVEN is the most respectable bet in this race. Has been running well lately and ought to be on the front end early on. Should keep the impressive string of finishing positions intact this time out. Posted a reliable Equibase Speed Fig in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. BALHARBOUR MISS - The extreme drop in competition can only help out this one this time around. Simoff has a formidable 24 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface. NEXT STREET - With one of the most competitive jock in terms of dividends at the window, don't count this filly out.
