Friday 8/11/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff ...

[NewYorkKnight]

MLB

Friday, August 11

Trend Report

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 10 games when playing at home against Boston

7:05 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
San Francisco is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
San Francisco is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:05 PM
NY METS vs. PHILADELPHIA
NY Mets are 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Philadelphia
NY Mets are 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

7:07 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. TORONTO
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 10 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
COLORADO vs. MIAMI
Colorado is 5-15-1 SU in its last 21 games ,on the road
Colorado is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado

7:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Cleveland is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Tampa Bay
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. TEXAS
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Texas is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Houston

8:10 PM
CINCINNATI vs. MILWAUKEE
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee
Cincinnati is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 14 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

8:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox's last 6 games
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

8:15 PM
ATLANTA vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games on the road
Atlanta is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

9:40 PM
CHI CUBS vs. ARIZONA
Chi Cubs are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games at home
Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

10:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. OAKLAND
Baltimore is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Seattle
Seattle is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers's last 11 games
LA Dodgers are 15-2 SU in their last 17 games

 

[NewYorkKnight]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, August 11


Pittsburgh @ Toronto

Game 979-980
August 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Taillon) 16.328
Toronto
(Stroman) 12.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+130); Over

LA Angels @ Seattle

Game 977-978
August 11, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Ramirez) 14.224
Seattle
(Miranda) 16.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-115); Over

Baltimore @ Oakland

Game 975-976
August 11, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Jimenez) 14.536
Oakland
(Blackburn) 15.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-110); Over

Kansas City @ Chicago White Sox

Game 973-974
August 11, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Duffy) 16.471
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 12.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-150
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-150); Over

Houston @ Texas

Game 971-972
August 11, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Morton) 15.505
Texas
(Hamels) 12.311
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-120); Over

Cleveland @ Tampa Bay

Game 969-970
August 11, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 14.380
Tampa Bay
(Faria) 15.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+110); Over

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 967-968
August 11, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Gibson) 13.922
Detroit
(Sanchez) 17.107
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-120
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-120); Under

Boston @ NY Yankees

Game 965-966
August 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Rdriguez) 14.899
NY Yankees
(Garcia) 17.429
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-120); Over

San Diego @ LA Dodgers

Game 963-964
August 11, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Richard) 12.396
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 16.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 4 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-350
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-350); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Arizona

Game 961-962
August 11, 2017 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lackey) 17.022
Arizona
(Walker) 14.185
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-120
10
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+100); Over

Atlanta @ St. Louis

Game 959-960
August 11, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Fltynwcz) 16.884
St. Louis
(Wnwrght) 15.466
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+130); Under

Cincinnati @ Milwaukee

Game 957-958
August 11, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Bailey) 12.754
Milwaukee
(Nelson) 15.350
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-180
9
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-180); Under

Colorado @ Miami

Game 955-956
August 11, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Gray) 13.956
Miami
(Urena) 15.306
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+100); Over

NY Mets @ Philadelphia

Game 953-954
August 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Lugo) 13.412
Philadelphia
(Pivetta) 15.581
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-105); Under

San Francisco @ Washington

Game 951-952
August 11, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Stratton) 15.071
Washington
(Jackson) 16.616
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-170
10
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-170); Over

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants (-3.5, 37)

Steelers

There will be a lot of missing firepower for the Steelers. Running back Le’Veon Bell is a camp holdout while QB Ben Roethlisberger and All-Pro wide receiver Antonio Brown are both ruled out for Friday’s game. Backup signal caller Landry Jones is hurt and won’t suit up either.

Rookie fourth round pick Joshua Dobbs will get the start at quarterback and he’ll be backed up by undrafted free agent Bart Houston.

Giants

Head coach Ben McAdoo, who looks like divorce according to the Dan Le Batard Show, hinted his plan for playing time should mirror how the Giants proceeded in Week 1 of the preseason last year. Eli Manning and Odell Beckham both didn’t play in that game.

Expect to see the quarterback snaps shared between Josh Jackson, ex-Jet Geno Smith and rookie Davis Webb. The job for Manning’s top backup is undecided and up for grabs.

Line moves

The G-Men opened as 2.5-point favorites but the line moved past the key number up to 3.5. The total also moved down 1.5 points from the opening number of 38.5.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (-2, 37)

Bucs

Tampa Bay will play all healthy players according to HC Dirk Koetter. He told reporters his starters will play the first quarter before giving way to the reserves. That means bettors will get to see how the Bucs offense will look with new additions WR Desean Jackson and rookie TE O.J. Howard.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ryan Griffin and rookie Sefo Liufau complete the QB rotation after starter Jameis Winston.

Bengals

Head coach Marvin Lewis is back to work after having some work done on his knee. As for his playing time for his players in Friday’s preseason, Lewis isn’t giving reporters much to report on. He says some starters will play and some won’t.

Judging by his decisions in years' past, bettors should expect the starters to play one series before the backups take over the game.

Line moves

No movement on the spread but the total opened at 38 but has been bet down to 37.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 37.5)

Niners

The 49ers QB rotation against the Chiefs will go Brian Hoyer, Matt Barkley and rookie third rounder C.J. Beathard will finish the game off. One thing to mention: beat reporter Grant Cohn was critical of San Fran's practices this week and new coach Kyle Shanahan’s lack of discipline.

Chiefs

The Chiefs will play their starters for the first quarter including quarterback Alex Smith. Fifth-year backup QB Tyler Bray will play the second quarter while rookie first round pick Patrick Mahomes II will get mop-up duty in the second half.

Line moves

KC opened as 4.5-point chalk but have been bet down half a point.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

NFL preseason betting: Best quarterbacks to back in August

Many NFL fans were wondering what the Philadelphia Eagles were doing in the offseason leading up to the 2016 campaign. They still had quarterback Sam Bradford but elected to sign career backup Chase Daniel to a three-year contract worth $21 million.

Daniel’s resume did not include much regular season experience. In fact, it would be fair to say Daniel was signed entirely based on the positive reviews from former coaches and, of course, his reps in the silly season – the NFL preseason.

When you’re backing up Drew Brees in New Orleans – a future Hall of Famer who’s missed two games in 10 years – you’re going to have to make the most of your game snaps in August.

Daniel owns a 93.9 career preseason QB rating with 22 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. His teams are 16-9-1 against the spread and the over is 16-10 in preseason games Daniel’s played in.

The Saints reacquired Daniel this offseason and he’s listed as their No. 1 backup to Brees.

Knowing who else qualifies as a so-so starter but a sensational performer in the preseason can be valuable information for NFL bettors this August.

Here’s a quick look at three other backup QBs who shine brightest this time of year. One additional note here - quarterbacks who have been starters for the majority of their careers were dismissed from qualifying in our list. Starters only play significant time in Week 3 and even then coaches appear to be lightening the number of snaps their No. 1 guys get.

Colt McCoy

Current team: Washington Redskins

Preseason career stats: 92.8 QB rating, 68 percent completion percentage

The former Texas Longhorn and Heisman finalist has carved out a career for himself as a reliable backup and spot starter in the pros. McCoy is entering his fourth season in Washington and he’s well versed in head coach Jay Gruden’s offense. The Redskins are 7-3 ATS in preseason games McCoy has appeared in.

NFL teams are a collective 15-10 ATS and the over is 13-11-1 in preseason games McCoy has either started or played in.

McCoy is listed as Washington No. 2 quarterback meaning he should get significant playing time this week when the ‘Skins play the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday. Washington is a 1-point road underdog and the total is 37.5.

Luke McCown

Current team: Dallas Cowboys

Preseason career stats: 92.9 QB rating, 27 TD/7 INT*

The asterisk is to indicate McCown stats only go back as far as 2007. He put up some numbers in the preseason in 2005 and 2006 with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers but that was before NFL stat guys thought it was a good idea to record the game logs in August games. What a bunch of amateurs.

At any rate, McCown is the original gangsta when it comes to preseason excellence. He’s been compiling stats in pro exhibition contests since 2004 and his teams are 21-18-2 in games he’s made appearances in. The over is 24-17 in those 41 preseason games.

McCown was signed by the Cowboys at the end of July to either slot in as their QB3 or to compete for the No. 2 spot behind starter Dak Prescott.

McCown didn’t play for the ‘Boys in the Hall of Fame game but bettors should expect him to see some game action this week when Dallas visits Los Angeles to face the Rams on Saturday. Oddsmakers have the Cowboys as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 37.5.

AJ McCarron

Current team: Cincinnati Bengals

Preseason career stats: 99.4 QB rating, 7.7 yards per attempt

McCarron, also known as Katherine Webb’s husband, is the new kid on the block with just two years of preseason action under his belt. He’s put up great numbers but the Bengals are 3-4 ATS and the over is 2-5 in McCarron’s seven preseason contests.

Cincinnati is a 2-point favorite Friday against the visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The total is set at 37.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Betting 101: Best ways to safely handicap the NFL preseason

So you want to bet NFL preseason football, do you?

Steering bettors away from the NFL’s unpredictable exhibition schedule is like trying to convince high school kids to wait until marriage, if you know what we mean. You aren’t going to convince them otherwise so you might as well preach about safe sex - or in this case safe betting habits.

We break down the best ways to handicap the NFL preseason slate and hope you don’t lose your shirt – and pants – by the time Week 1 rolls around:

Read everything

The great thing about the NFL preseason is that books and bettors are on the same level. Coaches don’t reveal their plans until usually the day before a game, and by that time odds have been up for a while. If you catch an online presser or read a quote from a coach spilling the beans on his starters’ playing time, you can quickly get down before the lines adjust.

Research is everything for preseason capping. Find out how many snaps the first teamers will get, what the focal point of the offseason is – offense or defense – and wager accordingly. Also, keep an eye on camp injuries or how veteran players are treating the tune-up games. Some star players go through the motions in August and ones limited by injuries won't risk going all out before the real games start.

A team that is trying to establish some momentum on the ground will likely run the ball a lot – therefore keeping the clock ticking and the final score Under the total. If a team is trying to fill roster spots in the secondary and is plugging in rookies and inexperienced player in its pass defense, than perhaps look at the other team to air it out and exploit those weaknesses.

QB depth

Much the way starting pitchers make up 90 percent of baseball handicapping, quarterbacks hold a similar value when betting on the preseason. It’s the most important position on the field and can single-handedly make or break your bets.

Finding a team with depth at quarterback is the key for success during the exhibition schedule. The No. 1 passer will likely only take a handful of snaps in the first two games of the preseason, turning the offense over to the backups.

Look for teams with an experienced backup under center. Many clubs have veterans and former starters on the roster, guys who won’t be freaked out by the NFL’s big stage like rookie QBs and wet-behind-the-ears free agents. These vets can keep the chains moving and often excel against an opponent’s second and third-tier defense.

New coaches and schemes

The preseason is summer school for many NFL teams transitioning their playbook, whether that be with a new head coach, coordinator or just an overall flip in the way they do things.

New head coaches aren’t necessarily a red flag. They can often feel a little pressured to win in the preseason in order to impress the front office and fan base, which can give some teams added betting value. New coordinators, on the other hand, are working in different plays and schemes, which usually come with a learning curve.

Read up on how teams are adjusting to new systems and offenses, especially if there is a dramatic shift in gears, like speeding up with no-huddle attacks or going from a 4-3 defense to a 3-4. When these teams take on established coaches, who have implemented their systems for a while, there can be value going against those new faces on the sideline.

Preseason lines

Come the regular season, the infamous 3-point spread is everywhere. And while a field-goal line is a key number in football betting, it loses some of its stature in the preseason.

Teams are more likely to go for a two-point conversion or try their luck on fourth-and-short in the preseason than play it safe. Not only do the games not matter, but a fourth down gamble or two-point attempt is an extra set for the offense as it works toward the regular season.

Depending on how those rolls of the dice play out, the final score can either be closer than three points or well over it. It’s rare to see a preseason spread of more than three points with most bouncing between 1-2.5 points.

Week to week

For those looking to bet the closest facsimile of Week 1 action during the preseason, you may want to pass on the first two weeks of exhibitions and save your marbles for Week 3. That’s when starting players tend to log the most time, working the majority of the first half and sometimes into the third quarter.

Week 1 and 2 often has first teams playing limited snaps – depending on the team’s situation – and Week 4 is pretty much a craps shoot. Coaches are making their final cuts, players are fighting to stay on the roster, and the coordinators are tightening the final nuts and bolts of their playbooks.

For those bettors who like a challenge, Week 4 of the preseason could be the trickiest week of the entire NFL schedule – preseason, regular season and playoffs – to wager on.

 

[NewYorkKnight]

Friday's NFL preseason Week 1 betting primer and odds

The stars of NFL Hard Knocks take the field on Friday against the New York Giants. Bucs QB Jameis Winton is expected to play the entire first quarter along with his fellow first team starters.

Week 1 of the NFL preseason continues with three games to keep pro football bettors busy on Friday night. Here are some notes you need to know before getting in on the action.

Pittsburgh Steelers at New York Giants (-3.5, 37)

Steelers

There will be a lot of missing firepower for the Steelers. Running back Le’Veon Bell is a camp holdout while QB Ben Roethlisberger and All-Pro wide receiver Antonio Brown are both ruled out for Friday’s game. Backup signal caller Landry Jones is hurt and won’t suit up either.

Rookie fourth round pick Joshua Dobbs will get the start at quarterback and he’ll be backed up by undrafted free agent Bart Houston.

Giants

Head coach Ben McAdoo, who looks like divorce according to the Dan Le Batard Show, hinted his plan for playing time should mirror how the Giants proceeded in Week 1 of the preseason last year. Eli Manning and Odell Beckham both didn’t play in that game.

Expect to see the quarterback snaps shared between Josh Jackson, ex-Jet Geno Smith and rookie Davis Webb. The job for Manning’s top backup is undecided and up for grabs.

Line moves

The G-Men opened as 2.5-point favorites but the line moved past the key number up to 3.5. The total also moved down 1.5 points from the opening number of 38.5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (-2, 37)

Bucs

Tampa Bay will play all healthy players according to HC Dirk Koetter. He told reporters his starters will play the first quarter before giving way to the reserves. That means bettors will get to see how the Bucs offense will look with new additions WR Desean Jackson and rookie TE O.J. Howard.

Ryan Fitzpatrick, Ryan Griffin and rookie Sefo Liufau complete the QB rotation after starter Jameis Winston.

Bengals

Head coach Marvin Lewis is back to work after having some work done on his knee. As for his playing time for his players in Friday’s preseason, Lewis isn’t giving reporters much to report on. He says some starters will play and some won’t.

Judging by his decisions in years' past, bettors should expect the starters to play one series before the backups take over the game.

Line moves

No movement on the spread but the total opened at 38 but has been bet down to 37.

San Francisco 49ers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 37.5)

Niners

The 49ers QB rotation against the Chiefs will go Brian Hoyer, Matt Barkley and rookie third rounder C.J. Beathard will finish the game off. One thing to mention: beat reporter Grant Cohn was critical of San Fran's practices this week and new coach Kyle Shanahan’s lack of discipline.

Chiefs

The Chiefs will play their starters for the first quarter including quarterback Alex Smith. Fifth-year backup QB Tyler Bray will play the second quarter while rookie first round pick Patrick Mahomes II will get mop-up duty in the second half.

Line moves

KC opened as 4.5-point chalk but have been bet down half a point.