Friday 5/13/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Preview: Angels at Mariners

GAME: Los Angeles Angels (13-21) at Seattle Mariners (21-13)
DATE/TIME: Friday, May 13 - 10:10 PM EST
WHERE: Safeco Field, Seattle, Washington
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

The Los Angeles Angels attempt to bounce back from a disastrous homestand when they begin a five-game road trip with the opener of a three-game series against the Seattle Mariners on Friday. Los Angeles lost every contest on its six-game stretch at home, concluding the dismal run with Thursday's 12-10 setback against St. Louis.

Albert Pujols was one of six Angels to record two hits, with one being a two-run blast in the ninth inning that ended his nine-game drought. Seattle looks to remain perfect on its six-game homestand after sweeping a three-game set from Tampa Bay earlier in the week. Robinson Cano enters Friday's contest with an 11-game hitting streak during which he has gone 22-for-49 (.449) with four home runs and nine RBIs. Seattle took two of three from the Angels on the road last month and is 7-0-1 in the last eight series between the American League West rivals.

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, FSN West (Los Angeles), ROOT (Seattle)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Angels RH Nick Tropeano (1-2, 3.69 ERA) vs. Mariners RH Nathan Karns (3-1, 3.38)

Tropeano recorded a season-high 10 strikeouts but yielded three runs and seven hits over 5 1/3 innings in a loss to Tampa Bay on Sunday, falling to 0-2 in five starts since winning his season debut. The 25-year-old native of West Islip, New York, allowed two runs or fewer in each of his first four starts before surrendering eight over 10 1/3 frames in his last two turns and has yet to last six innings this campaign. Tropeano has yet to lose to Seattle, going 2-0 with a 3.52 ERA in three career starts.

Karns settled for a no-decision at Houston on Saturday after giving up just one run and six hits while striking out a season-high nine in 6 1/3 innings. The 28-year-old from Pennsylvania has yielded a total of four runs over his last three outings after surrendering four or more in two of his first three turns. Karns made two starts against Los Angeles while with Tampa Bay last year, going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA.

WALK-OFFS

1. Angels SS Cliff Pennington exited Thursday's game with left hamstring cramps after going 2-for-2 with an RBI.

2. Seattle is 16-1 when scoring four or more runs and 5-1 in extra innings this season.

3. Pujols' blast made him the ninth active player in the majors to have hit at least one home run against all 30 teams.

PREDICTION: Mariners 5, Angels 3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, May 13

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TORONTO (63 - 31) at MIAMI (54 - 40) - 5/13/2016, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 175-218 ATS (-64.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 48-62 ATS (-20.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 41-31 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 8-8 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-8 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, May 13

Toronto at Miami, 8:05 ET
Toronto: 14-24 ATS when the total is between 190 and 199.5 points
Miami: 21-12 ATS after playing a game as an underdog

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Friday, May 13

Trend Report

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
Toronto is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Toronto is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games
Miami is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when playing Toronto

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, May 13


Toronto @ Miami

Game 545-546
May 13, 2016 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
119.156
Miami
125.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 6 1/2
184
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 4
189
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-4); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Friday, May 13

Trend Report

2:20 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHI CUBS
Pittsburgh is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Chi Cubs's last 13 games
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

7:05 PM
DETROIT vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Baltimore is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:05 PM
CINCINNATI vs. PHILADELPHIA
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Cincinnati is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

7:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Minnesota is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home

7:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
Houston is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Houston is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games
Tampa Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 16 games at home

8:05 PM
TORONTO vs. TEXAS
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Texas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Texas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

8:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 12 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 15 games
Milwaukee is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego

8:15 PM
ATLANTA vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Kansas City
Atlanta is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:40 PM
NY METS vs. COLORADO
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NY Mets are 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Colorado is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 11 games when playing NY Mets

9:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games
San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Arizona is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Francisco

10:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing LA Dodgers
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games on the road
LA Angels are 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games ,
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, May 13

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PITTSBURGH (18 - 15) at CHICAGO CUBS (25 - 8) - 2:20 PM
FRANCISCO LIRIANO (L) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 45-52 (-17.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 126-78 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 63-33 (+24.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 126-78 (+25.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 14-2 (+9.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HAMMEL is 66-55 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 116-80 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 39-17 (+22.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 178-174 (+28.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 116-80 (+21.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 93-62 (+20.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 72-42 (+21.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 807-765 (-161.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 165-201 (-57.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 792-822 (-149.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against PITTSBURGH this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.2 Units)

FRANCISCO LIRIANO vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LIRIANO is 5-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.27 and a WHIP of 1.010.
His team's record is 7-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.4 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
HAMMEL is 6-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.152.
His team's record is 7-5 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-7. (-2.2 units)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (18 - 15) at WASHINGTON (21 - 13) - 7:05 PM
TOM KOEHLER (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 85-88 (+20.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
MIAMI is 8-2 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
MIAMI is 5-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 47-40 (+10.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 104-92 (-15.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 25-32 (-20.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 103-91 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 63-62 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 78-74 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-3 (+1.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
KOEHLER is 4-7 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 4-7 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-6. (-2.4 units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. MIAMI since 1997
GONZALEZ is 6-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 2.38 and a WHIP of 1.026.
His team's record is 6-4 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.8 units)

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CINCINNATI (14 - 20) at PHILADELPHIA (20 - 15) - 7:05 PM
BRANDON FINNEGAN (L) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 77-119 (-37.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 32-61 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 77-119 (-37.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 96-143 (-41.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 58-88 (-27.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 38-70 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-15 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-15 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-9 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-23 (+12.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-41 (+15.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 153-176 (-49.7 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

BRANDON FINNEGAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
FINNEGAN is 0-0 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HELLICKSON is 0-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

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SAN DIEGO (16 - 20) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 21) - 8:10 PM
CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH (L) vs. JUNIOR GUERRA (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-0 (+1.3 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHRISTIAN FRIEDRICH vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
FRIEDRICH is 0-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 8.10 and a WHIP of 2.000.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

JUNIOR GUERRA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
No recent starts.

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NY METS (21 - 13) at COLORADO (16 - 18) - 8:40 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. JON GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 27-12 (+12.9 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 397-413 (+33.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
COLORADO is 46-83 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MATT HARVEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
HARVEY is 2-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 0.39 and a WHIP of 0.565.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

JON GRAY vs. NY METS since 1997
GRAY is 0-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 9.39 and a WHIP of 1.565.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.3 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (19 - 18) at ARIZONA (17 - 20) - 9:40 PM
JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R) vs. SHELBY MILLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAMARDZIJA is 29-44 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 28-43 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 13-20 (-12.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 204-183 (+36.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 28-14 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1088-916 (+115.9 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 576-564 (+56.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
ARIZONA is 5-13 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 5-13 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 60-108 (-37.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILLER is 7-21 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-1 (+4.3 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.644.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-3. (-2.2 units)

SHELBY MILLER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MILLER is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.81 and a WHIP of 1.281.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-0. (+6.3 units)

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ST LOUIS (19 - 16) at LA DODGERS (18 - 17) - 10:10 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. ROSS STRIPLING (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 82-113 (-45.7 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 121-80 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 121-80 (+23.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 84-52 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 112-90 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 7-17 (-12.0 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 109-88 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 80-71 (-25.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 81-66 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 61-52 (-14.4 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

MICHAEL WACHA vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
WACHA is 3-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 1.71 and a WHIP of 0.835.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (+0.1 units)

ROSS STRIPLING vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

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CHI WHITE SOX (23 - 12) at NY YANKEES (14 - 19) - 7:05 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SALE is 3-12 (-13.7 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 23-12 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 119-112 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-7 (+14.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 26-17 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SALE is 16-2 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in May games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 135-120 (-68.1 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.
SEVERINO is 0-6 (-7.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
SEVERINO is 0-6 (-7.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHRIS SALE vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SALE is 3-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.52 and a WHIP of 0.847.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.8 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
SEVERINO is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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DETROIT (15 - 19) at BALTIMORE (21 - 12) - 7:05 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 81-99 (-26.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
VERLANDER is 3-11 (-9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 21-12 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 63-37 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 10-2 (+8.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 20-10 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 47-25 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 12-2 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 110-88 (+22.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 92-64 (+22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
TILLMAN is 47-28 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 52-31 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 41-23 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 34-20 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 54-38 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 23-9 (+12.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against DETROIT this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
VERLANDER is 9-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.96 and a WHIP of 1.205.
His team's record is 12-5 (+3.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-8. (+0.6 units)

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. DETROIT since 1997
TILLMAN is 5-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.046.
His team's record is 6-2 (+5.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-3. (+2.1 units)

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MINNESOTA (8 - 25) at CLEVELAND (16 - 15) - 7:10 PM
RICKY NOLASCO (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 8-25 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 5-15 (-10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MINNESOTA is 2-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 2-13 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MINNESOTA is 8-25 (-17.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MINNESOTA is 7-20 (-13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MINNESOTA is 4-20 (-15.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-16 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TOMLIN is 13-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 13-2 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 11-0 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 21-15 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
NOLASCO is 72-62 (+26.7 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 68-60 (+22.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 55-36 (+32.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 47-47 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 42-47 (-14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 90-92 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.2 Units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
NOLASCO is 0-2 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.226.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-0.9 units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
TOMLIN is 3-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.98 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 3-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (14 - 22) at BOSTON (22 - 13) - 7:10 PM
LANCE MCCULLERS (R) vs. STEVEN WRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 14-22 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 7-15 (-11.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 4-12 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 14-22 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 8-19 (-15.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 21-33 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MCCULLERS is 8-15 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCCULLERS is 2-10 (-10.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MCCULLERS is 2-9 (-9.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 19-6 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 629-562 (-71.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 89-93 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 150-168 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 63-68 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 520-393 (-59.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 (+2.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

LANCE MCCULLERS vs. BOSTON since 1997
MCCULLERS is 0-0 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.900.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

STEVEN WRIGHT vs. HOUSTON since 1997
WRIGHT is 1-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.565.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (14 - 21) at TAMPA BAY (15 - 17) - 7:10 PM
RICH HILL (L) vs. JAKE ODORIZZI (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 82-115 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 12-31 (-17.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 1-9 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in May games this season.
OAKLAND is 52-71 (-20.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 44-69 (-25.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 172-184 (-35.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 86-94 (-32.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 87-95 (-33.0 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 95-106 (-35.1 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 44-52 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 20-28 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

RICH HILL vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
HILL is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.286.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. OAKLAND since 1997
ODORIZZI is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.22 and a WHIP of 1.218.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (18 - 18) at TEXAS (20 - 15) - 8:05 PM
R.A. DICKEY (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 20-15 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 25-16 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 19-12 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TEXAS is 16-9 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TEXAS is 69-56 (+23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 60-49 (+23.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-1 (+1.4 Units) against TEXAS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

R.A. DICKEY vs. TEXAS since 1997
DICKEY is 2-2 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 3.11 and a WHIP of 1.141.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.6 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
PEREZ is 0-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (13 - 21) at SEATTLE (21 - 13) - 10:10 PM
NICK TROPEANO (R) vs. NATE KARNS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 4-19 (-13.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 25-12 (+13.4 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 793-782 (+60.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 289-215 (+50.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 668-663 (+52.6 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
SEATTLE is 6-12 (-13.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-52 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-52 (-23.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 31-38 (-19.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 53-63 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 40-55 (-22.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-22 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-1 (+1.2 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

NICK TROPEANO vs. SEATTLE since 1997
TROPEANO is 2-0 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.370.
His team's record is 2-1 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

NATE KARNS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
KARNS is 0-1 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.781.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (8 - 25) at KANSAS CITY (16 - 18) - 8:15 PM
JULIO TEHERAN (R) vs. EDINSON VOLQUEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 154-203 (-45.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 152-200 (-45.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 81-121 (-38.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 76-97 (-32.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 122-90 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 67-36 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 37-20 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 118-84 (+25.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 49-28 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 85-60 (+20.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 52-35 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
VOLQUEZ is 29-16 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 17-5 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 8-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 28-14 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 35-20 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOLQUEZ is 59-38 (+24.8 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
TEHERAN is 12-2 (+11.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 111-158 (-49.3 Units) against the money line in home games in May games since 1997.
KANSAS CITY is 317-332 (-72.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

EDINSON VOLQUEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
VOLQUEZ is 3-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.18 and a WHIP of 1.336.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-1. (+4.0 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, May 13


Detroit @ Baltimore

Game 917-918
May 13, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Vrlnder) 13.923
Baltimore
(Tillman) 15.469
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-150
8
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-150); Over

Minnesota @ Cleveland

Game 919-920
May 13, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Nlasco) 15.150
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 16.686
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-170
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-170); Over

Houston @ Boston

Game 921-922
May 13, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(McCllers) 17.597
Boston
(Wright) 16.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+140); Under

Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs

Game 901-902
May 13, 2016 @ 2:20 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Liriano) 17.187
Chicago Cubs
(Hammel) 15.660
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-160
No Run Total
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+140); N/A

Oakland @ Tampa Bay

Game 923-924
May 13, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Hill) 17.062
Tampa Bay
(Odrizzi) 15.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-120
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+100); Under

Miami @ Washington

Game 903-904
May 13, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Koehler) 16.681
Washington
(Gnzlez) 15.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
8
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+145); Under

Toronto @ Texas

Game 925-926
May 13, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Dickey) 14.350
Texas
(Perez) 12.700
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-115
10
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-115); Over

Cincinnati @ Philadelphia

Game 905-906
May 13, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Fnngan) 13.499
Philadelphia
(Hllcksn) 14.989
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-120
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-120); Over

LA Angels @ Seattle

Game 927-928
May 13, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Trpeano) 15.282
Seattle
(Karns) 16.782
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-160); Over

San Diego @ Milwaukee

Game 907-908
May 13, 2016 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Frdrich) 13.682
Milwaukee
(Guerra) 17.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
N/A

Atlanta @ Kansas City

Game 929-930
May 13, 2016 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 14.632
Kansas City
(Volquez) 13.505
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-165
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+145); Under

NY Mets @ Colorado

Game 909-910
May 13, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Harvey) 14.062
Colorado
(Gray) 16.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-125
10
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(+105); Over

San Francisco @ Arizona

Game 911-912
May 13, 2016 @ 9:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 14.209
Arizona
(Miller) 16.321
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-150
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+130); Over

St. Louis @ LA Dodgers

Game 913-914
May 13, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 15.425
LA Dodgers
(Strplng) 17.078
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-115); Under

Chicago White Sox @ NY Yankees

Game 915-916
May 13, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Sale) 16.686
NY Yankees
(Sverino) 14.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago White Sox
-160
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(-160); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, May 13

Pittsburgh at Chicago, 2:20 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 39-14 SU after a win by 2 runs or less
Chicago: 73-84 SU after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games

Miami at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
Miami: 8-2 SU in road games in night games
Washington: 25-31 SU after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6

Cincinnati at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Cincinnati: 5-20 SU after 6 or more consecutive home games
Philadelphia: 14-9 SU in night games

San Diego at Milwaukee, 8:10 PM ET
San Diego: 8-3 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span
Milwaukee: 25-44 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games

NY Mets at Colorado, 8:40 PM ET
New York: 27-12 SU on the road with a money line of -100 to -125
Colorado: 10-31 SU after a one run win

San Francisco at Arizona, 9:40 PM ET
San Francisco: 28-14 SU in May games
Arizona: 5-13 SU in home games

St Louis at LA Dodgers, 10:10 PM ET
St Louis: 42-24 SU after 3 or more consecutive road games
Los Angeles: 7-17 SU at home with a money line of -100 to -125

Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees, 7:05 PM ET
Chicago: 11-4 SU on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
New York: 24-31 SU after 4 or more consecutive home games

Detroit at Baltimore, 7:05 PM ET
Detroit: 80-98 SU when the total is 8.5 to 10
Baltimore: 17-8 SU after 2 straight games without a stolen base

Minnesota at Cleveland, 7:10 PM ET
Minnesota: 1-15 SU as a road underdog of +100 or higher
Cleveland: 34-12 SU after a game where the bullpen threw 8 or more innings

Houston at Boston, 7:10 PM ET
Houston: 22-9 SU after batting .225 or worse over a 15 game span
Boston: 10-21 SU after allowing 3 runs or less 2 straight games

Oakland at Tampa Bay, 7:10 PM ET
Oakland: 64-51 SU in road games after 4 or more consecutive overs
Tampa Bay: 44-52 SU in home games after a loss

Toronto at Texas, 8:05 PM ET
Toronto: 12-23 SU in road games after having won 2 of their last 3
Texas: 16-9 SU in night games

LA Angels at Seattle, 10:10 PM ET
Los Angeles: 4-19 SU as a road underdog of +125 to +150
Seattle: 14-5 SU after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6

Atlanta at Kansas City, 8:15 PM ET
Atlanta: 1-14 SU after 2 or more consecutive home games
Kansas City: 49-28 SU in home games in night games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB betting cheat sheet: Not Phillin’ It

The Phillies record in 1-run games has been outstanding to this point, but is that kind of run sustainable?

Power Sports breaks down all the need-to-know betting notes for this weekend's MLB series, including whether the surprising Phillies can keep their hot start going.

Not Phillin’ It

How are the Phillies 19-15 despite a -30 run differential that’s sixth worst in all of baseball (Thursday result pending)? Well, their 12-3 record in games decided by one run is your answer. That’s easily MLB’s best record in that situation and given how absurd it is at this point of the season (Mariners are #2 at 8-5), I would expect the losses to start piling up sooner rather than later. Especially seeing as their offense has scored the second fewest runs in all of baseball. Interestingly, they will be hosting the Reds this weekend, so the Phillies should be favored in most, if not all, games. There might just be a good underdog opportunity in there or at least go with Cincinnati on the run line if the juice isn’t too high.

A’s Pitching Gets an ‘F’

Over the last four games, Oakland pitching has surrendered a ghastly 51 runs. 40 of those were scored by the Red Sox, who became the first team since the ’99 Indians to score 13 or more runs in three consecutive games. The A’s pitching staff now owns an 8.58 ERA in May, which is obviously the driving force behind them losing 9 of the last 10 games.

But maybe there is hope on the horizon as this weekend sees the club traveling to Tampa Bay. In the last column, I warned you that it might be time to “sell high” on the Rays and sure enough they got swept in Seattle. Minnesota is the only A.L. team to have scored fewer runs this year than TB. So, in a battle of two teams that just got swept, expect the A’s pitching to do the only thing it can – and that’s improve.

Showalter Defying Expectations – Again

Besides Boston and Seattle, one other team swept its last series and that is Baltimore, the surprising leaders of the AL East. Of course, it helps that they played the Twins at home. Buck Showalter’s club gets to stay at Camden Yards this weekend, but it be a tougher test with Detroit coming to town. I say that knowing full well that the Tigers have dropped eight of nine and just struck out 20 times at the hands of Max Scherzer on Wednesday. But don’t be surprised if they claw their way to a series split here even though the O’s are a MLB-best 13-5 at home.

Hitting Notes

*Boston’s lineup is on a ridiculous tear thanks to that series with Oakland and their lineup is now batting a collective .336 the last seven games. Leading the charge has been Jackie Bradley, Jr, who had six RBI’s hitting in the 9-spot in the batting order on Wednesday. Bradley Jr is currently working on a 17-game hitting streak and is 13 for his last 27 at the plate with five home runs. The red hot Red Sox have caught the Cubs for most runs scored in all of MLB entering Thursday.

*There was a ton of debate Wednesday night on social media over a decision made by Cubs’ manager Joe Maddon to let the struggling Jorge Solar (now 2 for his last 15) with the game on the line. In the midst of a historic start for the team, Solar has been dreadful so far (.185/.276/.292) and is on the verge of working his way out of the everyday lineup. He struck out four times on Wednesday and his OPS is .536.

Pitching Notes

*Losing David Price to AL East rival Boston meant someone needed to step up and fill a void at the front end of Toronto’s rotation. So far, that person has been J.A. Happ, who is now 5-0 after blanking the Giants for 8 2/3 innings on Tuesday. Happ’s current ERA (2.05) and WHIP (1.16) are significantly better than his career marks in those two categories, so I’m interested to see if this can continue. His next turn in the rotation doesn’t come until Monday, so that could be a break for Texas, who the Blue Jays visit this weekend.

*Two pitchers I’ve previously written about in this column (for very different reasons) will square off Friday in the opener of a three-game set. Chicago’s Chris Sale has emerged as the early Cy Young favorite in the American League thanks to a 7-0 record with a 1.79 ERA and 0.775 WHIP. On the other side of the ledger, we have Luis Severino for the Yankees who is now 0-5 in his six starts (0-6 TSR) with a 6.12 ERA and 1.484 WHIP. This shapes up as the biggest pitching mismatch of the season, at least on paper.

Totals Trend

Wouldn’t you know that it is Toronto that occupies the mantle of MLB’s top Under team? Last year, they led the league in offense, but are down more than a full run per game in that department in 2016. Overall, the Under is 23-10-3 in their games this season including a 8-2-1 mark here in May.

Umpire Trend

Larazo Diaz hasn't had a home team bias when he's been behind the plate. The road team is 6-0 the last six times he has been calling balls an strikes. That's where he'll be when the Padres (+124) visit the Brewers (-134) Friday.

Friday's Weather Report

* There is a 60 percent chance of rain and a 6-8 mile per hour wind blowing out to right field when the Cubs host the Pirates today at Wrigley Field. The total for the game is currently off the board.

* There is rain expected in New York this evening with the Yankees scheduled to play the White Sox. there will be a 6-8 mile per hour wind gusting out to right field. The total for the game is currently at 7.0.

* In Philadelphia, there is a 74 percent chance of rain and 7-8 mile per hour wind blowing in from left field for the Phillies game versus the Reds. The forecast is expected to clear up as the evening rolls along. The total is currently 8.5.

* There is a 64 percent chance of rain and even a chance of thunderstorms tonight at Fenway Park with the Red Sox scheduled to host the Astros. There will be a 5-7 mile per hour wind blowing out to the Green Monster. The total is currently 9.0.

* Not that pitchers need it at Safeco Field, but there will be a pitchers wind gusting there tonight for the Mariners game against the Angels, wit gusts coming in from left field at 10-12 miles per hour. The total is currently 8.0.