John Ryan
Tennessee vs. Mississippi (NCAAB) - 3:20 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: 1/110 Mississippi Play Title: Rebels BIG
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25* graded play on Mississippi as they host Tennessee in the SEC Tournament quarterfinals. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that Mississippi will win this game. Ole Miss is a bubble team that has the credentials right now to get into the tournament. Clearly, a win over Tennessee would make them a lock and coaches at the D-1 level, especially the SEC, are adept at motivating players to “win to get in”. Adding more motivation for Ole Miss is that they come out the SEC West where only Ole Miss and Miss State have winning records. The division has been basked all season long by the media and this would be game where Ole Miss could really squash their critics. Ole Miss is not a solid free throw shooting team hitting 66.8% of those shots on the season. The model shows that they will hit between 64 and 71% in this game. Note that Ole Miss is 10-2 ATS this season, 22-10 ATS over the past 3 seasons, and 24-11 ATS since 1997. Ole Miss will have significant advantages in rebounding and will get between 9 and 13 offensive boards based on the model. Note that in past games where they had 9 to 13 offensive boards they are 9-2 ATS this season. Model also shows that Ole Miss wil have between 40 and 44 total baords. Note that when this has occurred in past games they are a perfect 5-0 ATS this season, 19-3 ATS the past 3 seasons, and 21-4 ATS since 1997. Ole Miss is a better ball handling team as well ranking 3rd in the SEC committing 12.4 per game on the season. Better rebounding, better defense, better ball control adds up to a big Rebel win. Take Ole Miss.