StatSystems Sports NBA Report 10/17/10
STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/17
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Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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*** SWEET REVENGE! ***
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Not surprisingly, New Orleans has come back to earth after an 11-1 SU start to the season. Despite a recent skid that has seen them drop nine of thirteen, let's take a ride down the mighty Mississippi where the hosts in this battle of New Orleans is a profitable 4-2 ATS this season at home as a dog or a favorite of less than five points. The Honey-Bee's may even take the Jazz by surprise tonight as they didn’t put up much of a fight three weeks ago in Utah, dropping a bloody 105-87 decision.
That sets the stage nicely for this rematch as the Hornets are 10-6-1 ATS in the series with same-season revenge, including 5-1 ATS when the Jazz own a .660 or greater win percentage. Meanwhile, Utah comes in 5-14 SU and ATS on the road following a same-season revenger with Golden State.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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••••• STAN THE MAN CONTINUES TO ROLL! •••••
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Stan 'The Man has Turned-Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 65-22-4, (74.7%) ATS Run, along with his impressive 132-56-2 (70.2%) mark for the season, in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered the cash in Forty-One of the last Forty-Four, and in Seventy-Five of the last Seventy-Nine Weeks, Dating back to Last Season!
Fresh off a Spectacular 6-2, (75.0%) Performance Last Week Past, (and once again thanks to all that signed-up) Stan released to all that called, his *4-Star 'MNF Dynamite Super Situational Play' with New England (-2.5, 1rst Half), that was supported by an Amazing Winning Angle inside the game.
--PLAY ON - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line - an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) after 8+ games, after a win by 21 or more points. ATS W-L Record 24-5 (82.8% +18.5 units) Since 1983.
--Result: The New England Patriots made a statement Monday night, pummeling the New York Jets, 45-3, to seize control of the AFC East in impressive fashion. Both teams drove into field goal range on their opening drives. New England's Shayne Graham had enough leg for a 41-yarder through a bitter wind 4:03 in, while Nick Folk missed wildly on a 53-yard try a little later.
Folk scored the visitors' only points early in the second quarter on a 39-yard field goal, capping an eight-play, 46-yard drive. It stayed 24-3 at the break, and the Jets had a promising march thwarted when Brandon Spikes picked off Sanchez in the red zone early in the third.
After taking most of the week off, “The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'ROCK~SOLID' Roll in NBA Action on Friday, dishing out yet another Huge Top *5-Star Winner (San Antonio -8.5) that was back by this ‘Incredible Super Situational System’ - PLAY ON: Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. ATS W-L Record 25-4 (86.2%, +20.6 units) Since 1996.
--Result: Richard Jefferson scored 18 points and hit three straight three-point shots in a fourth-quarter display, leading the red-hot San Antonio Spurs to a 108-92 victory over the Atlanta Hawks. Jefferson went 6-of-8 from the field and 5-of-6 from long distance for the Spurs, who have won 18 of their last 20 games to improve to an NBA-best 19-3. With the win, it extended Stan's season record on the NBA hardwood to 20-3, (86.9%) with his last twenty-three top rated selections.
Wrapping up the week Sunday, which saw us here at Stat/Systems Sports go 4-1, (80.0%) overall, we got the ball rolling in Charlotte, NC with Atlanta (-4.5 1rst Half). Michael Turner ran for three touchdowns and the Atlanta Falcons continued their quest for the top seed in the NFC with a 31-10 victory over the lowly Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium.
Trailing 17-0 after Matt Bryant made a 39-yard field goal in the second frame, Carolina, which totaled only 33 yards and two first downs through the first half, reached the end zone on its opening possession of the third quarter. Goodson capped the five-play, 81-yard drive with a 13-yard dash.
Stan 'The Man didn't Stop There - As he came right back with another Huge Top *5-Star (Miami/NY Jets Under 19.5 1rst Half) 'Totally Incredible Situational' Winner, Improving his NFL mark to 26-9-2, (74.2%) on the 2010 season.
- PLAY UNDER: Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 - team outrushing opponents by 60+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 30 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. W-L Record 25-5 Since 1983, (83.3%, +19.5 units).
--Result: Chad Henne found Brandon Marshall for the game's only touchdown in the first quarter, and the Dolphins pulled out a gritty 10-6 win over the New York Jets in rainy conditions at New Meadowlands Stadium. The Dolphins were out gained in yards, 280-131, but took advantage of two Mark Sanchez turnovers in the opening quarter to come away with their third straight road win against their AFC East rival.
Stan and the staff here at Stat/Systems Sports would like to take the time to thank every one for your kind and wonderful E-Mails: •I've been a Stat/Systems Sports member for close to 3 months now and I just wanted to comment on how tremendous your service has been... Keep up the great work you all have been doing, your daily report is incredibly helpful. Continued success, ~ Mike - Greenwich, CT
•I have been a subscriber for less than a month, but I am totally impressed with your Stat/Systems Report. The total amount of information is incredible. I have been focusing on your *5-Star Super Situational Systems which I have found to be exceptional on totals. I will be a subscriber as long as I am playing. ~ Fred Ravo, Baltimore, MD
As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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***** FRIDAY, DECEMBER 17TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Miami won last 10 games, covered eight of last nine. Knicks won 13 of last 15 games, covered 14 of last 16.
-- Lakers, 76ers both won five of their last six games.
-- Thunder won/covered their last four games.
-- Utah won six of its last seven road games.
-- Memphis won last four games, covered eight of last nine. Rockets are 5-0 vs spread in game following their last five losses.
-- Mavericks are 13-1 in last 14 games, covering five of last seven as a home favorite.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Raptors lost six of their last seven games. Nets failed to cover last five games as a road underdog.
-- Cavaliers lost last nine games (2-7 vs spread); Indiana lost six of its last eight games.
-- Clippers, Detroit both lost eight of last ten games.
-- Hawks are 3-10 vs spread as a home favorite. Charlotte covered once in last six games as a road underdog.
-- Kings are 1-5-1 vs spread in last seven games as road underdog.
-- Hornets lost five of last six games; they've lost eight games in a row if they allow more than 91 points.
-- Suns covered twice in last six games as road underdog.
-- Portland lost last three games, by 17-13-5 points. Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Nets are 6-0 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Teams are 4-1-1 vs spread the night after playing Boston.
• TOTALS
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-- Eight of last ten Toronto games went over the total.
-- Four of Knicks' last five games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Cleveland games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 14 Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Clippers' last eight games.
-- Five of last six Charlotte road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Sacramento road games stayed under total.
-- Last nine New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Dallas games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Portland games stayed under total.
• QUICK HITS
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--NEW JERSEY @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 6-0 ATS playing on back to back days. TORONTO: 19-40 ATS after allowing 110+ points.
--MIAMI @ NEW YORK, 7:00 PM ET ESPN MIAMI: 5-1 Over vs. New York. NEW YORK: 11-1 ATS as an underdog.
--CLEVELAND @ INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET CLEVELAND: 10-24 ATS Away off 5+ losses. INDIANA: 11-1 Under off 3 straight double digit losses.
--LA LAKERS @ PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 40-19 Under off 2 straight road games. PHILADELPHIA: 10-0 ATS L10 games.
--LA CLIPPERS @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET LA CLIPPERS: 13-4 Over Away revenging home loss. DETROIT: 22-39 ATS as home favorite.
--CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA, 7:30 PM ET CHARLOTTE: 17-7 ATS vs. Atlanta. ATLANTA: 3-10 ATS in home games.
--SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 16-32 ATS Away off loss by 3 pts or less. OKLAHOMA CITY: 7-0 Over as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.
--UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET UTAH: 48-29 ATS as a favorite. NEW ORLEANS: 15-3 Under off an Under.
--MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET MEMPHIS: 39-19 Under off 4+ ATS wins. HOUSTON: 32-18 Under at home off an Over.
--PHOENIX @ DALLAS, 9:30 PM ET ESPN PHOENIX: 19-8 ATS after allowing 120+ points. DALLAS: 9-22 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.
--MINNESOTA @ PORTLAND, 10:00 PM ET MINNESOTA: 18-37 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. PORTLAND: 22-10 ATS off loss by 6pts or less.
• NOTES & TIPS
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--0-15 – That's the Clippers' record in their last 15 road games dating back to last season. They lost their last four away from home during their 2009-10 campaign and they have started this season 0-11 on the road. Of course, their woes as visitors are so well-documented that they obviously get plenty of points from Vegas whenever they travel. The Clippers are a respectable 6-5 ATS this season on the road. One of the myriad reasons for their woes is that Blake Griffin is averaging 17.5 points per game on the road, just about five fewer than he averages at home.
--Josh McRoberts found himself on the bench for the second half of Indiana's Wednesday night loss to the Lakers. Due to a lack of rebounding, Coach Jim O'Brien shelved McRoberts (one rebound in 14 minutes) and gave 11 minutes of playing time to Tyler Hansbrough. O'Brien also said afterward that he is going to stick with Roy Hibbert at center, who can expect to see more and more playing time coming up. The Pacers host Cleveland on Friday.
--The Jazz are in the midst of a rare three-day break from games as they head into a four-game road trip, starting on Friday in New Orleans. Mehmet Okur, who has been out since undergoing Achilles' surgery in April, is going to make the trip but may not play at all (he definitely won't against the Hornets). Utah will, however, see the return of Raja Bell. The veteran guard has missed the past three games with an adductor strain and he is a game-time decision for Friday. "I'm treating it like I'm gonna play," Bell said. The last time the Jazz went on a four-game road trek, they won all four games in dramatic come-from-behind fashion.
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Stan Knows Football and Basketball! Check out the huge winning run “The Man is enjoying and prepare to get all of his football and basketball selections with a discounted monthly or seasonal package.” Do it now and Save Big! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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*** NEW JERSEY @ TORONTO (-4, O/U 202.5) ***
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After snapping one losing streak, the New Jersey Nets have a chance to end another skid. Coming off their first win in almost three weeks, the visiting Nets look to avoid a sixth consecutive loss to the Toronto Raptors on Friday night in a matchup of struggling teams. New Jersey snapped an eight-game slide Thursday with a 97-89 win over Washington, the only team in the Eastern Conference with a worse record than the Nets. "This was one we had to have," said guard Devin Harris, who called a team meeting before the game. "We have to be able to get it any way we can."
Harris had 29 points with nine assists, while Brook Lopez added 18 points and Kris Humphries had 12 with 17 rebounds as the Nets won for the first time since beating Portland 98-96 on Nov. 28. "We needed to hold ourselves accountable a little," Lopez said. "We're all sick of losing." Though New Jersey earned some confidence, another challenge awaits in Canada. The Nets are 2-11 away from home and have averaged 90.6 points during a nine-game road skid following consecutive wins at Cleveland and the Los Angeles Clippers on Nov. 15-17. New Jersey last beat the Raptors, 94-87 at Toronto on Dec. 15, 2008.
Though Toronto has averaged 107.8 points and shot 54.4 percent during its five-game winning streak over the Nets, Chris Bosh was in the lineup for all but one of those contests. With Bosh now playing for Miami, the Raptors no longer have a superstar presence. Toronto has lost two in a row and six of seven after falling 110-93 at home to Chicago on Wednesday. It marked the second straight game in which Toronto, averaging 102.0 points was held to fewer than 95. The Raptors knew they were outplayed against the Bulls, but also admitted they were physically inferior at both ends of the court, and that's happened more than once this season.
"It's embarrassing and I don't like it," said Jerryd Bayless, who had 20 points. "I'm not used to it and I'm not going to stand for it. We've got to get better." Injuries have plagued the Raptors of late. Jose Calderon (foot) could miss a fifth straight game and Peja Stojakovic (knee) his 11th in a row. Toronto also could be without leading scorer Andrea Bargnani (21.0 ppg) for a second consecutive contest because of a sore left knee. Leandro Barbosa scored 21 versus Chicago, and has averaged 19.3 on 27-of-49 shooting the last four games.
Harris has averaged 18.7 points and 8.7 assists in his last three against the Raptors. Sasha Vujacic, acquired by the Nets in a three-team deal with Houston and the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday, did not play Thursday. It's uncertain if he will make his New Jersey debut in this contest.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Toronto by 3.5; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Toronto -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Toronto -3.97
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 65-91 ATS (-35.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 96.2, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--TORONTO is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.9, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--TORONTO is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.7, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 59-36 OVER (+18.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.9, OPPONENT 103.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 64-42 OVER (+17.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.9, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 39-20 OVER (+16.9 Units) after allowing 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 102.7, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 56-85 against the 1rst half line (-37.5 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.6, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW JERSEY is 34-16 against the 1rst half line (+16.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 49.1, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 40-16 OVER (+22.4 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.6, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 39-15 OVER (+22.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 54.2, OPPONENT 54.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 40-17 OVER (+21.3 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 52.8, OPPONENT 54.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW JERSEY) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents.
(41-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204
The average score in these games was: Team 106.6, Opponent 106.9 (Total points scored = 213.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (59.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-51).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (NEW JERSEY) - playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%).
(68-25 since 1996.) (73.1%, +40.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.6, Opponent 55 (Total first half points scored = 108.5)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-15).
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Experience is what this business is all about, and good money can be made if one has the right connections. Stan 'The Man' prides himself on uncovering the edge that gives his customers the ability to beat the sports books on a consistent basis. Stan is a full time Expert Handicapper that can help you consistently beat the books. With any package that you purchase it is fully guaranteed that you show a profit, or he'll extend your service at no charge. If you have any questions about our services call 1-800 -351-4640, “You’ll be real glad you did!” -Stan
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*** MIAMI (-5, O/U 209.5) @ NEW YORK ***
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It's the scene the Knicks tried to turn into their reality this summer: LeBron James and Dwyane Wade together at Madison Square Garden. Here it comes. Alas, it'll be a one-night-only gig. And James and Wade will be arriving at the Garden as guests. Unwelcome guests, at that. When the Miami Heat head to New York and face the Knicks on Friday, it'll essentially summarize how the wild free-agent period last summer played out. The Knicks coveted James and Wade; they teamed in Miami with Chris Bosh. Amare Stoudemire was considered by some to be New York's fallback choice during its offseason shopping spree; he's playing like an MVP-in-waiting for the resurgent Knicks, who are putting together their best basketball in a decade.
Hype? It'll be there, thicker and tougher than a sidewalk vendor's pretzel. And maybe that simmering Heat-Knicks rivalry will rekindle, too. "It'll be a great environment, one of those games that you love to play in, those moments that you look forward to," Wade said. "And when Friday comes I think we'll all be excited." For the Heat, what's looming Friday night is nothing new. They opened the season before a raucous crowd in Boston, then had the venomous reaction in Cleveland two weeks ago by fans who had waited months to let James know -- loudly and none-too-politely -- what they thought of his decision to join the Heat.
Knicks fans traditionally aren't shy about letting opponents know their thoughts either, which means Wade and James will be targets again. By now, the Heat are finding that to be almost commonplace. "We're public enemy No. 1 virtually everywhere we go," Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. Especially now. The Knicks met with James on July 1, the day the free-agent shopping window opened, and at least one other time before the NBA's two-time reigning MVP decided on joining Miami. So wanted was King James in New York that one of the city's newspapers, the Daily News, hosted its own all things free agency website - GetLeBron.com. But in recent days, the sense in New York has been decidedly different, "Who Needs LeBron" is the question asked in the papers now.
As he has for months, James says he strongly considered all six of the teams he met with in July, the Knicks included. "It wasn't the fact that it wasn't the right fit for me," James said. "I just thought Miami was the best fit for me. And that's why I'm here." The Knicks wooed James with everything they had: the bright lights of Manhattan, the proximity to his beloved Yankees, how his earning potential as a pitchman could be maximized by calling New York home. And many touted him as a potential savior of a Knicks franchise that has gone nearly four decades without an NBA title. It wasn't enough for the Big Apple to net the biggest prize during Free Agency 2010.
"Winning appeals to me," James said. "And it's all about winning. I'm not about saving franchises or saving this or that. It's about me winning and that's what I said all over the summer when I decided to come here, I felt like this was my best possible chance to win. So that's why I'm here." The Knicks were farther down Wade's list during the summer. He went into free agency with two clear choices, either the Bulls, his hometown Chicago team, or the Heat. Had James or Bosh made different decisions, Wade's view could have changed as well.
He's had big Garden moments before. He'd like another one on Friday. "Besides the Cleveland game in Cleveland, I think this would be one of the biggest games of the year when it comes to atmosphere, when it comes to participation from the city of New York," Wade said. "We look forward to playing on that stage." Oddly, this Heat-Knicks game will come nearly 15 years to the day after the rivalry between the teams truly began. Dec. 19, 1995. That was the day Pat Riley, now the Heat president returned to Madison Square Garden as coach, not long after resigning from the Knicks and taking over in Miami. He waved his arms at the crowd that night, egging them on and urging them to boo him as much as they could.
"Everyone looks for rivalries," Wade said. "It's a great story line. It's great for the game. The Heat-Knicks will always be one. And right now with both teams playing well off of this summer, with them getting Amare and all three of us coming here, the fans are going to make it a very big game." There's another element of this little get-together, too. If the Knicks hadn't gotten Stoudemire, Bosh very well could be New York's starting power forward right now. Stoudemire was one of the first free agents to make his mind up after July 1, and in some respects, him choosing New York had a domino effect across the league, including Miami.
"I was just looking at the situation for me," Bosh said. "Of course you're aware of what other players are doing and what they're thinking because it's always on the TV; it was always on the TV every day at that point. But with us playing the same positions, I knew it was either him somewhere or me somewhere. And I just wanted to be in the best situation possible. And I'm a lucky guy. I'm here now."
Wade and James have had their share of luck in New York. Wade is 6-3 when the Heat visit the Knicks, averaging 26.6 points per game in those matchups. James is 7-4 as a visitor to New York so far in his career, averaging 30.4 points and reaching 50 in two of his last four trips to the Garden. It's a special place for both of them. It just wasn't special enough to call home. "As a fan and as a player, that's the one building in America that you would love to play that before your career is over," James said. "I'm blessed that I've been part of the NBA and getting an opportunity to play there at least once a year."
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 2; O/U 211.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -5.07
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--NEW YORK is 58-37 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 102.9, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 110.2, OPPONENT 108.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 96.0, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW YORK is 98-62 OVER (+29.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 94.8, OPPONENT 99.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 98-65 OVER (+26.5 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 97.2, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 31-12 OVER (+17.7 Units) after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 107.7, OPPONENT 108.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 109.9, OPPONENT 114.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW YORK is 99-64 against the 1rst half line (+28.3 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.2, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 32-59 against the 1rst half line (-32.7 Units) in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 45.2, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 22-46 against the 1rst half line (-28.6 Units) after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 48.2, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--MIAMI is 97-59 UNDER (+31.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.2, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 73-44 UNDER (+24.4 Units) the 1rst half total off 2 or more consecutive home wins since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--MIAMI is 77-52 UNDER (+19.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 45.7, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(24-5 since 1996.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.4
The average score in these games was: Team 108.3, Opponent 103.7 (Total points scored = 211.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (60% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 9 or more consecutive wins.
(26-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.4, Opponent 48.9 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (48-28).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(28-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +20.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 49.5 (Total first half points scored = 98.9)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (44-21).
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*** CLEVELAND @ INDIANA (-9, O/U 196) ***
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The Indiana Pacers are 2-6 this month and have suffered three consecutive double-digit defeats. While that slump has been rough, it's far better than what the Cleveland Cavaliers have endured. The Cavs will be trying to avoid their 10th straight loss and 11th in a row on the road when they face the Pacers on Friday night. Cleveland is 0-8 in December, losing six of those contests by double figures and getting outscored by 18.5 points over the nine-game skid.
The team managed to stay competitive against former Cavs star LeBron James and Miami on Wednesday, but fell 101-95 despite pulling within three with 1:33 left. Cleveland's Daniel Gibson had a season-high 26 points and Anderson Varejao added 18 points and 15 rebounds. "I couldn't ask for them to play any harder than they played," Coach Byron Scott said. "I thought they were terrific effort-wise. They competed for 48 minutes."
Facing the struggling Pacers would appear to give Cleveland a good chance to avoid adding to its longest skid since it dropped 15 in a row from Nov. 6-Dec. 2, 2002. The Cavs last lost 11 straight on the road Jan. 28-March 26, 2005. The Cavaliers, however, have lost their two meetings with Indiana this season by an average of 12.5 points, scoring 87.0 points on 40.4 percent shooting in those contests. In the most recent matchup Nov. 23 at Indianapolis, Cleveland trailed by 27 after three quarters and lost 100-89.
The Cavs outscored the Pacers 33-17 in the final 12 minutes, but that was after Indiana outscored them 38-21 in the second period. Danny Granger led Indiana with 24 points and has averaged 31.3 during the Pacers' three consecutive wins in the series. He scored 34 in a 99-85 victory at Cleveland on Nov. 13. Granger, though, has shot 34.4 percent over the last four games and hasn't scored more than 18 points in his last three. The forward, averaging 20.7 points had 13 in his return from a sprained ankle Wednesday after missing one game.
The Pacers fell 109-94 at home Wednesday to the Los Angeles Lakers, who were never seriously threatened after building a 22-point halftime lead. "I'm not very happy with the way we competed, in all candor," coach Jim O'Brien said. "You've got to bring a certain ethic to the game and frankly, we haven't." The Pacers have scored 83.3 points per game during their season high three straight defeats, which have come by an average of 16.0 points. Indiana is averaging 98.3 points on the season and 103.4 at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 11; O/U 193.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indiana -12.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -12.77
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
------------------
--INDIANA is 85-53 ATS (+26.5 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 99.1, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--CLEVELAND is 64-94 ATS (-39.4 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 89.1, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 21-42 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 89.4, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDIANA is 39-18 UNDER (+18.8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 95.1, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 39-20 UNDER (+17.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 99.0, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game this season.
The average score was INDIANA 95.3, OPPONENT 94.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDIANA is 63-40 against the 1rst half line (+18.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 52.9, OPPONENT 52.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 30-11 against the 1rst half line (+17.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.7, OPPONENT 51.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 32-52 against the 1rst half line (-25.2 Units) in a road game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 47.9, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 44-22 OVER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 56.1, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus horrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 64.3, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 75-41 OVER (+29.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.5, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 38-17 OVER (+19.3 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.0, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(73-31 since 1996.) (70.2%, +38.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51, Opponent 44.7 (Average first half point differential = +6.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-18).
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*** LA LAKERS (-5, O/U 196) @ PHILADELPHIA ***
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The Los Angeles Lakers are slowly becoming more offensively efficient as they progress through their road trip. That should be tested against an improving Philadelphia 76ers' club that has held its last three opponents below 40 percent shooting. These teams are on three-game win streaks entering Friday night's matchup in Philadelphia, where the Lakers have won their last three visits. Los Angeles began this seven-game road stretch with its two worst offensive efforts, averaging 85.5 points in splitting games against the Los Angeles Clippers and Chicago.
The Lakers have increased their output in the three games since, winning 109-94 at Indiana on Wednesday night. They shot 51.2 percent from the field and had 25 assists, both their best totals during the trip. "We played with more energy, and a more focused game, and with more of a sense of urgency," said Kobe Bryant about avenging an earlier loss to the Pacers. The Sixers are eager for the opportunity to test itself against Los Angeles after three straight efforts that pleased new coach Doug Collins.
Philadelphia has held an opponent below 40 percent twice in their first 22 encounters before this run. Collins knows that a similar effort won't come easy Friday. "Two-time defending champions, Kobe coming home," Collins said. "They're going to be a handful, to say the least." Bryant, born in Philadelphia, made 11 of 18 shots (61.1) for his best shooting performance of the season. He is bidding to shoot over 60 percent in consecutive regular-season games for the first time since Feb. 22-24, 2009.
"Pau Gasol is the most skilled big man in the NBA right now in my estimation, in terms of just skill in the post." Gasol had 28 points Wednesday for his highest point total in his last 12 games, after he combined for 31 in his previous two. "Just play more aggressive, more assertive," said Gasol, who has double-doubles in six of his last seven confrontations against the 76ers. "Just tried to attack more and it made a difference."
Philadelphia led by as many as 20 in Wednesday's 105-91 win over the Clippers. Jrue Holiday led five players in double figures with 24 points while Andre Iguodala added 20 as the 76ers finished with 21 fast-break points. The Lakers have won seven of their last nine against the Sixers, who are looking forward to the challenge. "They have been playing a little better as of late, but before that, it hadn't been that great for them," forward Elton Brand said. "We just have to have one of our best efforts."
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 2; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -2.06
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.3, OPPONENT 87.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 95.2, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.9, OPPONENT 94.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--LA LAKERS are 11-26 ATS (-17.4 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.7, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--LA LAKERS are 40-19 UNDER (+19.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 104.0, OPPONENT 94.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 55-33 UNDER (+18.7 Units) in road games off a road win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 99.5, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 16-3 against the 1rst half line (+12.7 Units) in home games after covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 53.2, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 69-96 against the 1rst half line (-36.6 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 51.0, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 45-73 against the 1rst half line (-35.3 Units) in a road game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 49.3, OPPONENT 49.9 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 95-62 OVER (+26.8 Units) the 1rst half total after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 48.8, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 30-10 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 48.8, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
(26-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.2, Opponent 49.2 (Average first half point differential = +2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (39-25).
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*** LA CLIPPERS @ DETROIT (-3.5, O/U 189.5) ***
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As bad as the Los Angeles Clippers have been over the years, it's been some time since they lost 12 straight on the road in a single season. They'll try to avoid doing so for the first time in 11 seasons when they look to avert a sweep by the Detroit Pistons on Friday night. Los Angeles fell 105-91 to Philadelphia on Wednesday to drop to 0-11 on the road. The Clippers last dropped 12 consecutive away games in one season Dec. 28, 1999-Feb. 20, 2000.
The overall road losing streak reached 15, and coach Vinny Del Negro is searching for answers after watching his team shoot 39.8 percent and commit 14 turnovers that led to 23 points. "I didn't like our effort at all," Del Negro said. "We were OK in the first half but in the second half they were much more aggressive. We turned it over too much and they got some layups off breaks. Our execution on defense was poor."
That's the opposite of what Detroit coach John Kuester was feeling after his club won 103-80 over Atlanta on Tuesday. The Pistons bounced back after blowing a 25-point lead in a 120-116 home loss to Toronto on Saturday. "Right now, every win is a great win, there's no doubt about it," Kuester said. "But by the same token, I thought we played a complete game. That's what you're looking for is guys to improve."
The Pistons will get another look at rookie Blake Griffin, who had 20 points and 18 rebounds Wednesday for his 13th straight double-double. He has 19 double-doubles for the season, second most in the league and has averaged 24.0 points and 13.7 boards in his last 13 games. Griffin had 18 and 18 in a 103-97 overtime loss to the Pistons on Nov. 12. Detroit took advantage of a short-handed Clippers team that played without Baron Davis and Chris Kaman.
While Kaman remains out with an ankle injury, Davis made his second straight start Wednesday and scored a season-high 18. Backcourt mate Eric Gordon, though, has struggled in making 15 of 41 shots in those two games. "We've got to do a better job of playing five-man basketball," Davis said. Gordon's 21.6 scoring average against Detroit is his second highest against any team. He scored 28 in last month's loss.
Charlie Villanueva led Detroit with 30 points against the Clippers in November, and is one of the NBA's top reserves with a 13.1 scoring average. He has averaged 20.0 points and 7.5 rebounds in the last two games. Former All-Star swingman Tracy McGrady scored a season-high 16 points Tuesday. McGrady made four 3-pointers in the fourth quarter after entering the contest with two on the season.
"It feels good to have this type of win because we're capable of doing that," McGrady said. "We just have to realize how we did it." The Pistons can sweep the series from the Clippers for the seventh time in the last eight seasons. Los Angeles won both meetings in 2009-10, ending an eight-game slide at Detroit with a 104-96 victory last Nov. 27.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Detroit by 3; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Detroit -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Detroit -2.03
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DETROIT is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 94.1, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--DETROIT is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 92.5, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 43-62 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 92.9, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 31-12 OVER (+17.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 98.2, OPPONENT 107.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 52-32 OVER (+16.8 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.5, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 36-67 against the 1rst half line (-39.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 47.5, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 24-49 against the 1rst half line (-29.9 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 46.2, OPPONENT 53.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 12-28 against the 1rst half line (-18.8 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 47.3, OPPONENT 55.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 76-45 UNDER (+26.5 Units) the 1rst half total after having lost 4 of their last 5 games since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 47.4, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 64-41 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 48.1, OPPONENT 44.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, in non-conference games.
(41-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.3, Opponent 47.2 (Average first half point differential = +6.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (68-46).
--PLAY ON - Any team (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(52-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (38-37 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.8
The average score in these games was: Team 99.3, Opponent 98.1 (Average point differential = +1.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-20).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (97-90).
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*** CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA (-6.5, O/U 183) ***
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Less than two months into the season, Larry Brown doesn't seem pleased with the play of his Charlotte Bobcats. Likely to be without one of their top players for a second straight game, the visiting Bobcats could have a tough time improving their coach's mood while trying to avoid a seventh straight road loss to the Atlanta Hawks. After making the playoffs for the first time in franchise history in 2009-10, the Bobcats had high expectations this season. However, they have yet to play like a playoff-caliber team.
Brown's displeasure came out after Charlotte dropped its seventh straight road game, 113-80 at Memphis on Wednesday. "We didn't play hard. We acted like we didn't even care," he said. "I had to get into them at halftime and beg them to play. That's not what I'm supposed to be doing. There was no effort and no teamwork." The Bobcats have averaged 82.8 points while losing three of four. "I get the feeling that I'm saying the same thing over and over again," Brown told the Bobcats' official website. "If we don't realize what our problems are, then I don't know what the answer is."
Things could get tougher Friday when the Bobcats are expected to be without star Gerald Wallace (16.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game) for a second straight contest with a sprained left ankle. Even with Wallace, the Bobcats averaged 89.3 points during a six-game skid at Atlanta. "We just have to try and get back and forget about (Wednesday's loss)," Bobcats guard Shaun Livingston said. Stephen Jackson (17.7 ppg) could pick up the slack. Though he's averaged 12.8 points his last four games, Jackson has scored 22.2 per contest in his last five versus Atlanta.
Atlanta has injury concerns of its own with star Joe Johnson (17.1 ppg) still out with an elbow injury and reigning sixth man of year Jamal Crawford (14.8) in danger of missing a second straight contest because of a sore back. However, the Hawks have averaged 106.8 points on 49.6-percent shooting during a five-game home winning streak, all against sub-.500 teams. Forward Al Horford has averaged 18.0 points and 11.6 rebounds during that stretch. However, he was held to eight with seven boards as the Hawks dropped their second straight game, 102-90 at Boston on Thursday.
Atlanta's starting frontcourt of Horford, Josh Smith and Jason Collins hope for a better effort Friday after combining for nine points on 4-of-15 shooting against the Celtics. Despite that lack of production, the Hawks shot 50.0 percent but could not prevent Boston from making 53 percent of its shots and scoring 50 points in the paint. "(The Celtics) know how to win and it's where we need to get to," Horford said. Marvin Williams scored a season-high 26 points as the Hawks fell to 5-4 without Johnson.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 7.5; O/U 190
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -8
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -7.96
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 95.1, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 51-30 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.4, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 86-58 OVER (+21.9 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 101.2, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 29-11 OVER (+16.8 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 18 or less fouls since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 101.4, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 57-35 against the 1rst half line (+18.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.2, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 46-26 against the 1rst half line (+17.4 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 49.1, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 66-41 UNDER (+20.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 49.9, OPPONENT 45.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 29-11 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.6, OPPONENT 48.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 43.2, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (ATLANTA) - playing on back-to-back days, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(43-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.5%, +23.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.1, Opponent 44 (Total first half points scored = 90.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (95-75).
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*** SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-11.5, O/U 205) ***
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Shots seem to be dropping with ease for the Oklahoma City Thunder recently. That's not a good sign for the Sacramento Kings, who watched their last opponent put on an impressive second-half offensive effort. The Thunder look to win their fifth straight when they host the Kings on Friday night. Oklahoma City ranks in the bottom half of the NBA in field goal shooting at 45.4 percent. However, after a season-worst 35.4 percent performance in a 99-90 loss at Chicago on Dec. 6, the Thunder have shot 50 percent or better in their last four games and won them all.
They shot a season-high 57.7 percent in a 117-105 win over Houston on Wednesday. Kevin Durant went 12 of 18 from the field, finishing with 32 points while Jeff Green scored 21. "The shots are just falling for us," Green said. "We're getting great open looks." Increased ball movement plays a part in the improved shooting. The Thunder are averaging 23.8 assists over the winning streak, 4.5 above their season average. They had 25 assists for a second straight game Wednesday with five players recording at least four. "We want to see each other do well," James Harden told the Thunder's official website.
"On the fast break, just sharing the ball and having fun out there. You see all the excitement out there when everybody's scoring." The Thunder, halfway through a four-game homestand, are looking to match their longest winning streak of the season when they face Sacramento which has dropped its last three overall and seven in a row on the road. The Kings suffered a 94-91 loss to New Orleans on Wednesday, blowing a 23-point second-half lead. The Hornets would go on a 20-4 run to get back into the game after Sacramento seemed to put it away late in the third quarter.
"The defensive intensity we had earlier in the game wasn't there," Coach Paul Westphal said. "Maybe it's fatigue, maybe its inexperience, maybe its breaks in the game. I tend to think it's a little bit all of them." Tyreke Evans had 22 points and seven assists while Beno Udrih scored 20 points. However, the Kings let the Hornets shoot 56.8 percent in the second half after holding them to 31.7 in the first. Sacramento's previous two opponents each shot 50 percent or better. For the season, the Kings are allowing teams to shoot 47.4 percent, among the worst in the NBA.
On the road, the defense has been even worse with opponents shooting 49.0 percent. "From the looks of it, we're not all on the same page," Evans said. "We have too much going on. We're out there in the second half, we lose focus." Sacramento's road losing streak is it’s longest since dropping 11 in a row Jan.1-Feb.7. The Kings, who open a five-game homestand after Friday's contest, have lost all three games in Oklahoma City. This is the teams' first matchup since the Thunder won three of four last season. Durant averaged 32.0 points in those meetings and 28.8 over his career against the Kings -- his second-highest average against a team from the West.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 13, O/U 208.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -12.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -12.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-23 ATS (+21.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 101.6, OPPONENT 96.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 98.5, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 93.2, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-27 OVER (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.5, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-2 OVER (+14.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 105.4, OPPONENT 104.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-26 against the 1rst half line (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.3, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-39 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.1, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 60.9, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 8-23 against the 1rst half line (-16.9 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 49.7, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-18 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.1, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-24 OVER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 54.8, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 59-35 OVER (+21.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.7, OPPONENT 55.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 43-22 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 5.5 to 7 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 47.9, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(22-4 since 1996.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 106.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 59.9, Opponent 52.6 (Total first half points scored = 112.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(29-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.9%, +22.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 212.5
The average score in these games was: Team 108.2, Opponent 115.9 (Total points scored = 224.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 23 (69.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (33-14).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(47-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.4%, +28.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.4, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +11)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (39-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (91-51).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
(42-16 since 1996.) (72.4%, +24.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (56-4)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 12.1
The average score in these games was: Team 104.6, Opponent 89.9 (Average point differential = +14.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (32.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-6).
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•I've been a Stat/Systems Sports member for close to 3 months now and I just wanted to comment on how tremendous your service has been...Keep up the great work you all have been doing, your daily report is incredibly helpful. Continued success, ~ Mike - Greenwich, CT
•I have been a subscriber for less than a month, but I am totally impressed with your Stat/Systems Report. The total amount of information is incredible. I have been focusing on your *5-Star Super Situational Systems which I have found to be exceptional on totals. I will be a subscriber as long as I am playing. ~ Fred Ravo, Baltimore, MD
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*** UTAH (-1, O/U 189) @ NEW ORLEANS ***
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Following last month's home win over the New Orleans Hornets, Utah Jazz coach Jerry Sloan said the club considered Deron Williams and Chris Paul of virtually equal value during the 2005 draft. Williams has been superior when he's faced Paul in the NBA. Looking to match a career high with his fourth straight game with 30 or more points, Williams will try to help the Jazz post their fifth consecutive victory in New Orleans on Friday night.
After watching Williams post his seventh consecutive double-double against the Hornets with 26 points, 11 assists and five steals in a 105-87 victory in Salt Lake City on Nov. 24, Sloan said the Jazz had a hard time choosing between Williams and Paul, the former Wake Forest star whom New Orleans drafted at No. 4, one spot later. "We could have gone either way and it wouldn't have mattered," Sloan said after Utah beat the Hornets for the fourth straight time and Williams improved to 12-3 against New Orleans with Paul in the lineup.
Williams may now be playing his best basketball since skipping his final year of eligibility at Illinois. He has 96 points in the last three games after scoring 11 of his 30 in the fourth quarter of Monday's 108-95 victory over Golden State. The Western Conference Player of the Month for November, Williams is shooting 52.7 percent from the field over the last three games, and has a chance to score 30 or more in four straight for the first time since Feb. 5-11, 2009. "I have to say this is as good as I have ever seen him play," Sloan said Monday after Utah improved to 18-8. "He's been sensational, really. He just took the game over and put it in his hands."
The Hornets are all too familiar with what he can do. Williams, whose 55.4-percent shooting against New Orleans is his best versus any opponent, scored 27 with 16 assists in a 114-103 victory in the Jazz's last visit to Louisiana on April 9. Paul, who missed that matchup with a ligament tear in the middle finger of his right hand, scored 22 points with 11 assists as the Hornets ended a season-high three-game skid Wednesday with a 94-91 victory over Sacramento. New Orleans trailed by as many as 23 points in the second half, but seldom-used guard Marcus Thornton scored 17 of his season-high 19 points after the break to spark the largest comeback in franchise history.
"He didn't give up," Paul said of Thornton, who hadn't played in three of the previous four games. "He knows we're going to need him and the next game might not call for 25 minutes from him, but we need that same energy and that was great for him." While the matchup of All-Star point guards will take center stage, the battle down low between Jazz big men Paul Millsap and Al Jefferson and New Orleans' David West and Emeka Okafor could decide the winner of this matchup. Millsap and Jefferson combined for 40 points and 14 rebounds in last month's victory over New Orleans, which received 22 points and 15 boards from West and Okafor. Paul contributed 17 points and nine assists as the Hornets lost for the 16th time in 20 matchups with the Jazz. New Orleans' last home win against Utah was a 110-98 victory Feb. 28, 2008.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 2.5; O/U 193.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -1.98
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 39-64 ATS (-31.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.4, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.5, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 100.8, OPPONENT 95.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--UTAH is 82-52 OVER (+24.8 Units) in road games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 98.3, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 24-7 OVER (+16.3 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 106.3, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 59-39 OVER (+16.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 101.6, OPPONENT 103.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 36-61 against the 1rst half line (-31.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.5, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 28-49 against the 1rst half line (-25.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.9, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 5-21 against the 1rst half line (-18.1 Units) vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.2, OPPONENT 51.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW ORLEANS is 52-31 UNDER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.4, OPPONENT 48.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 32-12 UNDER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.1, OPPONENT 51.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 39-18 UNDER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.3, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was UTAH 41.6, OPPONENT 46.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a close home win by 3 points or less.
(55-23 since 1996.) (70.5%, +29.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (59-19)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 101.8, Opponent 93.1 (Average point differential = +8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (38.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-11).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(43-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.5%, +23.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45.4, Opponent 45.1 (Total first half points scored = 90.5)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (81-51).
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STAN THE MAN'S STAT/SYSTEMS REPORT 12/17
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFO WORTH BETTING ON ONE PAGE EACH DAY
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***** STAT/SYSTEMS SPORTS POWER SEARCH - NBA *****
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Each day here in our Stat/Systems Report we will list the Top - Angles, Stats and Situational Trends for up-coming games, including all the Key - ATS, Over/Unders, Money-Line, First Half ATS Top Trends including Over/Unders, Coaches ATS & Over/Unders and Teaser Line Trends, along with all your high percentage Super Situation Systems.
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*** SWEET REVENGE! ***
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Not surprisingly, New Orleans has come back to earth after an 11-1 SU start to the season. Despite a recent skid that has seen them drop nine of thirteen, let's take a ride down the mighty Mississippi where the hosts in this battle of New Orleans is a profitable 4-2 ATS this season at home as a dog or a favorite of less than five points. The Honey-Bee's may even take the Jazz by surprise tonight as they didn’t put up much of a fight three weeks ago in Utah, dropping a bloody 105-87 decision.
That sets the stage nicely for this rematch as the Hornets are 10-6-1 ATS in the series with same-season revenge, including 5-1 ATS when the Jazz own a .660 or greater win percentage. Meanwhile, Utah comes in 5-14 SU and ATS on the road following a same-season revenger with Golden State.
Make Sure you have the Advantage you need to win this Season! Did you know that the Stat/Systems Report is the #1 rated sports betting publication in the country today. Offering complete analysis and predictions for every game on the board including game logs, betting trends, key injuries, vital statistics, lines and odds, and more the daily publication is everything that you need to win each and every day!
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NOTE: All New Website Coming Soon!
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••••• STAN THE MAN CONTINUES TO ROLL! •••••
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Stan 'The Man has Turned-Up the Heat on the Gridiron with his RED~HOT 65-22-4, (74.7%) ATS Run, along with his impressive 132-56-2 (70.2%) mark for the season, in MLB action! But most Importantly, Yours Truly has delivered the cash in Forty-One of the last Forty-Four, and in Seventy-Five of the last Seventy-Nine Weeks, Dating back to Last Season!
Fresh off a Spectacular 6-2, (75.0%) Performance Last Week Past, (and once again thanks to all that signed-up) Stan released to all that called, his *4-Star 'MNF Dynamite Super Situational Play' with New England (-2.5, 1rst Half), that was supported by an Amazing Winning Angle inside the game.
--PLAY ON - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line - an excellent offensive team (>=27 PPG) against a good defensive team (14-18 PPG) after 8+ games, after a win by 21 or more points. ATS W-L Record 24-5 (82.8% +18.5 units) Since 1983.
--Result: The New England Patriots made a statement Monday night, pummeling the New York Jets, 45-3, to seize control of the AFC East in impressive fashion. Both teams drove into field goal range on their opening drives. New England's Shayne Graham had enough leg for a 41-yarder through a bitter wind 4:03 in, while Nick Folk missed wildly on a 53-yard try a little later.
Folk scored the visitors' only points early in the second quarter on a 39-yard field goal, capping an eight-play, 46-yard drive. It stayed 24-3 at the break, and the Jets had a promising march thwarted when Brandon Spikes picked off Sanchez in the red zone early in the third.
After taking most of the week off, “The Man Continued to Sizzle with his 'ROCK~SOLID' Roll in NBA Action on Friday, dishing out yet another Huge Top *5-Star Winner (San Antonio -8.5) that was back by this ‘Incredible Super Situational System’ - PLAY ON: Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points - off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more against opponent off a home win scoring 110 or more points. ATS W-L Record 25-4 (86.2%, +20.6 units) Since 1996.
--Result: Richard Jefferson scored 18 points and hit three straight three-point shots in a fourth-quarter display, leading the red-hot San Antonio Spurs to a 108-92 victory over the Atlanta Hawks. Jefferson went 6-of-8 from the field and 5-of-6 from long distance for the Spurs, who have won 18 of their last 20 games to improve to an NBA-best 19-3. With the win, it extended Stan's season record on the NBA hardwood to 20-3, (86.9%) with his last twenty-three top rated selections.
Wrapping up the week Sunday, which saw us here at Stat/Systems Sports go 4-1, (80.0%) overall, we got the ball rolling in Charlotte, NC with Atlanta (-4.5 1rst Half). Michael Turner ran for three touchdowns and the Atlanta Falcons continued their quest for the top seed in the NFC with a 31-10 victory over the lowly Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium.
Trailing 17-0 after Matt Bryant made a 39-yard field goal in the second frame, Carolina, which totaled only 33 yards and two first downs through the first half, reached the end zone on its opening possession of the third quarter. Goodson capped the five-play, 81-yard drive with a 13-yard dash.
Stan 'The Man didn't Stop There - As he came right back with another Huge Top *5-Star (Miami/NY Jets Under 19.5 1rst Half) 'Totally Incredible Situational' Winner, Improving his NFL mark to 26-9-2, (74.2%) on the 2010 season.
- PLAY UNDER: Any team where the first half total is between 18 and 21 - team outrushing opponents by 60+ YPG against an average rushing team (+/- 30 RY/G) after 8+ games, after gaining 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games. W-L Record 25-5 Since 1983, (83.3%, +19.5 units).
--Result: Chad Henne found Brandon Marshall for the game's only touchdown in the first quarter, and the Dolphins pulled out a gritty 10-6 win over the New York Jets in rainy conditions at New Meadowlands Stadium. The Dolphins were out gained in yards, 280-131, but took advantage of two Mark Sanchez turnovers in the opening quarter to come away with their third straight road win against their AFC East rival.
Stan and the staff here at Stat/Systems Sports would like to take the time to thank every one for your kind and wonderful E-Mails: •I've been a Stat/Systems Sports member for close to 3 months now and I just wanted to comment on how tremendous your service has been... Keep up the great work you all have been doing, your daily report is incredibly helpful. Continued success, ~ Mike - Greenwich, CT
•I have been a subscriber for less than a month, but I am totally impressed with your Stat/Systems Report. The total amount of information is incredible. I have been focusing on your *5-Star Super Situational Systems which I have found to be exceptional on totals. I will be a subscriber as long as I am playing. ~ Fred Ravo, Baltimore, MD
As always, the best way to take advantage of Stan 'The Man's Sharp Information found each and every day right here in his Stat/Systems Report is to join for a Week or Month, so that you get every single one of his plays, including all of his Late Information releases. “Do it now and Save Big, subscribe today! - Call me toll-free in the office @ 1-800-351-4640 - You'll be real glad you did" -Stan!
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***** FRIDAY, DECEMBER 17TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- Miami won last 10 games, covered eight of last nine. Knicks won 13 of last 15 games, covered 14 of last 16.
-- Lakers, 76ers both won five of their last six games.
-- Thunder won/covered their last four games.
-- Utah won six of its last seven road games.
-- Memphis won last four games, covered eight of last nine. Rockets are 5-0 vs spread in game following their last five losses.
-- Mavericks are 13-1 in last 14 games, covering five of last seven as a home favorite.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Raptors lost six of their last seven games. Nets failed to cover last five games as a road underdog.
-- Cavaliers lost last nine games (2-7 vs spread); Indiana lost six of its last eight games.
-- Clippers, Detroit both lost eight of last ten games.
-- Hawks are 3-10 vs spread as a home favorite. Charlotte covered once in last six games as a road underdog.
-- Kings are 1-5-1 vs spread in last seven games as road underdog.
-- Hornets lost five of last six games; they've lost eight games in a row if they allow more than 91 points.
-- Suns covered twice in last six games as road underdog.
-- Portland lost last three games, by 17-13-5 points. Minnesota lost five of its last six games.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Nets are 6-0 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Teams are 4-1-1 vs spread the night after playing Boston.
• TOTALS
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-- Eight of last ten Toronto games went over the total.
-- Four of Knicks' last five games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Cleveland games went over the total.
-- 11 of last 14 Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in Clippers' last eight games.
-- Five of last six Charlotte road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Sacramento road games stayed under total.
-- Last nine New Orleans games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Memphis games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Dallas games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Portland games stayed under total.
• QUICK HITS
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--NEW JERSEY @ TORONTO, 7:00 PM ET NEW JERSEY: 6-0 ATS playing on back to back days. TORONTO: 19-40 ATS after allowing 110+ points.
--MIAMI @ NEW YORK, 7:00 PM ET ESPN MIAMI: 5-1 Over vs. New York. NEW YORK: 11-1 ATS as an underdog.
--CLEVELAND @ INDIANA, 7:00 PM ET CLEVELAND: 10-24 ATS Away off 5+ losses. INDIANA: 11-1 Under off 3 straight double digit losses.
--LA LAKERS @ PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 40-19 Under off 2 straight road games. PHILADELPHIA: 10-0 ATS L10 games.
--LA CLIPPERS @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET LA CLIPPERS: 13-4 Over Away revenging home loss. DETROIT: 22-39 ATS as home favorite.
--CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA, 7:30 PM ET CHARLOTTE: 17-7 ATS vs. Atlanta. ATLANTA: 3-10 ATS in home games.
--SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY, 8:00 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 16-32 ATS Away off loss by 3 pts or less. OKLAHOMA CITY: 7-0 Over as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.
--UTAH @ NEW ORLEANS, 8:00 PM ET UTAH: 48-29 ATS as a favorite. NEW ORLEANS: 15-3 Under off an Under.
--MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET MEMPHIS: 39-19 Under off 4+ ATS wins. HOUSTON: 32-18 Under at home off an Over.
--PHOENIX @ DALLAS, 9:30 PM ET ESPN PHOENIX: 19-8 ATS after allowing 120+ points. DALLAS: 9-22 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.
--MINNESOTA @ PORTLAND, 10:00 PM ET MINNESOTA: 18-37 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. PORTLAND: 22-10 ATS off loss by 6pts or less.
• NOTES & TIPS
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--0-15 – That's the Clippers' record in their last 15 road games dating back to last season. They lost their last four away from home during their 2009-10 campaign and they have started this season 0-11 on the road. Of course, their woes as visitors are so well-documented that they obviously get plenty of points from Vegas whenever they travel. The Clippers are a respectable 6-5 ATS this season on the road. One of the myriad reasons for their woes is that Blake Griffin is averaging 17.5 points per game on the road, just about five fewer than he averages at home.
--Josh McRoberts found himself on the bench for the second half of Indiana's Wednesday night loss to the Lakers. Due to a lack of rebounding, Coach Jim O'Brien shelved McRoberts (one rebound in 14 minutes) and gave 11 minutes of playing time to Tyler Hansbrough. O'Brien also said afterward that he is going to stick with Roy Hibbert at center, who can expect to see more and more playing time coming up. The Pacers host Cleveland on Friday.
--The Jazz are in the midst of a rare three-day break from games as they head into a four-game road trip, starting on Friday in New Orleans. Mehmet Okur, who has been out since undergoing Achilles' surgery in April, is going to make the trip but may not play at all (he definitely won't against the Hornets). Utah will, however, see the return of Raja Bell. The veteran guard has missed the past three games with an adductor strain and he is a game-time decision for Friday. "I'm treating it like I'm gonna play," Bell said. The last time the Jazz went on a four-game road trek, they won all four games in dramatic come-from-behind fashion.
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*** NEW JERSEY @ TORONTO (-4, O/U 202.5) ***
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After snapping one losing streak, the New Jersey Nets have a chance to end another skid. Coming off their first win in almost three weeks, the visiting Nets look to avoid a sixth consecutive loss to the Toronto Raptors on Friday night in a matchup of struggling teams. New Jersey snapped an eight-game slide Thursday with a 97-89 win over Washington, the only team in the Eastern Conference with a worse record than the Nets. "This was one we had to have," said guard Devin Harris, who called a team meeting before the game. "We have to be able to get it any way we can."
Harris had 29 points with nine assists, while Brook Lopez added 18 points and Kris Humphries had 12 with 17 rebounds as the Nets won for the first time since beating Portland 98-96 on Nov. 28. "We needed to hold ourselves accountable a little," Lopez said. "We're all sick of losing." Though New Jersey earned some confidence, another challenge awaits in Canada. The Nets are 2-11 away from home and have averaged 90.6 points during a nine-game road skid following consecutive wins at Cleveland and the Los Angeles Clippers on Nov. 15-17. New Jersey last beat the Raptors, 94-87 at Toronto on Dec. 15, 2008.
Though Toronto has averaged 107.8 points and shot 54.4 percent during its five-game winning streak over the Nets, Chris Bosh was in the lineup for all but one of those contests. With Bosh now playing for Miami, the Raptors no longer have a superstar presence. Toronto has lost two in a row and six of seven after falling 110-93 at home to Chicago on Wednesday. It marked the second straight game in which Toronto, averaging 102.0 points was held to fewer than 95. The Raptors knew they were outplayed against the Bulls, but also admitted they were physically inferior at both ends of the court, and that's happened more than once this season.
"It's embarrassing and I don't like it," said Jerryd Bayless, who had 20 points. "I'm not used to it and I'm not going to stand for it. We've got to get better." Injuries have plagued the Raptors of late. Jose Calderon (foot) could miss a fifth straight game and Peja Stojakovic (knee) his 11th in a row. Toronto also could be without leading scorer Andrea Bargnani (21.0 ppg) for a second consecutive contest because of a sore left knee. Leandro Barbosa scored 21 versus Chicago, and has averaged 19.3 on 27-of-49 shooting the last four games.
Harris has averaged 18.7 points and 8.7 assists in his last three against the Raptors. Sasha Vujacic, acquired by the Nets in a three-team deal with Houston and the Los Angeles Lakers on Tuesday, did not play Thursday. It's uncertain if he will make his New Jersey debut in this contest.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Toronto by 3.5; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Toronto -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Toronto -3.97
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--TORONTO is 65-91 ATS (-35.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 96.2, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--TORONTO is 40-63 ATS (-29.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.9, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--TORONTO is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.7, OPPONENT 104.8 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--TORONTO is 59-36 OVER (+18.8 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.9, OPPONENT 103.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 64-42 OVER (+17.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 100.9, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 39-20 OVER (+16.9 Units) after allowing 40 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 102.7, OPPONENT 103.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--TORONTO is 56-85 against the 1rst half line (-37.5 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 49.6, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW JERSEY is 34-16 against the 1rst half line (+16.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 49.1, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--TORONTO is 40-16 OVER (+22.4 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 53.6, OPPONENT 55.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 39-15 OVER (+22.3 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 54.2, OPPONENT 54.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--TORONTO is 40-17 OVER (+21.3 Units) the 1rst half total when the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 52.8, OPPONENT 54.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW JERSEY) - after going under the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents.
(41-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204
The average score in these games was: Team 106.6, Opponent 106.9 (Total points scored = 213.5)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 32 (59.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (72-51).
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (NEW JERSEY) - playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%).
(68-25 since 1996.) (73.1%, +40.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.6, Opponent 55 (Total first half points scored = 108.5)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-12).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (37-15).
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*** MIAMI (-5, O/U 209.5) @ NEW YORK ***
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It's the scene the Knicks tried to turn into their reality this summer: LeBron James and Dwyane Wade together at Madison Square Garden. Here it comes. Alas, it'll be a one-night-only gig. And James and Wade will be arriving at the Garden as guests. Unwelcome guests, at that. When the Miami Heat head to New York and face the Knicks on Friday, it'll essentially summarize how the wild free-agent period last summer played out. The Knicks coveted James and Wade; they teamed in Miami with Chris Bosh. Amare Stoudemire was considered by some to be New York's fallback choice during its offseason shopping spree; he's playing like an MVP-in-waiting for the resurgent Knicks, who are putting together their best basketball in a decade.
Hype? It'll be there, thicker and tougher than a sidewalk vendor's pretzel. And maybe that simmering Heat-Knicks rivalry will rekindle, too. "It'll be a great environment, one of those games that you love to play in, those moments that you look forward to," Wade said. "And when Friday comes I think we'll all be excited." For the Heat, what's looming Friday night is nothing new. They opened the season before a raucous crowd in Boston, then had the venomous reaction in Cleveland two weeks ago by fans who had waited months to let James know -- loudly and none-too-politely -- what they thought of his decision to join the Heat.
Knicks fans traditionally aren't shy about letting opponents know their thoughts either, which means Wade and James will be targets again. By now, the Heat are finding that to be almost commonplace. "We're public enemy No. 1 virtually everywhere we go," Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. Especially now. The Knicks met with James on July 1, the day the free-agent shopping window opened, and at least one other time before the NBA's two-time reigning MVP decided on joining Miami. So wanted was King James in New York that one of the city's newspapers, the Daily News, hosted its own all things free agency website - GetLeBron.com. But in recent days, the sense in New York has been decidedly different, "Who Needs LeBron" is the question asked in the papers now.
As he has for months, James says he strongly considered all six of the teams he met with in July, the Knicks included. "It wasn't the fact that it wasn't the right fit for me," James said. "I just thought Miami was the best fit for me. And that's why I'm here." The Knicks wooed James with everything they had: the bright lights of Manhattan, the proximity to his beloved Yankees, how his earning potential as a pitchman could be maximized by calling New York home. And many touted him as a potential savior of a Knicks franchise that has gone nearly four decades without an NBA title. It wasn't enough for the Big Apple to net the biggest prize during Free Agency 2010.
"Winning appeals to me," James said. "And it's all about winning. I'm not about saving franchises or saving this or that. It's about me winning and that's what I said all over the summer when I decided to come here, I felt like this was my best possible chance to win. So that's why I'm here." The Knicks were farther down Wade's list during the summer. He went into free agency with two clear choices, either the Bulls, his hometown Chicago team, or the Heat. Had James or Bosh made different decisions, Wade's view could have changed as well.
He's had big Garden moments before. He'd like another one on Friday. "Besides the Cleveland game in Cleveland, I think this would be one of the biggest games of the year when it comes to atmosphere, when it comes to participation from the city of New York," Wade said. "We look forward to playing on that stage." Oddly, this Heat-Knicks game will come nearly 15 years to the day after the rivalry between the teams truly began. Dec. 19, 1995. That was the day Pat Riley, now the Heat president returned to Madison Square Garden as coach, not long after resigning from the Knicks and taking over in Miami. He waved his arms at the crowd that night, egging them on and urging them to boo him as much as they could.
"Everyone looks for rivalries," Wade said. "It's a great story line. It's great for the game. The Heat-Knicks will always be one. And right now with both teams playing well off of this summer, with them getting Amare and all three of us coming here, the fans are going to make it a very big game." There's another element of this little get-together, too. If the Knicks hadn't gotten Stoudemire, Bosh very well could be New York's starting power forward right now. Stoudemire was one of the first free agents to make his mind up after July 1, and in some respects, him choosing New York had a domino effect across the league, including Miami.
"I was just looking at the situation for me," Bosh said. "Of course you're aware of what other players are doing and what they're thinking because it's always on the TV; it was always on the TV every day at that point. But with us playing the same positions, I knew it was either him somewhere or me somewhere. And I just wanted to be in the best situation possible. And I'm a lucky guy. I'm here now."
Wade and James have had their share of luck in New York. Wade is 6-3 when the Heat visit the Knicks, averaging 26.6 points per game in those matchups. James is 7-4 as a visitor to New York so far in his career, averaging 30.4 points and reaching 50 in two of his last four trips to the Garden. It's a special place for both of them. It just wasn't special enough to call home. "As a fan and as a player, that's the one building in America that you would love to play that before your career is over," James said. "I'm blessed that I've been part of the NBA and getting an opportunity to play there at least once a year."
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Miami by 2; O/U 211.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Miami -4.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Miami -5.07
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--NEW YORK is 58-37 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 102.9, OPPONENT 105.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
The average score was NEW YORK 110.2, OPPONENT 108.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--MIAMI is 37-55 ATS (-23.5 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 96.0, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 98-62 OVER (+29.6 Units) when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 70%) since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 94.8, OPPONENT 99.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 98-65 OVER (+26.5 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 97.2, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW YORK is 31-12 OVER (+17.7 Units) after allowing 110 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 107.7, OPPONENT 108.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW YORK is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW YORK 109.9, OPPONENT 114.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW YORK is 99-64 against the 1rst half line (+28.3 Units) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was NEW YORK 47.2, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 32-59 against the 1rst half line (-32.7 Units) in road games after having won 8 or more of their last 10 games since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 45.2, OPPONENT 46.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 22-46 against the 1rst half line (-28.6 Units) after 6 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 48.2, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--MIAMI is 97-59 UNDER (+31.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite of 3 points or less vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.2, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--MIAMI is 73-44 UNDER (+24.4 Units) the 1rst half total off 2 or more consecutive home wins since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 47.3, OPPONENT 45.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--MIAMI is 77-52 UNDER (+19.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was MIAMI 45.7, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (NEW YORK) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(24-5 since 1996.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.4
The average score in these games was: Team 108.3, Opponent 103.7 (Total points scored = 211.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (60% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
--PLAY ON - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (NEW YORK) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against opponent after 9 or more consecutive wins.
(26-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.2%, +19.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.4, Opponent 48.9 (Average first half point differential = +1.6)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (48-28).
--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games.
(28-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +20.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 49.5 (Total first half points scored = 98.9)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (44-21).
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*** CLEVELAND @ INDIANA (-9, O/U 196) ***
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The Indiana Pacers are 2-6 this month and have suffered three consecutive double-digit defeats. While that slump has been rough, it's far better than what the Cleveland Cavaliers have endured. The Cavs will be trying to avoid their 10th straight loss and 11th in a row on the road when they face the Pacers on Friday night. Cleveland is 0-8 in December, losing six of those contests by double figures and getting outscored by 18.5 points over the nine-game skid.
The team managed to stay competitive against former Cavs star LeBron James and Miami on Wednesday, but fell 101-95 despite pulling within three with 1:33 left. Cleveland's Daniel Gibson had a season-high 26 points and Anderson Varejao added 18 points and 15 rebounds. "I couldn't ask for them to play any harder than they played," Coach Byron Scott said. "I thought they were terrific effort-wise. They competed for 48 minutes."
Facing the struggling Pacers would appear to give Cleveland a good chance to avoid adding to its longest skid since it dropped 15 in a row from Nov. 6-Dec. 2, 2002. The Cavs last lost 11 straight on the road Jan. 28-March 26, 2005. The Cavaliers, however, have lost their two meetings with Indiana this season by an average of 12.5 points, scoring 87.0 points on 40.4 percent shooting in those contests. In the most recent matchup Nov. 23 at Indianapolis, Cleveland trailed by 27 after three quarters and lost 100-89.
The Cavs outscored the Pacers 33-17 in the final 12 minutes, but that was after Indiana outscored them 38-21 in the second period. Danny Granger led Indiana with 24 points and has averaged 31.3 during the Pacers' three consecutive wins in the series. He scored 34 in a 99-85 victory at Cleveland on Nov. 13. Granger, though, has shot 34.4 percent over the last four games and hasn't scored more than 18 points in his last three. The forward, averaging 20.7 points had 13 in his return from a sprained ankle Wednesday after missing one game.
The Pacers fell 109-94 at home Wednesday to the Los Angeles Lakers, who were never seriously threatened after building a 22-point halftime lead. "I'm not very happy with the way we competed, in all candor," coach Jim O'Brien said. "You've got to bring a certain ethic to the game and frankly, we haven't." The Pacers have scored 83.3 points per game during their season high three straight defeats, which have come by an average of 16.0 points. Indiana is averaging 98.3 points on the season and 103.4 at home.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Indiana by 11; O/U 193.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Indiana -12.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Indiana -12.77
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
------------------
--INDIANA is 85-53 ATS (+26.5 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 99.1, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--CLEVELAND is 64-94 ATS (-39.4 Units) in road games after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 89.1, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 21-42 ATS (-24.9 Units) in road games after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 89.4, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDIANA is 39-18 UNDER (+18.8 Units) after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was INDIANA 95.1, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 39-20 UNDER (+17.0 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 99.0, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game this season.
The average score was INDIANA 95.3, OPPONENT 94.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--INDIANA is 63-40 against the 1rst half line (+18.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 52.9, OPPONENT 52.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 30-11 against the 1rst half line (+17.7 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 54.7, OPPONENT 51.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CLEVELAND is 32-52 against the 1rst half line (-25.2 Units) in a road game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was CLEVELAND 47.9, OPPONENT 52.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--INDIANA is 44-22 OVER (+17.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 56.1, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--INDIANA is 10-0 OVER (+10.0 Units) the 1rst half total versus horrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 9+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 64.3, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 75-41 OVER (+29.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.5, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 5*)
--CLEVELAND is 38-17 OVER (+19.3 Units) the 1rst half total after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 52.0, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (INDIANA) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(73-31 since 1996.) (70.2%, +38.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51, Opponent 44.7 (Average first half point differential = +6.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (26-18).
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*** LA LAKERS (-5, O/U 196) @ PHILADELPHIA ***
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The Los Angeles Lakers are slowly becoming more offensively efficient as they progress through their road trip. That should be tested against an improving Philadelphia 76ers' club that has held its last three opponents below 40 percent shooting. These teams are on three-game win streaks entering Friday night's matchup in Philadelphia, where the Lakers have won their last three visits. Los Angeles began this seven-game road stretch with its two worst offensive efforts, averaging 85.5 points in splitting games against the Los Angeles Clippers and Chicago.
The Lakers have increased their output in the three games since, winning 109-94 at Indiana on Wednesday night. They shot 51.2 percent from the field and had 25 assists, both their best totals during the trip. "We played with more energy, and a more focused game, and with more of a sense of urgency," said Kobe Bryant about avenging an earlier loss to the Pacers. The Sixers are eager for the opportunity to test itself against Los Angeles after three straight efforts that pleased new coach Doug Collins.
Philadelphia has held an opponent below 40 percent twice in their first 22 encounters before this run. Collins knows that a similar effort won't come easy Friday. "Two-time defending champions, Kobe coming home," Collins said. "They're going to be a handful, to say the least." Bryant, born in Philadelphia, made 11 of 18 shots (61.1) for his best shooting performance of the season. He is bidding to shoot over 60 percent in consecutive regular-season games for the first time since Feb. 22-24, 2009.
"Pau Gasol is the most skilled big man in the NBA right now in my estimation, in terms of just skill in the post." Gasol had 28 points Wednesday for his highest point total in his last 12 games, after he combined for 31 in his previous two. "Just play more aggressive, more assertive," said Gasol, who has double-doubles in six of his last seven confrontations against the 76ers. "Just tried to attack more and it made a difference."
Philadelphia led by as many as 20 in Wednesday's 105-91 win over the Clippers. Jrue Holiday led five players in double figures with 24 points while Andre Iguodala added 20 as the 76ers finished with 21 fast-break points. The Lakers have won seven of their last nine against the Sixers, who are looking forward to the challenge. "They have been playing a little better as of late, but before that, it hadn't been that great for them," forward Elton Brand said. "We just have to have one of our best efforts."
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 2; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -2.06
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.3, OPPONENT 87.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 95.2, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 97.9, OPPONENT 94.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--LA LAKERS are 11-26 ATS (-17.4 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.7, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--LA LAKERS are 40-19 UNDER (+19.1 Units) after playing 2 consecutive road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 104.0, OPPONENT 94.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 55-33 UNDER (+18.7 Units) in road games off a road win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 99.5, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 16-3 against the 1rst half line (+12.7 Units) in home games after covering 8 or more of their last 10 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 53.2, OPPONENT 45.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 69-96 against the 1rst half line (-36.6 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 51.0, OPPONENT 49.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA LAKERS are 45-73 against the 1rst half line (-35.3 Units) in a road game where the first half total is 98 to 100.5 since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 49.3, OPPONENT 49.9 - (Rating = 5*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--PHILADELPHIA is 95-62 OVER (+26.8 Units) the 1rst half total after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 48.8, OPPONENT 48.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 30-10 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 48.8, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Road favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (LA LAKERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
(26-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.7%, +21.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.2, Opponent 49.2 (Average first half point differential = +2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (39-25).
______________________________________
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*** LA CLIPPERS @ DETROIT (-3.5, O/U 189.5) ***
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As bad as the Los Angeles Clippers have been over the years, it's been some time since they lost 12 straight on the road in a single season. They'll try to avoid doing so for the first time in 11 seasons when they look to avert a sweep by the Detroit Pistons on Friday night. Los Angeles fell 105-91 to Philadelphia on Wednesday to drop to 0-11 on the road. The Clippers last dropped 12 consecutive away games in one season Dec. 28, 1999-Feb. 20, 2000.
The overall road losing streak reached 15, and coach Vinny Del Negro is searching for answers after watching his team shoot 39.8 percent and commit 14 turnovers that led to 23 points. "I didn't like our effort at all," Del Negro said. "We were OK in the first half but in the second half they were much more aggressive. We turned it over too much and they got some layups off breaks. Our execution on defense was poor."
That's the opposite of what Detroit coach John Kuester was feeling after his club won 103-80 over Atlanta on Tuesday. The Pistons bounced back after blowing a 25-point lead in a 120-116 home loss to Toronto on Saturday. "Right now, every win is a great win, there's no doubt about it," Kuester said. "But by the same token, I thought we played a complete game. That's what you're looking for is guys to improve."
The Pistons will get another look at rookie Blake Griffin, who had 20 points and 18 rebounds Wednesday for his 13th straight double-double. He has 19 double-doubles for the season, second most in the league and has averaged 24.0 points and 13.7 boards in his last 13 games. Griffin had 18 and 18 in a 103-97 overtime loss to the Pistons on Nov. 12. Detroit took advantage of a short-handed Clippers team that played without Baron Davis and Chris Kaman.
While Kaman remains out with an ankle injury, Davis made his second straight start Wednesday and scored a season-high 18. Backcourt mate Eric Gordon, though, has struggled in making 15 of 41 shots in those two games. "We've got to do a better job of playing five-man basketball," Davis said. Gordon's 21.6 scoring average against Detroit is his second highest against any team. He scored 28 in last month's loss.
Charlie Villanueva led Detroit with 30 points against the Clippers in November, and is one of the NBA's top reserves with a 13.1 scoring average. He has averaged 20.0 points and 7.5 rebounds in the last two games. Former All-Star swingman Tracy McGrady scored a season-high 16 points Tuesday. McGrady made four 3-pointers in the fourth quarter after entering the contest with two on the season.
"It feels good to have this type of win because we're capable of doing that," McGrady said. "We just have to realize how we did it." The Pistons can sweep the series from the Clippers for the seventh time in the last eight seasons. Los Angeles won both meetings in 2009-10, ending an eight-game slide at Detroit with a 104-96 victory last Nov. 27.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Detroit by 3; O/U 193
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Detroit -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Detroit -2.03
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DETROIT is 48-72 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 94.1, OPPONENT 91.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--DETROIT is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 92.5, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 43-62 ATS (-25.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 92.9, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 31-12 OVER (+17.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 98.2, OPPONENT 107.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 52-32 OVER (+16.8 Units) as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.5, OPPONENT 106.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--LA CLIPPERS are 36-67 against the 1rst half line (-39.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 47.5, OPPONENT 52.9 - (Rating = 5*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 24-49 against the 1rst half line (-29.9 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 46.2, OPPONENT 53.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA CLIPPERS are 12-28 against the 1rst half line (-18.8 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 47.3, OPPONENT 55.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 76-45 UNDER (+26.5 Units) the 1rst half total after having lost 4 of their last 5 games since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 47.4, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 64-41 UNDER (+18.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 48.1, OPPONENT 44.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (DETROIT) - after beating the spread by more than 24 points in their previous game, in non-conference games.
(41-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.9%, +26.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.3, Opponent 47.2 (Average first half point differential = +6.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (24-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (68-46).
--PLAY ON - Any team (LA CLIPPERS) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(52-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.3%, +27.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (38-37 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.8
The average score in these games was: Team 99.3, Opponent 98.1 (Average point differential = +1.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (39.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (40-20).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (97-90).
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*** CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA (-6.5, O/U 183) ***
--------------------------------------------
Less than two months into the season, Larry Brown doesn't seem pleased with the play of his Charlotte Bobcats. Likely to be without one of their top players for a second straight game, the visiting Bobcats could have a tough time improving their coach's mood while trying to avoid a seventh straight road loss to the Atlanta Hawks. After making the playoffs for the first time in franchise history in 2009-10, the Bobcats had high expectations this season. However, they have yet to play like a playoff-caliber team.
Brown's displeasure came out after Charlotte dropped its seventh straight road game, 113-80 at Memphis on Wednesday. "We didn't play hard. We acted like we didn't even care," he said. "I had to get into them at halftime and beg them to play. That's not what I'm supposed to be doing. There was no effort and no teamwork." The Bobcats have averaged 82.8 points while losing three of four. "I get the feeling that I'm saying the same thing over and over again," Brown told the Bobcats' official website. "If we don't realize what our problems are, then I don't know what the answer is."
Things could get tougher Friday when the Bobcats are expected to be without star Gerald Wallace (16.7 points and 8.1 rebounds per game) for a second straight contest with a sprained left ankle. Even with Wallace, the Bobcats averaged 89.3 points during a six-game skid at Atlanta. "We just have to try and get back and forget about (Wednesday's loss)," Bobcats guard Shaun Livingston said. Stephen Jackson (17.7 ppg) could pick up the slack. Though he's averaged 12.8 points his last four games, Jackson has scored 22.2 per contest in his last five versus Atlanta.
Atlanta has injury concerns of its own with star Joe Johnson (17.1 ppg) still out with an elbow injury and reigning sixth man of year Jamal Crawford (14.8) in danger of missing a second straight contest because of a sore back. However, the Hawks have averaged 106.8 points on 49.6-percent shooting during a five-game home winning streak, all against sub-.500 teams. Forward Al Horford has averaged 18.0 points and 11.6 rebounds during that stretch. However, he was held to eight with seven boards as the Hawks dropped their second straight game, 102-90 at Boston on Thursday.
Atlanta's starting frontcourt of Horford, Josh Smith and Jason Collins hope for a better effort Friday after combining for nine points on 4-of-15 shooting against the Celtics. Despite that lack of production, the Hawks shot 50.0 percent but could not prevent Boston from making 53 percent of its shots and scoring 50 points in the paint. "(The Celtics) know how to win and it's where we need to get to," Horford said. Marvin Williams scored a season-high 26 points as the Hawks fell to 5-4 without Johnson.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 7.5; O/U 190
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -8
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -7.96
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 61-34 ATS (+23.6 Units) after scoring 85 points or less since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 95.1, OPPONENT 96.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 51-30 ATS (+17.8 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 94.4, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 86-58 OVER (+21.9 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 101.2, OPPONENT 95.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 29-11 OVER (+16.8 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 18 or less fouls since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 101.4, OPPONENT 98.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--CHARLOTTE is 57-35 against the 1rst half line (+18.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.2, OPPONENT 47.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 46-26 against the 1rst half line (+17.4 Units) versus good passing teams, averaging >=23 assists/game since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 49.1, OPPONENT 50.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--ATLANTA is 66-41 UNDER (+20.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 49.9, OPPONENT 45.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--CHARLOTTE is 29-11 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.6, OPPONENT 48.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 43.2, OPPONENT 46.0 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (ATLANTA) - playing on back-to-back days, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(43-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.5%, +23.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 46.1, Opponent 44 (Total first half points scored = 90.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-4).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (95-75).
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*** SACRAMENTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY (-11.5, O/U 205) ***
----------------------------------------------------
Shots seem to be dropping with ease for the Oklahoma City Thunder recently. That's not a good sign for the Sacramento Kings, who watched their last opponent put on an impressive second-half offensive effort. The Thunder look to win their fifth straight when they host the Kings on Friday night. Oklahoma City ranks in the bottom half of the NBA in field goal shooting at 45.4 percent. However, after a season-worst 35.4 percent performance in a 99-90 loss at Chicago on Dec. 6, the Thunder have shot 50 percent or better in their last four games and won them all.
They shot a season-high 57.7 percent in a 117-105 win over Houston on Wednesday. Kevin Durant went 12 of 18 from the field, finishing with 32 points while Jeff Green scored 21. "The shots are just falling for us," Green said. "We're getting great open looks." Increased ball movement plays a part in the improved shooting. The Thunder are averaging 23.8 assists over the winning streak, 4.5 above their season average. They had 25 assists for a second straight game Wednesday with five players recording at least four. "We want to see each other do well," James Harden told the Thunder's official website.
"On the fast break, just sharing the ball and having fun out there. You see all the excitement out there when everybody's scoring." The Thunder, halfway through a four-game homestand, are looking to match their longest winning streak of the season when they face Sacramento which has dropped its last three overall and seven in a row on the road. The Kings suffered a 94-91 loss to New Orleans on Wednesday, blowing a 23-point second-half lead. The Hornets would go on a 20-4 run to get back into the game after Sacramento seemed to put it away late in the third quarter.
"The defensive intensity we had earlier in the game wasn't there," Coach Paul Westphal said. "Maybe it's fatigue, maybe its inexperience, maybe its breaks in the game. I tend to think it's a little bit all of them." Tyreke Evans had 22 points and seven assists while Beno Udrih scored 20 points. However, the Kings let the Hornets shoot 56.8 percent in the second half after holding them to 31.7 in the first. Sacramento's previous two opponents each shot 50 percent or better. For the season, the Kings are allowing teams to shoot 47.4 percent, among the worst in the NBA.
On the road, the defense has been even worse with opponents shooting 49.0 percent. "From the looks of it, we're not all on the same page," Evans said. "We have too much going on. We're out there in the second half, we lose focus." Sacramento's road losing streak is it’s longest since dropping 11 in a row Jan.1-Feb.7. The Kings, who open a five-game homestand after Friday's contest, have lost all three games in Oklahoma City. This is the teams' first matchup since the Thunder won three of four last season. Durant averaged 32.0 points in those meetings and 28.8 over his career against the Kings -- his second-highest average against a team from the West.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Oklahoma City by 13, O/U 208.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Oklahoma City -12.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Oklahoma City -12.69
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 47-23 ATS (+21.7 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 101.6, OPPONENT 96.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) in road games after a close loss by 3 points or less since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 98.5, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 93.2, OPPONENT 102.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-27 OVER (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 103.5, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-2 OVER (+14.8 Units) after playing 2 consecutive games as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 105.4, OPPONENT 104.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 51-26 against the 1rst half line (+22.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.3, OPPONENT 50.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 62-39 against the 1rst half line (+18.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 51.1, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 against the 1rst half line (+8.0 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 60.9, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 8-23 against the 1rst half line (-16.9 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 49.7, OPPONENT 54.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-18 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 53.1, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-24 OVER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 54.8, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 59-35 OVER (+21.7 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 50.7, OPPONENT 55.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 43-22 OVER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 5.5 to 7 points vs. the 1rst half line since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 47.9, OPPONENT 54.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more.
(22-4 since 1996.) (84.6%, +17.6 units. Rating = 5*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 106.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 59.9, Opponent 52.6 (Total first half points scored = 112.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (12-2).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (SACRAMENTO) - after a close loss by 3 points or less against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(29-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.9%, +22.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 212.5
The average score in these games was: Team 108.2, Opponent 115.9 (Total points scored = 224.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 23 (69.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (33-14).
--PLAY ON - Home favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team.
(47-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.4%, +28.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 7.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 55.4, Opponent 44.4 (Average first half point differential = +11)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (39-14).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (91-51).
--PLAY ON - Favorites of 10 or more points (OKLAHOMA CITY) - after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
(42-16 since 1996.) (72.4%, +24.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (56-4)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 12.1
The average score in these games was: Team 104.6, Opponent 89.9 (Average point differential = +14.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 19 (32.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (20-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-6).
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*** UTAH (-1, O/U 189) @ NEW ORLEANS ***
-----------------------------------------
Following last month's home win over the New Orleans Hornets, Utah Jazz coach Jerry Sloan said the club considered Deron Williams and Chris Paul of virtually equal value during the 2005 draft. Williams has been superior when he's faced Paul in the NBA. Looking to match a career high with his fourth straight game with 30 or more points, Williams will try to help the Jazz post their fifth consecutive victory in New Orleans on Friday night.
After watching Williams post his seventh consecutive double-double against the Hornets with 26 points, 11 assists and five steals in a 105-87 victory in Salt Lake City on Nov. 24, Sloan said the Jazz had a hard time choosing between Williams and Paul, the former Wake Forest star whom New Orleans drafted at No. 4, one spot later. "We could have gone either way and it wouldn't have mattered," Sloan said after Utah beat the Hornets for the fourth straight time and Williams improved to 12-3 against New Orleans with Paul in the lineup.
Williams may now be playing his best basketball since skipping his final year of eligibility at Illinois. He has 96 points in the last three games after scoring 11 of his 30 in the fourth quarter of Monday's 108-95 victory over Golden State. The Western Conference Player of the Month for November, Williams is shooting 52.7 percent from the field over the last three games, and has a chance to score 30 or more in four straight for the first time since Feb. 5-11, 2009. "I have to say this is as good as I have ever seen him play," Sloan said Monday after Utah improved to 18-8. "He's been sensational, really. He just took the game over and put it in his hands."
The Hornets are all too familiar with what he can do. Williams, whose 55.4-percent shooting against New Orleans is his best versus any opponent, scored 27 with 16 assists in a 114-103 victory in the Jazz's last visit to Louisiana on April 9. Paul, who missed that matchup with a ligament tear in the middle finger of his right hand, scored 22 points with 11 assists as the Hornets ended a season-high three-game skid Wednesday with a 94-91 victory over Sacramento. New Orleans trailed by as many as 23 points in the second half, but seldom-used guard Marcus Thornton scored 17 of his season-high 19 points after the break to spark the largest comeback in franchise history.
"He didn't give up," Paul said of Thornton, who hadn't played in three of the previous four games. "He knows we're going to need him and the next game might not call for 25 minutes from him, but we need that same energy and that was great for him." While the matchup of All-Star point guards will take center stage, the battle down low between Jazz big men Paul Millsap and Al Jefferson and New Orleans' David West and Emeka Okafor could decide the winner of this matchup. Millsap and Jefferson combined for 40 points and 14 rebounds in last month's victory over New Orleans, which received 22 points and 15 boards from West and Okafor. Paul contributed 17 points and nine assists as the Hornets lost for the 16th time in 20 matchups with the Jazz. New Orleans' last home win against Utah was a 110-98 victory Feb. 28, 2008.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Utah by 2.5; O/U 193.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Utah -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Utah -1.98
_______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 39-64 ATS (-31.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.4, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 40-61 ATS (-27.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 97.7, OPPONENT 100.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 41-19 ATS (+20.1 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 104.5, OPPONENT 98.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 73-49 ATS (+19.1 Units) versus teams who average 48 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 100.8, OPPONENT 95.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--UTAH is 82-52 OVER (+24.8 Units) in road games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was UTAH 98.3, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--UTAH is 24-7 OVER (+16.3 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 106.3, OPPONENT 105.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 59-39 OVER (+16.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 101.6, OPPONENT 103.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 36-61 against the 1rst half line (-31.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 48.5, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 5*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 28-49 against the 1rst half line (-25.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.9, OPPONENT 51.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW ORLEANS is 5-21 against the 1rst half line (-18.1 Units) vs. excellent free throw shooting teams - making >=80% of their shots over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 47.2, OPPONENT 51.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--NEW ORLEANS is 52-31 UNDER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.4, OPPONENT 48.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 32-12 UNDER (+18.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.1, OPPONENT 51.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 39-18 UNDER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was UTAH 47.3, OPPONENT 50.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--UTAH is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was UTAH 41.6, OPPONENT 46.1 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Home underdogs (NEW ORLEANS) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a close home win by 3 points or less.
(55-23 since 1996.) (70.5%, +29.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (59-19)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 5.1
The average score in these games was: Team 101.8, Opponent 93.1 (Average point differential = +8.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 29 (38.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (14-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-11).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(43-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.5%, +23.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 45.4, Opponent 45.1 (Total first half points scored = 90.5)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (81-51).
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StatSystems Sports NBA Report 12/17/10 cont.
*** MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON (-4, O/U 203) ***
----------------------------------------
While dealing with their biggest star's latest injury setback, the Houston Rockets hope a new arrival can help in their quest to reach .500. Recently acquired former first-round pick Terrence Williams could make his Rockets debut Friday night as they try to continue their dominance of the surging Memphis Grizzlies. The Rockets announced Thursday that seven-time All-Star Yao Ming has a stress fracture in the left ankle that has kept him out since Nov. 10. There is no timetable for the return of the 7-foot-6 Yao, whose career might be in serious jeopardy after a series of injuries.
Williams has underachieved since New Jersey selected him with the 11th overall pick in 2009, but the Rockets believe the swingman still has enough potential that they traded a lottery-projected 2012 first-round pick to the Nets on Tuesday in exchange for the former Louisville star. Williams, who fell out of favor in New Jersey this season because of his occasional tardiness, averaged 8.2 points in 88 games with the Nets.
"Terrence is a very talented and competitive player who allows us additional flexibility with our lineup," general manager Daryl Morey told the Rockets' official website. "He has an all-around offensive game along with a defensive mindset and ability." A change of scenery could help Williams and further benefit a Houston club that has shown improvement even without Yao and point guard Aaron Brooks, who has missed all but the first five games with an ankle injury. Houston, which started 0-5, has now won five of eight overall and six in a row at home.
"We are playing better and have a better rhythm as a team," forward Shane Battier said. "I think we are 10-10 the last 20, which is a vast improvement from where we started. We still have a ways to go." Though Houston lost 117-105 at Oklahoma City on Wednesday, it has allowed 96.8 points during its home winning streak. Kevin Martin has averaged 24.2 points during that streak and 30.3 in his last 12 games against the Grizzlies. Martin and Kyle Lowry each had 28 points as the Rockets shot a season-high 59.5 percent in a 127-111 win at Memphis on Dec. 3.
Houston has averaged 107.5 points while winning six straight overall against Memphis, and has held the Grizzlies to 87.4 points per game during an eight-game home winning streak in the series. Memphis however, has allowed an average of 83.5 points while winning a season-high four straight overall. The run began with road victories over Phoenix and the Los Angeles Clippers, and continued Wednesday with a 113-80 rout of Charlotte.
O.J Mayo had 24 points and Rudy Gay added 23 as the Grizzlies posted the second-largest winning margin in franchise history. "We are getting effort from everybody," guard Mike Conley said. "I think the starters are doing a good job. Then the bench comes in and contributes a lot. That's what we need." Gay, averaging a team-high 21.0 points, had 29 against the Rockets earlier this month. Memphis is looking to win five in a row for the first time since April 11-19, 2006.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 3; O/U 206.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Houston -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -2.84
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 54-26 ATS (+25.4 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 92.1, OPPONENT 90.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 39-19 OVER (+17.8 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 103.7, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 54-26 OVER (+25.4 Units) in road games after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 102.1, OPPONENT 104.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 75-46 against the 1rst half line (+24.2 Units) as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 48.9, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 58-34 against the 1rst half line (+19.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 51.5, OPPONENT 52.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 25-7 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=27 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 52.2, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 69-37 UNDER (+27.9 Units) the 1rst half total after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 48.3, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 58-33 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 49.5, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 93-61 UNDER (+25.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.1, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 51-29 UNDER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.4, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games.
(28-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (17-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.9
The average score in these games was: Team 102.6, Opponent 102 (Average point differential = +0.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (51.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-21).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 85 points or less 3 straight games.
(32-7 since 1996.) (82.1%, +24.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.6, Opponent 43.4 (Average first half point differential = +6.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-6).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(27-8 since 1996.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 203.5
The average score in these games was: Team 103.6, Opponent 109.2 (Total points scored = 212.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (58.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games.
(32-10 since 1996.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.5, Opponent 47.8 (Total first half points scored = 99.3)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-6).
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*** PHOENIX @ DALLAS (-7, O/U 210.5) ***
-----------------------------------------
The Dallas Mavericks' defense has struggled over the last two games. Coach Rick Carlisle's team could get tested again if the high-scoring Phoenix Suns can repeat their most recent effort. Dallas goes for its sixth straight home win over the Suns, who begin a potentially difficult three-game trip. Since holding their opponents to 93.0 points and 43.4 percent shooting during a 12-game winning streak from Nov. 20-Dec. 11, the Mavericks have allowed an average of 100.5 points on 48.5-percent shooting in the last two contests.
Dallas wasted a 20-point first-half lead in Monday's 103-99 loss to Milwaukee, and nearly let a 17-point third-quarter edge slip away Wednesday before holding on for a 103-98 victory over Portland. "We circled the wagons and got it together," Carlisle said after his team held the Trail Blazers to a pair of field goals in the final 2:59 and improved to 4-1 on a season-high six-game homestand.
Meanwhile, Suns coach Alvin Gentry was pleased how his team pulled itself out of a season high-tying three-game slide with Wednesday's 128-122 victory over lowly Minnesota. Phoenix hit 15 3-pointers and shot 50.6 percent from the field as seven players scored in double figures. "Right now, it's the best thing that could have happened to us," said Gentry, whose team also travels to Oklahoma City and San Antonio on this trip. "We just needed a win." The Suns also need to improve a defense yielding a league-worst 110.0 points per game.
Having center Robin Lopez back may help. With Lopez in the lineup Wednesday after missing 14 games with a sprained left knee, the Suns outrebounded the league's best rebounding team by seven. While he was out, Phoenix was outrebounded by at least that amount seven times. "I'm really excited to continue to play with Robin and he did a good job tonight," said Channing Frye, who grabbed a team-high nine boards and hit a career high-tying seven 3s. "He really helped out (with 12 points and eight rebounds)... It's kind of easier to get up and pressure a little more when you got Big Fella back there."
Frye and Grant Hill might need that help trying to slow down Dirk Nowitzki and Caron Butler. Nowitzki, averaging a team-high 25.0 points, has shot 63.1 percent from the field over the last seven games, while Butler is coming off a season high-tying 23-point effort against Portland. He scored nine straight for Dallas in the third quarter. "He has no fear of big shots and big situations," Carlisle said. In his second game after being acquired in a trade with Washington, Butler had 15 points during the Suns' last visit to Dallas, a 107-97 Mavericks win on Feb. 17. That victory sparked the Mavericks' season-best 13-game winning streak.
Steve Nash, who had a season-high 19 assists Wednesday, is averaging 17.8 points with 11.2 assists in the Suns' last five games in Dallas. Mavericks point guard Jason Kidd, the only active player with more assists than Nash, had 18 points, 10 assists and a career-high seven steals in the Feb. 17 victory. Suns leading scorer Jason Richardson averaged 20.3 points on 51.0 percent shooting as Phoenix dropped two of three to the Mavericks in 2009-10.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 8.5; O/U 210.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -8.92
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DALLAS is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 101.8, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 7-21 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 99.3, OPPONENT 97.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 110.0, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 105.9, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 42-21 OVER (+18.9 Units) in road games after scoring 120 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 110.0, OPPONENT 107.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 32-14 OVER (+16.4 Units) in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 111.3, OPPONENT 106.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DALLAS is 52-76 against the 1rst half line (-31.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 50.3, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--DALLAS is 12-28 against the 1rst half line (-18.8 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 50.1, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 35-14 UNDER (+19.6 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 48.5, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 27-9 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 50.9, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 38-19 UNDER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 51.1, OPPONENT 52.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(58-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +33.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 50.2 (Total first half points scored = 101.9)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-48).
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*** MINNESOTA @ PORTLAND (-9, O/U 200) ***
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A return home should give the Portland Trail Blazers a good chance to snap a three-game slide. A visit from the Minnesota Timberwolves would seem to give them an even better shot to do so. The Blazers attempt to win their season-high fourth straight at the Rose Garden and beat the Timberwolves for the 13th consecutive time Friday night. Portland opened its recently completed road trip with a 101-94 victory over Phoenix on Dec. 10, but didn't win again over the final three games. LaMarcus Aldridge scored 20 of his season-high 35 points in the fourth quarter Wednesday, but the Blazers fell 103-98 to Dallas.
"We've just got to take what we did to come back from 17 down and start games off like that, more confident with a better rhythm," Aldridge told the team's official website. "We came out kind of slow. We've got to start the game off much better." Portland should have a good opportunity for a better start against Minnesota, which is allowing an NBA-worst 56.4 points in the first half. The Timberwolves are yielding 109.8 per game, second most in the league, and 113.1 over nine straight road losses. The Blazers have outscored the Wolves 102.5-88.8 during their 12-game run in the series.
During one of its best offensive performances of the season Wednesday, Minnesota held a fourth-quarter lead at Phoenix but couldn't recover after giving up 11 straight points in a 128-122 defeat. "It's happened to us a lot this year," big man Darko Milicic said. "We just can't finish up the games. We had a game we could win, but we just couldn't do it." Kevin Love had 23 points and 16 rebounds for his career-best 12th consecutive double-double, but couldn't help the Timberwolves avoid their third straight loss, all during a season-high six-game trip.
"We just made a bunch of mistakes in our defensive coverage," coach Kurt Rambis said. "Whether it was pick-and-rolls or transition, from the very start of the game guys weren't putting their heads down and running back." Blazers guard Brandon Roy will look to take advantage of the defensively challenged Wolves as he tries to end his offensive struggles. He has averaged 6.7 points and 24.3 percent shooting over the last three games.
Roy, though, has averaged 10.3 points in his last four meetings with Minnesota, far below his career scoring average of 19.9. He scored seven points in the teams' most recent matchup, a 110-91 road victory Feb. 27. Love has struggled against Portland, averaging 5.6 points and 5.4 rebounds in five games. However, the NBA's leading rebounder at 15.6 a contest missed three of the four matchups last season. Minnesota, 1-26 in its last 27 on the road, has dropped nine straight in Portland.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 8.5; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -9.49
_________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--PORTLAND is 28-9 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 100.2, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 97.8, OPPONENT 109.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.2, OPPONENT 109.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 80-45 UNDER (+30.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.3, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--PORTLAND is 79-49 UNDER (+25.1 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.9, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--PORTLAND is 88-61 UNDER (+20.9 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 95.5, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 27-8 against the 1rst half line (+18.2 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.8, OPPONENT 44.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 17-39 against the 1rst half line (-25.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.8, OPPONENT 55.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 18-34 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.7, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 36-17 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 51.3, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 39-14 OVER (+23.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.8, OPPONENT 58.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 34-13 OVER (+19.2 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.4, OPPONENT 59.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
(31-8 since 1996.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 54.2, Opponent 55.7 (Total first half points scored = 109.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-6).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (MINNESOTA) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.
(53-20 since 1996.) (72.6%, +31 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.9, Opponent 46.5 (Average first half point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (38-11).
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*** MEMPHIS @ HOUSTON (-4, O/U 203) ***
----------------------------------------
While dealing with their biggest star's latest injury setback, the Houston Rockets hope a new arrival can help in their quest to reach .500. Recently acquired former first-round pick Terrence Williams could make his Rockets debut Friday night as they try to continue their dominance of the surging Memphis Grizzlies. The Rockets announced Thursday that seven-time All-Star Yao Ming has a stress fracture in the left ankle that has kept him out since Nov. 10. There is no timetable for the return of the 7-foot-6 Yao, whose career might be in serious jeopardy after a series of injuries.
Williams has underachieved since New Jersey selected him with the 11th overall pick in 2009, but the Rockets believe the swingman still has enough potential that they traded a lottery-projected 2012 first-round pick to the Nets on Tuesday in exchange for the former Louisville star. Williams, who fell out of favor in New Jersey this season because of his occasional tardiness, averaged 8.2 points in 88 games with the Nets.
"Terrence is a very talented and competitive player who allows us additional flexibility with our lineup," general manager Daryl Morey told the Rockets' official website. "He has an all-around offensive game along with a defensive mindset and ability." A change of scenery could help Williams and further benefit a Houston club that has shown improvement even without Yao and point guard Aaron Brooks, who has missed all but the first five games with an ankle injury. Houston, which started 0-5, has now won five of eight overall and six in a row at home.
"We are playing better and have a better rhythm as a team," forward Shane Battier said. "I think we are 10-10 the last 20, which is a vast improvement from where we started. We still have a ways to go." Though Houston lost 117-105 at Oklahoma City on Wednesday, it has allowed 96.8 points during its home winning streak. Kevin Martin has averaged 24.2 points during that streak and 30.3 in his last 12 games against the Grizzlies. Martin and Kyle Lowry each had 28 points as the Rockets shot a season-high 59.5 percent in a 127-111 win at Memphis on Dec. 3.
Houston has averaged 107.5 points while winning six straight overall against Memphis, and has held the Grizzlies to 87.4 points per game during an eight-game home winning streak in the series. Memphis however, has allowed an average of 83.5 points while winning a season-high four straight overall. The run began with road victories over Phoenix and the Los Angeles Clippers, and continued Wednesday with a 113-80 rout of Charlotte.
O.J Mayo had 24 points and Rudy Gay added 23 as the Grizzlies posted the second-largest winning margin in franchise history. "We are getting effort from everybody," guard Mike Conley said. "I think the starters are doing a good job. Then the bench comes in and contributes a lot. That's what we need." Gay, averaging a team-high 21.0 points, had 29 against the Rockets earlier this month. Memphis is looking to win five in a row for the first time since April 11-19, 2006.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 3; O/U 206.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Houston -3
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -2.84
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 54-26 ATS (+25.4 Units) after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 92.1, OPPONENT 90.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 81-55 ATS (+20.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 96.4, OPPONENT 95.5 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 39-19 OVER (+17.8 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 103.7, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 54-26 OVER (+25.4 Units) in road games after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 102.1, OPPONENT 104.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MEMPHIS is 75-46 against the 1rst half line (+24.2 Units) as an underdog vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 48.9, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 58-34 against the 1rst half line (+19.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 51.5, OPPONENT 52.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 25-7 against the 1rst half line (+17.3 Units) versus good foul drawing teams - attempting >=27 free throws/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 52.2, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 69-37 UNDER (+27.9 Units) the 1rst half total after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 48.3, OPPONENT 46.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--HOUSTON is 58-33 UNDER (+20.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 49.5, OPPONENT 46.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MEMPHIS is 93-61 UNDER (+25.5 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.1, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 4*)
--MEMPHIS is 51-29 UNDER (+19.1 Units) the 1rst half total after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was MEMPHIS 46.4, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 3 straight games.
(28-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (17-17 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 5.9
The average score in these games was: Team 102.6, Opponent 102 (Average point differential = +0.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (51.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (38-21).
--PLAY AGAINST - Home teams vs. the 1rst half line (HOUSTON) - poor defensive team - allowing 99+ points/game on the season against opponent after allowing 85 points or less 3 straight games.
(32-7 since 1996.) (82.1%, +24.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 1.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.6, Opponent 43.4 (Average first half point differential = +6.2)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-6).
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MEMPHIS) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last five games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(27-8 since 1996.) (77.1%, +18.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 203.5
The average score in these games was: Team 103.6, Opponent 109.2 (Total points scored = 212.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 21 (58.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-4).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105.5 (HOUSTON) - in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3 PPG differential.), after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games.
(32-10 since 1996.) (76.2%, +21 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.5, Opponent 47.8 (Total first half points scored = 99.3)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (16-6).
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*** PHOENIX @ DALLAS (-7, O/U 210.5) ***
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The Dallas Mavericks' defense has struggled over the last two games. Coach Rick Carlisle's team could get tested again if the high-scoring Phoenix Suns can repeat their most recent effort. Dallas goes for its sixth straight home win over the Suns, who begin a potentially difficult three-game trip. Since holding their opponents to 93.0 points and 43.4 percent shooting during a 12-game winning streak from Nov. 20-Dec. 11, the Mavericks have allowed an average of 100.5 points on 48.5-percent shooting in the last two contests.
Dallas wasted a 20-point first-half lead in Monday's 103-99 loss to Milwaukee, and nearly let a 17-point third-quarter edge slip away Wednesday before holding on for a 103-98 victory over Portland. "We circled the wagons and got it together," Carlisle said after his team held the Trail Blazers to a pair of field goals in the final 2:59 and improved to 4-1 on a season-high six-game homestand.
Meanwhile, Suns coach Alvin Gentry was pleased how his team pulled itself out of a season high-tying three-game slide with Wednesday's 128-122 victory over lowly Minnesota. Phoenix hit 15 3-pointers and shot 50.6 percent from the field as seven players scored in double figures. "Right now, it's the best thing that could have happened to us," said Gentry, whose team also travels to Oklahoma City and San Antonio on this trip. "We just needed a win." The Suns also need to improve a defense yielding a league-worst 110.0 points per game.
Having center Robin Lopez back may help. With Lopez in the lineup Wednesday after missing 14 games with a sprained left knee, the Suns outrebounded the league's best rebounding team by seven. While he was out, Phoenix was outrebounded by at least that amount seven times. "I'm really excited to continue to play with Robin and he did a good job tonight," said Channing Frye, who grabbed a team-high nine boards and hit a career high-tying seven 3s. "He really helped out (with 12 points and eight rebounds)... It's kind of easier to get up and pressure a little more when you got Big Fella back there."
Frye and Grant Hill might need that help trying to slow down Dirk Nowitzki and Caron Butler. Nowitzki, averaging a team-high 25.0 points, has shot 63.1 percent from the field over the last seven games, while Butler is coming off a season high-tying 23-point effort against Portland. He scored nine straight for Dallas in the third quarter. "He has no fear of big shots and big situations," Carlisle said. In his second game after being acquired in a trade with Washington, Butler had 15 points during the Suns' last visit to Dallas, a 107-97 Mavericks win on Feb. 17. That victory sparked the Mavericks' season-best 13-game winning streak.
Steve Nash, who had a season-high 19 assists Wednesday, is averaging 17.8 points with 11.2 assists in the Suns' last five games in Dallas. Mavericks point guard Jason Kidd, the only active player with more assists than Nash, had 18 points, 10 assists and a career-high seven steals in the Feb. 17 victory. Suns leading scorer Jason Richardson averaged 20.3 points on 51.0 percent shooting as Phoenix dropped two of three to the Mavericks in 2009-10.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Dallas by 8.5; O/U 210.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Dallas -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Dallas -8.92
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DALLAS is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=46% over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 101.8, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--DALLAS is 7-21 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 99.3, OPPONENT 97.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 41-20 ATS (+18.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 110.0, OPPONENT 105.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 66-43 ATS (+18.7 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 105.9, OPPONENT 101.3 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PHOENIX is 42-21 OVER (+18.9 Units) in road games after scoring 120 points or more since 1996.
The average score was PHOENIX 110.0, OPPONENT 107.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 32-14 OVER (+16.4 Units) in road games after a game where they made 50% of their 3 point shots or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 111.3, OPPONENT 106.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DALLAS is 52-76 against the 1rst half line (-31.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 50.3, OPPONENT 50.5 - (Rating = 5*)
--DALLAS is 12-28 against the 1rst half line (-18.8 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 50.1, OPPONENT 48.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DALLAS is 35-14 UNDER (+19.6 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after playing a game as favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DALLAS 48.5, OPPONENT 47.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 27-9 UNDER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing 6 or less games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 50.9, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHOENIX is 38-19 UNDER (+16.7 Units) the 1rst half total after one or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 51.1, OPPONENT 52.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (DALLAS) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(58-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +33.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.6, Opponent 50.2 (Total first half points scored = 101.9)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-48).
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*** MINNESOTA @ PORTLAND (-9, O/U 200) ***
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A return home should give the Portland Trail Blazers a good chance to snap a three-game slide. A visit from the Minnesota Timberwolves would seem to give them an even better shot to do so. The Blazers attempt to win their season-high fourth straight at the Rose Garden and beat the Timberwolves for the 13th consecutive time Friday night. Portland opened its recently completed road trip with a 101-94 victory over Phoenix on Dec. 10, but didn't win again over the final three games. LaMarcus Aldridge scored 20 of his season-high 35 points in the fourth quarter Wednesday, but the Blazers fell 103-98 to Dallas.
"We've just got to take what we did to come back from 17 down and start games off like that, more confident with a better rhythm," Aldridge told the team's official website. "We came out kind of slow. We've got to start the game off much better." Portland should have a good opportunity for a better start against Minnesota, which is allowing an NBA-worst 56.4 points in the first half. The Timberwolves are yielding 109.8 per game, second most in the league, and 113.1 over nine straight road losses. The Blazers have outscored the Wolves 102.5-88.8 during their 12-game run in the series.
During one of its best offensive performances of the season Wednesday, Minnesota held a fourth-quarter lead at Phoenix but couldn't recover after giving up 11 straight points in a 128-122 defeat. "It's happened to us a lot this year," big man Darko Milicic said. "We just can't finish up the games. We had a game we could win, but we just couldn't do it." Kevin Love had 23 points and 16 rebounds for his career-best 12th consecutive double-double, but couldn't help the Timberwolves avoid their third straight loss, all during a season-high six-game trip.
"We just made a bunch of mistakes in our defensive coverage," coach Kurt Rambis said. "Whether it was pick-and-rolls or transition, from the very start of the game guys weren't putting their heads down and running back." Blazers guard Brandon Roy will look to take advantage of the defensively challenged Wolves as he tries to end his offensive struggles. He has averaged 6.7 points and 24.3 percent shooting over the last three games.
Roy, though, has averaged 10.3 points in his last four meetings with Minnesota, far below his career scoring average of 19.9. He scored seven points in the teams' most recent matchup, a 110-91 road victory Feb. 27. Love has struggled against Portland, averaging 5.6 points and 5.4 rebounds in five games. However, the NBA's leading rebounder at 15.6 a contest missed three of the four matchups last season. Minnesota, 1-26 in its last 27 on the road, has dropped nine straight in Portland.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Portland by 8.5; O/U 198
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Portland -9
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Portland -9.49
_________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--PORTLAND is 28-9 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 100.2, OPPONENT 94.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 18-37 ATS (-22.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 97.8, OPPONENT 109.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 99.2, OPPONENT 109.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 80-45 UNDER (+30.5 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.3, OPPONENT 96.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--PORTLAND is 79-49 UNDER (+25.1 Units) when the total is 200 to 209.5 since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 99.9, OPPONENT 99.2 - (Rating = 5*)
--PORTLAND is 88-61 UNDER (+20.9 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was PORTLAND 95.5, OPPONENT 92.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 27-8 against the 1rst half line (+18.2 Units) versus poor passing teams, averaging <=20 assists/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 48.8, OPPONENT 44.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 17-39 against the 1rst half line (-25.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 47.8, OPPONENT 55.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 18-34 against the 1rst half line (-19.4 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.7, OPPONENT 56.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--PORTLAND is 36-17 OVER (+16.9 Units) the 1rst half total in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PORTLAND 51.3, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 39-14 OVER (+23.4 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.8, OPPONENT 58.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 34-13 OVER (+19.2 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.4, OPPONENT 59.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - Road teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (MINNESOTA) - after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
(31-8 since 1996.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 54.2, Opponent 55.7 (Total first half points scored = 109.9)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-6).
--PLAY AGAINST - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (MINNESOTA) - good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.
(53-20 since 1996.) (72.6%, +31 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.9, Opponent 46.5 (Average first half point differential = +7.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-7).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (38-11).
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