STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAAF REPORT
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
______________________________________
***** NCAA College Football Information – Week #7 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 NCAA College Football season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
___________________________________________________________
#105 WASHINGTON ST @ #106 STANFORD
TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPN
Line: Stanford -16.5, Total: 55
The nation’s top-ranked passing offense will take on the No. 2 pass defense when Washington State travels to No. 22 Stanford for a Pac-12 matchup Friday night. The Cougars average 523 passing yards and fresh off a 60-59 loss to California in which Washington State quarterback Connor Halliday broke an NCAA record with 734 passing yards while throwing six touchdowns. The Cardinal are surrendering an average of 107.4 yards through the air this season and haven’t allowed at least 30 points in 27 straight games, the longest active streak in the FBS.
The Cougars have four wide receivers with at least six touchdown receptions this season led by Vince Mayle, who broke the program record in the California game by accumulating 263 receiving yards. Stanford will need to find a way to ratchet up its running game after totaling 47 rushing yards in a 17-14 loss last week to No. 5 Notre Dame, its fewest since 2007. Remound Wright will likely continue as the starting running back for Stanford, but Barry Sanders could be in line for extra carries if Wright continues to struggle.
•ABOUT WASHINGTON STATE (2-4, 1-2 Pac-12): The Cougars gave up two kickoff returns for touchdowns against California and a punt return for a score the week before in another one-point loss to Utah, leading to the dismissal of special teams coach Erik Russell. Quentin Breshears also missed a 19-yard field goal with 15 seconds left against the Golden Bears, which would have lifted Washington State to the win. Breshears also missed a 29-yarder last month in a seven-point loss to No. 11 Oregon.
•ABOUT STANFORD (3-2, 1-1 Pac-12): Ty Montgomery has been kept in check the last two games and that’s one of the reasons the Cardinal has had trouble moving the ball. The 6-2, 215-pound wide receiver caught 22 passes through the first three games but has totaled just four in each of the last two, gaining less than 30 yards in both games. He remains on pace to better last season’s total of 61 catches but is averaging just 9.6 yards a reception and has scored three touchdowns, well off the 15.7 average and 10 scores he finished with last season.
•PREGAME NOTES: Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan sat out Monday’s practice with a leg injury but the Cardinal anticipate he’ll be available Friday.... The last time the Cougars were involved in back-to-back one-point games was 1971.... Stanford has held opponents to 20 or fewer points in 12 consecutive regular-season games.... Halliday has 3,052 passing yards in just 6 games this season. That's the most yards by any FBS quarterback through 6 games played in a season since 2000.... Stanford has shown an ability to bounce back during Shaw's tenure. The Cardinal are 8-0 after losses since he was promoted to head coach before the 2011 season, and they haven't dropped consecutive games since October 2009.
Your Guide To Crushing The Books In NFL/NCAAF
With both the National Football League, and NCAA College Football regular seasons in full swing. Will you revert back to making questionable bets all season long and barely breaking even, if not losing money on the year? It's time you take control of your betting future and do it the right way. "Let the Experts here at StatSystems Sports guide you this season and help you crush the books like never before!"
Are you tired of those bad beats, the late back door covers which ruin your bet, along with the repeated mediocre or losing season? Well you've come to the right place and we are here to make sure that never happens again. Our team of Pro's are eagerly awaiting to smash the sportsbooks once again this year in both NFL and NCAAF.
"Why not join in on the profits with them and learn their secrets to success!"
•KEY STATS
--WASHINGTON ST is 58-28 OVER (+27.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON ST 26.8, OPPONENT 29.6.
--WASHINGTON ST is 15-4 against the 1rst half line (+10.6 Units) after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON ST 18.7, OPPONENT 15.8.
--STANFORD is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was STANFORD 27.4, OPPONENT 26.1.
--STANFORD is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 24.2, OPPONENT 18.7.
--STANFORD is 31-10 UNDER (+20.0 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was STANFORD 20.0, OPPONENT 25.9.
--STANFORD is 9-25 against the 1rst half line (-18.5 Units) in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was STANFORD 11.1, OPPONENT 14.7.
--STANFORD is 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus awful passing defenses - allowing 275 or more passing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was STANFORD 18.2, OPPONENT 18.1.
--STANFORD is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total in a home game where the first half total is between 25 and 28 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 14.4, OPPONENT 5.7.
--STANFORD is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total in a home game where the first half total is between 26.5 and 28 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 12.6, OPPONENT 6.3.
•COACHING TRENDS
--MIKE LEACH is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 37.9, OPPONENT 26.8.
--MIKE LEACH is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 33.2, OPPONENT 24.7.
--MIKE LEACH is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) off a home loss in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 34.1, OPPONENT 23.2.
--MIKE LEACH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 50 points or more last game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 33.7, OPPONENT 24.0.
--MIKE LEACH is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 36.5, OPPONENT 36.6.
--MIKE LEACH is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) the 1rst half total after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 15.1, OPPONENT 20.9.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--STANFORD is 14-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST since 1992.
--STANFORD is 14-6 straight up against WASHINGTON ST since 1992.
--10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--WASHINGTON ST is 10-8 versus the first half line when playing against STANFORD since 1992.
--12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.
--Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
--Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Cougars are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 meetings.
--Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Stanford.
•RECENT TRENDS
--WSU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
--WSU is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games in October.
--Under is 9-1 in WSU last 10 games on grass.
--STAN is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
--STAN is 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 conference games.
--Under is 8-1 in STAN last 9 conference games.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 24 times, while the underdog covered the spread 14 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 36 times, while the underdog won straight up 2 times. 35 games went under the total, while 30 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 21 times, while the underdog covered first half line 16 times. *No EDGE. 32 games went under first half total, while 31 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
_______________________________________________
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 10th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
______________________________________
***** NCAA College Football Information – Week #7 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 NCAA College Football season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of StatSystems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
___________________________________________________________
#105 WASHINGTON ST @ #106 STANFORD
TV: 9:00 PM EST, ESPN
Line: Stanford -16.5, Total: 55
The nation’s top-ranked passing offense will take on the No. 2 pass defense when Washington State travels to No. 22 Stanford for a Pac-12 matchup Friday night. The Cougars average 523 passing yards and fresh off a 60-59 loss to California in which Washington State quarterback Connor Halliday broke an NCAA record with 734 passing yards while throwing six touchdowns. The Cardinal are surrendering an average of 107.4 yards through the air this season and haven’t allowed at least 30 points in 27 straight games, the longest active streak in the FBS.
The Cougars have four wide receivers with at least six touchdown receptions this season led by Vince Mayle, who broke the program record in the California game by accumulating 263 receiving yards. Stanford will need to find a way to ratchet up its running game after totaling 47 rushing yards in a 17-14 loss last week to No. 5 Notre Dame, its fewest since 2007. Remound Wright will likely continue as the starting running back for Stanford, but Barry Sanders could be in line for extra carries if Wright continues to struggle.
•ABOUT WASHINGTON STATE (2-4, 1-2 Pac-12): The Cougars gave up two kickoff returns for touchdowns against California and a punt return for a score the week before in another one-point loss to Utah, leading to the dismissal of special teams coach Erik Russell. Quentin Breshears also missed a 19-yard field goal with 15 seconds left against the Golden Bears, which would have lifted Washington State to the win. Breshears also missed a 29-yarder last month in a seven-point loss to No. 11 Oregon.
•ABOUT STANFORD (3-2, 1-1 Pac-12): Ty Montgomery has been kept in check the last two games and that’s one of the reasons the Cardinal has had trouble moving the ball. The 6-2, 215-pound wide receiver caught 22 passes through the first three games but has totaled just four in each of the last two, gaining less than 30 yards in both games. He remains on pace to better last season’s total of 61 catches but is averaging just 9.6 yards a reception and has scored three touchdowns, well off the 15.7 average and 10 scores he finished with last season.
•PREGAME NOTES: Stanford quarterback Kevin Hogan sat out Monday’s practice with a leg injury but the Cardinal anticipate he’ll be available Friday.... The last time the Cougars were involved in back-to-back one-point games was 1971.... Stanford has held opponents to 20 or fewer points in 12 consecutive regular-season games.... Halliday has 3,052 passing yards in just 6 games this season. That's the most yards by any FBS quarterback through 6 games played in a season since 2000.... Stanford has shown an ability to bounce back during Shaw's tenure. The Cardinal are 8-0 after losses since he was promoted to head coach before the 2011 season, and they haven't dropped consecutive games since October 2009.
Your Guide To Crushing The Books In NFL/NCAAF
With both the National Football League, and NCAA College Football regular seasons in full swing. Will you revert back to making questionable bets all season long and barely breaking even, if not losing money on the year? It's time you take control of your betting future and do it the right way. "Let the Experts here at StatSystems Sports guide you this season and help you crush the books like never before!"
Are you tired of those bad beats, the late back door covers which ruin your bet, along with the repeated mediocre or losing season? Well you've come to the right place and we are here to make sure that never happens again. Our team of Pro's are eagerly awaiting to smash the sportsbooks once again this year in both NFL and NCAAF.
"Why not join in on the profits with them and learn their secrets to success!"
•KEY STATS
--WASHINGTON ST is 58-28 OVER (+27.2 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread since 1992.
The average score was WASHINGTON ST 26.8, OPPONENT 29.6.
--WASHINGTON ST is 15-4 against the 1rst half line (+10.6 Units) after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON ST 18.7, OPPONENT 15.8.
--STANFORD is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) off an upset loss as a favorite since 1992.
The average score was STANFORD 27.4, OPPONENT 26.1.
--STANFORD is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - averaging >=5.9 yards/play over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 24.2, OPPONENT 18.7.
--STANFORD is 31-10 UNDER (+20.0 Units) after scoring 14 points or less last game since 1992.
The average score was STANFORD 20.0, OPPONENT 25.9.
--STANFORD is 9-25 against the 1rst half line (-18.5 Units) in home games after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was STANFORD 11.1, OPPONENT 14.7.
--STANFORD is 14-4 OVER (+9.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus awful passing defenses - allowing 275 or more passing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was STANFORD 18.2, OPPONENT 18.1.
--STANFORD is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total in a home game where the first half total is between 25 and 28 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 14.4, OPPONENT 5.7.
--STANFORD is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) the 1rst half total in a home game where the first half total is between 26.5 and 28 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was STANFORD 12.6, OPPONENT 6.3.
•COACHING TRENDS
--MIKE LEACH is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 37.9, OPPONENT 26.8.
--MIKE LEACH is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) off a home loss against a conference rival in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 33.2, OPPONENT 24.7.
--MIKE LEACH is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) off a home loss in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 34.1, OPPONENT 23.2.
--MIKE LEACH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 50 points or more last game in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 33.7, OPPONENT 24.0.
--MIKE LEACH is 13-3 OVER (+9.7 Units) after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 36.5, OPPONENT 36.6.
--MIKE LEACH is 12-3 OVER (+8.7 Units) the 1rst half total after a dominating performance - 34+ minutes TOP, 24+ First downs in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was LEACH 15.1, OPPONENT 20.9.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--STANFORD is 14-6 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST since 1992.
--STANFORD is 14-6 straight up against WASHINGTON ST since 1992.
--10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--WASHINGTON ST is 10-8 versus the first half line when playing against STANFORD since 1992.
--12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings.
--Favorite is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
--Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Cougars are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 meetings.
--Cougars are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Stanford.
•RECENT TRENDS
--WSU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
--WSU is 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games in October.
--Under is 9-1 in WSU last 10 games on grass.
--STAN is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
--STAN is 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 conference games.
--Under is 8-1 in STAN last 9 conference games.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 24 times, while the underdog covered the spread 14 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 36 times, while the underdog won straight up 2 times. 35 games went under the total, while 30 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 21 times, while the underdog covered first half line 16 times. *No EDGE. 32 games went under first half total, while 31 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
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