Friday 09/25/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Friday 09/25/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Hot capper

<TABLE class=data id=hcPicks_tblHandicapperPicks cellSpacing=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=datacell>09/23/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>Soccer</TD><TD class=datacell>Bologna</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>480</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/23/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>Soccer</TD><TD class=datacell>Fiorentina</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>575</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/23/09</TD><TD class=datacell>Loss</TD><TD class=datacell>MLB</TD><TD class=datacell>Los Angeles Angels</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>-864</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/22/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>MLB</TD><TD class=datacell>over (SF at ARI)</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>800</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/21/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>MLB</TD><TD class=datacell>San Francisco Giants</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>856</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/21/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>Indianapolis Colts</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>800</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/20/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>MLB</TD><TD class=datacell>Los Angeles Dodgers</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>800</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/20/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>MLB</TD><TD class=datacell>under (KC at CHW)</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>800</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/20/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>under (STL at WAS)</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>600</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>09/20/09</TD><TD class=datacell>WIN</TD><TD class=datacell>NFL</TD><TD class=datacell>under (SEA at SF)</TD><TD class=datacell align=right>600</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

THE PREZ IS HOT:dancefool
 

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09/24/09 Loss MLB under (TEX at OAK) -770
09/23/09 WIN MLB Milwaukee Brewers 900
09/23/09 WIN MLB under (NYY at LAA) 600
09/22/09 Loss MLB Tampa Bay Rays -1080
09/22/09 Loss MLB Florida Marlins -840
09/21/09 Loss MLB Houston Astros -1233
09/21/09 Loss NFL under (IND at MIA) -1100
09/20/09 WIN NFL Chicago Bears 900
09/20/09 WIN NFL Houston Texans 600
09/20/09 Loss MLB Arizona Diamondbacks -784


BEN BURNS
 
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John Ryan

MLB | Sep 25
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox
-122 at 5DIMES > 19h.
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Boston s they face the NY Yankees set to start at 7:05 EST. Boston is a very strong 15-3 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games versus an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 over the last 3 seasons. Lester is 22-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. NYY are just 5-10 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons. Lester is pitching extremely well right now sporting a 1.29 ERA and a 1.000 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Yankee starter Chamberlain is getting hammered as the scouting report have caught him. Teams know how to approach him successfully and most evident in his last start against Seattle where the Mariners hammered him for 7 ER in 3 innings pitched. He has pitched 3,4,3 innings in his last 3 consecutive starts. Boston is coming together as a solid team with good team chemistry right at the most important time of the year. Take Boston.
 
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Jim Feist

MLB | Sep 25
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Total
7 un-115 at 5DIMES > 22h.
The Achille's heal for these teams all season has been offense. The pitching has been great, but the Cubs rank 21st in baseball in runs scored, the Giants 26. For this game a pair of aces take the hill. Carlos Zambrano of the Cubs has 23 strikeouts in his last 17 innings and is 4-1 all time against the light-hitting Giants. San Francisco welcomes back ace Tim Lincecum (14-6, 2.47 ERA), who is also a dynamite strikeout hurler with 247 on the season. No sense trying to coax a high scoring game out of this one. Play the Cubs/Giants Under the total.
 

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09/24/09 Loss MLB Texas Rangers -200
09/23/09 Loss MLB under (MIN at CHW) -330
09/22/09 WIN MLB over (BAL at TOR) 400
09/21/09 Loss NFL Miami Dolphins -440
09/20/09 Loss NFL Pittsburgh Steelers -550
09/19/09 WIN NCAAF Clemson 600
09/19/09 WIN NCAAF Washington 600
09/19/09 WIN NCAAF Auburn 400
09/19/09 WIN NCAAF Michigan St. 400
09/16/09 Loss MLB San Francisco Giants -351

DOCS SPORTS
 

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22/09 Loss MLB Milwaukee Brewers -315
09/21/09 WIN NFL Indianapolis Colts 300
09/21/09 Loss MLB Houston Astros -750
09/20/09 WIN NFL Chicago Bears 300
09/20/09 WIN NFL New Orleans Saints 300
09/20/09 WIN NFL New York Giants 300
09/20/09 WIN NFL Cincinnati Bengals 300
09/20/09 Loss NFL Carolina Panthers -330
09/19/09 WIN NCAAF Indiana 400
09/19/09 WIN NCAAF Michigan St.

MARC LAWRENCE
 

Member
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09/24/09 Loss MLB Texas Rangers -800
09/23/09 Loss MLB Chicago White Sox -990
09/22/09 Loss MLB Los Angeles Angels -936
09/22/09 Loss MLB San Francisco Giants -990
09/21/09 WIN MLB Los Angeles Angels 800
09/21/09 Loss MLB Houston Astros -1233
09/20/09 Loss MLB Arizona Diamondbacks -880
09/20/09 Loss NFL Tennessee Titans -990
09/20/09 Loss NFL over (PIT at CHI) -1100
09/20/09 Loss NFL Dallas Cowboys

NESS
 

Make Me some $
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Does anyone bet Root Consitantly?

Hey guys I have been following Root and see he wins alot of his big games. He is 5-0 on thurs. and 1-1 on nfl mon. night. Was wondering if any one has followed him for a few years? If so how did you fair? All thoughts are welcomed. Thank you.
 

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This is my 3rd season with Root and I am satisfied. I do not have exact figures but he wins alot. I'm surprised that I rarely see anyone mention him on here. He is really good at picking a dog to outright win. IMO he is best at west coast CFB but is good all around. I am currently playing his Upset Club picks which only cost a couple hundred bucks for the season.
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline
Our Bonus Play run stands at 37-23-4 the last 64 days!

For Friday night, we will take Minnesota in a near pick situation against Kansas City.

The Royals have been cooled off a little, losing the last 2 nights to the Boston Red Sox, and now they must take on a Minny team that has won 9 of 10, including their last 3.

No doubt RobinsonTejeda has been an eye-opener since coming back to the major leagues, as he is a perfect 3-0 in 4 return starts with an ERA under 1, but you have to believe that that kind of run just can't continue this time out.

Carl Pavano just beat Kansas City at Kauffman Stadium on August 23rd, working 7 innings of 2 run ball, and the Twins are a solid 5-1 versus the Royals this year in KC.

Minny has also won 12 of the last 15 overall meetings in Kansas City!

Have to go with Minnesota in a "must win" situation.

Play on the Twins.
3? MINNESOTA
 
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Jeff Benton

For Friday, I’ll lay the chalk with Jon Lester and the Red Sox at Yankee Stadium.

Obviously, New York has had the upper-hand in this rivalry this summer. Ever since losing the first seven meetings this season, the Yankees have taken six of the last seven, including a four-game home sweep last month. However, tonight’s pitching matchup favors Boston in a big way. The Sox are sending lefty Jon Lester to the mound, and all you need to know about him is this: Boston is 7-0 in his seven starts since mid-August; Lester has a 2.09 ERA since the beginning of August, including a 1.29 ERA in his last three starts; and he’s dominated New York in six starts against them since the start of 2008 (3-0, 1.90 ERA).

On the other hand, Yankees right-hander Joba Chamberlain is nothing more than a middle reliever disguised as a starter .That’s because for the last six weeks or so, New York has been employing the Joba Rules, as they haven’t let him go beyond four innings in any of his last six starts, and he hasn’t thrown more than 96 pitches in his last seven outings (and the big man is 0-4 during this stretch). Check out Chamberlain’s pitch counts his last five times he’s gone to the mound: 35, 59, 55, 67 and 69. His numbers since the start of August: one win, four losses, 33 earned runs allowed in 36 innings pitched (8.25 ERA).

Chamberlain will once again be on a pitch count tonight, and with two more games left in this series, we’re not going to see New York’s better arms follow him to the mound. Given Lester’s dominance (both lately and over the last two years against the Yankees) and Chamberlain’s struggles, this is a throwaway game for New York. Back the road team.
3♦ BOSTON (BASED ON A 1♦ TO 10♦ SCALE)
 
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Bobby Maxwell

Improved to 4-1 with my last five FREE selections after the Phillies rolled to a win in Milwaukee on Thursday. Tonigh I've got a nice plus-money comp selection on the Rockies as they host the Cardinals.

I know the Cardinals' Chris Carpenter (16-4, 2.34) has been virtually untouchable this season, but this is a great spot to take our shot with the plus-money Rockies at home.

Colorado just dropped two straight to the lowly Padres, so they are pissed. Plus those losses have narrowed their lead in the N.L. Wildcard to 3 1/2 over the Braves and four over the Giants. So they know they need to win and you'll see them get a close one tonight behind the pitching of Aaron Cook (10-6, 4.47 ERA).

Colorado swept four games in St. Louis back in June, absolutely dominating the Cardinals, outscoring them 33-9 in the four-game set. The Rockies have taken six straight from St. Louis coming into tonight.

Cook is making his first start since August 21. In that June series he dominated St. Louis in his start, going eight innings and allowing one run on four hits in a 10-1 Colorado win. It was that key series that really turned around the Rockies season and catapulted them to this run toward the wildcard.

Colorado is on runs of 37-16 at home, 8-1 at home against right-handed starters and 37-15 against N.L. Central teams.

It will be tough to beat Carpenter, who has been magnificent this season. He didn't face the Rockies back in June and hasn't seen them since 2006.

The Rockies need a win while the Cardinals are just one win away from clinching their playoff spot. I'm grabbing the plus money on the Rockies in this one.
2♦ COLORADO
 
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Dominic Fazzini

An otherwise meaningless run in the eighth inning by Toronto cost me a run-line victory for the Mariners on my complimentary selection Thursday.

But that's not stopping me from going with a run-line play on the Phillies and Cliff Lee today!

Lee (7-2, 2.65 ERA) has cooled off a little bit since first coming to Philadelphia at the trade deadline, but he is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA over his last three outings. A rain delay limited the left-hander to four innings at Atlanta on Sunday, when he gave up one run and five hits.

Lee never has faced Milwaukee, but he is 4-1 with a 3.08 ERA in six road starts with the Phillies.

Brewers starter Manny Parra (10-10, 6.42) has had a disappointing season, with the highest ERA in the NL for any pitcher with at least 80 innings. The lefty hasn't pitched since leaving his start against St. Louis on Sept. 8 with a stiff neck.

Parra is 0-3 with a 17.05 ERA in three career games (two starts) vs. Milwaukee.

Even if Parra is perfectly healthy, I think Philadelphia's offense should tee off on him today. And if Lee is on top of his game, this one is going to get real ugly in a hurry. Take the Phillies on the run line.
4♦ PHILADELPHIA -1 1/2 RUNS
 
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Karl Garrett

G-Man gave you another winner on Thursday with the Cubs, now 8-5-1 the last 2 weeks for free.

Friday night, and I am sticking with the red-hot Red-legs as they take on Houston.

Cincinnati just pulled off the 3-game sweep of Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh, and now they head back to the juice-box where they have taken 3 of the 4 series meetings against Houston this year.

Overall, the Reds are 10-3 in the season series versus the Astros, and starter Matt Maloney is fresh off his first win of the season his last time out, going the qualifying 5 frames while allowing 2 runs to score in a over Florida.

Brain Moehler hasn't got much to show for his last 3 starts, as he sports 3 no decisions while going 18 innings, and allowing 6 runs to score.

Moehler should be decent once again, but with Houston just stopping their rather lengthy losing skid on Wednesday, I don't see them running their winning streak to 2 in a row.

Cincy is just too hot right now, take 'em!
4♦ CINCINNATI
 
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Marc Lawrence MLB - Friday 9/25
Play On: Tampa Bay w/Shields vs Holland

Note: When the Rays send James Shields to the mound in Texas against Derek Holland tonight they will do so knowing he has cashed in three of his last four road starts. Shields is also 3-0 in his career team starts versus the Rangers. With Holland in rocky current form with five straight team starts losses and a 12.39 ERA to show for his efforts, we'll back the better team and the better arm here tonight.
 
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MLB WRITE-UP

Friday, September 25

Hot Pitchers
-- Vazquez is 4-0, 1.78 in his last five starts.
-- Nolasco is 3-1, 5.55 in his last four starts. Redding has a 2.07 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Garland is 3-0, 2.67 in four starts for the Dodgers.
-- Phillies won eight of Lee's ten starts for them.
-- Carpenter is 5-1, 2.53 in his last eight starts.
-- Correia is 2-0, 1.67 in his last four starts.
-- Cubs won Zambrano's last three starts, scoring 27 runs. Lincecum has a 2.77 RA in his last four starts.

-- Halladay has a 2.32 RA in his last four starts.
-- Lester is 5-0, 2.08 in his last nine starts.
-- Tejeda is 3-0, 0.81 in four starts for the Royals. Pavano is 1-0, 2.66 in his last three starts.
-- Peavy won his first White Sox start, allowing three runs in five IP.
-- Weaver has a 1.46 RA in his last two home starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Lannan is 1-4, 6.60 in his last eight starts.
-- Maloney is 1-4, 5.86 in his last five starts. Moehler is 0-2, 4.03 in his last five starts.
-- Karstens was 1-2, 5.40 in last five starts, last of which was way back on June 10.
-- Parra has a 7.94 RA in his last five starts.
-- Cook was 0-3, 9.00 in last four starts before going on the DL.
-- Scherzer is 0-2, 4.42 in his last three starts.

-- Fister is 0-2, 7.90 in his last three starts.
-- DHernandez is 0-4, 8.16 in his last seven starts. Carmona is 0-4, 11.12 in his last five outings.
-- Chamberlain is 0-4, 7.26 in his last eight starts.
-- Bonine has 7.36 RA in two starts for the Tigers.
-- Shields has a 6.04 RA in his last eight starts. Holland is 0-5, 12.21 in his last five outings.
-- GGonzalez has a 7.88 RA in his last five starts.

Hot Teams
-- Braves won 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Reds won eight of their last ten games.
-- Florida won 10 of its last 14 games.
-- Dodgers won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Phillies won nine of their last twelve games. Brewers won six of their last nine games.
-- Padres are 13-6 in their last 19 road games.
-- Cardinals won nine of last 11 road games. Colorado won four of its last six games.
-- Cubs won seven of their last ten road games.

-- Mariners won six of their last eight games. Toronto won three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox won 12 of their last 15 games. Bronx is 10-3 in last thirteen home games.
-- Tigers won their last four games, allowing 11 runs.
-- Twins won nine of their last ten games. Royals won 12 of their last 17 games.
-- Tampa Bay won five of its last six games.
-- A's won 14 of their last 18 games. Angels won six of last nine.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost 23 of their last 26 games.
-- Nationals lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Mets lost 17 of their last 23 road games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Arizona lost four of its last five games.
-- Giants are 3-5 in their last eight games.

-- Rangers lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Indians lost their last eleven games. Orioles lost seven in a row.
-- White Sox lost their last four games, allowing 25 runs.

Totals
-- Four of last five Washington home games went over the total.
-- Under is 15-6-2 in Dodgers' last 23 road games.
-- Five of last seven Florida home games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Cincinnati road games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last 14 games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last seven Colorado home games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight San Diego road games stayed under the total.
-- 12 of last 16 Giant games went over the total.

-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Seattle road games.
-- Five of last six Boston road games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in last ten Baltimore road games.
-- Under is 11-5 in Tampa Bay's last sixteen road games.
-- Four of last five Kansas City home games went over the total.
-- Last four Peavy starts went over the total.
-- Under is 11-3-1 in Angels' last fifteen home games.
 

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