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[Pittviper.Sports]

2-1 +2.22 units in the MLB yesterday, 3-0 +6.71 units in the NBA yesterday.

We are 34-22 (61%) +14.90 units to begin the 2012 MLB Season.
We are 33-25 (57%) +8.82 units so far in the NHL Playoffs.
We are 9-5 (64%) +7.10 units so far in the NBA Playoffs.

FRIDAYS MLB Spreadsheet:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Ao8CSVMd4slVdGFLVnhsV0FSUE9uUUwzSnU4aU5LNnc

• ROT# 918 - 7:05pm - Seattle/NY Yankees UNDER 8 (-125)

2.5 units to win 2.00 units

• ROT# 927 - 8:10pm - Toronto/Minnesota OVER 8.5 (-120)

2.5 units to win 2.08 units

• ROT# 912 - 8:25pm - St. Louis Cardinals -140

3.0 units to win 2.14 units

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Why Buy My Service?​

Making Money For You

• I work 70 hours per week to make sure my picks are the best of the best.
• All this work means means money in your pockets.

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• I'm 100% transparent. If you like what I offer, great. If not, I'm not going to lie to make you a customer.

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• You can put your money in the stock market and make around 10% ROI per year.
• Or you can bet my picks and easily return 100% ROI or more per year with very little risk.

• Just be patient, let the money pile up and you'll be laughing at Wall Street in no time!

Best of Luck,
Matthew Bittle - PittViper
www.PittViperSports.com

 

[Pittviper.Sports]

What do these spreadsheets include?

• TEAM BY TEAM MATCHUPS: WITH THE GAME TIMES, STARTING PITCHERS & ROTATION NUMBERS
• THE SAGARIN PITCHERS EARNED RUN AVERAGES
• THE ACTUAL PITCHERS EARNED RUN AVERAGES
• THE PITCHERS HOME/ROAD EARNED RUN AVERAGES
• THE BULLPENS EARNED RUN AVERAGES
• THE FOUR PITCHING ERA CATEGORIES (AVERAGED)
• THE MASSEY RATINGS/PREDICTED GAME OUTCOME
• THE OVERALL RUNS PER GAME AVERAGE
• THE HOME/ROAD RUNS PER GAME AVERAGE
• THE FOUR TEAM RATINGS/PREDICTED GAME OUTCOMES (AVERAGED)
• THE HOME ADVANTAGE RATING
• THE OVERALL RANKING AVERAGE (PITCHERS = 60% & TEAM RATINGS = 40%) + HOME ADVANTAGE
• THE PREDICTED SCORE (BASED ON THE SPORTSBOOKS TOTAL)

The purpose of these rankings are to show you which teams have longterm VALUE compared to the sportsbooks lines. The majority of the value will be on UNDERDOGS, as underdogs don't get any respect! They don't get respect from the public, sometimes leading to higher than deserved lines - thus creating VALUE - and they don't get it from their opposition. Good teams can sometimes take bad teams lightly, especially if players and coaches minds are focussed on other things, like more difficult/important up-coming games.



To find the VALUE: you convert the OVERALL RANKING AVERAGE to WIN PERCENTAGE - then compare the WIN PERCENTAGE to the sportsbooks LINE/WIN %

For Example:

If the OVERALL RANKING AVERAGE says: Team A will beat Team B by 0.67 runs the conversion

My sportsbooks line is -120 on Team A and +100 on Team B (meaning the win probabilities are: Team A 52.17% and Team B 47.83%) ...

Then Team A has a (+)2.83% edge [55% - 52.17%] and Team B has a (-)2.83% edge [45% - 47.83%].

So Team A has 2.83% VALUE compared to the sportsbook line. The stronger the value, typically, the better.



Now, the VALUE/GAME PREDICTIONS should just be used as a starting point. It is just one tool, in your toolbelt holding many tools, for handicapping sports. No outside factors are considered with these predictions such as WEATHER - INJURIES - MOTIVATION/REST - SITUATION ETC.

I look at my spreadsheet every morning, after developing it, then begin handicapping the teams that show value - to see which teams not only show value but also show strong, favorable short term and long term situations. I then use all of the other tools, i've developed, polished and used over the past decade of sports handicapping, to narrow this list down to the best bet(s) of the day.

I use completely different methods to find the best total of the day, but I do use Sagarin Ratings and Massey ratings to help narrow down the games i'll handicap (this will not really be talked about on the spreadsheets but the information is still there).

If you have any questions regarding the spreadsheets, please Contact Me and i'll answer your questions promptly.