Gardner Webb is a team that usually keeps it close in losses. They lost 13 games last season and 11 of those 13 losses were close, by single digits or in overtime. They lost some very close games @ Iowa and @ Illinois. This season they already have two close losses, including a single digit loss @ Mizzou, and they also lost a close one @ Northwestern (by 11). They are 8-1 ATS in last 9 lined regular season games. They are from Big South, they are definitely a top 5 team from that conference, and Big South teams with winning record are 3-0 ATS in lined games this season. The last time they faced Duke, a few years ago, they lost big, but they were a bad team back then, a team that finished 5-21 against Div.I teams. They are in constant progress since then. They have 4 wins against Div.I teams already this season. Duke is not really a blowout type of team this season. They have 3 of those but one came against a team on short rest after overtime and all three came in November. The play is Gardner Webb +25.5. Please play it a little bit smaller than usual. If your average bet is $100, then you should risk $75 on this one. Good luck ! keynumberpicks@gmail.com
