It seems like he did not take a direct path to shore based on the map thing on the story.
I wonder how they figured out his exact route after the fact
This 27 mile thing is starting to come into question a lot the last few days.
This number came strictly from Conrad himself.
That was my first question when I first read the story.
How did they come up with 27 miles?
How did they figure out the route after the fact unless he was wearing a tracking device ?
The answer to those questions is it's impossible to know.
There are many different ways to get from point A to point B.
Just because you may know where he fell off the boat and where he ended up there are unlimited ways and routes to get from A to B.
When I made all my projections on how many people in the world could pull this off I used Conrad and what he did as my baseline based on his story of 27 miles.
Now if he actually did not travel 27 miles and took a more direct path( as short as 9 miles) this would greatly increase the number of people who could pull this off.
But I was assuming if an ex NFL player who retired 8 years ago in slightly above average shape could pull this off then there had to be at least a million or more other people in the world that could pull it off.
That was my basis. If Conrad could do it many other people in this world fit the profile to do it.
I think people like Patsfan1283 were making their projections more on the basis of the actual 27 miles more then I was.
I was using Conrad actually pulling it off and trying to figure out how many people fit his physical profile.
Patsfans was making his projections based on the 27 miles.
So what does this mean at the end of the day?
I think it could mean that we are both right.
Patsfans is correct about the incredibly small number of people that could actually do the 27 mile thing and I'm right about the number of people who could pull this off the exact way Conrad pulled it off.
I think at the end of this investigation we are going to find out Conrad swam less then half the 27 miles miles he said he did.
Im not saying he intentionally lied about the distance .
But that 27 mile thing never made sense to me .