I don't get the No Illinois pick at all. What do you guys see of value with them? :think2:
Home favorites are 9-4 (69%) on weeknight games featuring 2 mid majors. NIU lost to Ball State last week (bad), but Ball State is a GREAT team this year beating up on everyone.
CMU has been very lucky this year, going 4-1 in one possession games. Their road performance is poor, losing to Purdue 32-25, beating Ohio 31-28, beating Toledo 24-23, beating Indiana 37-34.
Northern Illinois has won 8 straight in DeKalb by an average score of 28.25-6.50. Central hasn't won there since 1977. Last year, an injury decimated NIU team (the worst NIU team in 10 years) went to Kelly-Shorts and out-gained CMU 521-381. They lost 35-10 because of 6 turnovers, but they moved the ball on a poor CMU defense.
Add all this in with the fact that CMU is likely looking ahead to next week's matchup at home with Ball State that will determine the MAC champion, and this has the signs of a GREAT bet.