Florida vs Georgia 10/27/2012

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Florida is a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat Georgia. Mike Gillislee is projected for 92 rushing yards and a 60% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 39% of simulations where Georgia wins, Aaron Murray averages 1.81 TD passes vs 0.77 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.92 TDs to 1.03 interceptions. Todd Gurley averages 72 rushing yards and 0.93 rushing TDs when Georgia wins and 61 yards and 0.52 TDs in losses. Florida has a 44% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is GA +4
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