Florida State vs Maryland 11/17/2012

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Florida State is a heavy favorite winning 97% of simulations over Maryland. EJ Manuel is averaging 252 passing yards and 2.57 TDs per simulation and Devonta Freeman is projected for 63 rushing yards and a 70% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 3% of simulations where Maryland wins, Shawn Petty averages 0.9 TD passes vs 0.55 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.3 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Brandon Ross averages 59 rushing yards and 0.51 rushing TDs when Maryland wins and 46 yards and 0.14 TDs in losses. Florida State has a 33% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is MD +31
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