Florida Atlantic vs South Florida 10/2/2010

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South Florida is a heavy favorite winning 82% of simulations over Florida Atlantic. B.J. Daniels is averaging 191 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and Demetris Murray is projected for 77 rushing yards and a 54% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18% of simulations where Florida Atlantic wins, Jeff Van Camp averages 1.88 TD passes vs 0.64 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 0.97 interceptions. Alfred Morris averages 129 rushing yards and 1.32 rushing TDs when Florida Atlantic wins and 110 yards and 0.59 TDs in losses. South Florida has a 37% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 92% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SFLA -21 --- Over/Under line is 50.5

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