[h=6]Injuries[/h]
Key Player Bold Starter
All Injuries
Key Player Bold Starter
All Injuries
| Date | Team | Player | Pos | Type | Status |
| 11/7 | FL-ST | Ukeme Eligwe | LB | Disciplinary | Out For Year |
| 10/28 | MIA | Ereck Flowers | OL | Knee | Out |
| 10/19 | MIA | Taylor Gadbois | OL | Knee | Out For Year |
| 10/16 | MIA | Matt Goudis | K | Back | Out For Year |
| 10/16 | MIA | Ronald Regula | FB | Leg | Out For Year |
I'm just not seeing what Miami has done to warrant so much love. I despise FSU & Winston, but take away the personal disgust against him & there's nothing except home field pointing to Miami. That, and the low line, which could just be another head fake like Louisville was. Maybe the bye week will help them. FSU has struggled in a few first halves, but they have beaten three ranked teams (at the time they played), while Miami lost to the only one they faced. They're most impressive win is at home against Duke. Not a bad team & anything is possible, but to beat really good teams you need a standout QB & I don't think the Hurricanes have that. 5 TD's & 5 turnovers against the three quality defenses he's faced & 15/5 against the others.
There was a very good article on this very subject yesterday. What has happened is that Florida State opened at -14 1/2 back in June, when the GOY lines came out. By time the season started, it was down to 12 1/2. When FSU eged Clemson, it dropped again, down to 7 1/2 even though Miami lost to Nebraska on the same day. It has been dropping ever since. The "Sharps" really have not done much yet, though Vegas expects a large amount of money to come down on FSU on Saturday. Most agree that FSU is a much better team. What people seem to forget is that Miami has lost 3 games. No one say much about that because the Vegas Sports Book love the way the line is going. When the alleged "Sharps" drop their cash, it will be on FSU, or so they are thinking. It was a very good read, especially if you are interested to find out how Vegas and the lines really work.
What's the source of that article, BigDaddy? It sounds like total crap to me. If sharps really liked FSU in this game they would've hit the openers hard this week while the line was still less than -3, because when they figure they're going to be on the same side as the squares they know that line value is going to be disappearing constantly throughout the week. The only way that the line so far this week (according to your limited recap of the article) makes sense is if you prescribe to a theory of a "pseudo-sharp" demographic that contains enough betting volume on Miami to balance the "real sharp" and square action that this article says will happen on FSU. I don't think so.
I have been using the fishy line method for close to 35 years of gambling and what i have learned during those years is, when all of us regular bettors spot a fishy line right off the bat so easily {which all the forums have said that about fla st] then theres a reason the oddsmakers did it. They arent stupid.
I believe this is one of those games where the books are going to get a lot of miami action, just because the line looks to good to be true if you take fla st. I think this the oddsmakers intention and honestly i would play fla st or pass on the game.
Am no billy walters and dont have all the answers, just sharing what i have seen thru the years.
The fishy line games that work the best are the one that are a little tougher to see right away
good luck, whichever side you take
cd
I believe this is one of those games where the books are going to get a lot of miami action, just because the line looks to good to be true if you take fla st. I think this the oddsmakers intention and honestly i would play fla st or pass on the game.
Am no billy walters and dont have all the answers, just sharing what i have seen thru the years.
The fishy line games that work the best are the one that are a little tougher to see right away
good luck, whichever side you take
cd
It was either on CBS Sports.com or ESPN Sports.com. The article is spot on. Thnis is the way that all of the "Sharps" that I know would play it. I am not saying that they are, only that this setus up perfectly. You have an obviously inferior team getting a lot of play against a team with better players and coaches, who just happen to be hated by Joe Pub. Your very statements my friend, just seem to validate the throey. Again I am not saying this, though I know it has happened several times in the past 5 years. I am just paraphrasing an article that I read. I am not necessairily picking Florida State. I have an interst in this game only because I was one of the locky ones who took Miami + 14 1/2 back in June, and now took Florida State -1. I could care less who wins except for the middle value.
Hmm, just because joe pub hates FSU & Winston doesn't mean he's collectively putting enough $ on a game early in the week when joe pub typically doesn't bet to move a line on a game. I'm telling you, the $ that moves lines wouldn't risk the line going to -3 if they really liked FSU here.
