Why don't you just buy the hook on the 1 pt games? Essentially the same thing correct?
Pretty much, I really can't "post picks" like other people because my selection is dependent on the closing line and closing numbers. It's not good for really "following" unless you know of the formula and play with it.So by your criteria, you have to wait until a minute before the game starts to make a pick?
I know, it's really hard for me to post plays, I can just tell you what to do and let everyone else do the same, as well as posting picks for tracking.I guess the idea is the longer you wait the better idea you'll have on how much money is actually on the game. Makes sense, but tough to follow.
Pretty much, I really can't "post picks" like other people because my selection is dependent on the closing line and closing numbers. It's not good for really "following" unless you know of the formula and play with it.
Couple of clarifications:
1. You are using Pinnacle opening and closing, correct?
2. You are using the "Spread" for "The Market" at sportsinsights or a particular book for the "money". I only ask because someone in the sportsinsights circle stated to me at one time that "sportbet" ML was the money to use. They stated the ml or moneyline was a better indication of the sharps. I am really unsure how true or not?
And the above being true today Louisville opened at -2.5 and has moved to -4 with 86% of the money on Louisville. I realize that is not a play but "hypothetically" if Louisville had opened at -4 and closed at -2.5 with 86% of the money we would play Louisville, Correct? Thanks for anytime you may spend on my questions. Good Luck
A quick one just noticed using "market" Troy opened at -1.5 with 73% of the money and is now +1 so if it were to close at +1 we would play Troy a 2.5 point move?
Yes."hypothetically" if Louisville had opened at -4 and closed at -2.5 with 86% of the money we would play Louisville, Correct?
YesA quick one just noticed using "market" Troy opened at -1.5 with 73% of the money and is now +1 so if it were to close at +1 we would play Troy a 2.5 point move?
Yes.
Yes
My question is, do we have to wait until right before tipoff? Is there some sort of time when the play is made: say 2 minutes before tipoff, 5 minutes, 1 minute?
The rules are a 1.5 point move or more. Going back to the time to make the pick, this is very important. Last night, Wake was a pick, then right before tipoff, it was changed to a no pick by LGH.
<table class="Grid" id="gridLineMoves" rules="all" width="100%" border="1" bordercolor="#000066" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><tbody><tr><td>2/11/2009 6:59:37 PM </td><td> Wake Forest </td><td> 146o-106 </td><td> -6-105 </td><td> -5-101 </td><td> 82 </td><td> 91 </td><td> 85 </td><td> 77 </td> </tr><tr> <td> 2/11/2009 6:58:50 PM </td><td> Wake Forest </td><td> 146o-109 </td><td> -6-105 </td><td> -5-101 </td><td> 82 </td><td> 91 </td><td> 85 </td><td> 77 </td> </tr><tr> <td> 2/11/2009 6:58:35 PM </td><td> Wake Forest </td><td> 146o-112 </td><td> -6-105 </td><td> -5-101 </td><td> 82 </td><td> 91 </td><td> 85 </td><td> 77 </td> </tr><tr> <td> 2/11/2009 6:58:34 PM </td><td> Wake Forest </td><td> 146o-112 </td><td> -6-105 </td><td> -4.5-111 </td><td> 82 </td><td> 91 </td><td> 85 </td><td> 77 </td></tr></tbody></table>Yes, I saw that but the line did close at -5 and not -4.5. Unfortunately, the line history at insights for yesterday is showing an error message. But each game shows a line history with published times of the moves. So when I can look at it I will post the history of the line movement. That should clarify for the both of us. Thanks
I'm trying out that Sports Insights website. Pretty interesting stuff. I see you need the premium pro to get all those strategies. Well if I could make 10k a year off of their pics it would be worth it.
I need clarification: do you have to wait just before the game starts to make a play?
Couple of clarifications:
1. You are using Pinnacle opening and closing, correct?
2. You are using the "Spread" for "The Market" at sportsinsights or a particular book for the "money". I only ask because someone in the sportsinsights circle stated to me at one time that "sportbet" ML was the money to use. They stated the ml or moneyline was a better indication of the sharps. I am really unsure how true or not?
And the above being true today Louisville opened at -2.5 and has moved to -4 with 86% of the money on Louisville. I realize that is not a play but "hypothetically" if Louisville had opened at -4 and closed at -2.5 with 86% of the money we would play Louisville, Correct? Thanks for anytime you may spend on my questions. Good Luck
A quick one just noticed using "market" Troy opened at -1.5 with 73% of the money and is now +1 so if it were to close at +1 we would play Troy a 2.5 point move?