So it is for NFL teams with .500-exact records entering
Game Fifteen of the season. The pressure of “having to win or else” is monumental. And with it the failure rate is significant.
Consider: since 1980, all .500-exact NFL teams playing Game Fifteen of the regular season are 72-89 SU and 65-86-10 ATS. That tells us that these shaking-in-their-boots squads exit these games with a losing record nearly 57% of the time. Worse, dress them up as wobbly favorites and watch the execution start.
To do so, simply...
PLAY AGAINST any NFL .500 exact favorite off a loss in Game Fifteen of the season.
That’s because these teams are just 16-45-4 ATS in this role dating back to 1980. Worse, send these .500 choke artists home off a loss and they fall to 7-28-2 ATS. And if these same teams are facing a sub .500 opponent they are a heart-stopping 2-19-1 ATS in this role since 1980.
That becomes a deadly 91% winning proposition simply by fading these teams. You can put the New York Jets and the Tennessee Titans on your fade list this week, a pair of .500 squads whose better days this season appear to be in the rearview mirror.
So the next time you even think about backing a .500 team on Week Fifteen in the NFL, don’t do it.
Found in a newsletter. I typically ignore trends......BUT, THIS ONE SEEMS WORTH CONSIDERING.
BOL 2 ALL!!! AND A VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS.
Game Fifteen of the season. The pressure of “having to win or else” is monumental. And with it the failure rate is significant.
Consider: since 1980, all .500-exact NFL teams playing Game Fifteen of the regular season are 72-89 SU and 65-86-10 ATS. That tells us that these shaking-in-their-boots squads exit these games with a losing record nearly 57% of the time. Worse, dress them up as wobbly favorites and watch the execution start.
To do so, simply...
PLAY AGAINST any NFL .500 exact favorite off a loss in Game Fifteen of the season.
That’s because these teams are just 16-45-4 ATS in this role dating back to 1980. Worse, send these .500 choke artists home off a loss and they fall to 7-28-2 ATS. And if these same teams are facing a sub .500 opponent they are a heart-stopping 2-19-1 ATS in this role since 1980.
That becomes a deadly 91% winning proposition simply by fading these teams. You can put the New York Jets and the Tennessee Titans on your fade list this week, a pair of .500 squads whose better days this season appear to be in the rearview mirror.
So the next time you even think about backing a .500 team on Week Fifteen in the NFL, don’t do it.
Found in a newsletter. I typically ignore trends......BUT, THIS ONE SEEMS WORTH CONSIDERING.
BOL 2 ALL!!! AND A VERY MERRY CHRISTMAS.
