Exbookie wants to help the players week 3

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Ariz game started already
Cmon Ace, thought you were going to give us the games 5mins before they start
 

EX BOOKIE
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$2500.00 Take #419 Arizona (-3 ) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
This play is from the 411 System and it is my NFL Game of the Month.

I think that Seattle is one of the worst teams in football. I know that they have a big home field advantage. But even the best home field advantage is only as good as the players that are actually playing on the field. The Seahawks were shutout last week and they only managed 17 points against San Francisco in Week 1. Their offense is not moving with Tarvaris Jackson and they are starting to have a quarterback controversy. Arizona has double-revenge here after being swept by the Seahawks last season. They have already gotten a win under their belts and they went out and played Washington tough on the road last week. They put up a much better effort in a tough spot on the road than the Seahawks did. This play also comes down to quarterback play. The Cardinals have the better quarterback in Kevin Kolb and the best player on the field in Larry Fitzgerald. I think that Arizona is the best team in this division right now and here is a chance for them to make a statement.

$800.00 Take #421 Green Bay (-3.5) over Chicago (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
This play is from the 411 System.

The Packers have just far exceeded the Bears. I know that these teams played three close games last year but I think that Green Bay just keeps improving and I do not think that Chicago is as good as they were in 2010. The Bears are off a blowout loss in New Orleans last weekend and the Packers are a team that can put the same type of pressure on with their passing agme and with their blitzing. Chicago's offensive line can't block and can't protect the quarterback. The last time they faced the Packers Jay Cutler was knocked out of the game and I could see the same thing happening. Green Bay is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 trips to Chicago and they are 5-2 both SU and ATS in the last seven meetings. This number is short and you need to jump on it now. Because it will be 4.0 by Saturday and should be up to 4.5 by kickoff. Great value on the better team and I think that the Packers win this one going away.

$400.00 Take #413 New York Jets (-3) over Oakland (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 25)
The Jets defense looks the best that it has in three years. I think that they are going to shut down the Oakland running game just like it was able to shut down Jacksonville's strong running game last week. This Jets team is physical and won't have a problem pushing the Raiders around. Oakland has gotten outgained in both of its games and was fortunate to get a win in Denver in Week 1. They should be 0-2. This team collaposed last week in Buffalo and gave away that game in the second half. If they can be outplayed like that and shoot themselves in the foot like that against a bad Buffalo team they will get beaten by a good Jets team. The Jets are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games and this team is 6-1 ATS as a road favorite. The Raiders have been one of the worst bets in football for a decade and I don't think anything has changed. The Raiders are just 5-21-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.0 or less.



best to all

Ace
 

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Ariz game started already
Cmon Ace, thought you were going to give us the games 5mins before they start

Are you new or something? He's not going to give you the dollar amounts until after the game has started. That's nothing new. He tells you if they are investment or 411 five minutes before the game starts. What about that don't you understand?
 

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Good luck with your picks this week ACE, whatever they are. For the record, I made 4 plays, curious what your opinion is of them:

Miami +2.5 over CLEVELAND: Miami is one of those weird teams that seems to lose at home and win on the road. That was certainly the case last year and this year they have started 0-2 at home so this seems to be a nice spot for them to pick up their first win. Cleveland doesn't have much of a home field advantage IMO here so I predict a lower-scoring game but one where Miami gets the W.

RAIDERS +3.5 (-120) over Jets: This game seems too easy but Oakland has a good defense and Sanchez has struggled on the West Coast in the past. As long as Oakland can avoid turnovers and stupid penalties, they should win this game outright but having the hook here might be the key to winning this game.

SAINTS -3.5 over Texans: Foster isn't going to play much and this seems like a fairly cheap price to pay to go against a Houston team that struggles against good teams (except when they play Colts with Manning). Houston has gotten out to nice starts the last couple of years before their invetiable collapse but I think their 2-0 run ends here in New Orleans.

Lions -3 (-120) over VIKINGS: I typically don't like taking road FG favorites but I think Detroit is still being undervalued and they will prove that they are for "real" when they dominate the Vikings. Vikings coming off their horrific second half collapse against the Bucs last week and I think they will still be in a fog when this game starts - I expect an early 14-0 lead and the Lions will not be threatened and will be 3-0 for the first time in a long time.

3-0-1, I'll take it! :dancefool
 

EX BOOKIE
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3-3 on the day losing the big play -$1885.00 for week 3

411= 1-1...just not on the right one

thanks to the ones that help with the data...all box score in the nfl is nice to have...within 4 months...test will be made for those that want to test system over many years!!!


on to week 4

Ace
 

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whats the name of this thread?" exbookie want to help the players" he should start off by giving everyone that payed they're money back. that would really help the players.... sorry Ace, needed to be said. your tout service has gone down hill dude. you should have never turned, "Karma" i guess, always bites you in the azz in the end......

how bout them sox :):)

better yet...how bout keeping your negative thoughts to yourself. who are you helping clown.
 

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whats the name of this thread?" exbookie want to help the players" he should start off by giving everyone that payed they're money back. that would really help the players.... sorry Ace, needed to be said. your tout service has gone down hill dude. you should have never turned, "Karma" i guess, always bites you in the azz in the end......

Where were you last year? Same deal, and Ace made anyone who followed money.
 

EX BOOKIE
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whats the name of this thread?" exbookie want to help the players" he should start off by giving everyone that payed they're money back. that would really help the players.... sorry Ace, needed to be said. your tout service has gone down hill dude. you should have never turned, "Karma" i guess, always bites you in the azz in the end......

so what you are saying the last 7 years I been here at therx...and yes I have work for docsport for all those 7 year....and I have won 6 out of 7 of them for a total of +$168K...dont mean anything...is that what you are saying

a wise man told me that you are only as good as your last win....but that show me how small some minds can be!!!

CANT WIN EVERY BATTLE...BUT i WILL WIN THE WAR

you have a great night

best to all

Ace
 

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I am just curious why you don't just take the first 3-4 weeks off every year until you have all the needed data. Seems like you almost expect to lose the first few weeks knowing that you will win it back in the later weeks.

Wisdom would be to not dig that hole in the first place.
 

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Obviously your system works after week 3 or 4 or whatever it is you get enough data to roll. How does it work in the first 3-4 weeks the past 7 years if you dont mind me asking? If its slow maybe consider fading your picks the first 3-4 weeks then riding them after you get enough data as something in your system is picking the wrong side in those weeks. Not dogging you just throwing it out there. We try to win anyway we can.
 

EX BOOKIE
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Obviously your system works after week 3 or 4 or whatever it is you get enough data to roll. How does it work in the first 3-4 weeks the past 7 years if you dont mind me asking? If its slow maybe consider fading your picks the first 3-4 weeks then riding them after you get enough data as something in your system is picking the wrong side in those weeks. Not dogging you just throwing it out there. We try to win anyway we can.

about 50-50...start bad 3 out of the 7...and only one year I did not come back
 

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