Exbookie wants to help the players week 15

[BoiseBrian]

pretty new to the forum (obvious)

since we are guessing what Aces big pick is...

Steelers getting points will be my guess

no matter what it is, good luck ace. I hope you nail it!!!

 

[Broncos625]

ACE give us a hint Is it an Over/Under play or a ATS play. I think it is CAROLINA smashing down on the Broncos.

You guys who continue to bet for or against the Broncos are just throwing your money away with coinflips. This team can beat anyone anytime WHEN THEY PLAY THEIR GAME. You can not predict which Denver team will show up on Sunday and therefore, just save your money and DON'T PLAY FOR OR AGAINST THEM. Would you really be surprised if Denver wins outright? 3-0 vs. NFC South this season which is considered to be one of the best divisions in football. This includes a win AT ATLANTA. Yet you seem to really think Carolina winning is a foregone conclusion? Nuts man, just nuts.

 

[Coin86]

I'm loving the Ravens this week. This is a huge game for them at home as they are in playoff mode fighting for a wildcard spot. Not as big for the Steelers. They still can win the division with a loss here. The top trends listed above in favor of the Ravens are amazing. Lots of Steeler fans pushing the line down from -2 to -1 by game time. Have fun!

This is a coin toss.
-Pittsburgh has not won in Baltimore since 2002 or 2004(too lazy to look it up right now)
-Pittsburgh won game 1 in Pit, can they win game 2 in Baltimore? Teams are pretty even.
The two points above will have a lot of people betting on Baltimore, but I'm staying the hell away from this game. It could go either way.

My honest opinion is that Pittsburgh is the better team and they have played in a lot of very close, physical games this season. They should be prepared for Baltimore. Both teams make little mistakes; both teams are great on D; but Pittsburgh brings more to the table if you ask me. I think they get at Flacco and Flacco starts throwing INTs.

I only see Baltimore winning this game if they make zero mistakes or else if they get too dirty and injure a Pit player.

 

[ruffdentist]

did ace post his pick? is he on asian time?

 

[djmatt]

no ACE ACE likes to keep his views for the thread up... its a ploy so the heads at the RX see he still has plenty of views and not just Randizzle

 

[TheJackal]

pretty new to the forum (obvious)

since we are guessing what Aces big pick is...

Steelers getting points will be my guess

no matter what it is, good luck ace. I hope you nail it!!!

Uh... not a chance in hell. Direct conflict to his system. Ravens or no play. period. Time to start reading up.

 

[sumday]

I think it's on Pittsburgh. I know for me it is.

 

[TheJackal]

I think it's on Pittsburgh. I know for me it is.

Actual line: Ravens -2
ACE's line: Ravens -7

See post above yours. The guessing game isn't as hard as you guys are miking it out to be. Ravens or no play.

 

[au_Gambler]

So, from looking at that chart. You expect an under in Indianiapolis, right?

 

[TheJackal]

So, from looking at that chart. You expect an under in Indianiapolis, right?

Ace's plays should be from this list. Some will be action and a few will be investment. That should be the only mystery. Every team has the potential to be a no play after he does his capping but he will not go against his system.

ATS
Chiefs
Giants
Dolphins
Browns
Falcons
Ravens

TOTALS
Colts/Lions Under
Seahawks/Rams Under

Cards/Vikes Over and Panthers/Broncs Over are next in line.

I'd be shocked if any of Ace's plays deviated from this menu. He usually has 4-5 plays or so. Roughly half of the list should be plays. That is not the mystery. The question is which will be investments and which will be action (and which are no plays). That's what makes him a great capper because even with the list, I am waiting just as intently as the rest of you.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Ace,

Are you going to try and hedge some of the Bears Under 8 wins, in anyway? I liked that play and took it as well. Was try to think about a way to hedge, but think it might be too early to do it.

Any input is appreciated.

the only way I hedge is the last week of the season....with 3 game to go...they need to lose two for a tie.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Before the line goes to 7..I will show my big play early....all my plays will be posted the same time each thursday around 6-7pm est


MY BREAK DOWN

LINEOFF
SF +10 VS MIA +28..................................EDGE MIA

TIME
SF -5 VS MIA +17.....................................EDGE MIA

PLT
SF 779 YARDS VS MIA 609 YARDS.................EDGE MIA

TURN OVERS
THE BEST AGAINST THE WORST
SF-32 VS MIA -13.......................................BIG EDGE MIA


MY LINE ON THIS GAME IS MIA-16...A VALUE OF +9.5 AFTER I ADJUSTED A FEW THING...THIS IS OVER 3 PRIME NUMBER ALSO..."7"...."10"...."14"

2 WEEKS AGO I READ THAT WHEN WEST TEAMS COME TO THE EAST SIDE THEIR RECORD IS 0-14 THIS YEAR...WEEK 13 SF CAME TO BUFF AND WON...SO I THINK IT 1-14 NOW...

<TABLE cellPadding=0 width=900 bgColor=#eeeeee border=0><TBODY><TR><TD style="PADDING-RIGHT: 3px; PADDING-LEFT: 3px; FONT-SIZE: 8pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BORDER-LEFT: #cccccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 3px">12/10/2008 7:50:33 PM </TD><TD style="PADDING-RIGHT: 3px; PADDING-LEFT: 3px; FONT-SIZE: 8pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BORDER-LEFT: #cccccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 3px">Frank Gore </TD><TD style="PADDING-RIGHT: 3px; PADDING-LEFT: 3px; FONT-SIZE: 8pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BORDER-LEFT: #cccccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 3px">RB </TD><TD style="PADDING-RIGHT: 3px; PADDING-LEFT: 3px; FONT-SIZE: 8pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BORDER-LEFT: #cccccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 3px">Ankle </TD><TD style="PADDING-RIGHT: 3px; PADDING-LEFT: 3px; FONT-SIZE: 8pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BORDER-LEFT: #cccccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 3px">questionable </TD><TD style="PADDING-RIGHT: 3px; PADDING-LEFT: 3px; FONT-SIZE: 8pt; PADDING-BOTTOM: 3px; BORDER-LEFT: #cccccc 1px solid; PADDING-TOP: 3px">Gore (ankle) did not practice Wednesday, the 49ers' official site reports. </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
IF HE DOES PLAY HE WILL NOT BE 100%

My guy in NY has a guy that is sharp...because of his play he move the line to -7.5

THIS GAME IS EVEN WITH THE PUBLIC...WHICH I LIKE

<TABLE id=gridtable><TBODY><TR id=e148817 ondblclick=highlightRow(this) style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #e2e2e2" onclick="testHit('e148817', event)"><TD id=score width=50>
1:00P
</TD><TD id=team width=135>311 San Francisco 49ers
312 Miami Dolphins
</TD><TD id=bets width=45>10180
</TD><TD id=spreadpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=40>50%
50%
</TD><TD id=mlpct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=40>54%
46%
</TD><TD id=oupct style="BACKGROUND-COLOR: #ccff66" width=40>54%
46%
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

will be around later today with more...but wanted everyone here to see the play early

MIA-6.5-106............................$3500.00


ACE

 

[savannahslim]

I like it! and I got it early too.
good luck Mr. Ace

 

[charliepeete]

thanks for the early play now we should put that play in an early teaser.............:nohead:

 

[Broncos625]

I find it funny that the Bills were bigger favs against SF than Miami. Granted it's only a half point, but still.

I love this play Ace. There really is something with the whole west to east playing an early game trend. Aside from the great stats you posted, Miami has the edge in motivation as well. Win out and win the division. I know SF has won a few in a row, but don't forget they are at the bottom of the league in third down conversions as well and Miami's D has been quite good. Miami by DD in this one.

:toast:

 

[DukeSnider]

greek is still -6 1/2 as is YouWager

these are my offshore SBs

 

[cdr737]

Just got it at 6.5

 

[DukeSnider]

Just got it at 6.5

most SBs still showing 6 1/2

 

[nonamedude]

Wow Ace, this is not the play I expected. I haven't turned in my 5 picks for this week yet but because of the way Singletary has motivated the Niners since he took over, I actually have the 49ers atm. Also, my recollection is that Miami has not been a good favorite laying this many points.

Not sure what I will do now - you are right about the West Coast/East Coast early start angle but you said your self that it was the 49ers that broke the streak 2 weeks ago.

Anyway, BOL to you.

 

[redskinsnut]

i got a headache reading this thread...

It gets tiresome trying to read the tea leaves as to who he is picking each week. hno: I appreciate his effort but just sayin...