Does it count as a win or a push?!!!! Oh, the drama...LOL. Who cares. You got what you got and the rest is irrelevant.
Ace, hope you and your family had a wonderful Thanksgiving. This is the time of year to give thanks for your friends and family. I appreciate all the help you have given me over the years (and especially last year...haven't forgotten that). I enjoyed my Thanksgiving with our brand new Panasonic 65 inch TV (installation was finished just in time on Wednesday night). Those were some great football games to break it in with yesterday. I cannot wait until Sunday to see what the NFL game mix is going to look like. Our last TV was a Sony 57 inch (HD, but not Plasma). The detail on this set is incredible so should be able to see the 8 pictures so much better on Sunday. You have a great weekend and enjoy your holidays.
Ace, hope you and your family had a wonderful Thanksgiving. This is the time of year to give thanks for your friends and family. I appreciate all the help you have given me over the years (and especially last year...haven't forgotten that). I enjoyed my Thanksgiving with our brand new Panasonic 65 inch TV (installation was finished just in time on Wednesday night). Those were some great football games to break it in with yesterday. I cannot wait until Sunday to see what the NFL game mix is going to look like. Our last TV was a Sony 57 inch (HD, but not Plasma). The detail on this set is incredible so should be able to see the 8 pictures so much better on Sunday. You have a great weekend and enjoy your holidays.
Bush didn't look ready to play NFL ball. Put him back on IR or give him some clear stickum for those pathetic hands.(talk to Lester Hayes, ex-Raider) Two big miscues by "No Hands Bush". Saints better with Ivory and Jones handling RB duties.
When pts matter it sure can hurt. Had -3.5-105. To go -3 would have been -130. Lot of juice, so no go. Luckily used Mulligan at Betonline and at least recouped $250(that's there max).
WHAT SHARPS ARE THINKING ABOUT
SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE NFL
I hope you had a great holiday with your loved ones. Time to focus once again on FOOTBALL! Here's my weekly report on what sharps (professional wagerers) are thinking about this week's NFL games. The first three are already in the books. Let's take a look at Sunday and Monday...
MINNESOTA AT WASHINGTON: Not much early interest in this one, though an opener of Washington -1.5 is down to Washington -1. That may simply be a little boost for the Vikings off the coaching change. One isn't a key number in the NFL. I don't expect sharps to be too active here unless the public drives the number away from where it is now.
PITTSBURGH AT BUFFALO: Some early interest on Pittsburgh and the Over, as -6 is now -6.5, and 42 is now 43. Overs have been winning at a good rate all season...so we've been seeing some early support for Overs the past few weeks. Unless bad weather becomes a factor, sharps will be looking for the Steelers to score some points on a Buffalo defense that hasn't been very impressive this year. Note that this isn't 'strong' support' for Pittsburgh though. The line went to -6.5, but now all the way up to -7.
TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON: The confirmed news that Rusty Smith will quarterback for Tennessee inspired some Houston and Under money. But, linesmakers had already anticipated that...so these weren't major moves. Houston opened at -6 and is now -6.5. The total dropped from 46.5 down to 45.5.
JACKSONVILLE AT NY GIANTS: A lot of interest here on the Jaguars, as an opener of NYG -9.5 has fallen all the way down to -7. Part of that is the injury situation for the Giants. But, sharps really haven't been impressed with Eli Manning against decent teams. Jacksonville has become a playoff contender with recent victories, and now pose a serious threat to the slumping G-Men. Note that we didn't see money coming in on the Giants from middle shooters once it reached -7. So...STRONG support for the Jaguars at anything over seven.
CAROLINA AT CLEVELAND: Cleveland from -9 to -10 early on. That could be position-taking though because sharps figure squares will want to keep betting against Carolina. Sharps can buy back at +10 if they wish and hope for a game that lands on 9 or 10. If the public does move the line any higher, that will open up a middle possibility on the key number of 10. No interest on the total yet. If I don't mention the total, it means I'm not seeing anything meaningful to report.
TAMPA BAY AT BALTIMORE: Similar situation here with Jacksonville/NYG, except the line stopped moving at -7.5 instead of -7. Baltimore opened at -9.5, and Tampa Bay money came in quickly to bring the line down. Oddsmakers didn't go all the way down to the key number, which might mean something. Sharps have been impressed with Tampa Bay this year...and continue to look for value spots with them. I have to admit too that the guys who liked Baltimore as a Super Bowl team before the season started have cooled off in their support.
PHILADELPHIA AT CHICAGO: I was a bit surprised to see Chicago get early support at +3.5. We're now seeing +3 everywhere as I write this. Oddsmakers were anticipating Philadelphia money...and wanted to make bandwagon jumpers lay the hook for the honor of backing Michael Vick.. Instead, Chicago money came in so heavily the hook got erased! Sharps may have seen something with Vick against the defense of the Giants last week that has influenced their thinking here The total is up a tick from 41.5 to 42.
GREEN BAY AT ATLANTA: A surprisingly low opener of pick-em got bet to Atlanta -2 right away. I'm not sure why oddsmakers thought 8-2 Atlanta should be pick-em at home vs. anybody. That gives you a sense of the respect oddsmakers have for Green Bay...but the early action shows you what the sharps think of Atlanta. Both of these teams are seen as legitimate Super Bowl threats. This may not be a big money game in Vegas because squares (the general public) still tend to focus on the Northeast teams, Indy, and Dallas. But, I wouldn't be shocked to see these two teams play each other again come January.
MIAMI AT OAKLAND: This game was off the board for much of the week, so I couldn't get a read on sharp sentiments as of press time. I can tell you that many sharps like what they're seeing with Oakland this year. They're not holding the bad loss at Pittsburgh against them because that was a bad body clock game against a great opponent.
KANSAS CITY AT SEATTLE: More interest on the total than the side initially, as an opener of 43 got bet up to 44.5 We saw a slight move toward Kansas City as an opener of Chiefs -1 moved up to -1.5. If you like playing Overs, you haven't been hurt too much this week with early line moves. Take care of business soon though. The public prefers Overs. And, sharps who bet Unders are taking some time off until scoring calms back down.
ST. LOUIS AT DENVER: St. Louis got early support at +5, but that stopped at +4. Sharps thought the line opened a point too high...but aren't suggesting the Rams deserve to be just a field goal dog. It's been a good year for many of the unheralded NFC dogs. Guys winning with that will now bet them almost as a knee jerk because it's been working so well. Maybe that explains some of the Chicago/Philly money too.
SAN DIEGO AT INDIANAPOLIS: Oddsmakers guessed right here with 3 and 51.5, as none of the Wise Guys have stepped in yet on the game. My sense from talking to sharps is that they're looking to take the Chargers and are hoping the public drives Peyton Manning up to 3.5 or 4. San Diego's on their annual late run. Indianapolis is still beleaguered by injuries. I believe San Diego will be the sharp side...but they didn't see the need to bet early.
SAN FRANCISCO AT ARIZONA: San Francisco opened at -2.5 but is down to -1 now. Typically, if you see an opener of 2.5 for anyone...oddsmakers like the other side and are hoping to take a position against the public (a line like 2.5 is meant to lure in favorite money because three is a key number). Some believe any 2.5 point favorite is automatically a 'false' favorite. Sharps sure bet that way...taking the +2.5, +2, and +1.5 with the home underdog on the assumption they'll probably win outright.
SUNDAY AND MONDAY IN THE NFL
I hope you had a great holiday with your loved ones. Time to focus once again on FOOTBALL! Here's my weekly report on what sharps (professional wagerers) are thinking about this week's NFL games. The first three are already in the books. Let's take a look at Sunday and Monday...
MINNESOTA AT WASHINGTON: Not much early interest in this one, though an opener of Washington -1.5 is down to Washington -1. That may simply be a little boost for the Vikings off the coaching change. One isn't a key number in the NFL. I don't expect sharps to be too active here unless the public drives the number away from where it is now.
PITTSBURGH AT BUFFALO: Some early interest on Pittsburgh and the Over, as -6 is now -6.5, and 42 is now 43. Overs have been winning at a good rate all season...so we've been seeing some early support for Overs the past few weeks. Unless bad weather becomes a factor, sharps will be looking for the Steelers to score some points on a Buffalo defense that hasn't been very impressive this year. Note that this isn't 'strong' support' for Pittsburgh though. The line went to -6.5, but now all the way up to -7.
TENNESSEE AT HOUSTON: The confirmed news that Rusty Smith will quarterback for Tennessee inspired some Houston and Under money. But, linesmakers had already anticipated that...so these weren't major moves. Houston opened at -6 and is now -6.5. The total dropped from 46.5 down to 45.5.
JACKSONVILLE AT NY GIANTS: A lot of interest here on the Jaguars, as an opener of NYG -9.5 has fallen all the way down to -7. Part of that is the injury situation for the Giants. But, sharps really haven't been impressed with Eli Manning against decent teams. Jacksonville has become a playoff contender with recent victories, and now pose a serious threat to the slumping G-Men. Note that we didn't see money coming in on the Giants from middle shooters once it reached -7. So...STRONG support for the Jaguars at anything over seven.
CAROLINA AT CLEVELAND: Cleveland from -9 to -10 early on. That could be position-taking though because sharps figure squares will want to keep betting against Carolina. Sharps can buy back at +10 if they wish and hope for a game that lands on 9 or 10. If the public does move the line any higher, that will open up a middle possibility on the key number of 10. No interest on the total yet. If I don't mention the total, it means I'm not seeing anything meaningful to report.
TAMPA BAY AT BALTIMORE: Similar situation here with Jacksonville/NYG, except the line stopped moving at -7.5 instead of -7. Baltimore opened at -9.5, and Tampa Bay money came in quickly to bring the line down. Oddsmakers didn't go all the way down to the key number, which might mean something. Sharps have been impressed with Tampa Bay this year...and continue to look for value spots with them. I have to admit too that the guys who liked Baltimore as a Super Bowl team before the season started have cooled off in their support.
PHILADELPHIA AT CHICAGO: I was a bit surprised to see Chicago get early support at +3.5. We're now seeing +3 everywhere as I write this. Oddsmakers were anticipating Philadelphia money...and wanted to make bandwagon jumpers lay the hook for the honor of backing Michael Vick.. Instead, Chicago money came in so heavily the hook got erased! Sharps may have seen something with Vick against the defense of the Giants last week that has influenced their thinking here The total is up a tick from 41.5 to 42.
GREEN BAY AT ATLANTA: A surprisingly low opener of pick-em got bet to Atlanta -2 right away. I'm not sure why oddsmakers thought 8-2 Atlanta should be pick-em at home vs. anybody. That gives you a sense of the respect oddsmakers have for Green Bay...but the early action shows you what the sharps think of Atlanta. Both of these teams are seen as legitimate Super Bowl threats. This may not be a big money game in Vegas because squares (the general public) still tend to focus on the Northeast teams, Indy, and Dallas. But, I wouldn't be shocked to see these two teams play each other again come January.
MIAMI AT OAKLAND: This game was off the board for much of the week, so I couldn't get a read on sharp sentiments as of press time. I can tell you that many sharps like what they're seeing with Oakland this year. They're not holding the bad loss at Pittsburgh against them because that was a bad body clock game against a great opponent.
KANSAS CITY AT SEATTLE: More interest on the total than the side initially, as an opener of 43 got bet up to 44.5 We saw a slight move toward Kansas City as an opener of Chiefs -1 moved up to -1.5. If you like playing Overs, you haven't been hurt too much this week with early line moves. Take care of business soon though. The public prefers Overs. And, sharps who bet Unders are taking some time off until scoring calms back down.
ST. LOUIS AT DENVER: St. Louis got early support at +5, but that stopped at +4. Sharps thought the line opened a point too high...but aren't suggesting the Rams deserve to be just a field goal dog. It's been a good year for many of the unheralded NFC dogs. Guys winning with that will now bet them almost as a knee jerk because it's been working so well. Maybe that explains some of the Chicago/Philly money too.
SAN DIEGO AT INDIANAPOLIS: Oddsmakers guessed right here with 3 and 51.5, as none of the Wise Guys have stepped in yet on the game. My sense from talking to sharps is that they're looking to take the Chargers and are hoping the public drives Peyton Manning up to 3.5 or 4. San Diego's on their annual late run. Indianapolis is still beleaguered by injuries. I believe San Diego will be the sharp side...but they didn't see the need to bet early.
SAN FRANCISCO AT ARIZONA: San Francisco opened at -2.5 but is down to -1 now. Typically, if you see an opener of 2.5 for anyone...oddsmakers like the other side and are hoping to take a position against the public (a line like 2.5 is meant to lure in favorite money because three is a key number). Some believe any 2.5 point favorite is automatically a 'false' favorite. Sharps sure bet that way...taking the +2.5, +2, and +1.5 with the home underdog on the assumption they'll probably win outright.
record update
NFL have not lost in the last 5 weeks when fore +$879 to +$16,264
CFB...last two weeks have turn around the season from losing to winning -$1300 to +$436.00 base on $200 a unit
NBA....started the week at 25-16 +16.5 units +3064....bad...bad...week drop to 28-22 +8.5 units +$1304....
CBB....starting the week at 16-7 +20 units +$3640......bad...bad...week Drop to 18-16 +3 units..+10.00....we are starting over!!!!
this will happen in the short run...I have adjusted a little....as a follower you can do better than me when you see this happening...back off a little ..the key is to know
when I go on a winning run..... (winning two days in a row is one sign)...
I have one game in NBA and one in CBB...money thread will see the best one
NFL have not lost in the last 5 weeks when fore +$879 to +$16,264
CFB...last two weeks have turn around the season from losing to winning -$1300 to +$436.00 base on $200 a unit
NBA....started the week at 25-16 +16.5 units +3064....bad...bad...week drop to 28-22 +8.5 units +$1304....
CBB....starting the week at 16-7 +20 units +$3640......bad...bad...week Drop to 18-16 +3 units..+10.00....we are starting over!!!!
this will happen in the short run...I have adjusted a little....as a follower you can do better than me when you see this happening...back off a little ..the key is to know
when I go on a winning run..... (winning two days in a row is one sign)...
I have one game in NBA and one in CBB...money thread will see the best one
