Love the insight you offer Ace and I would like to possibly help too. Not sure if this interests anyone but these are power ratings according to how the oddsmakers set the opening line each week. This chart is from before the week 11 games were played, so you can see what the week 12 spreads would've been if week 11 had never occurred. And I will update them for this week so you can see what the lines would be next week without week 12. Simple add three to the home team and subtract, like most power ratings work. The math won't be exact when looking behind/ahead because they are tweaked each week to be exact for that week's spread so approximation is applied for the would-be spreads.
<table width="429"><tbody><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">1</td> <td width="327">Dallas</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">76.75</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">2</td> <td width="327">Tennessee</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">76.61</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">3</td> <td width="327">Pittsburgh</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">75.42</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">4</td> <td width="327">Giants</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">74.94</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">5</td> <td width="327">Philadelphia</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">74.88</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">6</td> <td width="327">San Diego</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">74.42</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">7</td> <td width="327">Indianapolis</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">74.23</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">8</td> <td width="327">Tampa Bay</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">73.61</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">9</td> <td width="327">Minnesota</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">72.61</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">10</td> <td width="327">Carolina</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">72.59</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">11</td> <td width="327">Baltimore</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">71.94</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">12</td> <td width="327">Arizona</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">71.68</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">13</td> <td width="327">Washington</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">71.25</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">14</td> <td width="327">Green Bay
</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.94</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">15</td> <td width="327">New Orleans</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.83</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">16</td> <td width="327">New England</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.62</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">17</td> <td width="327">Jacksonville</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.61</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">18</td> <td width="327">Chicago</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.51</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">19</td> <td width="327">Buffalo</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">69.73</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">20</td> <td width="327">Jets</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">69.62</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">21</td> <td width="327">Miami</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">69.23</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">22</td> <td width="327">Cleveland</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">68.73</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">23</td> <td width="327">Atlanta</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">68.54</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">24</td> <td width="327">Houston</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">67.73</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">25</td> <td width="327">Denver</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">67.54</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">26</td> <td width="327">San Francisco</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">66.63</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">27</td> <td width="327">Seattle</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">66.18</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">28</td> <td width="327">Kansas City</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">63.83</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">29</td> <td width="327">Saint Louis</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">63.63</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">30</td> <td width="327">Cincinnati</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">62.38</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">31</td> <td width="327">Oakland</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">61.73</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">32</td> <td width="327">Detroit</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">61.59</td></tr></tbody></table>
w/o week 11 vs. actual
CIN
@PIT -16 -10
PHI -1
@BAL -1.5
HOU
@CLE -4 -3
TB -9 -9
@DET
BUF -3 -3
@KC
CHI -4 -9
@STL
NYJ
@TEN -10 -6
NE
@MIA -1.5 -2.5
MIN
@JAC -1 -2
SF
@DAL -13 -11
OAK
@DEN -9 -9.5
CAR -1
@ATL -1
NYG -.5 -3
@ARI
WAS -2 -3.5
@SEA
IND
@SD -3 -3
GB
@NO -3 -2.5
Looks as if Vegas is finally respecting the Giants as the best team.
<table width="429"><tbody><tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"><td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">1</td> <td width="327">Dallas</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">76.75</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">2</td> <td width="327">Tennessee</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">76.61</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">3</td> <td width="327">Pittsburgh</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">75.42</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">4</td> <td width="327">Giants</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">74.94</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">5</td> <td width="327">Philadelphia</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">74.88</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">6</td> <td width="327">San Diego</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">74.42</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">7</td> <td width="327">Indianapolis</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">74.23</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">8</td> <td width="327">Tampa Bay</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">73.61</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">9</td> <td width="327">Minnesota</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">72.61</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">10</td> <td width="327">Carolina</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">72.59</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">11</td> <td width="327">Baltimore</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">71.94</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">12</td> <td width="327">Arizona</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">71.68</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">13</td> <td width="327">Washington</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">71.25</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">14</td> <td width="327">Green Bay
</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.94</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">15</td> <td width="327">New Orleans</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.83</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">16</td> <td width="327">New England</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.62</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">17</td> <td width="327">Jacksonville</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.61</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">18</td> <td width="327">Chicago</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">70.51</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">19</td> <td width="327">Buffalo</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">69.73</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">20</td> <td width="327">Jets</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">69.62</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">21</td> <td width="327">Miami</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">69.23</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">22</td> <td width="327">Cleveland</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">68.73</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">23</td> <td width="327">Atlanta</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">68.54</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">24</td> <td width="327">Houston</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">67.73</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">25</td> <td width="327">Denver</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">67.54</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">26</td> <td width="327">San Francisco</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">66.63</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">27</td> <td width="327">Seattle</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">66.18</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">28</td> <td width="327">Kansas City</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">63.83</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">29</td> <td width="327">Saint Louis</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">63.63</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">30</td> <td width="327">Cincinnati</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">62.38</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">31</td> <td width="327">Oakland</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">61.73</td> </tr> <tr style="height: 12.75pt;" height="17"> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" x:num="" align="right" height="17" width="21">32</td> <td width="327">Detroit</td> <td class="xl24" x:num="" align="right" width="61">61.59</td></tr></tbody></table>
w/o week 11 vs. actual
CIN
@PIT -16 -10
PHI -1
@BAL -1.5
HOU
@CLE -4 -3
TB -9 -9
@DET
BUF -3 -3
@KC
CHI -4 -9
@STL
NYJ
@TEN -10 -6
NE
@MIA -1.5 -2.5
MIN
@JAC -1 -2
SF
@DAL -13 -11
OAK
@DEN -9 -9.5
CAR -1
@ATL -1
NYG -.5 -3
@ARI
WAS -2 -3.5
@SEA
IND
@SD -3 -3
GB
@NO -3 -2.5
Looks as if Vegas is finally respecting the Giants as the best team.