$2500.00 -115 #400 Take Washington (-3) over Arizona (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
Last year the Redskins built a 21-6 lead against the Cardinals before holding off a late rally to win by just two points. They were better than Arizona last year and they are better than them right now. Washington has already played the defending Super Bowl champions and a very tricky New Orleans team to get to 1-1, while the Cardinals have inflated value due to their 2-0 mark. However, their two wins came against the lowly Dolphins and 49ers. Arizona has to travel two time zones east and catch an early kickoff, which I think could doom them to another slow start. The ‘Skins have won seven of nine in this series. Kurt Warner has been efficient and has put up strong numbers, but this will be by far the best defense and the best secondary that he has seen this year. Washington is 20-8-1 ATS against a team with a winning record and Jim Zorn’s familiarity with scheming the Cardinals personnel will pay off for the Redskins.
$600.00 -102 #403 Take Tampa Bay (+3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
The Bears erratic quarterback play will again sink them and I expect at least two turnovers out of Kyle Orton this weekend. The Bears are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games and I think they will suffer a bit of a letdown after their crushing loss at Carolina last week. Former Bear Brian Griese is used to going up against this Chicago defense – he did it every day for two years in practice – and I think he’ll exploit that unit.
$2500.00 -107 ‘Under’ 44 St. Louis at Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
St. Louis is just 2-7 against the total in its last nine road games and they simply cannot get out of their own way on offense. Seattle is, literally, bringing in wide receivers off the street to suit up for them and Matt Hasselbeck can only do so much by himself. I actually think that both defenses are better than the numbers indicate and that their inflated Points Against numbers are the result of some garbage time scores and defensive or special teams touchdowns. Both offenses, though, are as bad as they’ve looked and they’ve combined to average just 28 points per game. One of my systems suggests that we have an advantage of 25 points on this line!
$400.00 -107 ‘Under’ 42 Jacksonville at Indianapolis (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
Both offensive lines are undergoing severe attrition and both defensive lines should have a field day. Neither offense has moved the ball efficiently in its first two games, with the Jags averaging just 13.0 points and Indy just 15.5. Both defenses have been sound though, as they two units have combined to give up just 40.5 points per game to start the year. I think that the Jaguars are going to rededicate themselves to the running game in this one, and that usually doesn't lead to an eruption of points. Both teams are feeling the pinch of slow starts and we expect both coaches to be extra conservative in this key divisional game.
$600.00 -102 #394 Take Buffalo (-9.5) over Oakland (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 21)
This one is simply a case of playing the better side on two teams headed in opposite directions. The Raiders have injury issues on offense and plenty of off-field distractions, ranging from their head coach’s shaky job status to off-field arrests. Buffalo is a sparkling 11-3 ATS in its last 14 home games and 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games overall. We’ll ride the hot team from Upstate New York.
$600.00 -109 NewYork Jets (+9.5) over San Diego (8:30 p.m. Monday, Sept. 22)
This is simply too many points for a primetime matchup between two relatively even matched teams. The Jets are 8-2 ATS as a Monday Night Football underdog and I think they will be able to move the ball against a suddenly porous Chargers defense. San Diego has lost two heart breakers and now everyone expects an "angry" team to coe back and get a win. Well, the Jets are not a pushover and it's not as if the Chargers can just "turn it on" and earn a blowout. The bottom line is that they lost two games to two non-playoff teams from last year and they have shown us very little offensively (especially if LT is not 100 percent) that suggests they will run away with this one. The Jets have covered four straight in this series and I think that the Favre Magic will give us the cash on MNF.
How can I lose...ITS MY BIRTHDAY ON SUNDAY...BUT i WILL NOT BE AROUND SATURDAY...MY GIRLFREIND TOSSING ME A PARTY...SHE WANTED IT ON SUNDAY:shocked: WE ALL KNOW I CANT DO THAT:nono5:
BEST TO ALL THIS WEEK
ACE-ACE