Exbookie Want To Help The Players Week 7

[ACE-ACE]

BETS OVER $2000 8-1 +$18,325

BETS UNDER $1300 5-6 - $ 925

TOTAL 13-7 + $17,400

THE 7TH WEEK OF FOOTBALL AND THE LINES ARE GETTING HARDER......


BOOKIE LINE VS MY......................BY THE WAY I ALLWAY POST ON FIRDAY BEFORE 7PM EST OR SATUDAY AM.....

BALT -6 BUFF -1
NYG -6 1/2 -9
PHI -7 -6
IND -9 1/2 -5
MIN -6 -8
CAR -3 SD -6
STL -6 -7
TB -7 CHI -1
KC -4 -3
NE -6 1/2 NYJ -4
GB -3 1/2 -3 1/2
SEA -7 -2
OAK -3 NO -2
I WILL PUT DEN GAME UP ON MONDAY

SOME OF THE GAME GOOD LIKE GOOD VALUE......BUT YOU HAVE TO READ BETWEEN THE LINES.....

I LIKE A VALUE OF 7 MOST OF THE TIME.....

BUFF IS A VALUE OF +7 POINTS....BUT....I KNOW IT COULD GO BALT WAY JUST AS EASY......NO PLAY

SD........
RUSHING YD 130 VS 102 A GAME
PASSING PCT 63% VS 57%
TURN OVER 6 VS 11
SD SCORES 27 POINT A GAME VS CAR 15.....
THIS COULD BE A BREAKOUT GAME FOR RB TORMLINSON GOING AGINST A DEFENSE ALLOWING 143 YARD A GAME

IM SAYINGTHAT SD IF THEY WERE AT HOME WOULD BE FAV IN THIS GAME

ONLY THING I DONT LIKE IS TWO WEEK ON THE ROAD.....
IM PUTING THIS GAME IN MY UNDER $1300 BET......YOU GUYS KNOW ....IF A LOVE A GAME ITS A $2000 AND OVER BET...

MY 1ST BET IS SD +3 FOR $1200


ONLY 3 FOOTBALL GAME
1921 BUFF VS AKRON (PROS) BOTH 6-0 SCORE 0-0 A TIE
1923 CANTON VS CHICAGO (PROS) BOTH 5-0 SCORE 7 TO 3
1973 MINN VS LA RAMS BOTH 6-0 SCORE10-9
WENT YOU GET TO GOOD TEAMS TOGETHER THE DEFENSE IS THE SIDE THAT PLAYS... KNOWING THAT......

NYJ VS NE.....BOTH 5-0

TURN OVER NYJ 5 VS 9
PENALTIES NYJ 138 VS 312
TIME NYJ +15 VS +3

TOTAL YD +13 MORE THAN NE

RUNNING +12 MORETHAN NE

HERE A KEY PASSING PCT 70% FOR NYJ 57% NE
(DEF) RED ZONE 50% FOR NYJ 25 % NE
NJY HAVE NOT PLAY GREAT TEAMS THIS YEAR SO FAR
BUT THERE DEFENSE (11YH) IS THE BEST PART OF THERE GAME....AND THEY HAVE THE 8TH OFFENCE

WHAT DO THE JET DO TO WIN ?

NE IS MUCH MORE VULNERABLE TO THE RUN,MAKING IT VITAL THAT RB MARTIN GETS GOING EARY....
DEFENSIVELY, THE JETS SHOULD BE IN GREAT SHAPE IF THEY STOP COREY DILLON,A BRUISING RUNNER, BECAUSE THE PATRIOTS RECEIVING CORPS IS UNDERMANNED BECAUSE OF INJURY.......

DEFENSE WILL WIN THE GAME FOR THE JETS....
AND THE BOOKIES ARE GOING TO GIVE ME POINTS.....

THIS IS A VALUE OF +10 1/2.....

MY 2ND BET NYJ + 7 GOT THE HOOK....I GET ONE FREE HOOK EVERY 4 WEEKS.....
AND IM IN THE 105 CLUB....ONLY 5% JUICE ...


NYJ +7 FOR $3000......

GOOD LUCK TO ALL........ONE MORE TOO COME

 

[MARTEL910]

I like that Jets game very much, I will also ride them with +7 and watch them break the streak of 20wins, we are not hearing much about that streak this week compared to last, this might be the week....


JETS +7

 

[toon67]

Ace-Ace

Thanks for sharing...Hope we have another great weekend...Your hot to death!!! Keep it up...Toon

 

[EasyMoney]

Ace,

I generally love your plays, but I can't bet against NE. They are 17-1-2 ATS in their last 20 games. I just can't bring myself to go against that. Plus the Jets have played no one. Their opponets have a combined record of 6-22. And only 1 of those teams (SD) has won more than 1 game. And their not exactly blowing those teams out.

I do like SD + the points to a beaten up panthers team.

Also like Den. for the second week in a row.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Thanks Martel & Toon....

Easy:........bookie Line On Den Is -6 My Is -11.....denver Two Week In A Row.....
Write Up To Come On Sunday Night....

 

[petre]

ace, re: your prospective prez bet

i posted under different thread, for your attention, before you bet bush:
not so fast ace-ace on prez election
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->most respectful of your nfl analysis, but before you end up with a mouthfull of noxious bush, kindly inform thyself by consulting http://synapse.princeton.edu/~sam/pollcalc.html

be aware that media analysis is marred by a failure to take account of a phenomenon well-known to all political pollsters, the “incumbent 50-percent rule.” An incumbent who fails to poll above 50 percent is in grave jeopardy of losing his job. http://www.prospect.org/web/page.ww...&articleId=8694

anyway , i down on m. kerry at +185, +145, and again today at +150...i'm counting on the undecideds spliting 2/3 for kerry...
One analyst has concluded that since 1976, 86 percent of undecided voters have voted for the challenger candidates.
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS...read/index.html

thus pa, ohio and fla should go to kerry and he only needs 2 of 3 to be the prez.
and:
<BIG>Friday, October 22, 2004 at 1:00PM EDT </BIG>

<!-- EndDate -->Predicted median with undecideds: <BIG>Kerry 307 EV, Bush 231 EV, K prob. 95%</BIG> </B></BIG>(probability map)

Median outcome, decided voters only:<BIG> <!-- BeginMedian -->Kerry 264 EV, Bush 274 EV <!-- EndMedian --></BIG>(probability map) (Trends to 10/12)

95% confidence interval, decided voters only:</B><BIG> <!-- BeginKerry95Percent -->+/-38 EV for each candidate <!-- EndKerry95Percent --></BIG>(Kerry >=270EV: <!-- BeginKerryProbability -->37%, n.s.<!-- EndKerryProbability -->)

Popular Meta-Margin among decided voters (explanation):<BIG> <!-- BeginKerrySwingIndex -->Bush leads Kerry by 0.4% </BIG>
<BIG></BIG>
<BIG>thanks for your insights into the nfl<!-- EndKerrySwingIndex --></BIG>

 

[ACE-ACE]

Petre.....i Did Not Bet On The Election....i Was Only Giving You The Odds.....(.bush -160 To Win 100)...that All I Was Doing....

THERE A FORUM FOR POLITICS,GOV.......

 

[unochamps]

ace, i agree w/u on the jets gm and this sets up perfect. the jets have looked like crap the past 3 gms and i think they have been laying low waiting for this gm. take the pts....gl

 

[ACE-ACE]

away games have won 16 more than home game......this year
away fav....the last 5 week is 20-8.......

after week 8 or so home team start winning more......this been happen the last ten years....
the line maker put 2-3 points on home play.......its alway good to play away fav...in the 1st ten week or less.....last year it was 20-6 after week 7....week 12 it was28-21.....week 17 it was 34-32.....see what I mean.....

 

[ACE-ACE]

I LIKE ONE MORE SMALL BET FOR FUN.....NO + 3 FOR $ 300.00

THE TURN OVER NO 9 VS OAK 16
PLUS THE QB OUT FOR OAK ....I BUT A VALUE =+5


RECAP NYJ +7 $3000.00

SD +3 $1200.00

NO +3 $300.00



GOOD LUCK TO ALL....

 

[Kodiak7]

keep up the great work!

nice job ace ace...

 

[FairWarning]

Question for you Ace - How do you have the Bears a 1 point fav? They have ZERO production out of Quinn rignt now.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Question for you Ace - How do you have the Bears a 1 point fav? They have ZERO production out of Quinn rignt now.

YOU ARE RIGHT BUT THE WT. I PUT ON BOOKIES LINE(HOW MUCH OFF)

IS CHI +13 VS -3........TURN OVER CHI 9-12....NFL RATING IS CHI 20.62 VS 15.16 FOR TB......IF YOU ARE ASK WHO DO I THINK WILL WIN IT A TOSS UP......POINTS WILL NOT COME INTO PLAY.....BOTH 1-4 AND 1-5....IF YOU BET SMALL UNIT....

 

[ACE-ACE]

AT WAGERLINE......4 GAMES THE DOGS ARE GETTING MORE BETS


MORE BETS SD 587 VS 328

ALT 471 VS 435

NYJ 497 VS 465


NO 566 VS 292


I GOT 3 OF THE 4....HOPE ITS A DOGDAY.......

 

[FairWarning]

YOU ARE RIGHT BUT THE WT. I PUT ON BOOKIES LINE(HOW MUCH OFF)

IS CHI +13 VS -3........TURN OVER CHI 9-12....NFL RATING IS CHI 20.62 VS 15.16 FOR TB......IF YOU ARE ASK WHO DO I THINK WILL WIN IT A TOSS UP......POINTS WILL NOT COME INTO PLAY.....BOTH 1-4 AND 1-5....IF YOU BET SMALL UNIT....

I understand now. I live the very other end of the state and get a very good feel for the Bears games. Their D has kept them in games and TB has not been good either. The Bears have no confidence in Quinn. Look for a quick hook today, and the Craig Krenzel era starting in Chicago. Problem is TB feasts in these types of situations.

Hate to lay a lot of points with TB so I have them in a few teasers. I give the Bears no shot of winning unless TB turns the ball over 3+ times.

Thanks for your input and good luck today. Very interesting insights.

 

[ACE-ACE]

1-0 on the day with sd+3......value 6 turn out to be value +14

+$1300.00


BE BACK SOON....:drink:

 

[EasyMoney]

great job Ace. 3-0. You are the man.

 

[ACE-ACE]

thank easymoney....


NYJ WON ON DEFENSE...JUST LIKE I SAID....BUT THE OFFENSE COULD NOT WIN THE GAME


I WILL TAKE THE MONEY AND RUN......2-0 TODAY ONE TO GO...5 MINS TO PLAY.....+ $ 4300.00arty:

 

[ChadC]

You the man Ace, the banks in Michigan are happy this weekend!!!

 

[moseyesly]

Ace, you are the man. Thanx for sharing you're wizdom!:drink: