My plays for this week...............
$600.00 #307 Seattle (+12.5) over Dallas (4 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 27)
The Cowboys have been a very poor big "chalk" pick recently. They have actually lost twice as a big favorite this season and they are 1-3 ATS as a favorite of more than a touchdown. Seattle's season has been derailed because of injuries but they still have a pretty good roster. Mike Holmgren will not let this team get embarrassed on national television and I think the Seahawks will take advantage of a suspect Dallas secondary. the Seabirds are 8-3 ATS following a straight up loss.
$2000.00 ‘Under’ 45.0 Indianapolis at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
We've seen what the Colts offense looks like without Jeff Saturday at center and it wasn't pretty. We've also seen what the Cleveland offense looks like with Derek Anderson under center this season and that wasn't pretty either. The 'under' is 12-5 in Cleveland's last 17 games and I think that this game will end up looking a lot like Cleveland's effort last week against Houston.
$2000.00 #392 Buffalo (-7) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
The roller coaster season of Buffalo continues. But I think that their home field and the bitter cold weather of Upstate New York will do the trick against a Niners team that, outside of a close call at Arizona, have looked soft on the road. Buffalo has covered four of five in this series and if they play with the same type of fire and aggressiveness this week that they brought to Arrowhead last week they will win this one going away. The Bills are a good "bad" team, going 24-6 ATS in their last 30 games against a team with a winning record.
$300.00 #405 Atlanta (+5.5) over San Diego (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
I just don't have any confidence in this San Diego team. They have lost four of five games and their one win was a weak 20-19 victory over an awful Kansas City team. The Chargers have already lost to Carolina, another NFC South power, this year at home and I think the Falcons can make it 2-for-2 for the South. The Falcons are 12-5 ATS on grass so playing on an off-surface shouldn't bother them.
$800.00 #390 New York Jets (-7.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
Right now it looks like the only team that is playing better than the Jets right now is the Giants. And after back-to-back rough road wins over Tennessee and New England the Jets returns home to the welcome arms of the Jets faithful. Denver has won its last two road games (at Atlanta, at Cleveland) but I really wasn't impressed with how they looked in either, despite the final score. I wouldn't say they are a good road team. The Broncos are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games and they are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games, despite back-to-back road ATS wins.
$500.00 #396 Green Bay (-3) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
Green Bay is the proverbial "back against the wall" team this week and they know that their season may be on the line this week. They were whipped by the incredible offense of New Orleans on Monday, but they will likely get back to basics this week and after allowing 51 points on MNF I expect a much stiffer effort. The weather is calling for temperatures in the 20's, wind, and snow flurries. I think that's an edge for the Pack against a team coming from the Southeast. Carolina was floored by the Falcons last week and have a critical home game against Tampa Bay next week. I think that they are coming back to earth and they will get flattened by the Packers in this one.
Ace-Ace
$600.00 #307 Seattle (+12.5) over Dallas (4 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 27)
The Cowboys have been a very poor big "chalk" pick recently. They have actually lost twice as a big favorite this season and they are 1-3 ATS as a favorite of more than a touchdown. Seattle's season has been derailed because of injuries but they still have a pretty good roster. Mike Holmgren will not let this team get embarrassed on national television and I think the Seahawks will take advantage of a suspect Dallas secondary. the Seabirds are 8-3 ATS following a straight up loss.
$2000.00 ‘Under’ 45.0 Indianapolis at Cleveland (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
We've seen what the Colts offense looks like without Jeff Saturday at center and it wasn't pretty. We've also seen what the Cleveland offense looks like with Derek Anderson under center this season and that wasn't pretty either. The 'under' is 12-5 in Cleveland's last 17 games and I think that this game will end up looking a lot like Cleveland's effort last week against Houston.
$2000.00 #392 Buffalo (-7) over San Francisco (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
The roller coaster season of Buffalo continues. But I think that their home field and the bitter cold weather of Upstate New York will do the trick against a Niners team that, outside of a close call at Arizona, have looked soft on the road. Buffalo has covered four of five in this series and if they play with the same type of fire and aggressiveness this week that they brought to Arrowhead last week they will win this one going away. The Bills are a good "bad" team, going 24-6 ATS in their last 30 games against a team with a winning record.
$300.00 #405 Atlanta (+5.5) over San Diego (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
I just don't have any confidence in this San Diego team. They have lost four of five games and their one win was a weak 20-19 victory over an awful Kansas City team. The Chargers have already lost to Carolina, another NFC South power, this year at home and I think the Falcons can make it 2-for-2 for the South. The Falcons are 12-5 ATS on grass so playing on an off-surface shouldn't bother them.
$800.00 #390 New York Jets (-7.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
Right now it looks like the only team that is playing better than the Jets right now is the Giants. And after back-to-back rough road wins over Tennessee and New England the Jets returns home to the welcome arms of the Jets faithful. Denver has won its last two road games (at Atlanta, at Cleveland) but I really wasn't impressed with how they looked in either, despite the final score. I wouldn't say they are a good road team. The Broncos are 9-25-1 ATS in their last 35 games and they are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games, despite back-to-back road ATS wins.
$500.00 #396 Green Bay (-3) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 30)
Green Bay is the proverbial "back against the wall" team this week and they know that their season may be on the line this week. They were whipped by the incredible offense of New Orleans on Monday, but they will likely get back to basics this week and after allowing 51 points on MNF I expect a much stiffer effort. The weather is calling for temperatures in the 20's, wind, and snow flurries. I think that's an edge for the Pack against a team coming from the Southeast. Carolina was floored by the Falcons last week and have a critical home game against Tampa Bay next week. I think that they are coming back to earth and they will get flattened by the Packers in this one.
Ace-Ace