EXBOOKIE WANT TO HELP PLAYERS WEEK 11

[ACE-ACE]

INV………………………………11-10-1…………..+787.00
ACTION………………………..19-7……..……….+7037.00

TOTAL…………………………..30-7-1…………..+9124.00. 81%

411 sys……………12-8. ……………………………….60%

last 5 weeks under 1 unit plays 10-2. ……….83%

last 4 weeks over 2 unit plays. 8-4-1………….67%

lets talk about what not in the record
hit my 1st middle. Got min at -4. And took Jax +7.5. $$1500 both side +3k
plus I made my $2000 bet on Minny -4

want to be fair for the ones that follow so I said grade at -5. I show every one last week that I bet it at -4

but the record above so it was a tie .

never would I posted middles online. That my thing!!!


week 6th. I got Washington +6.5. It hit +7 later ….bad that I bet it early 2K bet.
week 7 th got GB -2.5. If I bet it Saturday could have got it at -1.5. Score was GB. 24-22. 2K BET

ADD those two lost to win. +8200. Plus my Minny game $2000 that would have been $10k added to the total above.

point is. It’s not set in stone what day you make your bets. A few that email me back said. I waited to make my plays on Saturday one said Sunday and they both won WASH AND GB because of themself.

take what you learn and see in my thread and put yourself in the play also.
one does his own capping And if we match. He bets more
if we dont. he looks again. Sometimes moving on sometime saying fuck ACE. My way

remember the best capper that can do 60% in the long run and can win 23 out of 30 year(my record) . Still can lose a game

100 games mean 40 lost. And I know by using different ideas. You can win some of those 40 that I lost


put yourself in the game it’s your hard earn money.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Redo
INV………………………………11-10-1…………..+787.00
ACTION………………………..19-7……..……….+7037.00

TOTAL…………………………..30-17-1…………..+9124.00. 64%

 

[ACE-ACE]

Moving a line……. From 2008 I save that still the same today

What you should realize is that it's not nearly so much the amount itself of $60K that moves an NFL game but who is actually doing the betting. 60K wagered by a guy obviously at the top of his game right now like Fezzik is going to get the attention of a Sportsbook General Manager a great deal sooner and with much more respect than a rich whale from say the Far East betting the same side for same amount would..

There is money wagered and then there is sharp money wagered on games. The two type of wagers have very different effects on the price of the game in question.

These days with the Hilton Contest win under his belt Fezzik could probably move a NFL game with a lot less than $60K. On the other hand the same bet by made by an unknown walk-in like myself for example would just be another ticket written and entered into the chart for the game.

Works the same way Offshore if not moreso.

that happen to me back in 2007. The power of my picks and all the follower. Did .05 to 1 point. Those was the days

feed back welcome

 

[Loves2kickass]

Great points made.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Toss out games. 5 of them
WAS VSPHI
CLE VS NO
DEN VS ATL
KC VS BUF
IND VS NYJ

now I can center in on the other 9 games

 

[itchyback]

Interesting stat

 

[itchyback]

I ll guess balt/pit is one play
As spread moved from −3.5 to −3.
Depends on juice of course

 

[ACE-ACE]

Was at 7 plays now I got the top 5 of the week
goal alway to get the best 5

out LAC. NUMBER 7
OUT LAR NUMBER 6

some way to see the ones that almost made it

 

[Loves2kickass]

Do I get a prize is i guess them all?

 

[ACE-ACE]

Do I get a prize is i guess them all?

Would be nice to know what your top 5

 

[slapshot]

12 pack on Bengals ML

 

[brendanjack]

Raiders SF

 

[Gravy]

GB Minn Balt 49ers Hou

Those are my guesses

 

[itchyback]

My top 5

Phil -3.5
Bal - 3
Buf -2
Det - 13
Chi + 5.5

 

[exploited17]

Interesting stat

Road team won and covered every regular season game.

 

[ACE-ACE]

Lock and load

 

[one51rum]

I remember the superbowl between Buffalo and Dallas where sports book managers almost lost their jobs by moving that line from Dallas -10 to 10.5 ....Dallas was up 17 with Buffalo driving at the end, it was a nervous last few minutes for many books nothing worse than , giving all the money back for the push if Buffalo scored and it lands on 10 and then having to just payout all +10.5's there were huge write ups about it back then lots of managers were on pins and needles

Hey ACE keep it going brother God bless

 

[one51rum]

personally I like Cinn+2 Balt-3 if I can get 2.5 would love that, I'll take Minn-5 I teased Wash to +10 and Indy to +10 for a big one

 

[ACE-ACE]

I remember the superbowl between Buffalo and Dallas where sports book managers almost lost their jobs by moving that line from Dallas -10 to 10.5 ....Dallas was up 17 with Buffalo driving at the end, it was a nervous last few minutes for many books nothing worse than , giving all the money back for the push if Buffalo scored and it lands on 10 and then having to just payout all +10.5's there were huge write ups about it back then lots of managers were on pins and needles

Hey ACE keep it going brother God bless

Think it was PIT VS DALL. WHERE pit was -3. And DALL was +5. move up land on 4. Funny how we remember those kind of games

 

[itchyback]

Road team won and covered every regular season game.

Yea I only mention it
Because lot of writeups
Will say mahomes is
12-1-1 ats as underdog

What really matters is
His record vs allen