$300 -106 Take #197 New Orleans (+1) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
The Redskins are still struggling to find their way under new coach Jim Zorn and I think this is a great situation to get on the Saints, who are one of the best teams in the NFC. Jason Taylor is still banged up and he was supposed to be the rock that the Redskins defense relied on, and that will give Drew Brees time to pick apart a suspect Washington secondary. The New Orleans defense played very well last week against Tampa Bay and Reggie Bush looked explosive. The road team is 4-0 ATS in this series and the Saints are 6-1 ATS on the road against a team with a losing record.
$2500 -102 Take #212 Arizona (-6.5) over Miami (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
This is our Game of the Week. Arizona is catching a struggling Miami team at just the right time. The Dolphins are coming off an emotional home loss to their bitter rivals, the Jets, and now they have to travel west to take on one of the most improving teams in the league. The Dolphins play hard, but they still looked sloppy at times against New York and if they couldn’t keep the Jets wideouts in front of them how are they going to handle Arizona’s duo of Fitzgerald and Boldin? Arizona has covered five straight games in September and because this is their only home game of this month I expect them to play with a sense of urgency.
$800 -108 Take #216 Houston (-4.5) over Baltimore (8:30 p.m., Mon, Sept. 15)
After being overwhelmed in Pittsburgh I think we’ll see a bit better showing out of the Texans this weekend. This game may be moved to Monday night in the case that Hurricane Ike doesn’t cooperate, but I like the home team no matter when this one is played. Baltimore is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 conference games and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall. Their defense was strong enough to hold down a feeble Cincinnati attack last week but I think the Texans will be able to put more pressure on the Ravens with their ‘O’ this time around.
$200 -105 Take #217 San Diego (-1.5) over Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
After a stunning loss last weekend to Carolina I think that Norv Turner and his boys get back on track. Denver’s big win on Monday Night shouldn’t be taken too seriously considering it was against the pathetic Raiders. The Chargers swept the season series lat year and are 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. San Diego has also covered five straight road games and are 19-7-3 ATS in divisional games recently.
$300 -105 First Half: Take #210 Seattle (-3.5) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
After a terrible performance in Buffalo last week Mike Holmgren put the Seahawks on Red Alert. He made several personnel moves this week and the team welcomed back two defensive starters from suspension. Couple those moves with a massive home field edge and the Seahawks should come out firing this weekend at Qwest.
$2500 -105 Take ‘Under’ 36 Oakland at Kansas City (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
Neither team can throw the ball and (despite Oakland’s pathetic display on Monday) both teams have solid defenses. Herm Edwards is one of the most conservative coaches in the league and with his starting quarterback on the sideline I don’t see him taking any chances. This will be a game of field position and a game about who can run the football more effectively. The ‘under’ is 5-1 in this series and is 13-6 in Kansas City’s last 19 divisional contests.
$800 -104 Take ‘Over’ 37.5 Atlanta at Tampa Bay (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 14)
I actually think that the Bucs offense is going to be more effective without Jeff Garcia in the lineup. He looked tentative and unsure of himself last week and in the preseason and I think that Brian Griese’s steady hand will be just what Tampa needs. Atlanta showed last week that their offense is much improved and has plenty of big play potential. However, their defense had a hard time slowing down the Detroit attack once the Lions woke up. Atlanta has played ‘over’ in eight straight games while the Bucs have been ‘over’ in six of their last seven.
All bet was made at 4pm est at pinnacle...not sure what will happen to the Hou bet...now that its been moved to Monday.
Best to all
Ace-Ace