Here we go again.
Analysis
ZARAGOZA
This match is the most important of the season for zaragoza, already 11th in the league with 42 points, 10 pts up from relegation with 6 matches to go, this is their only chance for some silverware this year. They rested a good many players on saturday and have been focusing on this match for more than a week, with a home loss and an away draw (to villareal and sevilla) being their last league results. They want this badly and their fans are very happy with the teams performance this year thanks to the cup. 35.000 fans from Zaragoza will be attending the game, and the president is ''scared'' of such massive support. Zaragoza has a good cup history winning it twice within the last 6 years.
ESPANYOL
Poor season from them, they sit at 34 points (15th), 2 up from relegation with 6 matches left, so they aren't even safe at Primera next year, but this could be a huge achievement for them and a good way to close a bad year overall, turning it into a great one. 27.000 fans will follow them to madrid, and they have 2 injured players, trying to recover for the final, Fredson and Lopo, i think both will play even if they aren't 100%.
I think zaragoza wins the cup, but i struggle to see any value at 2'1,the draw is very well possible given there is Extra time if they tie the 90 minutes, and no team wants to lose in the last 15-20 mins, making it conservative play in the second half, if tied.
I dont know how much will the players be affected by the pressure, i can see zaragoza keeping a clean sheet or allowing 1 goal, I think zaragoza scores 1 at least, maybe 2, but in a final i think we will see less open play.
THEREFORE MY PICKS ARE:
Zaragoza pk and -0'5 @ 1.926 for 3'23 to win 3
Draw @ 3'150 for 1 to win 2'15 (we win in draw or zaragoza win)
Under 2 and 2'5 @ 1'794 for 1'26 to win 1
It looks good to me, good luck to all ! I also like it without playing the draw, or without playing zaragoza, i see good value in both bets. (especially in the draw, i must say)
Analysis
ZARAGOZA
This match is the most important of the season for zaragoza, already 11th in the league with 42 points, 10 pts up from relegation with 6 matches to go, this is their only chance for some silverware this year. They rested a good many players on saturday and have been focusing on this match for more than a week, with a home loss and an away draw (to villareal and sevilla) being their last league results. They want this badly and their fans are very happy with the teams performance this year thanks to the cup. 35.000 fans from Zaragoza will be attending the game, and the president is ''scared'' of such massive support. Zaragoza has a good cup history winning it twice within the last 6 years.
ESPANYOL
Poor season from them, they sit at 34 points (15th), 2 up from relegation with 6 matches left, so they aren't even safe at Primera next year, but this could be a huge achievement for them and a good way to close a bad year overall, turning it into a great one. 27.000 fans will follow them to madrid, and they have 2 injured players, trying to recover for the final, Fredson and Lopo, i think both will play even if they aren't 100%.
I think zaragoza wins the cup, but i struggle to see any value at 2'1,the draw is very well possible given there is Extra time if they tie the 90 minutes, and no team wants to lose in the last 15-20 mins, making it conservative play in the second half, if tied.
I dont know how much will the players be affected by the pressure, i can see zaragoza keeping a clean sheet or allowing 1 goal, I think zaragoza scores 1 at least, maybe 2, but in a final i think we will see less open play.
THEREFORE MY PICKS ARE:
Zaragoza pk and -0'5 @ 1.926 for 3'23 to win 3
Draw @ 3'150 for 1 to win 2'15 (we win in draw or zaragoza win)
Under 2 and 2'5 @ 1'794 for 1'26 to win 1
It looks good to me, good luck to all ! I also like it without playing the draw, or without playing zaragoza, i see good value in both bets. (especially in the draw, i must say)
