First off as you probably know, midweek games will sometimes not go according to plan. My experience is a lot of draws when the home side are heavy favs. Not enough to discourage me from betting but I do bet smaller than normal on midweek games.
You said stat wise you like em so you probably already know this stuff but here's why i like or don't like the picks.
Leisester over Crewe -1.5
my only worry here is leicester record of 1 goal wins. Although they did beat MK dons 2-0. However Crewe have lost 5 out of 7 road games by more than one goal including 5-2 to leeds and 3-0 to Scunthorpe. I think this has a good shot personally.
Milwall over Carlisle -0.5
tremendous home record v poor away at nice odds is generally a must play for me. Only home lost coming to MK Dons. Like it.
MKDons over Hereford -1
MK not the best home team for some reason but hereford dreadful on the road. Maybe a push here but hereford does throw out some stinkers on the road.
Form wise past 6 games you are taking 3 of the top teams on form vs 3 bottom of the table teams on form. All signs point to a good 3 plays - midweek or not midweek I am riding these with you.
As for the league 2 game:
H2H in darlington have yield 4 straight 1-0 darlington wins. But losing to Morecombe and Aldershot on the road cannot be a good thing. Form wise this is a good bet. Might get the push so maybe AH-1 with a 1-0 darlington win might be good. But just the AH works for me.
So in short (it'll rarely happen with me
) I like em all. Hahaha..
Looking at the other games now and maybe add some of my own but on paper you have a nice ticket. Good luck today - wish it was saturday. :missingte
