Energy Bills and Central Planning

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by William L. Anderson
The Ludwig von Mises Institute

In the aftermath of the U.S. Senate's failure to pass an "energy bill" for the coming year, the usual punditry has befallen us. From the demands that the bill goes in the "wrong direction" because it does not emphasize "alternative" energy sources, as well as increase the subsidies for mass transit to the Washington Post's demands that Congress impose a tax in order to pay the "true costs" of fossil fuels, the "experts" insist that the government must direct the production and use of energy.

While the United States does not have a central planning agency like the former U.S.S.R.'s Gosplan, in effect, we still have central planning all the same, at least when it comes to the energy industry—not to mention most other areas of business as well. Whether or not it comes in the form of a central agency, like in the U.S.S.R., or a combination of the three branches of the U.S. Government, centralized economic planning always creates chaos, inefficiency, and, ultimately, economic hardship. One would like to think that the policymakers of this country learned something from the energy debacles of the 1970s, but from the latest monstrosity of an energy bill, it is obvious that Washington's political classes have learned nothing except how to manipulate the economy in order to wield power over others. (And that is something they have learned very well.)

The Post labeled the recent "energy" bill "as a piece of legislation stuffed with more goodies than a Thanksgiving turkey." The assessment, while true, does not address the real issue of why there should be any "energy" legislation at all. (The Post editorialists justify energy legislation because of U.S. "dependence" upon "foreign oil," a subject with which I dealt in an earlier article on this page. Furthermore, they call for a series of laws to deal with energy issues, not just one "comprehensive" bill.) Nevertheless, one needs to deal with the particulars of legislation, not to hope for an "improved" version in the future, but rather to point out why such legislation always is going to be an exercise in absurdity.

In its earlier and heady days, socialism was supposed to substitute "rational policies" for the supposed chaos of the market. Instead of having individuals competing with each other to produce and sell goods in the market, socialism instead would create a process by which planners could rationally determine the needs of individuals in society, then direct production and distribution toward those ends. Moreover, because planning was to be placed in the hands of economic "experts," there would be no need to deal with the interference from politicians and the special interests that they represent.

On the other hand, the modern legislative process when applied to energy matters means that members of Congress (or any legislative body, for that matter) are going to favor their most important constituents, which supposedly is the polar opposite of "rational" socialist planning. To think otherwise would be naïve. This means that one should not be shocked, for example, when a member of Congress from Iowa or Kansas demands subsidies for corn-based ethanol, or when a Congressman from Texas wants new tax breaks for oil companies. (Former Sen. Bob Dole of Kansas often referred to himself proudly as "Senator Ethanol.")

Such obvious pandering to "special interests" is easy to condemn, yet such attempts to benefit the business constituents of certain members of Congress is no less outrageous than what the "public interest" groups are demanding. For the most part, what we hear from such groups as Public Citizen (Ralph Nader) and the various environmental organizations is that the government must force automakers to build fleets of vehicles that meet higher mileage standards.

Despite the rhetoric that the pundits repeat ad nauseum, economically speaking there is no difference between Nader's demands for increasing mileage standards versus Sen. Tom Harkin's call for subsidies for corn growers in his state of Iowa. While Nader's words are treated as high-minded and far-sighted on the editorial pages of the Washington Post and the New York Times (and Harkin's demands are regarded as political pandering), in truth both are nothing more than a call for central economic planning, and both ultimately create more problems than they supposedly "solve."

As noted earlier, socialist central planning supposedly involves rational individuals who do not have vested interests in their decisions determining what is best for an economy. Special interest based legislation, on the other hand, panders to moneyed interests or those groups that can "get out the vote." Moreover, it is easy to see that the latter is going to create many problems, something that numerous writers have handled in these pages over the past few years.

Yet, both socialist planning and "special interest" legislation are simply two sides of the same coin, as they are attempts to turn the economy in a different direction than what would be the case if individuals were freely permitted to make economic choices unencumbered by governmental authorities. Let us look first at the effects of ethanol legislation.

The government has required that in some localities, ethanol, a corn-based alcohol, must be mixed with gasoline. The official rationale behind this policy is that alcohol burns more cleanly than pure gasoline, which supposedly means less air pollution. The follow-up rationale is that the use of homegrown ethanol requires the purchase of less oil from overseas—and supports the economy at home. Both are dubious at best.

As Ronald Bailey recently wrote, the alleged environmental benefits from ethanol are about nil, and when one factors in a number of other factors, it is clear that the subsidy for this product is not about saving the earth (or even saving Americans from the supposedly-rapacious OPEC cartel). When it comes to easing pressure to purchase oil from abroad, Bailey notes that the energy used to distill a gallon of ethanol is greater than the energy ethanol creates. That mean Americans must run an energy deficit in order to make ethanol, and that fuel must come from somewhere, including OPEC nations. (Again, let me emphasize that I am not agreeing with the argument that there needs to be less oil imported in this country. I am just saying that ethanol clearly does not help us to achieve that particular policy directive.)

No doubt, the farmers who are paid higher-than-market prices for their corn believe that the ethanol program is worthwhile. Furthermore, executives at Archer-Daniels-Midland, which is a major producer of ethanol (and a major advertiser on the Sunday morning news shows), are always willing to justify this program to critics.

Yet, the real economic issue here is not what the ethanol policy does or does not achieve, but rather what would be the state of affairs in the ethanol program's absence. If midwestern farmers did not have subsidized producers of ethanol purchasing their corn (which is also subsidized), they would have to find other markets. As Bailey notes in his article, one of the outcomes of the ethanol program is that cattle ranchers must pay more for corn, which ultimately has an effect upon beef prices that consumers pay.

Keep in mind that no one is prohibited from producing free market ethanol. However, without the directives of the Environmental Protection Agency forcing fuel producers to mix ethanol with gasoline to achieve alleged clean air effects, no oil company would want to deal with the stuff. (Because ethanol easily separates from gasoline, the mixture cannot be transported by pipeline, which means that it must be blended with gasoline as close to the final use as possible. Thus, the blending process is expensive and troublesome.)

When clean air laws demanded major changes in gasoline reformulation in the spring of 2000, there was chaos in many cities, as disruption in the distribution of gasoline caused prices to spike above $2 a gallon. While consumers and politicians (naturally) blamed oil companies, the real story was much more insidious. Taxpayers (and consumers) paid taxes (and higher prices) to subsidize the corn which, in turn, was made into ethanol (also subsidized). The process of adding tax-funded ethanol in huge quantities disrupted the smooth flow of fuel, which meant price spikes—and most likely did not clear the air one whit. In other words, Congress forced American taxpayers and consumers to pay large sums of money for a product that in a free market they would not purchase.

Whenever the government has tried to control the oil markets, whether in the 1970s or in recent years, the result has always been chaos. From the gas lines almost 30 years ago to the wild price spikes in the spring of 2000 and 2001, the government has turned the orderly setting of the free market to the free-for-all that characterized the gasoline markets during those crisis periods.

The early supporters of outright central planning believed that economic planners would replace what they saw as the disorderly free market with a "rational" plan that would coordinate producers, sellers and consumers. And as anyone familiar with the results of central planning knows, what emerged was not the picture of order, but rather the poster child of disorder. From individuals standing in long lines just to purchase basic items to the horrendous quality of goods, the economies of the communist countries were the best empirical refutation of socialism.

While price and allocation controls in the United States turned oil markets here into Soviet-style disorder that imposed huge costs upon motorists, one should remember that the other government policies on energy also are very costly and ultimately lower our standard of living. The ethanol subsidy and the gasoline mileage standards by themselves do not force people to wait in long lines, but they do limit consumer choices. They force producers of goods—in this case, automobile manufacturers—to make cars that people really do not want to purchase, and they make individuals purchase lower-performance fuel that they would reject otherwise.

(Keep in mind that if car buyers in this country wanted the highest-mileage vehicles, there would be no demand for sport utility vehicles and other low-gas-mileage automobiles. Thus, the demands by some for Congress to order an increase in automobile gas mileage standards is nothing more than an attempt to circumvent the desires of consumers. The irony here is that Ralph Nader, one of the loudest voices for high-mileage standards, is called a "consumer advocate" by the U.S. media.)

No, there are no economic agencies in this country like Gosplan, but the U.S. Government, as well as many state and local governments, engage in central economic planning all the same. While this article deals only with some energy issues, there are many other examples of planners at work, from those who write and enforce government rules on medical care to the advocates of "smart growth." In the end, it is still central economic planning and, not surprisingly, it does not work any better here than it did in the U.S.S.R.
 

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Some UK van drivers use used cooking oil in their diesel engines.
Its a waste product from the cooking industry, add some white spirit to help combustion and give the chancellor 24p per litre tax.(um..ok)
(normal price per litre of diesel is 80p)

http://www.jugglingwithatwist.fsnet.co.uk/page22.html

The only drawback is your exhaust fumes stink of whatever got cooked in the oil.
 

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Quote: "Yet, both socialist planning and "special interest" legislation are simply two sides of the same coin, as they are attempts to turn the economy in a different direction than what would be the case if individuals were freely permitted to make economic choices unencumbered by governmental authorities."

Ah, very true. However, the author fails to note that the version of capitalism, the foundation of a free market economy, which exists in the US (and, to a lesser extent, Canada) today is no more free of choices encumbered by governmental authorities than it would be if based on socialist or left-leaning big government. As long as lobbying by corporations (let's pick on Halliburton to keep it relevant) continues to be a legal and standard influence on the managing of government affairs, the individual is no more free to help drive the economy than a citizen of socialism.

For as much as the right of the US argues against the notion of big government (and certainly many of those points are valid) they also spend a great deal of time catering to the interests of big business. If a country's energy sources are to be entirely privatized and not remotely influenced by government, then the reverse should hold equally true: the government should not be influenced by privatized energy suppliers. And on that, I wish you luck.
 

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As far as essentials to civilisation are concerned.

Health.
Education.
Water/sanitaton
Energy
etc

I'll take big government over big corporations any day of the week.

Let the Corporations have the burgers, trainers, computers and that sort of thing. Thats all they can be trusted with IMO.
 

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meantime the oil is going to run out sooner, not later. Most petroleum geologists now agree that we are at or near the 'peak' of discovery and that in 50 years or so, we will not be able to sustain an oil-based world economy, as the oil will be gone. A
 

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There won't be much oil based energy use in 50 years if the govenrment would just move us off of it. That is the thing, it never makes economic sense upfront, but if the government does use incentives and seed industries some then many alternatives can be found with little inconvenience or cost. Part of the problem right now is that those developing alternative fuels for cars are worried about obsolence of their creations. The fuel cell could be easily adapted and used in a vast majority of cars, yet many developers are afraid pure hydrogen cars are less than 15 years away so they don't want to spend the money right now. That is the inefficiency of a market economy and the few times government should intervene is when these types of costs keep us from moving forward.

Call me a lib if you want, but this endless insistence on more energy because we should choose as we want is ridiculous. We fight wars and make lots of less than efficient world relations decisions based on oil, don't deny it. Further we don't even come close to charging the full economic costs for using petroleum products that we should. Part of the problem is big business, part of it is our lack of cohesive responsibilty, and part of it is just plain and simple greed on the part of many in the process. I think if we rationed a set amount of gas every month at a certain very low tax rate and then charged a much higher rate beyond that we would accomplish a lot more than we do now. Just because some people want to live 40 miles from work for whatever reason doesn't mean we should all pay for that decision. If we force people to pay for their ways in a transparent way we will be better off as a society, people will find economically sound ways to live and those that don't will pay a lot more than others that make the sacrifices. I know it sounds all libby, but the fact is that every choice has an economic cost and most of the time those are effectively incentivized.
 

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Interesting points by everybody.

I personally think that less, not more, regulation, would help the oil industry. It would force gasoline prices to their true market level, which might get the American consuming public thinking about ways to live with less for a change. Sugar is another example of a commodity for which we pay nowhere near the market price due to government subsidy, and look at the result -- rampant obesity.

Like more overtly socialist shcemes like Medicare and Medicaid, subsidies for end-consumer products only serve to seperate cost from consumption, and in the case of oil that is the worst possible idea, given that it is a product which has a finite supply, high consumption rate, and whose price and supply can be dramatically effected by events over which America has absolutely zero control.

Cut off government intervention in the oil industry, let the cost of a gallon of 87 octane jump to $5-7.50 overnight and see how long oil remains an "essential commodity" in America. Nevermind the sudden decrease in idiotic wars and other unpleasantness in the Middle East; that's just a fringe benefit. Once upon a time American industry was actually something to be proud of, because it was innovative and challenged the best that the rest of the world had to offer. Now it's a sad joke; industrial lobbyists bribing politicians to sell obsolescence as a way of life to the public.

eek

I have driven a vegetable oil-powered van before. What an unholy stench. But a very cool idea nonetheless, if only the stench could somehow be mitigated.


Phaedrus
 

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Hmm, maybe someone could invent a deodorant cake for the exhaust, heh heh.
 

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Phaedrus,

If we are paying MORE for sugar than the true market price because of buying up excess production etc. how is this leading to obesity? Wouldn't we have to be paying less and therefore using a lot more? Isn't your logic bass ackwards? Explanation please.

P.S. Also explain your logic of $5.00-7.50 gas prices as being the true market.
 

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He's saying that we pay less for sugar than we should because the government subsidises its imports.
 

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Xpanda,

Aren't we paying MORE for sugar? Isn't the Farm Bill a "protectionist" bill for the sugar producers? Don't we buy up any excess production of sugar so the price doesn't go LOWER? What am I misssing?
 

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Hmmm ... maybe I misread the post. Can't really comment on your question, however, as I'm pretty sure that sugar is exclusively an import in Canada. I could be wrong, I have no idea. Sorry to add more confusion!
 

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posted by SENDITIN:
<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>
If we are paying MORE for sugar than the true market price because of buying up excess production etc. how is this leading to obesity?
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

What I wrote was, "Sugar is another example of a commodity for which we pay nowhere near the market price due to government subsidy ..."

Subsidies to domestic producers and importers keeps the price of sugar down, not up, by encouraging over-production.

<BLOCKQUOTE class="ip-ubbcode-quote"><font size="-1">quote:</font><HR>
Also explain your logic of $5.00-7.50 gas prices as being the true market.
<HR></BLOCKQUOTE>

Actually, this was scientifically determined by being pulled right out of my ass. While I imagine that this would be the approximate range of fuel prices if the costs of gasoline production were accurately reflected in its end pricing, I have not seen any specific studies which indicate what that price would ultimately be (please note that a 50% range in price is a pretty wide margin for error on my part.)

There may well be studies out there which actually provide a well-researched indication of the 'true price' of gasoline. I will look for some.


Phaedrus
 

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Actually sugar prices are higher than they would be at true market level because the government sets quota and tariffs that force up the price. The overproduction of sugar is indeed something that would normally lower the price, but the government basically prevents it from being sold under that set and guaranteed price. If we wanted to have true market prices for farm commodities we would just ditch the quotas and tariffs and the price of things would drop drastically. Farms would go out of business producing their traditionally products and that is what the government is trying to protect against.

If there was less regulation on gas the price would tumble. Part of the problem now is that there are so many different "mixes" required by state laws. Instead of just having one blend that each refinery could make, the refiners have to go through the extreme cost of resetting their equipment every time they set out to make another mix. That alone adds about 10-15 cents of wholesale cost. Other costs come up because of market inefficiencies that pop up when most gas can only be sold to specific markets, ask people in the Midwest about their disaster with ethanol a few years back or people in California and Nevada where about every 18-24 months some refinery goes out and then the price of gas shoots up as a result. The price of gasoline without taxes and with the market determining the value would be right about at what the futures market trades NY Harbor Unleaded Gasoline at, right now a little under $1. This gas doesn't have the ethanol or other additives required by many states and is among the cheapest you can produce in the US. Add in some profit and cost of transportation and you would figure maybe $1.15-1.20/gallon. Most of the world can take oil out of the ground far under the cost of a barrel on the open market so there would be no reduction in price for that. The "crack rate" of gas is very low as well, refiners in this country are extremely efficient. They can almost always make profit buying oil at market rates and selling gas and heating oil at market price.
 

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WildBill

I have always been under the impression that the American sugar subsisidies work much like the European ones do, which create incentives to produce locally even absent demand, while penalising imports -- which leads to an artificially low price, not an artificially high one.

Elimination of regulations surrounding gasoline production and consumption would certainly lower the price, but the lifting of the government's hands entirely from the process would cause a major price spike -- the number and scope of ways in which the federal government has bent over backwards for the oil industry in the last hundred years couldn't be adequately expressed in a thousand pages of this forum.


Phaedrus
 

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Wild Bill confirms my thinking....and I also believe Europe works the same way. Both the U.S. and Europe impose import quotas on sugar and buy up any surplus sugar produced locally to insure price stability...so we end up paying MORE for sugar than we should...not LESS. So if you think we are obese now, just think what would happen if we got rid of this system!
 

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