East Carolina vs Southern Miss 9/15/2012

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Southern Miss is a solid favorite with a 74% chance to beat East Carolina. Anthony Alford is projected for 69 rushing yards and a 33% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26% of simulations where East Carolina wins, Rio Johnson averages 2.8 TD passes vs 1.66 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.5 TDs to 2.11 interceptions. Reggie Bullock averages 51 rushing yards and 0.56 rushing TDs when East Carolina wins and 43 yards and 0.29 TDs in losses. Southern Miss has a 56% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SMISS -8

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