DOG WATCH

[slapshot]

9 win 5 lose + 6.55 units total + 5.97

PIT + 135 L
CWS + 134 L
MON + 107 L
PHI + 220 L
NYM + 133 PPD
COL + 139 W by 2
ARI + 106 L
TAM + 118 W by 2
ATL + 112 L
TEX + 122 W by 2
MIL + 166 L
KAN + 114 L
SDG + 135 W
OAK + 127 L
ANA - 102 W by 13

5 win 9 lose -2.86 units total + 3.11

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 26, 2004 at 04:16 AM.]

 

[WorldNumberOne]

well done..

its going to be interesting to see if this shows a profit every week.

the alt. runline theory is 16-33 for the week and up a few bucks. i dont know of another betting technique that makes money winning 33 % of the time.

 

[slapshot]

King CWS was home dog and they had - 1/ + 185 on the mian bases page a + 34 dif then CLE got on the alt rl + 153 same thing they did with TEX

dont know if this happens alot when you have a + 103 to - 103 home dog

do you play the + value or just who you think will win or just whos alt

GL Slapshot

 

[WorldNumberOne]

i just use pinnacle's alt. runline side. in both cases it was the wrong side.

their have been other instances when it was the right side though.

trying to keep consistent so as to not doctor up any results.

the trick now is to locate what games have the best chance at being 1 run games. their are roughly 95 games during a normal week. you know going in that approx. 28 % of them will be 1 run games. so you know you have 27 built in losers.

what could i have done to turn 16-33 so far this week into 18-31 is the question..

for every extra winner is atleast a $ 300.00 swing on the bottom line.

 

[cashingin]

Are you talking about playing all dogs and rev. run lines or just rev run lines?

 

[jaypaw]

personally I play both

but I believe they are talking about just the alt RL

am I right king?

 

[WorldNumberOne]

slapshot started a thread talking about playing all dogs for a month.

i chimed in with a alt. runline theory that i have been tracking for the month of june.

i have been playing only alt. runlines. most of the time it makes the road team minus 1.5 plus money.

sometimes you get the home team like today with oakland, cws, tampa, texas and kc.

 

[WorldNumberOne]

for tracking purposes here are the numbers i'm working with.

teams are - 1.5 and number is +

pitt 195
cws 245
mont 173
philly 348
nym 206
colo 191
ariz 170
tampa 223
atl 174
texas 201
milw 247
kc 252
san diego 197
oak 251
anah 160

 

[slapshot]

5 win 9 lose - 2.86 total + 3.11

6/26

PIT - 101 W
NYM + 146 W by 6
PHI + 111 W by 7
MON + 136 L
CWS + 161 W by 3
ANA + 136 W by 2
ATL - 101 W by 5
FLA + 120 L
COL + 146 L
ARI + 121 L
MIL + 118 W by 5
KAN + 126 L
HOU - 101 L
SFO + 124 L
SDG - 103 L

lot of small dogs again they could win 7 and still not make up the 1 unit

7 win 8 lose +.72 total + 3.83 units

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 26, 2004 at 07:33 PM.]

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 26, 2004 at 11:00 PM.]

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 27, 2004 at 01:25 AM.]

 

[WorldNumberOne]

alt. r/l went 4-10 for a loss of 225

weekly total of 20-42 for a loss of 163

monthly total of 115-208 for a win of 3524

try again today.

 

[WorldNumberOne]

alt r/l numbers.

pitt 156
nym 202
philly 165
mont 217
cws 278
anah 203
atl 154
flor 171
colo 224
ariz 178
milw 176
kc 239
hous 150
san fran 181
san diego 164

some of those look quite tasty actually ..

 

[WorldNumberOne]

some of those were quite tasty.

6 winners in so far for a winning night with 4 games pending.

 

[slapshot]

7 win +.72 total +3.83

6/27

PIT +150 W by 10
MON -105 W by 5
COL +110 L
ARI +120 L
TAM +120 L
BAL -102 L
PHI +207 L
TEX +120 L
MIL +115 W by 4
KAN +120 L
CUB +115 L
SDG +115 W by 4
ANA +100 L
NYM +180 GM 2 L
NYM +140 GM 1 L
SFO +162 W by 3

5 win 11 lose -4.58 total - 0.75

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 27, 2004 at 01:30 AM.]

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 28, 2004 at 07:09 AM.]

 

[slapshot]

total - 0.75

6/28

MON +186 L
PIT +137 W
ATL +114 W 5
ARI +131 L
TAM +114 W 8
KAN +106 L
TEX +110 W 3

4 win 3 lose + 1.75 total + 1.00

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 29, 2004 at 06:47 AM.]

 

[WorldNumberOne]

A R/L were 5-11 for a loss of 157

went 31-63 on the week for a net loss of $42.00

overall for the month it is 126-228 for a positive return of $ 3645.00

i think the trick is to eliminate some games based on what appears to be a team that has no chance of winning by 2 or more.

example of yesterday where i would have never considered playing against the cardinals, red sox or yankees in both games.

ya'll get the jist of what the alt. runlines can possibly do , so i'm going to quit talking about it.

good luck all.

 

[slapshot]

thanks for the info

good luck

 

[jwblue]

Thanks King!

IS

 

[slapshot]

1 week + 1.00
6/29

MON + 178 L
PIT + 143 W 3
NYM + 116 W 2
ATL + 104 L
CUB + 106 W 2
MIL + 105 W 3
SDG + 199 W
SFO - 103 L
BOS + 142 L
DET + 106 W 2
TOR + 100 W 4
MIN + 114 L
KAN + 106 W
TEX + 127 L
ANA + 127 L

8 win 7 lose + 2.81 total + 3.81

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 30, 2004 at 09:14 AM.]

 

[slapshot]

6/30

PIT + 139 W
CUB - 101 L
MON + 129 W 3
ATL + 108 W 3
CIN + 104 W 2
COL + 138 L
ARI + 107 W 3
BOS + 128 L
CLE + 114 L
TOR + 128 L
MIN - 102 L
KAN + 127 L
SEA + 118 L
ANA + 119 L
SFO - 101 W 6

6 win 9 lose - 2.13 total + 1.68

[This message was edited by slapshot on July 01, 2004 at 06:38 AM.]