DOG WATCH

[WorldNumberOne]

alternate run line teams go 3-12 for a loss of
598 for the night.

still up 2846 for the month.

info is accurate doug. only measurement for things like this is time.

lets see what happens.

 

[jaypaw]

I've been doing it by playing both the dog ML and the Alternate run line.

Last night I picked Minny and Anaheim and ended up just over a unit. Thats usually the result I get when I do it this way - and its starting to add up quite nicely.

The first thing I look for is the home dog and the second thing I look for is either a number 5 pitcher vs one higher in the rotation, or an injured/slumping/shaky pitcher (Schilling/Lowe/Contreras), then I look for tired or slumping BPs, then I look for key players who might be out of the lineup - or players returning from injury because they usually start slow.

Nomar got me last night...

Still its been working.

 

[WorldNumberOne]

i for one have been paying attention. i like the theory. like i said earlier , i sort of picked up on what you were doing and took it another direction to see what would happen.

keep it up.

 

[slapshot]

only 7 teams more than 10 games back 13 teams with a shot at 1 st by mid season amazing

ytd team totals

ARI - 2205
ATL - 855
CUB - 75
CIN + 1365
COL - 1375
FLA - 280
HOU - 1365
LOS + 455
MIL + 1100
MON - 1855
NYM + 260
PHI - 395
PIT - 880
SDG - 415
SFO + 600
STL + 485
ANA + 420
BAL - 1005
BOS - 430
CWS + 115
CLE + 265
DET + 130
KAN - 1000
MIN + 355
NYY + 400
OAK - 115
SEA - 1480
TAM + 1020
TEX + 1325
TOR - 1225

CIN/MIL/TAM/TEX over 1000

 

[slapshot]

IS for past years if you could find team totals it would give you idea of how it did

 

[slapshot]

18 / 30 teams have won over 50% of games with CLE/TAM 1 game under

 

[slapshot]

dog day yesterday 9 win + 6.00 units

total -0.58 units

7 alt rl win

Jaypaw King

if you played both + 14 -17 nice

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 24, 2004 at 07:25 AM.]

 

[slapshot]

6/24 total -0.58

MON +130 W
CIN +142 W by 4
COL +170 W by 3
ATL +151 W by 5
LOS +113 L
PIT +212 L
CUB +114 L
TAM +121 W by 6
MIN +130 W
CWS +104 W by 6
TEX +106 W by 2
DET +101 W by 9
ANA +101 L
BAL +159 L

9 WIN 5 lose + 6.55 units total + 5.97

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 25, 2004 at 06:53 AM.]

 

[jaypaw]

"+14 -17"

?

 

[slapshot]

7 ALT RL if they paid 100 more

pit +179 pit -1/ +279 = + 4.58

7 alt rl + 16.59 - 8.00 6 lose 2 no cover
+8.59 and + 6 ml = +14.59

do not know what alt rl paid but usally + 80 - + 120 more than ml depends on match up

pit today ml + 212 alt rl + 332

[This message was edited by slapshot on June 24, 2004 at 08:01 AM.]

 

[WorldNumberOne]

alt. runline numbers i had were winners of :

cinc + 178
pitt + 267
minn + 253
balt + 260
clev + 203
oak + 202

9 losers at 100.00 ea

+ 463 . got back a lot of the previous nights losses. those lines are pinnacle early morning lines.

has a record of 105-190 for the month with a positive return of $ 3309.00

 

[slapshot]

what about TEX

 

[WorldNumberOne]

pinnacle had seattle as the alt. run side.

- 1.5 + 149

 

[jaypaw]

right

cool

 

[slapshot]

got it like the CWS TODAY

CLE - 107 +1/ - 207 alt rl -1/ +153
CWS - 101 -1/ + 187 alt rl +1/ -163

CLE slight fav ml AND + 1/
CWS -1/ rl

did not know how you would play a small line like this

with CWS the dog maybe they do this to throw us off but CWS HAS BETTER RL ODDS

 

[WorldNumberOne]

for tracking purposes this is what you would have today. all teams listed are - 1.5
(except for pitt) and the money is plus.

pitt will be straight because their payoff is high enough without having to hope for a 2 run win.

mont 240
cinc 215
colo 264
atl 234
la 177
pitt 217
cubs 178
tampa 181
minn 184
clev 153
tex 189
det 157
anah 198
balt 278

lets see what happens.

 

[slapshot]

got it GOOD LUCK

 

[maxdemo]

just on the early games on the dogs to win only ...you are doing great..
MON +130win
CIN +142win
COL +170win
ATL +151
LOS +113
PIT +212
CUB +114
TAM +121win
MIN +130win
CWS +104win
TEX +106
DET +101win
ANA +101
BAL +159

so far thats ++++8.98

 

[WorldNumberOne]

even the alt. runline is ahead of the game early. 4 early wins . another win or 2 and its a nice day.

+ 511 with 7 games pending.

 

[WorldNumberOne]

not too bad...

6-8 on alt. runlines for a + 440 night.

nice day for the puppies.