Trump has been running for president for 12 years. His approval rating has never gotten over 45%.
Today it sits at 42%, 12 weeks ago Trump held an 11 point lead on Joe Biden. Harris closed that gap in 2 weeks. Today he is neck and neck with VP Harris, and yet the ex president is still below 48%.
America knows Trump and 53%-54% of the country does not like him and hasn't for 12 years. Jan 6th and 34 felony convictions has hurt Trump with republicans.
Haley got 18.3% of republicans in Pa GOP closed primary. Trump only got 81%. In Florida closed GOP primary, Haley got 16.6%, Trump only got 84%. In 2020 Dick Cheney would have never endorsed a democrat.
Harris has 81,000,000 votes baked in, they voted for her in 2020. If she just gets 1-2% of republicans that voted for Trump in 2020 she will win in a rout.