Division Finals

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I wanted to lay it down quickly because although the key numbers aren't as important in the CFL, it's still nice to get them while you can.

There are too many reasons to like the Lions to cover here. I honestly figured this spread would be closer to a TD, rather than 10. Looking back at the regular season, when you think of teams that gave Montreal the most trouble, BC has to be at (or near) the top of the list. The Lions beat the Als in BC, and came close in Montreal. That was with the same defence, and a crappier offence. Make no mistake, this offence is for real now that Printers is behind centre. All he has done since taking over the starting job is keep every single game he's started (we don't count Edmonton, since he played about a minute) within 7 points. He has covered EVERY spread. This is not against crappy teams, or in meaningless games. This is Saskatchewan, Calgary, and in the playoffs (on the road) in Hamilton. My number one reason for taking the Lions is that no matter what happens, I am very confident that Casey can keep this team in the game until the final whistle. Sure, there are plenty of problems that need to be fixed. The offensive line will need to figure their shit out, because they cost BC numerous first downs last week. The secondary will need to get their shit together, because Anthony Calvillo has the ability to torch them just as bad as Kevin Glenn did. The front four will have to apply pressure, while the run defence must remain as good as it was last week (although Hamilton really didn't try that hard). They will have their work cut out against a Montreal team that led the league in passing tds, field goals, first downs and yards of total offence. As long as BC can do what they did in their first two meetings (defensively), and do what they've done in their last few games offensively, this team has a shot at the upset... well maybe that's a stretch, but I see no reason why they can't cover.

British Columbia Lions +10 (-110)

2 team teaser: BC Lions +17 & Pittsburgh Steelers -3 (-130)

GL
 

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Oddy, BC has never losted to Montreal before in playoffs. But there is always a first time. Still, BC+10.5 looks attractive. BC is 10-1 ATS at Montreal! On the road, BC is 6-3 ATS while Montreal is 5-4 ATS at home. Strange but Montreal tends to play worse at Olympic than McGill stadium. Also BC is usually profitable as an underdog. Perhaps, Montreal might be rusty after a bye week? As for health, BC has 3 injuries listed but Montreal has 8 injuries. Someone said double digit favourites are 3-7 ATS in the CFL.
 
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Als at home, c'mon be realistic for crying out loud. DD digit victory and you had better hope the two digits are 1 & 0.

:drink:
 

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Adding a play that I have been considering all week. Looking at the Saskatchewan vs. Calgary game, one can't help but like the Stamps due to their recent post-season success. They get one of those rare chances to win a road game to play the championship game at home. Conversely, the Riders have been up and down all season, and have had trouble with most of the teams in in the division. However, one team they have owned all season is Calgary. With a 2-0-1 record against the Stamps, including a big win in Week 19 to secure home field, the Riders are probably the only West team to have figured out the Stamps this year. This is why it is a stroke of bad luck for Calgary that they have to play the Riders in Regina. Against any other team in the West, and I figure Calgary wins this game no matter where it's played. But going back to Regina, with those crazy fans who will be psyched for their first West Finals experience in 33 years, will be something else. With the extra week to prepare, the Riders have been able to rest (which is so important in that blood bath that has been the West). Besides, they have their own motivation to play a Grey Cup that could be like a home game if they win. I don't have too many statistics to back up this play, because it's more about what I've seen this year from these teams when they play each other. The Riders are giving up the runs (Reynolds averaging 119/game) , but their blitzes and secondary have held up Henry Burris. Burris has thrown for 221, 285, and 224 against Saskatchewan. In fact, that 285 was only as high as it was because of OT. With Gary Etcheverry (sp?) known for his blitz packages, the Riders have done enough to contain the Stamps' passing game. While Wes Cates hasn't done much against the Stamps, Durant has been everything the Riders have hoped, finding holes in that Calgary secondary. I see a close game, but the Riders have a great shot to prevail.

Saskatchewan ML (-140)

GL
 

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Als played a great game. Too hard for BC to mount a comeback after early turnovers, and a hurt Mallett... all but eliminating the run or even the threat of the run. If BC plays a perfect game, they might cover the spread... but even then, Montreal just absolutely dominated. Oh well...
 

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